Showing posts with label Columbus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Columbus. Show all posts

Sunday 13 September 2009

Columbus's four voyages to the Caribbean

The Joys of Compounding

In Buffett's annual report to partners for the year ending in 1962, he broke cadence from his routine review of the market to discuss "The Joys of Compounding." Anyone reading this passage, even four decades after Buffett penned it, could see the raw-boned logic behind the 32-year-old Buffett's stubborn frugality. As he saw it, every dollar put to productive use magnifies the benefit to society by virtue of compounding. Wasting that dollar had serious long-term ramifications - for him, his partners, even for society at large. What if, Buffett mused in his letter, Spain had decided not to finance Christopher Columbus? The results would be staggering.

In financial terms, Columbus's four voyages to the Caribbean yielded very little for the crown, except to pave the way for generations of future navigators. Think how that $30,000 (cost of the voyage Isabella originally underwrote for Columbus), if spent more judiciously by Spain in the late 15th century, could have greatly increased the wealth of the Spanish people. By 1999, 37 years after Buffett made the analogy, Isabella's $30,000 expenditure could have compounded into more than $8 trillion, nearly the total annual economic output of the United States. Spain would be a world economic powerhouse today.

On this topic, Buffett is behaving as any rational CEO would. If a company generates a high return on its assets, it should withhold dividends to investors and plow as much money as it can each year back into the business. Only when it can no longer generate a strong internal return should a company think about returning money to shareholders.

It's very doubtful that recipients of his wealth could have compounded their largesse at the rate Buffett did. Isn't it better, Buffett believes, to forego conspicuous consumption today if it means leaving even larger amounts for society tomorrow?

"My money represents an enormous number of claims checks on society. It's like I have these little pieces of paper that I can turn into consumption," Buffett told Esquire magazine in 1988. "If I wanted to, I could hire 10,000 people to do nothing but paint my picture every day for the rest of my life. And the (Gross Domestic Product) would go up. But the utility of the product would be zilch, and I would be keeping those 10,000 people from doing AIDS research, or teaching or nursing."