Premature fiscal exit would hurt Malaysia, says World Bank

Wednesday November 18 2009.Related Articles

Premature fiscal exit would hurt Malaysia, says World Bank
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 18 — The World Bank warned today that Malaysia should not exit its fiscal pump priming as it could choke off the country's economic recovery.

However, the bank also cautioned that extending fiscal support for too long "may hamper the credibility of medium-term fiscal consolidation, reduce room for future stimulus, increase the risk of asset price bubbles and constrain the private sector once demand picks up," the World Bank said in a country report on Malaysia.

Malaysia is expected to rack up a budget deficit of 7.4 per cent of gross domestic product this year, its biggest in over 20 years, in part due to two fiscal stimulus packages worth a total of RM67 billion.

The extra spending was aimed at offsetting a slump in global demand that has hit Asia's third-most export dependent economy hard.

The government expects the Southeast Asian country's economy to shrink 3 per cent this year and to grow by 3 per cent next year, although the World Bank was more optimistic.

"With East Asia leading the recovery and advanced economies showing progressive improvement, the Malaysian economy is projected to grow at 4.1 per cent in 2010, following a contraction of 2.3 per cent in 2009," the World Bank said. — Reuters