- For any premium above the book value, investors are paying for future growth and excess earnings.
- Seldom do banks trade for less than book, but if they do, the bank's assets could be distressed.
- Typically, big banks have traded in the two or three times book range over the past decades; regionals have often traded for less than that.
A solid bank trading at less than two times book value is often worth a closer look.
- Remember, there is almost always a reason the bank is selling at a discount, so be sure you understand the risks.
- On the other hand, some banks are worth three times book value or more, but we would exercise caution before paying that much.
These metrics should serve as a starting point for seeking out quality bank stocks. Overall, we think the best defense for investors who want to pick their own financial services stocks is
- patience and
- a healthy sense of skepticism.
Build a paper portfolio of core companies that look promising and learn the businesses over time. Get a feel for
- the kind of lending they do,
- the way that risk is managed,
- the quality of management, and
- the amount of equity capital the bank holds.
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