Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
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Thursday, 4 November 2010
Boustead
Date announced 23/08/2010
Quarter 30/06/2010 Qtr 2
FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK BSTEAD
C0DE 2771
Price $ 5.87 Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 10.86 Curr. DY 2.49%
LFY Div 14.64 DPO ratio 36%
ROE 12.5% PBT Margin 13.0% PAT Margin 10.3%
Rec. qRev 1425000 q-q % chg -8% y-y% chq 12%
Rec qPbt 185900 q-q % chg 38% y-y% chq 127%
Rec. qEps 15.68 q-q % chg 61% y-y% chq 204%
ttm-Eps 54.04 q-q % chg 24% y-y% chq 28%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 9.00 Avg. L PE 6.00
Forecast High Pr 6.21 Forecast Low Pr 3.38 Recent Severe Low Pr 3.38
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 12% Downside 88%
One Year Appreciation Potential 1% Avg. yield 4%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 5%
CPE/SPE 1.45 P/NTA 1.35 NTA 4.34 SPE 7.50 Rational Pr 4.05
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
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