Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
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Thursday, 11 November 2010
Coastal
Date announced 24/08/2010
Quarter 30/06/2010 Qtr 2
FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK COASTAL
C0DE 5071
Price $ 2.35
Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 4.39 Curr. DY 1.28%
LFY Div 3.00 DPO ratio 7%
ROE 36.4% PBT Margin 35.0% PAT Margin 34.8%
Rec. qRev 138619 q-q % chg -2% y-y% chq 46%
Rec qPbt 48583 q-q % chg 13% y-y% chq 44%
Rec. qEps 13.32 q-q % chg 11% y-y% chq 43%
ttm-Eps 53.55 q-q % chg 8% y-y% chq 65%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 2% Avg.H PE 5.00 Avg. L PE 4.00
Forecast High Pr 2.96 Forecast Low Pr 1.90 Recent Severe Low Pr 1.90
Current price is at Middle 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 57% Downside 43%
One Year Appreciation Potential 5% Avg. yield 2%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 7%
CPE/SPE 0.98 P/NTA 1.60 NTA 1.47 SPE 4.50 Rational Pr 2.41
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
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