Genting Malaysia Berhad (GENM)

Date announced 25/11/2010
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 3 FYE 31/12/2010

STOCK GENM (Resorts) C0DE  4715 

Price $ 3.38 Curr. ttm-PE 15.12 Curr. DY 2.16%
LFY Div 7.30 DPO ratio 31%
ROE 11.4% PBT Margin 34.6% PAT Margin 28.0%

Rec. qRev 1202916 q-q % chg -2% y-y% chq -10%
Rec qPbt 416262 q-q % chg 1% y-y% chq -12%
Rec. qEps 5.92 q-q % chg 10% y-y% chq -6%
ttm-Eps 22.35 q-q % chg -2% y-y% chq 120%

Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 13.00 Avg. L PE 11.00
Forecast High Pr 3.71 Forecast Low Pr 2.49 Recent Severe Low Pr 2.49
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.

RISK: Upside 27% Downside 73%
One Year Appreciation Potential 2% Avg. yield 3%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 5%

CPE/SPE 1.26 P/NTA 1.72 NTA 1.96 SPE 12.00 Rational Pr 2.68



Decision:
Already Owned: Buy, Hold, Sell, Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed.
Guide: Valuation zones - Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell.

Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr


Stock Data: Recent Stock Performance:
Current Price (11/19/2010): 3.46
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)
1 Week -1.1% 13 Weeks -3.1%
4 Weeks 12.0% 52 Weeks 18.5%

Genting Malaysia Berhad Key Data:
Ticker: RESORTS Country: MALAYSIA
Exchanges: KUL Major Industry: Miscellaneous
Sub Industry: Hotel & Motel Chains

2009 Sales 4,991,700,000
(Year Ending Jan 2010).
Employees: 13,700
Currency: Malaysian Ringgits Market Cap: 20,447,107,522
Fiscal Yr Ends: December Shares Outstanding: 5,909,568,648
Share Type: Common Closely Held Shares: 2,670,000


Day's Range: 3.37 - 3.40
52wk Range: 2.46 - 3.72
Volume: 4,064,100
Avg Vol (3m): 8,538,920