Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
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Wednesday, 10 November 2010
Latexx
Date announced 10-Nov-10
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 3
FYE 31/12/2010
STOCK LATEXX
C0DE 7064
Price $ 2.78
Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 7.32 Curr. DY 0.72%
LFY Div 2.00 DPO ratio 7%
ROE 35.5% PBT Margin 15.5% PAT Margin 13.6%
Rec. qRev 129878 q-q % chg -3% y-y% chq 61%
Rec qPbt 20168 q-q % chg -16% y-y% chq 41%
Rec. qEps 8.19 q-q % chg -21% y-y% chq 12%
ttm-Eps 37.96 q-q % chg 2% y-y% chq 76%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5%
Avg.H PE 8.00
Avg. L PE 6.00
Forecast High Pr 3.88 Forecast Low Pr 2.40 Recent Severe Low Pr 2.40
Current price is at Lower 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 74% Downside 26%
One Year Appreciation Potential 8% Avg. yield 1%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 9%
CPE/SPE 1.05
P/NTA 2.60
NTA 1.07
SPE 7.00
Rational Pr 2.66
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed Review (future acq): Filed Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
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