Tuesday, 7 December 2010

Poh Kong Holdings Berhad


Date announced 12-Jun-10
Quarter 31/10/2010 Qtr 1 FYE 31/07/2011

STOCK POHKONG C0DE  5080 

Price $ 0.47 Curr. PE (ttm) 5.90 Curr. DY 2.98%
LFY Div 1.40 DPO ratio 18%
ROE 10.2% PBT Margin 9.0% PAT Margin 6.4%

Rec. qRev 169451 q-q % chg 28% y-y% chq 11%
Rec qPbt 15191 q-q % chg 58% y-y% chq 11%
Rec. qEps 2.65 q-q % chg 39% y-y% chq 10%
ttm-Eps 7.96 q-q % chg 3% y-y% chq 17%

Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 6.00 Avg. L PE 5.20
Forecast High Pr 0.61 Forecast Low Pr 0.38 Recent Severe Low Pr 0.38

Current price is at Middle 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 61% Downside 39%
One Year Appreciation Potential 6% Avg. yield 4%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 10%

CPE/SPE 1.05 P/NTA 0.60 NTA 0.78 SPE 5.60 Rational Pr 0.45


Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed Review (future acq): Filed Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell

Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr


Stock Data: Recent Stock Performance:
Current Price (11/19/2010): .49
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)
1 Week 10.2% 13 Weeks 11.5%
4 Weeks 19.8% 52 Weeks 16.9%

Poh Kong Holdings Berhad Key Data:
Ticker: POH KONG Country: MALAYSIA
Exchanges: KUL Major Industry: Apparel & Textiles
Sub Industry: Apparel Manufacturers

2010 Sales 561,242,000
(Year Ending Jan 2011).
Employees: 1,047

Currency: Malaysian Ringgits Market Cap: 199,020,720
Fiscal Yr Ends: July Shares Outstanding: 410,352,000
Share Type: Ordinary Closely Held Shares: N/A

Day's Range: 0.46 - 0.47
52wk Range: 0.35 - 0.51
Volume: 273,000

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