Date announced 28-Aug-2012
Quarter 30/06/2012
Qtr 4
FYE 30/06/2012
STOCK GUINNESS
C0DE 3255
Price $ 15.64
Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 22.78
Curr. DY 7.99%
Dividends |
% chg | |
| Curr. FY0 | 125.00 | 131.5% |
| Prev FY1 | 54.00 | 20.0% |
| Prev FY2 | 45.00 | |
| Curr. DY | 7.99% | |
| Risk vs Returns | ||
| Upside | -0.02 | -2% |
| Downside | 1.00 | 102% |
| Returns | ||
| One Yr Apprec Pot. | 0% | |
| Avg Yield | 6% | |
| Avg Tot. Ann Return | 6% | |
| (for next 5 years) | ||
| INPUT VARIABLES | ||
| Today's Share Pr $ | 15.64 | |
| EPS GR % | 10% | |
| Avg H. PE | 14.0 | |
| Avg. L. PE | 11.0 | |
| Rec. Severe Low Pr | 8.00 | |
| Current PE | 22.78 | |
| Signature PE | 12.50 | |
| RV | 182% | |
| Rational Price | 8.58 | |
| Dividends | ||
| Present Dividend | 125.00 | |
| Avg % DPO | 90% | |
| Present Div Yield | 7.99% | |
| Present High Yield | 15.63% | |
| EPS G. RATE | 10% | |
| Present Market Pr. | 15.64 | |
| Date | Qtr No | ttm-eps | High Pr | Low Pr | High PE | Low PE | |
| 28-Aug-12 | 4 | 68.66 | 15.98 | 15.82 | 23.27 | 23.04 | |
| 23-May-12 | 3 | 66.76 | 10.74 | 10.64 | 16.09 | 15.94 | |
| 23-Feb-12 | 2 | 65.91 | 9.55 | 9.49 | 14.49 | 14.40 | |
| 2-Nov-12 | 1 | 65.52 | 8.84 | 8.00 | 13.49 | 12.21 | |
| 8-Apr-11 | 4 | 60.05 | 8.16 | 7.69 | 13.59 | 12.81 | |
| 5-May-11 | 3 | 62.23 | 7.22 | 6.83 | 11.60 | 10.98 | |
| 28-Jan-11 | 2 | 61.40 | 7.00 | 6.68 | 11.40 | 10.88 | |
| 3-Nov-10 | 1 | 54.50 | 7.15 | 6.74 | 13.12 | 12.37 | |
| 4-Aug-10 | 4 | 50.54 | 6.25 | 6.05 | 12.37 | 11.97 | |
| 5-May-10 | 3 | 47.80 | 5.75 | 5.50 | 12.03 | 11.51 | |
| 9-Feb-10 | 2 | 43.21 | 5.20 | 5.10 | 12.03 | 11.80 | |
| 26-Nov-09 | 1 | 40.19 | 5.35 | 4.46 | 13.31 | 11.10 | |
| 29-Aug-09 | 4 | 47.00 | 5.35 | 5.10 | 11.38 | 10.85 | |
| 15-May-09 | 3 | 44.38 | 5.75 | 5.45 | 12.96 | 12.28 | |
| 27-Feb-09 | 2 | 45.64 | 5.90 | 5.30 | 12.93 | 11.61 | |
| 26-Nov-08 | 1 | 43.06 | 6.10 | 5.75 | 14.17 | 13.35 | |
| 29-Aug-08 | 4 | 41.67 | 6.45 | 5.85 | 15.48 | 14.04 | |
| 23-May-08 | 3 | 40.90 | 6.60 | 6.00 | 16.14 | 14.67 | |
| 22-Feb-08 | 2 | 40.08 | 6.60 | 6.00 | 16.47 | 14.97 | |
| 29-Nov-07 | 1 | 39.26 | 6.30 | 5.75 | 16.05 | 14.65 | |
| 28-Aug-07 | 4 | 37.26 | 5.55 | 5.35 | 14.90 | 14.36 | |
| 4-May-07 | 3 | 45.16 | 5.85 | 5.40 | 12.95 | 11.96 | |
| 26-Feb-07 | 2 | 40.86 | 5.80 | 5.35 | 14.19 | 13.09 | |
| 7-Nov-06 | 1 | 42.68 | 5.95 | 5.50 | 13.94 | 12.89 | |
| 22-Aug-06 | 4 | 42.44 | 5.95 | 5.55 | 14.02 | 13.08 | |
| 26-May-06 | 3 | 38.23 | 5.75 | 5.20 | 15.04 | 13.60 | |
| 21-Feb-06 | 2 | 38.49 | 5.90 | 5.35 | 15.33 | 13.90 |
Hi,
ReplyDeleteWhy did you H. PE from 16 to 14,
L. PE from 14 to 11 and Signature PE from 15 to 12.5?
Regards.
The valuation is always based on conservative estimates. It is subjective too. It is better to be approximately right, rather than to be precisely wrong.
ReplyDeleteI have added to the post, the historical High PEs and Low PEs, and you will realise that taking a High PE of 14 and a Low PE of 11 are definitely on the conservative side.
The ttm-EPS growth had been around 10% yearly.
Regards.
Thanks for your kind reply.
ReplyDelete