•Philip
Fisher:
Quality first, Price second
Quality first, Price second
•
•Fisher formulated a clear and sensible investing strategy
(which I'll get to in a second), wrote one of the best investment books of
all time, Common Stocks and
Uncommon Profits, and
made a good deal of money for himself and his clients.
•
•His
son wrote that Phil's best advice was
•to "always
think long term,"
•to "buy
what you understand," and
•to
own "not
too many stocks."
•
•Charles
Munger, who is Buffett's
partner, praised Fisher at the 1993 annual meeting of their company, Berkshire
Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A): "Phil Fisher believed in concentrating in about 10 good investments and
was happy with a limited number.
•
•That
is very
much in our playbook.
•And
he believed in knowing
a lot about the things he did invest in. And that's in our playbook, too.
•And
the reason why it's
in our playbook is that to some extent, we learned it from
him."
•
•In addition to the warning
against over-diversification — or what Peter Lynch, the great
Fidelity Magellan fund manager, calls "de-worse-ification" —
the book makes three
important points:
•
•(1) First, don't worry too much about
price. (Quality first, Price second)
•(2) Second, Fisher says that investors must
ask, "Does the company have a management
of unquestionable integrity?"
•(3) Finally, Fisher offered the best advice ever
on selling stocks. "It
is only occasionally,"
he wrote, "that there is any reason for
selling at all."
•
•
•
•(1) First, don't worry too much about
price. (Quality first, Price second)
•
•(1) First, don't worry too much about
price. (Quality first, Price second)
•"Even in these earlier
times [he's talking here about 1913], finding the
really outstanding
companies and staying
with them through all the
fluctuations of a gyrating market proved far more
profitable to far more people than did
the more colorful practice of trying
to buy them
cheap and sell
them dear.”
•(1) First, don't worry too much about
price. (Quality first, Price second)
•In fretting about
whether a stock is cheap
or expensive, many investors miss
out on owning great companies.
•My own rule is: quality first, price second.
•
•
•(2) Second, Fisher says that investors must
ask, "Does the company have a management
of unquestionable integrity?"
•
•(3) Finally, Fisher offered the best advice ever
on selling stocks. "It is only
occasionally,"
he wrote, "that there is any reason for
selling at all."
•
•Yes, but what are those occasions?
•They come down to this: Sell if a company has deteriorated in some
important way.
•And I don't
mean price!
•
•Fisher's view, instead, is to look to the business — the company itself,
not the stock.
•
•"When companies deteriorate, they usually do so for one
of two reasons:
•Either there has been a deterioration
of management, or
•the company no
longer has the prospect of
increasing the markets for its product in the way it formerly did."
•
•A stock-price
decline can be a key signal: "Pay attention! Something may be
wrong!"
•But the decline alone
would not prompt me to sell.
•Nor would a rise in price.
•
•Time to sell?
•If you did, you missed
another doubling.
•
•"How long should you hold a stock?
•As long as the
good things that attracted you to the company are still there."
•
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