myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

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Showing posts with label futility of forecasting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label futility of forecasting. Show all posts
Tuesday, 12 May 2020

Can you benefit from forecasts and extrapolations?

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We have two classes of forecasters:  Those who don’t know – and  those who don’t know they don’t know. Many believe that the fut...
Monday, 29 May 2017

Forecasting Performance

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Typically, forecasting involves making projections of cash flows to some point where the company has a steady state going forward   Th...
Sunday, 5 February 2012

Charlie Munger - Projections do more harm than good

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Reading Tea Leaves " I have no use whatsoever for projections or forecasts .  They create an illusion of apparent precision. The mo...
Wednesday, 31 March 2010

Buffett (1994): Don't get bogged down by near term outlook and strong earnings growth; look for the best risk adjusted returns on a long-term basis

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Warren Buffett highlighted, in his 1994 letter to shareholders, the futility in trying to make economic prediction while investing . Let us...
Monday, 22 June 2009

Learn from the Worst: The Futility of Forecasting

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Having established that most investors - professionals and amateur - underperform the market, the obvious question is, why? How can so many ...
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