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Showing posts with label Investing is uncertainty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investing is uncertainty. Show all posts
Thursday, 14 May 2020

The limitations imposed by future uncertainty

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“Attentiveness to limitations in the evidentiary basis” (or to the limitations imposed by future uncertainty ) is a very important further...
Wednesday, 13 May 2020

When do you allow for the possibility that you’re wrong? When does reason-based confidence turn into hubris and obstinateness?

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Holding and adding to declining positions is only a good idea if the underlying thesis turns out to be right and things eventually go as ex...
Tuesday, 12 May 2020

It is very important to acknowledge what we don’t know.

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In Praise of Doubt It is very important to acknowledge what we don’t know. First of all, if we’re going to out-invest the rest, we need...

The challenge lies in trying to be above average in assessing the future. Why is that so hard?

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First of all, forecasting is a competitive arena. The argument for the difficulty of out-forecasting others is similar to the argument for...
Friday, 5 April 2013

A 5% return may end up being a better deal than a 20% return.

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If one is able to get a 5% return in a month, we could argue that it is a better investment than one that earns us a 20% return over a two-y...
Wednesday, 23 May 2012

Value Investing Opportunities in Uncertain Times

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Where to find value? When to buy? When to hold? When to sell?
Tuesday, 9 August 2011

US recession: Avoid investing huge amounts as stock market seen nowhere near its bottom, advise experts

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MUMBAI: Don't jump into the market with a suitcase full of cash as yet, experts warn retail investors, as many seem attracted at the pro...
Sunday, 12 June 2011

The Risk is Not in The Car; It is the Driver Behind The Wheel.

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It would be a risky situation if a person decides to drive a car without having undergone any form of training.  It is the person's lack...
Thursday, 17 June 2010

Risk Is Not a Four-Letter Word

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VIEWPOINT May 5, 2010, 11:01PM EST Risk Is Not a Four-Letter Word Speculation has gotten bad press recently. But Businessweek.com's ...
Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Risk and Uncertainty

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Risk What is risk? In financial terms, risk is the probability of an investment's actual return being lower than expected. Can we ...
Wednesday, 4 November 2009

How to handle market uncertainty

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Wednesday November 4, 2009 How to handle market uncertainty Personal Investing - By Ooi Kok Hwa AFTER the strong rally over the past s...
Thursday, 20 August 2009

Uncertainty = Investing

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"Investors don't like uncertainty." But investors have never liked uncertainty - and yet it is the most fundamental and enduri...