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Showing posts with label Market uncertainties. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Market uncertainties. Show all posts
Wednesday, 13 May 2020

When do you allow for the possibility that you’re wrong? When does reason-based confidence turn into hubris and obstinateness?

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Holding and adding to declining positions is only a good idea if the underlying thesis turns out to be right and things eventually go as ex...
Tuesday, 12 May 2020

The challenge lies in trying to be above average in assessing the future. Why is that so hard?

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First of all, forecasting is a competitive arena. The argument for the difficulty of out-forecasting others is similar to the argument for...
Saturday, 14 April 2012

Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk

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Wednesday, 11 April 2012

A Buffett Disciple Shares His Secrets (Morningstar)

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Low risk, high uncertainty situations. Wall Street punishes uncertainties. The rewards can be very high for such low risk situations.
Tuesday, 9 August 2011

US recession: Avoid investing huge amounts as stock market seen nowhere near its bottom, advise experts

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MUMBAI: Don't jump into the market with a suitcase full of cash as yet, experts warn retail investors, as many seem attracted at the pro...
Sunday, 12 June 2011

The Risk is Not in The Car; It is the Driver Behind The Wheel.

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It would be a risky situation if a person decides to drive a car without having undergone any form of training.  It is the person's lack...
Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Risk and Uncertainty

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Risk What is risk? In financial terms, risk is the probability of an investment's actual return being lower than expected. Can we ...
Wednesday, 4 November 2009

Risk versus Uncertainty: Known knowns, known unknowns and unknown unknowns

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Risk versus Uncertainty: Frank Knight’s “Brute” Facts of Economic Life By William Janeway Published on: Jun 07, 2006 Dr. William H. Jane...

Investment under market and climate policy uncertainty

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  Investment under market and climate policy uncertainty   Sabine Fuss, a, , Jana Szolgayovaa, Michael Obersteinera and Mykola Gustia   ...

Futures market uncertainties increase risks for wheat growers

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Futures market uncertainties increase risks Sep 3, 2008 2:06 PM, By Roy Roberson Farm Press Editorial Staff Many wheat growers in the So...

How to handle market uncertainty

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Wednesday November 4, 2009 How to handle market uncertainty Personal Investing - By Ooi Kok Hwa AFTER the strong rally over the past s...