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Showing posts with label uncertainty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label uncertainty. Show all posts
Friday, 30 December 2022

Difficulty of Forecasting Future Cash Flow

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Present-Value Analysis and the Difficulty of Forecasting Future Cash Flow  When future cash flows are reasonably predictable and an appropr...
Thursday, 14 May 2020

The limitations imposed by future uncertainty

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“Attentiveness to limitations in the evidentiary basis” (or to the limitations imposed by future uncertainty ) is a very important further...
Wednesday, 13 May 2020

When do you allow for the possibility that you’re wrong? When does reason-based confidence turn into hubris and obstinateness?

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Holding and adding to declining positions is only a good idea if the underlying thesis turns out to be right and things eventually go as ex...
Tuesday, 12 May 2020

It is very important to acknowledge what we don’t know.

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In Praise of Doubt It is very important to acknowledge what we don’t know. First of all, if we’re going to out-invest the rest, we need...

The challenge lies in trying to be above average in assessing the future. Why is that so hard?

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First of all, forecasting is a competitive arena. The argument for the difficulty of out-forecasting others is similar to the argument for...
Wednesday, 23 May 2012

Value Investing Opportunities in Uncertain Times

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Where to find value? When to buy? When to hold? When to sell?
Saturday, 14 April 2012

Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk

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Wednesday, 11 April 2012

A Buffett Disciple Shares His Secrets (Morningstar)

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Low risk, high uncertainty situations. Wall Street punishes uncertainties. The rewards can be very high for such low risk situations.
Tuesday, 9 August 2011

US recession: Avoid investing huge amounts as stock market seen nowhere near its bottom, advise experts

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MUMBAI: Don't jump into the market with a suitcase full of cash as yet, experts warn retail investors, as many seem attracted at the pro...
Sunday, 12 June 2011

The Risk is Not in The Car; It is the Driver Behind The Wheel.

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It would be a risky situation if a person decides to drive a car without having undergone any form of training.  It is the person's lack...
Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Risk and Uncertainty

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Risk What is risk? In financial terms, risk is the probability of an investment's actual return being lower than expected. Can we ...
Wednesday, 4 November 2009

Managing risk in a turbulent economy an ever-increasing challenge for farmers

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Managing risk in a turbulent economy an ever-increasing challenge for farmers Nov 2, 2009 12:16 PM, By Paul L. Hollis, Farm Press Editorial...

How to handle market uncertainty

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Wednesday November 4, 2009 How to handle market uncertainty Personal Investing - By Ooi Kok Hwa AFTER the strong rally over the past s...
Saturday, 14 February 2009

Investing During Uncertainty

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Investing During Uncertainty by Investopedia Staff, ( Investopedia.com ) ( Contact Author Biography ) Every day it seems like the world is...