Showing posts with label HaiO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HaiO. Show all posts

Wednesday 3 November 2010

HAI-O



Date announced 29/09/2010
Quarter 31/07/2010 Qtr 1
FYE 30/4/2011

STOCK HAI-O
C0DE  7668 

Price $ 3.08 Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 11.85 Curr. DY 3.86%
LFY Div 11.88 DPO ratio 38%
ROE 24.5% PBT Margin 19.7% PAT Margin 14.3%

Rec. qRev 54751 q-q % chg -45% y-y% chq -63%
Rec qPbt 10785 q-q % chg -32% y-y% chq -59%
Rec. qEps 3.91 q-q % chg 31% y-y% chq -58%
ttm-Eps 26.00 q-q % chg -17% y-y% chq -8%

Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 1% Avg.H PE 10.00 Avg. L PE 5.00
Forecast High Pr 2.73 Forecast Low Pr 1.30 Recent Severe Low Pr 2.85
Current price is at Upper 1/3 of valuation zone.

RISK: Upside -24% Downside 124%
One Year Appreciation Potential -2% Avg. yield 3%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 1%

CPE/SPE 1.58 P/NTA 2.91 NTA 1.06 SPE 7.50 Rational Pr 1.95


Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed Review (future acq): Filed Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell

Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr

Thursday 2 September 2010

Nine Malaysian firms on Forbes’ ‘best under a billion’ list

Nine Malaysian firms on Forbes’ ‘best under a billion’ list

September 02, 2010
 





KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 2 — Nine Malaysian companies have made it to Forbes magazine’s ranking of best performing listed Asian companies with revenues under US$1 billion (RM3.1 billion).

Malaysia tied with Thailand for the sixth most number of entries on the list after China/Hong Kong with 71, India (39), South Korea (20), Taiwan (19) and Australia (13).

Singapore had eight entries on the list while Japan had two, down from 24 due to domestic economic woes.
“In aggregate the market-cap-weighted shares of our 2010 class were up 43 per cent over 12 months versus 21 per cent for the FTSE Asia Pacific Small Cap stock index,” said Forbes.

The nine Malaysian entries this year represented an increase of one over the eight entries it had on the list last year.

One Malaysian newcomer to the list, glove maker Hartalega Holdings, was profiled by the magazine.
The other companies were RFID solutions provider CBS Technology, marine services provider Coastal Contracts, herbal care multi-level marketing company Hai-O Enterprise, steel pipe maker KKB Engineering, glove maker Latexx Partners, construction company Mudajaya Group, e-government service provider My EG Services and IT firm Willowglen MSC.

The Singaporean entries were real estate fund manager ARA Asset Management, marine equipment manufacturer Baker Technology, furniture maker Design Studio Furniture, engineering outfit Hiap Seng Engineering, property developer Ho Bee Investment, infrastructure builder OKP Holdings, clean room supplier Riverstone Holdings and mining company Straits Asia Resources.

This year also marked the first time a Vietnamese company made it to the list — dairy outfit Vinamilk.

“Its history reflects the different nature of enterprises in nations with long-standing state dominance,” said Forbes.

The annual “Best Under A Billion” list picks the top-performing 200 firms from close to 13,000 listed Asia-Pacific companies with actively traded shares and sales of between US$5 million and US$1 billion.
Selection of the final 200 was based on earnings growth, sales growth, and shareholders’ return on equity in the past 12 months and over three years.

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said recently that small-medium enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of the Malaysian economy.

SMEs contribute about one-third of Malaysia’s GDP and account for 20 per cent of its exports.

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/nine-malaysian-firms-on-forbes-best-under-a-billion-list/

Sunday 4 April 2010

A quick look at HaiO

Stock Performance Chart for Hai-O Enterprise Berhad



A quick look at HaiO
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tZTHquircxQhaACs6-m-uRA&output=html

Those who bought this stock the last 2 years would have been rewarded with multiple baggers of gains.  It remained undervalued a year ago.  Now that the story of HaiO is out in the market, the price of the stock has risen sharply.

The valuation today compared to exactly a year ago makes compelling comparison for the value investor.  A year ago, its PE was 7 and now it is 11.8.  Its dividend yield for last year was 7.49%, now it is nearer 2,24%.

Saturday 6 February 2010

OSK Research up Hai-O TP to RM10.55

OSK Research up Hai-O TP to RM10.55
Written by OSK Research
Friday, 05 February 2010 08:54

KUALA LUMPUR: OSK Research is maintaining a Buy on Hai-O with a higher target price of RM10.55.

It had recently hosted a corporate presentation by Hai-O which was attended by fund managers who raised questions relating to
  • the company’s MLM’s expansion to Indonesia, and
  • its new TECHNOLOGY [] venture.

"We gather that
  • Hai-O’s MLM operations here and in Indonesia are proceeding smoothly, and
  • that there are good prospects for its technology division.
  • We also see ongoing expansion for the group’s retail business,"
it said on Friday, Feb 5.

OSK Research said as it believed its earnings forecast had been overly conservative previously, it was raising its FY09, FY10 and FY11 earnings by 15%-18%.

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/159176-osk-research-up-hai-o-tp-to-rm1055.html

Tuesday 22 December 2009

Hai-O 2Q net profit surges 85% to RM20.18m

Hai-O 2Q net profit surges 85% to RM20.18m
Written by Joseph Chin
Tuesday, 22 December 2009 19:51

KUALA LUMPUR: HAI-O ENTERPRISE BHD [] reported net profit of RM20.18 million in its second quarter ended Oct 31, 2009, a jump of 85% from RM10.89 million a year ago as more consumers bought its health and wellness products.

It said on Tuesday, Dec 22 revenue rose 51% to RM132.37 million from RM87.29 million. Earnings per share were 24.23 sen compared with 13.38 sen. It declared dividend of 10 sen per share.

"The increase in profit after taxation was mainly due to higher contributions from all main divisions. The recovery of the domestic market had increased in consumer spending which had boosted the sales of the group's health and wellness products in the second quarter," it said.

Additional increase in other income earned which included realisation of exchange fluctuation reserve on disposal of foreign associates amounting to RM624,799 had contributed to the increase in profit.

For the first half, Hai-O said revenue rose 40% to RM280.95 million from RM200.20 million a year ago, mainly due to higher sales generated by its principal subsidiaries, the multi-level marketing and retail divisions, and higher rental income generated during the financial period.

Net profit increased by about 58% from RM24.73 million to RM38.97 million due to higher revenue achieved as mentioned above. Despite lower revenue achieved by the wholesale division, it had registered higher profit by focusing on higher margin product sales.

"The MLM division had contributed over 80% of group revenue, due to its effective A&P strategies coupled with attractive overseas incentive trips and strong newly recruited distributors' force.

"Additional contribution from the retail division due to higher revenue achieved coupled with the success in its house brand products had also contributed to the increase in profit," it added.

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/156170-hai-o-2q-net-profit-surges-85-to-rm2018m.html


Last 4 quarters results of HaiO
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tyxw8H8-rMbZwslu4WAXkog&output=html



Tuesday 24 November 2009

Hai-O hits five-week low

Hai-O hits five-week low
Tags: Hai-O

Written by Joseph Chin
Friday, 20 November 2009 15:44

KUALA LUMPUR: Shares of Hai-O Enterprise extended their losses in late afternoon trade on Friday, Nov 20, falling to a five-week low of RM6.93.

At 3.23pm, the shares were down 27 sen to RM6.93, the lowest since Oct 15.

On Thursday, the shares fell 46 sen, the biggest one-day loss in recent weeks, as investors started taking profit after the run-up in the share price.

Hai-O is a manufacturer and wholesaler of traditional herbal and pharmaceutical products.

In late October, a local research house increased the indicative fair value for Hai-O to RM8.80 from RM6.80, based on higher price-to-earnings ratio (PER) of nine times CY2010 earnings per share (versus eight times CY2010 earnings per share previously).

This is a 38% discount to the research house's target PER for the consumer sector of 14.5 times due to its smaller market capitalisation as well as low liquidity.

The higher PER target, the research house said, was to reflect increased investor participation in mid-cap stocks,a lower risk premium and improved market sentiment.

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/154142-hai-o-hits-5-week-low.html

Tuesday 3 November 2009

RHB ups Hai-O earnings forecasts, target price

RHB ups Hai-O earnings forecasts, target price

Tags: Brokers Call | Hai-O Enterprise Bhd | MLM | RHB Research

Written by Financial Daily
Wednesday, 28 October 2009 10:45

RHB Research yesterday raised its fair value for HAI-O ENTERPRISE BHD [] to RM8.80 from RM6.80 after revising upwards its earnings forecasts to take into account the recent stronger-than-expected membership growth at the latter’s multi-level marketing (MLM) division.

“Since June 2009, Hai-O’s MLM division recruitment of new members has increased to an average of 4,000 to 5,000 a month (versus 3,000 to 4,000 in 1HCY09), representing an average increase of 29%,” RHB said in a note.

RHB, which has an outperform call on Hai-O, revised its FY2010-2012 forecasts for the company by between 4% and 26% after increasing projections for new members per month.

The increase in new members was mainly attributed to the success of Hai-O’s advertising activities such as celebrity endorsement and TV commercials for its water filter product (BioAura).

The research house also applied a higher price-earnings ratio (PER) multiple of nine times CY10 earnings (from eight times CY10 earnings previously), “to reflect increased investor participation in mid-cap stocks, lower risk premium and improved market sentiment”.

The PER multiple is still at a 38% discount to its target market capitalisation of 14.5 times PER for the consumer sector, to account for Hai-O’s smaller market capitalisation as well as lower liquidity, RHB added.

It also noted that sales from Hai-O’s recently launched health supplements and anti-aging skincare range have picked up despite initial mediocre sales performance.

“Nevertheless, Hai-O’s star product remains its water filter, which is still gaining popularity especially amongst the bumiputera community. While no figures were provided, management guided that average revenue/distributor continues to grow year-on-year. We forecast average revenue/distributor to increase by an unchanged 5%, 3% and 1% for FY2010-2012,” RHB said.

RHB has yet to input any contributions from Indonesia, where Hai-O had begun initial recruitment activities, having obtained a licence from the Association of MLM in Indonesia in August 2009.

“Recall that Hai-O only invested a total of US$480,000 (RM1.7 million) for its Indonesia venture, which is a minimal amount for the vast potential growth in the Indonesian market.

Management targets a conservative 5,000 to 10,000 new members in FY2010, and projects a minimum one year to break even,” RHB added.

Risks to RHB’s recommendation include the termination of supply agreements from its suppliers in China, stronger-than-expected strengthening of the greenback as well as weaker-than-expected increase in consumer spending.

Hai-O rose 12 sen to close at its intra-day high of RM7.20 yesterday on a volume of 121,400 shares.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, October 28, 2009.


http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/152305-rhb-ups-hai-o-earnings-forecasts-target-price.html

Tuesday 20 October 2009

Hai-O riding high on China connection

Hai-O riding high on China connection

Tags: Changyu Pioneer Wine Co Ltd | China | Chinese herbs | Chinese medicated wines | Extensive network in China | Hai-O Enterprise Bhd | Tan Kee Hock

Written by Tony C H Goh
Monday, 19 October 2009 11:23

KUALA LUMPUR: HAI-O ENTERPRISE BHD [], widely known as a wholesaler and retailer of Chinese herbs and medicine, is now looking at expanding its reach in the wine, liquor and liqueur business by leveraging on its strong network in China.

“Currently, wines and liquor are considered as the second-liner products carried by the retail division. But with the current market trend towards drinking of red wine in the country, we foresee huge potential,” Hai-O’s general manager Tan Kee Hock said at the third Yantai International Wine Festival in Yantai, China, recently.

Hai-O has an extensive network in China, with business dealings dating back to 1975, particularly with Changyu Pioneer Wine Co Ltd, China’s oldest vineyard, which was established in 1892 and its biggest wine producer based in the wine-producing region of Yantai, Shandong province.

“As the sole distributor of Changyu’s wines in Malaysia, we are allocating a big portion of our promotion and advertising budget to raise awareness,” said Tan, who is in charge of the Chinese medicated wines, cooking wines, healthcare food and beverages division of the company.

Among Changyu products under the sole agency rights of Hai-O are Ling Zhi Medicated Liquor, Tze Pao San Pian Chiew, Te Zhi San Pian Chiew, Changyu Cabernet Dry Red Wine, Changyu Cabernet, Gernischt Dry Red Wine and Changyu Ice Wine.

While seeking to grow its wine and liquor business, multi-level marketing (MLM), wholesale and retailing are still the main contributors to Hai-O’s growth and revenue. It is exposed to all mainstream segments of Malaysia’s population, with the retail segment basically aimed at the Chinese, while MLM is mainly Malay-based.

For the fiscal year ended April 30, 2009 (FY09), Hai-O’s revenue increased 16% to RM435.2 million from RM373.8 million in the previous year. Net income rose 7% to RM52 million. The higher revenue reflects strengthening of the ringgit against the US dollar and the promotion of house-based products from the retail division.

The wholesale and retail division contributed RM16.8 million to the group revenue of RM148.6 million in the first quarter ended July 31, 2009 (1QFY10), down 11.2% from RM18.9 million in the previous quarter and 16.9% or RM20.2 million in the same period last year.

But given the promising potential of the wine industry in China, Hai-O believes its strategy of leveraging on the biggest wine company in the fast-developing Asian giant is likely to pay off. Hai-O has seen its share price jumping nearly 30% over the past three weeks to RM7.02 last Friday when it added another 12 sen, with 38,600 shares done.

Yantai is the largest wine-producing region in China, accounting for around 35% or one in every three bottles of wine produced there. The wine industry in China is the world’s 10th largest grape wine producer, and the only Asian country that produces grape wine on a commercial scale.

Other major grape wine players in China include Sino-French joint venture, Dynasty Winery Ltd and China Great Wall Wine Co, Ltd. Collectively, these top three wine producers control 40% of China’s wine market. Besides Shandong, some other famous wine-producing regions are found in Fujian and Guangdong provinces.

While growth in the traditional wine consumer countries has remained flat in the last 10 years, experts estimate that China would be the world’s most active wine market with a 36% growth through 2010. Over the same period, total global wine consumption is expected to grow at only 9.15%.

Research data from British research institute ISWR/DGR showed that based on current trends, total global wine consumption will reach 100 million litres by 2010, with China accounting for 5.58 million litres.

In a recent report on the company, RHB Research remained upbeat on Hai-O’s prospects going forward, even when there was a visible slowdown of the company’s retail and wholesale business.

This was largely due to the strong performance of its main business segment of MLM, for which the number of members has ballooned to more than 110,000 from 70,000 a year ago.

The company is well on track to surpass its internal target of 10% earnings growth in FY10. “Taking into account the robust 1QFY10 results and better-than-expected MLM sales, we raised our FY10-12 earnings forecasts by 22% to 28%,” said RHB.

“Hai-O’s attractiveness lies in its strong dividend payout policy of at least 50% of net earnings. Traditionally, the company has paid out above and beyond that amount, averaging 65% over the past five financial years.

“We project gross dividend per share for FY10 and FY11 to be at 54.5 sen and 57 sen, or a yield of 9.6% and 10%, respectively,” the research house added.

Some of the key risks include an unexpected reduction in dividend payout ratio to below 50% and the MLM division’s revenue coming in below expectations.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, October 19, 2009.

Saturday 3 October 2009

Hai-O is better than expected, says RHB



Hai-O is better than expected, says RHB

Tags: Brokers Call | Hai-O | RHB Research

Written by Financial Daily
Thursday, 01 October 2009 10:51

RHB Research has reaffirmed its outperform recommendation on HAI-O ENTERPRISE BHD [] while raising its fair value to RM6.80 from RM5.80 following the announcement of its 1QFY10 results, which came in above expectations.

“Hai-O’s net profit for its first quarter accounted for 33% of our and consensus full-year net profit forecasts. The key variance was mainly due to higher-than-expected contribution from its multi-level marketing (MLM), which grew by 42% year-on-year on the back of a higher-than-expected increase in core distributor force (CDF) as well as distributor productivity from buoyant sales of its health and wellness products and higher advertising and promotion activities and lower effective tax rate,” said RHB.

RHB also revised its FY10 to FY12 forecasts by 15% to 20% after raising its assumptions for Hai-O’s distributor retention rate and productivity and reducing its tax rate assumptions.

The research house is expecting Hai-O’s net profit for FY10, FY11 and FY12 to come in at RM65.1 million, RM75.2 million and RM84.4 million respectively.

“Following the stronger-than-expected distributor productivity for 1QFY10, we have revised upwards our assumptions for productivity to 5% in FY2010 from 1% previously but maintain our assumption of 3% increase for FY11 and 1% increase for FY12. While we retain our distributor growth numbers, we increased our member retention rate to 22% per annum compared to 20% previously, following the stronger CDF numbers,” added RHB.

According to RHB, the group’s MLM division remains its main driver, and expects distributor growth numbers to remain at 12,000 to 15,000 per annum for FY10 to FY12.

“Recall that Hai-O’s MLM division is in the midst of venturing into the Indonesian market, having started its recruitment drive from July this year. Hai-O would be investing a total of US$480,000 (RM1.66 million), of which US$120,000 is for capital expenditure while the remaining US$360,000 is for working capital.”

RHB also said Hai-O’s management was targeting a conservative 5000 to 10,000 in new members in FY10, and forecast a minimum of two years to break even. “Note we have yet to input any contributions from Indonesia, pending feedback from management on its recruitment activities.”

The research house said among the risks faced by Hai-O include termination of supply agreements from its suppliers in China, a stronger-than-expected strengthening of the US dollar and a weaker-than-expected increase in consumer spending.

Hai-O jumped 34 sen to close at RM6.03 yesterday.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, October 1, 2009.

Wednesday 8 July 2009

STOCK HaiO C0DE 7668

8.7.2009
STOCK HaiO C0DE 7668
Price $ 4.66 Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 7.48 Curr. DY 9.01%

Rec. qRev 132845 q-q % chg 30% y-y% chq -1%
Rec. qPbt 22957 q-q % chg 24% y-y% chq 20%
Rec. qEps 17.80 q-q % chg 22% y-y% chq -29%
ttm-Eps 62.30 q-q % chg -11% y-y% chq -5%

Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 7.48 Avg. L PE 5.00
Current price is at Middle 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 47% Downside 53%
One Year Appreciation Potential 6% Avg. yield 12%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return over next 5 years 17%
CPE/SPE 1.20 P/NTA 2.34 Sig. PE 6.2 Sig. Pr 3.86

Thursday 18 June 2009

Hai-O sees growth despite slowdown

















Wednesday June 17, 2009
Hai-O sees growth despite slowdown

Aggressive marketing, MLM to help boost sales

KUALA LUMPUR: Hai-O Enterprise Bhd, a wholesaler and retailer of Chinese herbs and medicine, expects to achieve 10% growth in revenue this year despite the global economic slowdown. (Comment: In previous years, the guidance had been 20% growth in revenue per year.)

Managing director Tan Kai Hee said the positive outlook was based on the adoption of an aggressive marketing strategy and support from its multi-level marketing (MLM) division.

“We will make use of our existing marketing tools and put in more budget for advertising and promotion (A&P) activities,” he said after the signing of a sole distributorship agreement between Hai-O and Yunnan Baiyao Group Co Ltd yesterday.

The company allocates about RM5mil a year for A&P activities.

For the financial year ended April 30, 2008, Hai-O’s revenue jumped 97% year-on-year to RM373.8mil, of which 70% came from the MLM division.

For the nine months ended Jan 31, its revenue rose to RM302.33mil from RM240.27mil in the previous corresponding period.

Tan said the company was still positive on its growth although it expected to see a decline in consumers’ purchasing power due to the recession. “We will make more aggressive efforts to achieve it,” he said.

He said Hai-O hoped the strategic alliance with Yunnan Baiyao, a traditional Chinese medicine manufacturer, would boost the company’s long-term commitment to helping Malaysians pursue a healthier lifestyle.

Under the agreement, Hai-O would be responsble for the introduction of 19 Yunnan Baiyao and Yun Feng brands of products.

Tan said the products would be introduced to the local market in the second half.

“Besides Hai-O’s 60 chain stores and major Chinese medical halls nationwide, the products will also be sold at hypermarkets and major pharmacies,” he said.

Yunnan Baiyao overseas business general manager Wei Bo said the company was confident its products would be well-received in Malaysia.

“This is a long-term partnership with Hai-O and we expect to record yearly sales of RM10mil from the Malaysian market,” he said. — Bernama

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/6/17/business/4131973&sec=business