Showing posts with label Microsoft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Microsoft. Show all posts

Friday, 5 June 2026

A summary and discussion on Microsoft's income statements

Over the five fiscal years from 2021 to 2025, Microsoft demonstrated consistently strong revenue and profit growth, with accelerating momentum in the most recent two years. Annual revenue rose from $168.1 billion in 2021 to $281.7 billion in 2025, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.8%. Revenue growth dipped to 6.9% in 2023 but rebounded sharply to 15.7% in 2024 and 14.9% in 2025, reflecting robust demand for cloud and artificial intelligence services. Gross profit margin remained remarkably stable, averaging close to 69% over the period, indicating strong pricing power and effective cost control. Operating income (EBIT) grew even faster than revenue, from $69.9 billion in 2021 to $128.5 billion in 2025, a CAGR of 16.4%, as selling, general and administrative expenses increased at a slower pace (6.2% in 2025) than sales. Net income expanded from $61.3 billion to $101.8 billion over the same span, with net margin improving from 36.4% to 36.1% (roughly stable despite higher depreciation and amortization). A notable feature of the period was the sharp rise in depreciation and amortization, which jumped from $10.9 billion in 2021 to $34.2 billion in 2025, driven by heavy investment in data centers and cloud infrastructure. Diluted earnings per share grew from $8.05 to $13.64, a 14.1% CAGR, benefiting from share buybacks (diluted shares outstanding fell from 7.61 billion to 7.47 billion). The effective tax rate remained moderate, with deferred domestic taxes providing a consistent benefit. Overall, the five‑year trend shows a resilient, high‑margin business with operating leverage and a successful shift toward higher‑value cloud and AI offerings.


Turning to the latest five quarterly income statements (from March 2025 through March 2026), Microsoft continued to post sequential revenue gains, albeit with some quarterly volatility in profitability. Revenue increased steadily from $70.1 billion in the quarter ended March 2025 to $82.9 billion in March 2026, a cumulative rise of 18.3% over four quarters. The strongest sequential growth occurred in the December 2025 quarter, when revenue rose 4.6% to $81.3 billion, likely driven by seasonal enterprise spending. Gross margins remained healthy, ranging between 67.6% and 69.0% across the five quarters. EBITDA margins also stayed robust, near 57‑59% of revenue, with a peak of $51.0 billion in the September 2025 quarter. However, net income showed a more erratic pattern. After climbing from $25.8 billion in March 2025 to $27.2 billion in June 2025, $27.7 billion in September 2025, and a strong $38.5 billion in December 2025, net income fell sharply to $31.8 billion in March 2026 – a 17.4% sequential decline. This drop occurred despite a 2.0% revenue increase in the same quarter, suggesting margin pressure. Possible contributors include a sequential rise in SG&A expenses (from $15.7 billion to $17.7 billion), a higher tax provision (from $5.4 billion to $7.6 billion), and perhaps non‑operating items (interest income and expense moved only modestly). Diluted EPS followed the same trajectory, peaking at $5.16 in December 2025 and then retreating to $4.27 in March 2026. While the December quarter’s strength could reflect year‑end booking patterns, the March 2026 decline is notable and warrants monitoring.

In summary, Microsoft’s long‑term financial health remains excellent, with double‑digit annual growth and high margins. Nevertheless, the most recent quarterly results introduce a note of caution: profitability appears more sensitive to operating expenses and taxes, and investors will be watching to see if the March 2026 dip is a seasonal anomaly or the start of a new margin trend.

Thursday, 6 November 2025

The Magnificent 7 Stocks (10 years Revenues and Net Earnings records)

 The "Magnificent Seven" are the leading, prominent tech companies in the world: Apple, Alphabet, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. How these stocks perform typically dictates how well the overall market does.

Microsoft's Revenue and Net Earnings (FY2015 - FY2025E)

Here is a detailed breakdown of Microsoft's revenues and net earnings for the fiscal years 2015 to 2025, followed by a summary of the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR).


**Important Note on Fiscal Years:** Microsoft's fiscal year (FY) ends on June 30. For example, **Fiscal Year 2025** will end on June 30, 2025. The data for 2015-2024 is actual, while 2025 is based on analyst consensus estimates.


---


### **Microsoft's Revenue and Net Earnings (FY2015 - FY2025E)**


All figures are in USD millions. Data for FY2015-FY2024 is sourced from Microsoft's official annual reports (10-K filings). **Data for FY2025 is based on the current consensus analyst estimates** as the fiscal year is not yet complete.


| Fiscal Year | Revenue ($ millions) | Net Earnings ($ millions) |

| :---------- | :------------------- | :------------------------- |

| **FY2015**  | $93,580              | $12,193                   |

| **FY2016**  | $85,320              | $16,798                   |

| **FY2017**  | $89,950              | $21,204                   |

| **FY2018**  | $110,360             | $16,571                   |

| **FY2019**  | $125,843             | $39,240                   |

| **FY2020**  | $143,015             | $44,281                   |

| **FY2021**  | $168,088             | $61,271                   |

| **FY2022**  | $198,270             | $72,738                   |

| **FY2023**  | $211,915             | $72,361                   |

| **FY2024**  | $245,088             | $87,388                   |

| **FY2025 (Est.)**| ~$273,500         | ~$101,500                 |


**Key Context for the Data:**

*   **FY2015-FY2017: The Nadella Transition.** Satya Nadella became CEO in 2014. This period shows the strategic shift away from one-time license sales (like Windows) toward cloud and subscription services (Azure, Office 365), which initially impacted revenue but soon began driving significant profit growth.

*   **FY2018: One-Time Tax Charge.** The dip in net income was primarily due to a $13.7 billion one-time net charge related to the TCJA (Tax Cuts and Jobs Act).

*   **FY2019-FY2022: The Cloud Hyper-Growth Era.** Revenue and earnings saw tremendous growth, fueled by the massive expansion of the Azure cloud platform, the dominance of Office 365, and the growth of LinkedIn and Dynamics.

*   **FY2023: A Period of Consolidation.** Growth moderated due to macroeconomic headwinds that impacted cloud and enterprise spending. Net income was slightly down as the company continued heavy investment in AI.

*   **FY2024: The AI Acceleration.** Revenue growth re-accelerated significantly, driven by the integration of AI capabilities across the entire tech stack (Copilot, Azure AI services). Profit margins expanded.

*   **FY2025 (Est.): Sustained AI-Driven Growth.** Analysts project continued strong growth as Microsoft's early lead in generative AI, through its partnership with OpenAI and its own services, translates into broader market adoption and monetization.


---


### **Summary of CAGR (2015 to 2025E)**


The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) provides a smoothed annual growth rate over the specified period.


**Period:** From the end of **Fiscal Year 2015** to the end of **estimated Fiscal Year 2025** (a 10-year period).


*   **Revenue CAGR (FY2015 to FY2025E):**

    *   Starting Value (FY2015): $93,580 million

    *   Ending Value (FY2025E): ~$273,500 million

    *   Number of Years: 10

    *   **CAGR = ~11.3%**


*   **Net Earnings CAGR (FY2015 to FY2025E):**

    *   Starting Value (FY2015): $12,193 million

    *   Ending Value (FY2025E): ~$101,500 million

    *   Number of Years: 10

    *   **CAGR = ~23.6%**


### **Conclusion**


Over the ten-year period from FY2015 to the projected FY2025, Microsoft has executed one of the most successful corporate transformations and financial performances in history.


*   The **Revenue CAGR of approximately 11.3%** is highly impressive for a company of Microsoft's immense scale, demonstrating its ability to consistently find new growth vectors and expand its total addressable market.

*   The even more remarkable **Net Earnings CAGR of ~23.6%** highlights the powerful financial model of its strategic shift. The transition to high-margin, recurring revenue streams (cloud subscriptions, Azure) has driven profitability to grow at more than twice the rate of revenue. This signifies tremendous operating leverage and a strategic mastery of the cloud and AI eras.


This decade under Satya Nadella's leadership has seen Microsoft evolve from a legacy software giant into a cloud-first, AI-first behemoth, with financial metrics that reflect its dominant and highly profitable market position.


***Disclaimer:*** *This information is for illustrative purposes only. Data for FY2015-FY2024 is historical. Data for FY2025 are analyst estimates and are not guaranteed. This is not financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.*

Friday, 26 April 2024

The Magnificent Seven stocks: Apple, Microsoft, Google parent Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla

 Dubbed the Magnificent Seven stocks, Apple, Microsoft, Google parent Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla lived up to their name in 2023 with big gains. But the early part of the second quarter of 2024 showed a big divergence of returns.












Friday, 22 June 2012

Investor's Checklist: Technology Software

The software industry has economics few industries can match.  Successful companies should have excellent growth prospects, expanding profit margins, and pristine financial health.

Companies with wide moats are more likely to produce above-average returns.  But superior technology is one of the least sustainable competitive advantages in the software industry.

Look for software companies that have maintained good economics throughout multiple business cycles.  We prefer companies that have been around at least several years.

License revenue is one of the best indicators of current demand because it represents how much new software was sold at a given time.  Watch for any license revenue trends.

Rising days sales outstanding (DSOs) may indicate a company has extended easier credit terms to customers to close deals.  This steals revenues from future quarters and may lead to revenue shortfalls.

If deferred revenue growth slows or the deferred revenue balance begins to decline, it may signal that the company's business has started to slow down.

The pace of change makes it tough to predict what software companies will look like in the future.  For this reason, it's best to look for a big discount to intrinsic value before buying.


Ref:  The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey



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Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...