Showing posts with label junk bonds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label junk bonds. Show all posts

Friday 10 January 2020

Why should the history of the junk-bond market in the 1980s interest investors today?

The junk-bonds market collapsed in 1990.
  • Junk bonds were transformed into the financial equivalent of roach motels; investors could get in , but they couldn't get out.  
  • Bullish assumptions were replaced by bearish ones.  
  • Investor focus shifted from what might go right to what could go wrong, and prices plummeted.



Why should the history of the junk-bond market in the 1980s interest investors today?

If you personally avoided investing in newly issued junk bonds, what difference should it make to you if other investors lost money?

The answer is that junk bonds had a pernicious effect on other sectors of the financial markets and on the behaviour of most financial-market participants.
  • The overpricing of junk bonds allowed many takeovers to take place at inflated valuations.
  • The excess profits enjoyed by the shareholders of the acquired companies were about equal to the losses eventually experienced by the buyers of this junk.
  • Cash received by equity investors from junk-bond-financed acquisitions returned to the stock market, bidding up the prices of shares in still independent companies. 
  • The market prices of securities involved in arbitrage transactions, exchange offers, and corporate reorganizations were all influenced by the excessive valuations made possible by the junk-bond market.  
  • As a result, even those who avoided owning junk bonds found it difficult to escape their influence completely.




We may confidently expect that there will be new investment fads in the future.  

  • They too will expand beyond the rational limitations of the innovation. 
  • As surely as this will happen, it is equally certain that no bells will toll to announce the excess.  
  • Investors who study the junk-bond debacle may be able to identify these new fads for what they are and avoid them.  
  • And avoiding losses is the most important prerequisite to investment success.