Showing posts with label durable competitive advantage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label durable competitive advantage. Show all posts

Sunday, 28 April 2024

What you look for in the financial statements of those great businesses with durable competitive advantage

 



Warren Buffettโ€™s Financial Statement Rules of Thumb:
๐Ÿ’ฐ INCOME STATEMENT:
1: Gross Margin
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Gross Profit / Revenue
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: 40% or higher
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Signals the company isnโ€™t competing on price.
2: SG&A Margin
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: SG&A Expense / Gross Profit
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: 30% or lower
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Wide-moat companies donโ€™t need to spend a lot on overhead to operate.
3: R&D Margin
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: R&D Expense / Gross Profit
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: 30% or lower
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: R&D expenses don't always create value for shareholders.
4: Depreciation Margin
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Depreciation / Gross Profit
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: 10% or lower
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Buffett doesn't like businesses that need to invest in depreciating assets to maintain their competitive advantage.
5: Interest Expense Margin
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Interest Expense / Operating Income
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: 15% or lower
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great businesses donโ€™t need debt to finance themselves.
6: Income Tax Expenses
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Taxes Paid / Pre-Tax Income
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: Current Corporate Tax Rate
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great businesses are so profitable that they are forced to pay their full tax load.
7: Net Margin (Profit Margin)
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Net Income / Sales
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: 20% or higher
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies convert 20% or more of their revenue into net income.
8: Earnings Per Share Growth
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Year 2 EPS / Year 1 EPS
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: Positive & Growing
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies increase profits every year.
โš– BALANCE SHEET:
9: Cash & Debt
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Cash > Debt
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: More cash than debt
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies don't need debt to fund themselves.
10: Cash & Debt
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Cash > Debt
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: More cash than debt
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies generate lots of cash without needing much debt.
11: Adjusted Debt to Equity
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Total Liabilities / Shareholder Equity + Treasury Stock
๐Ÿ‘ Rule : < 0.80
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies finance themselves with equity.
12: Preferred Stock
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: None
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies don't need to fund themselves with preferred stock.
13: Retained Earnings
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Year 1 / Year 2
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: Consistent growth
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies grow retained earnings each year.
14: Treasury Stock
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: Exists
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies repurchase their stock.
๐Ÿ’ธ CASH FLOW STATEMENT:
15: Capex Margin
๐Ÿงฎ Equation: Capex / Net Income
๐Ÿ‘ Rule: <25%
๐Ÿค” Buffett's Logic: Great companies don't need much equipment to generate profits.
Caveats:
1๏ธโƒฃ There are plenty of exceptions to these rules.
2๏ธโƒฃ CONSISTENCY IS KEY!

What "rules of thumb" do you use?

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"Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements" By Mary Buffett

Friday, 7 October 2022

12 Blue Chips you wish you'd bought in 1998

Total return for 1,000 shares bought on Sept 1, 1998 as at Nov 23,2007.


Company  Sept 1, 1998  Nov 23,2007  Total return %

Public Bank  RM0.363   RM 20.32   6,023%

Hap Seng Con 0.17  9.39  18,327%

IOI  0.10  4.52  27,082%

Nestle  5.089  91.98  1,707%

PBB  0.538  16.76  8,207%

KLK  1.191  24.26  2,955%

MBB  0.514  9.21  3,641%

Tenaga  0.933  14.84  2,385%

TM  0.384  6.00  5,484%

GEM  0.367  5.10  6,848%

BAT  3.76  38.06  912%

PetGas  1.853  16.54  793%


To know which blue chips to bet on for the decades to come, a key question to ask is if the company is future-proof and is likely to continue to have a stable and sustainable earnings stream for a long time to come.




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