Showing posts with label oil and gas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oil and gas. Show all posts

Monday 26 December 2011

Oil And Gas Industry Primer

Posted: May 21, 2007

Bryn Harman


A very fundamental aspect of equity investing is understanding the companies and sectors in which you invest. In the equity universe, there are a number of sectors, and equity investors require some specialized knowledge to make educated investment decisions. One of those sectors is the oil and gas sector, which is teeming with complicated terminology that can overwhelm investors new to the space. With a basic understanding of this terminology and the oil and gas business in general, investors can better understand the fundamentals of oil and gas stocks. Read on as we take you through the basics. (For related reading, see the Industry Handbook.)

Hydrocarbon Basics
Crude oil and natural gas are naturally occurring substances present in rock amidst the earth's crust. The origin of oil and gas is organic material - the remains of plants and animals - compressed in sedimentary rock such as sandstone, limestone and shale. Sedimentary rock is a product of sediment deposits in ancient oceans and other bodies of water. As layers of sediment were deposited on the ocean floor, decaying remains of plants and animals were integrated into the forming rock. This organic material eventually transformed into oil and gas after being exposed to a specific temperature and pressure range deep within the earth's crust.

Because oil and gas are less dense than water, which occurs in huge quantities in the earth's subsurface, oil and gas migrate through relatively porous sedimentary source rock toward the earth's surface. When the hydrocarbons are trapped beneath relatively less porous cap rock, an oil and gas reservoir is formed. These reservoirs, which are simply layers of rock containing relatively large quantities of oil and gas, are our source for crude oil and gas.

In order to bring the hydrocarbons to the surface, a well must be drilled through the cap rock and into the reservoir. Drilling rigs work in a similar fashion as a hand drill; a drill bit is attached to a series of drill pipes and the whole thing is rotated to make a well in the rock. Once the drill bit reaches the reservoir, a productive oil or gas well can be completed and the hydrocarbons can be pumped to the surface. When the drilling activity does not find commercially viable quantities of hydrocarbons, the well is classified as a "dry hole". Dry holes are typically plugged and abandoned.

Production and Reserves
Exploration and production (E&P) companies focus on finding hydrocarbon reservoirs, drilling oil and gas wells and producing and selling these materials to be later refined into products such as gasoline. This activity is usually referred to as upstream oil and gas activity. Today, there are hundreds of public E&P companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges. Virtually all cash flow and income statement line items of E&P companies are directly attached to oil and gas production; therefore, investors should develop an understanding of basic production terminology when assessing E&P stocks.

Exploration and production companies measure oil production in terms of barrels. A barrel, usually abbreviated as "bbl", is 42 U.S. gallons. Companies often describe production in terms of bbl per day or bbl per quarter. A common methodology in the oil patch is to use a prefix of "m" to indicate 1,000 and a prefix of "mm" to indicate 1 million. Therefore, one thousand barrels is commonly denoted as "mbbl" and one million barrels is denoted as "mmbbl". For example, when an E&P company reports production of 7 mbbl per day, it is referring to 7,000 barrels of oil per day.

Production of gas is described in terms of standard cubic feet, which is a measure of quantity of gas at 60 degrees Fahrenheit and 14.65 pounds per square inch of pressure. Similar to the convention for oil, the term "mmcf" means 1 million cubic feet of gas. One billion cubic feet is denoted as "Bcf" and one trillion cubic feet is denoted as "Tcf". Note that gas market prices are sold on the New York Mercantile Exchange futures market in terms of million British thermal units, or "mmbtu", which is roughly equivalent to 970 cubic feet of gas. Investors frequently think of an mcf of gas as being equivalent to one mmbtu. (For related reading, see What economic indicators are especially important to oil traders?)         

E&P companies often describe their production in units of barrels of oil equivalent (BOE). In calculating BOE, companies usually convert gas production into oil equivalent production using an energy equivalent basis. In this basis, one BOE has the energy equivalent of 6,040 cubic feet of gas - or roughly one bbl to 6 mcf. Oil quantity can be converted into gas quantity in a similar fashion and gas producers often refer to production in terms of gas equivalency using the term "mcfe". Note that the energy conversion basis often is not reflected in the respective market prices of oil and gas. (For related reading, see Getting A Grip On The Cost Of Gas.)   

E&P companies report their oil and gas reserves - the quantity of oil and gas they own that is still in reservoirs in the ground - in the same bbl and mcf terms as above. Reserves are often used to value E&P companies and make predictions for their revenue and earnings. Note that reserves' values are not GAAP figures and they are not directly booked into a company's financial statements.   

Because new reserves are the primary source of future revenue, E&P companies spend a lot of time and effort in finding new petroleum reserves. If an E&P company stops exploring, it will generate revenue from a finite and depleting quantity of petroleum and, therefore, revenue will naturally decline over time. As a result, E&P companies can only maintain or grow a revenue base by acquiring or finding new reserves.

Drilling and Service 
E&P companies do not usually own their own drilling equipment or employ drilling rig staff. Instead, they hire contract drilling companies like Grey Wolf Inc. or Nabors Industries Ltd. to drill wells for them. Contract drilling companies generally make a living based on the amount of time they work for the E&P companies. Drilling companies do not generate revenue in a way that is tied directly to oil and gas production as is the case of E&P companies.

Once a well is drilled, there are many activities involved with generating and maintaining its production over time. These activities, such as well logging, cementing, casing, perforating, fracturing and maintenance are collectively referred to as well servicing. As is the case for drilling, there are many public companies, like Halliburton Company and Schlumberger, that are involved with well-service activity. Revenue of service companies is tied to the level of activity in the oil and gas industry, sometimes measured by the "rig count" or the number of rigs working in the United States at any given point in time.

Conclusion
Investing in energy stocks can be complicated business. As is the case for most company analysis, a good starting point is to understand how the businesses derive revenue. For E&P companies, investors should strive to understand production and the production potential tied to current and planned exploration activity. For drilling and service companies, investors should develop a feel for the energy cycle, the drilling and service companies' competitive landscape and the omnipresent impact of oil and gas price changes over time.      

To learn more about investing in oil and gas, see Fueling Futures In The Energy Market.
by Bryn Harman, CFA
Bryn Harman, CFA, is a seasoned investment professional with more than 13 years of experience in the fields of corporate finance and investment finance. For the past seven years, his focus has been on bottom-up fundamental analysis of small cap companies. Harman is currently the director of research for a value-oriented investment firm in the Northwest. Bryn has a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Saskatchewan, Canada.


Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/articles/07/oil_gas.asp#ixzz1hcf3wjiM

5 Common Trading Multiples Used In Oil And Gas Valuation

Posted: Dec 21, 2011

Chris Dumont


ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS
  • A fundamental aspect of investing is to understand the companies and sectors.
  • Enterprise multiples can vary depending on the industry.
  • One metric should never be used in isolation.

A fundamental aspect of investing is to understand the companies and sectors in which a person invests. With equities, there are a number of sectors, and equity investors require some specialized knowledge to make educated investment decisions. One of those sectors is oil and gas, where analysts, to give a better idea of how these companies fare against the competition, use specific multiples. With a basic understanding of these common multiples in oil and gas, investors can better understand the fundamentals of the oil and gas sector.





The five common multiples we'll look at are 
  1. EV/EBITDA, 
  2. EV/Production, 
  3. EV/2P, 
  4. P/CF and 
  5. EV/DACF.

Enterprise Value to EBITDA: EV/EBITDA 
-  Also referred to as the enterprise multiple or the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) multiple, this is often used to determine the value of an oil and gas company. 
-  One of the main advantages of the EV/EBITDA ratio over the price-earnings ratio (P/E), the most popular valuation multiple, and the price-to-cash-flow ratio (P/CF), is that it is unaffected by a company's capital structure
-  If a company was to use the P/E ratio and issued more shares, it would decrease the earnings per share, thus increasing the P/E ratio and making the company look more expensive, whereas the EV/EBITDA ratio would not change. 
-  At the same time, if a company is highly leveraged, the P/CF ratio would be low, whereas the EV/EBITDA ratio would make the company look average or rich. 
-  The EV/EBITDA ratio compares the oil and gas business, free of debt, to EBITDA. 
(To learn more on investment ratios, see Analyze Investments Quickly With Ratios.)

-  This is an important metric as oil and gas firms typically have a lot of debt and the EV includes the cost of paying it off. 
-  EBITDA measures profits before interest and the non-cash expenses of depreciation and amortization
-  In times of low commodity prices multiples expand, and in times of strong commodity prices multiples contract.

Another variation of the EV/EBITDA ratio is the EV/earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, depletion, amortization and exploration expenses ratio (EBITDAX), which is similar except EBITDAX is EBITDA before exploration costs for successful efforts companies. 
-  It is commonly used in the United States to standardize different accounting treatments for exploration expenses, which consist of the full cost method or the successful efforts method. 
-  Exploration costs are typically found in the financial statements as exploration, abandonment and dry hole costs. 
-  Other noncash expenses that should be added back in are impairmentsaccretion of asset retirement obligations and deferred taxes.

-  A low ratio indicates that the company might be undervalued
-  It is useful for transnational comparisons as it ignores the distorting effects of differing taxes for each country. 
-  It is also often used to find takeover candidates, which is common within the oil and gas sector. 
-  The lower the multiple the better, and in comparing the company to its peers it could be considered undervalued if the multiple is low.
-  Additionally, enterprise multiples can vary depending on the industry. This is why it is important to only compare companies within the same industry. 
(For additional reading, see Relative Valuation Of Stocks Can Be A Trap.)

Enterprise Value/Daily Production: EV/BOE/D
-  Also referred to as price per flowing barrel, this is a key metric used by many oil and gas analysts. -  This takes the enterprise value (market cap + debt – cash) and divides it by barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/D)
-  All oil and gas companies report production in BOE. 
-  If the multiple is high compared to the firm's peers, it is trading at a premium, and if the multiple is low amongst its peers it is trading at a discount.
-  However, as good as this metric is, it does not take into account the potential production from undeveloped fields. 
-  Investors should also determine the cost of developing new fields to get a better idea of an oil company's financial health. 

Enterprise Value/Proven + Probable Reserves: EV/2P
-  This easily calculated metric, which requires no estimates or assumptions, helps analysts understand how well resources will support the company's operations. 
-  Generally the EV/2P ratio should not be used in isolation, as not all reserves are the same. 
-  However, this multiple can still be an important metric to use to evaluate the valuation of acquiring properties when little is known about the cash flow.
-  Reserves can be proven, probable or possible reservesProven reserves are typically known as 1P, with many analysts referring it to P90, having 90% probability of being produced. 
-  Probable reserves are referred to as P50, or having a 50% certainty of being produced. When used in conjunction with one another it is referred to as 2P. 
-  When this multiple is high, the company of interest would be trading at a premium for a given amount of oil in the ground. 
-  A low value would suggest a potentially undervalued firm. EV/3P can also be used, which is proven, probable and possible reserves together. 
-  However, as possible reserves only have a 10% change of being produced it is not as commonly used.
(For related reading, see Oil And Gas Industry Primer.)

Price to Cash Flow: P/CF 
-  Oil and gas analysts will often use the price-to-cash-flow per share multiple. 
-  A few advantages of the price–to-cash-flow multiple is that in contrast to earningsbook value and the P/E ratio, cash flow is harder to manipulate. 
-  Earnings can always be tweaked by aggressive accounting, and book value is calculated using subjective depreciation methods. 
-  One disadvantage is that while easily calculated, it can be a little misleading if there is a case of above average or below average financial leverage.
-  To calculate this, take the price per share of the company that is trading and divide it by the cash flow per share. 
-  In order to limit volatility in the price, a 30-day or 60-day average price can be used to obtain a more stable value that is not influenced by random movements.  
-  The cash flow in this case is the operating cash flow, which takes the operating cash flow less exploration expenses. This method adds back in non-cash expenses, depreciation, amortization, deferred taxes and depletion. 
-  For oil and gas companies in particular, due to their nature, this allows for better comparisons across the sector. 
-  Lastly, the share amount in calculating cash flow per share should be calculated by taking the fully diluted number of shares for most accurate results.
(For more on price to cash flow, read Analyzing The Price-To-Cash-Flow Ratio.)
-  Moreover, it is also important to note that in times of low commodity prices multiples expand, and during high commodity prices multiples decrease.

Enterprise Value/Debt-Adjusted Cash Flow: EV/DACF 
-  The capital structure of oil and gas firms can be dramatically different. Firms with higher levels of debt, or more leverage, will show a better P/CF ratio, which is why the EV/DACF multiple is preferred.
-  This multiple takes the enterprise value and divides it by the sum of cash flow from operating activities and all financial charges that include interest expense, current income taxes and preferred shares. 

Conclusion
These are five of the most common multiples used in oil and gas. There are others, of course, and one metric should never be used in isolation. Because of the advantages and disadvantages of each multiple, more than one metric should be used and investors should not limit themselves. Other tools such as the discounted cash flow method should be used in conjunction for a more accurate gauge on placing a value on an oil and gas firm. 
(To learn more about discounted cash flow, see DCF Analysis.)



Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/11/common-multiples-used-in-oil-and-gas-valuation.asp#ixzz1hbLJnaQg