myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

Monday 28 November 2011

Oriental Holdings Berhad

Company Name	:	ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD
Stock Name	:	ORIENT
Date Announced	:	18/11/2011

Financial Year End	:	31/12/2011
Quarter	:	3
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/09/2011
The figures	:	have not been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

BS.pdf

CF.pdf

PNL.pdf

SCIE.pdf

notes.pdf


Currency	:	Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/09/2011

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		CURRENT YEAR QUARTER	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER	CURRENT YEAR TO DATE	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD
		30/09/2011	30/09/2010	30/09/2011	30/09/2010
		$$'000	$$'000	$$'000	$$'000
1	Revenue	765,083	802,613	2,413,681	2,385,401
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	61,380	87,249	316,080	206,244
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	42,053	68,719	247,191	161,693
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	29,390	58,020	179,731	124,847
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)	4.74	9.35	28.97	20.12
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)	0.00	3.00	0.00	3.00

		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)	6.9848		6.6497

9 months cumulative quarters ending 30.9.2011

Income statement

Revenue 2,413.681m

Results from operating activities 301.638m

PBT 316.080m

PAT 247.191m

Finance costs (5.911m)

Profit attributable to Stockholders 179.731m

EPS

Basic 28.97

Weighted average number of stocks of RM 1 each 620.362m

Balance Sheet

NCA 2,485.414m

CA 3,465.106m

TOTAL ASSETS 5,950.520m

TOTAL EQUITY 5,019.115m

NCL 34.923m

CL 896.482m

TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 5950.520m

Net assets per stock (sen) 698.48

Inventories 235.819m

Trade and other receivables 401.423m

Trade and other payables 341.445m

Cash and cash equivalents 2,797.128m

LT borrowings 10.239m

ST borrowings 540.451m

Cash flow statement

PBT 316.080m

Operating profit before working capital changes 313.069m

Cash flow from operating activities after working capital changes 335.457m

Net cash flow from operating activities 279.923m

Net cash flow used in investing activities (99,402m)

Net cash flow from financing activities 4.203m

Capital expenditure (68.140m)

Purchase of investments (38.429m)

Interest received 40.591m

Dividend received 72.011m

Net cash outflow on acquisition of subsidiaries (94.787m)

Dividends paid to stockholders

30.9.2011 (56.052m)

30.9.2010 (38.606m)

Segment Profits

Automotive and related products 16.728m
Plastic products 8.507m
Hotels and resorts 20.329m
Plantation 151.069m
Investment holding and financial services 100.297m
Others including property development 4.708m

Segment Assets

Automotive and related products 2,377.522m
Plastic products 440.66m
Hotels and resorts 641.684m
Plantation 1,127.338m
Investment holding and financial services 666.365m
Others including property development 389.036m

Shareholdings
Weighted average number of stocks in issue 620.362m

Market Watch

Recent Financial Results

Announcement Date	Financial Yr. End	Qtr	Period End	Revenue RM '000	Profit/Lost RM'000	EPS	Amended
18-Nov-11	31-Dec-11	3	30-Sep-11	765,083	42,053	4.74	-
25-Aug-11	31-Dec-11	2	30-Jun-11	850,571	122,725	16.79	-
31-May-11	31-Dec-11	1	31-Mar-11	798,027	82,413	7.45	-
24-Feb-11	31-Dec-10	4	31-Dec-10	840,056	139,135	16.57	-

ttm-EPS 45.55 sen

Price RM 4.31

PE 9.5x

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	4.500	(24-Nov-11)	4.300	(24-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	4.800	(26-Aug-11)	4.300	(24-Nov-11)
Prices 12 Months	5.720	(20-Dec-10)	4.300	(24-Nov-11)
Volume 12 Months	21,794	(09-Nov-11)	5	(31-Jan-11)

Oriental Holdings Berhad Company Snapshot
Business Description:
Oriental Holdings Berhad operates in the Motor vehicle parts and accessories sector. Oriental Holdings Berhad (OHB) is engaged in the activities of investment holding; commissioned agent, and provision of management services. OHB operates in six segments: automotive and related products, which acts as a retailer, assembly and distributor of motor vehicles, manufacture of engines, seats and other related parts, as well as traders of spare parts, accessories and related component parts; plastic products, which is engaged in the manufacture, assembly and distribution of plastic component parts and manufacture of plastic technical and industrial goods and equipment; hotels and resorts; investment holding and financial services, which is engaged in investment in shares and bonds, letting of properties and leasing companies; Plantation is engaged in cultivation of oil palm, and Others including property development. On Jan 31, 2011, the Company through its indirect subsidiary, OBS (Singapore) Pte Ltd, acquired 90% interest of PT Gunung Sawit Selatan Lestari (PT GSSL).

Stock Performance Chart for Oriental Holdings Berhad

Stock Performance Chart for Oriental Holdings Berhad

Current Price (11/18/2011): 4.32
Market Cap: 2,679,963,106
Shares Outstanding: 620,361,830
Closely Held Shares: 346,024,583

23.11.2011
Price RM 4.30
PE 8.76x
DY 2.09%
Market cap 2667.7m

MBF Holdings Berhad

Company Name	:	MBF HOLDINGS BERHAD
Stock Name	:	MBFHLDG
Date Announced	:	16/11/2011

Financial Year End	:	31/12/2011
Quarter	:	3
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/09/2011
The figures	:	have not been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

MBfHSept2011.xlsx

Announcement - NOTES 092011.docx


Currency	:	Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/09/2011

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		CURRENT YEAR QUARTER	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER	CURRENT YEAR TO DATE	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD
		30/09/2011	30/09/2010	30/09/2011	30/09/2010
		$$'000	$$'000	$$'000	$$'000
1	Revenue	649,159	561,859	1,761,949	1,488,891
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	-5,783	8,111	127,704	70,586
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	-12,784	-1,627	75,435	45,786
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	-12,638	-3,856	74,844	41,944
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)	-2.22	-0.68	13.13	7.36
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)	1.7651		1.4985

9 Months cumulative quarter 30/9/2011

Income Statement

Revenue 1,761.949m

EBIT 193.878m

PBT 127.704m

PAT 75.435m

Finance costs ( 67.184m)

EPS attributable to equity holders

Basic (sen) 13.13 sen

Diluted (sen) 11.39 sen

Balance Sheet

NCA 1,471.212m

CA 1,644.514m

TOTAL ASSETS 3,115.716M

CL 1,454.513m

NCL 629.805m

TOTAL LIABILITIES 2,084.318m

TOTAL EQUITY 1,031.408m

TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 3,115.726m

Net assets per share RM 1.7651

Inventories 429.476m

Trade and other receivables 952.081m

Trade and other payables 478.321m

Provision for liabilities 37.021m

Cash and bank balances 245.613m

ST Loans and borrowings 909.245m

LT Loans and borrowings 407.165m

Secured bonds 40.392m

Cash flow statement

PBT 127.704m

Operating profit before changes in working capital 160.496m

Cash generated from operations after changes in working capital 88.182m

Interest paid (67.750m)

Net cash used in operating activities (5.400m)

Net cash used in investing activities (148.793m)

Net cash generated from financing activities 70.479m

Dividends

30.9.2011 -

30.9.2010 (4,014m)

Shares

Basic 570.050m

RCSLS 76,835m

Diluted 646.885m

Market Watch

Recent Financial Results

Announcement Date	Financial Yr. End	Qtr	Period End	Revenue RM '000	Profit/Lost RM'000	EPS	Amended
16-Nov-11	31-Dec-11	3	30-Sep-11	649,159	-12,784	-2.22	-
09-Aug-11	31-Dec-11	2	30-Jun-11	561,885	79,881	13.97	-
27-May-11	31-Dec-11	1	31-Mar-11	550,905	8,338	1.37	-
25-Feb-11	31-Dec-10	4	31-Dec-10	555,895	8,317	1.27	-

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	1.120	(25-Nov-11)	0.760	(22-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	1.120	(25-Nov-11)	0.540	(26-Sep-11)
Prices 12 Months	1.120	(25-Nov-11)	0.500	(09-Aug-11)
Volume 12 Months	90,370	(24-Nov-11)	8	(27-Jun-11)

Share Price Performance

	High		Low
Prices 1 Month	0.350	(24-Nov-11)	0.110	(16-Nov-11)
Prices 3 Months	0.350	(24-Nov-11)	0.040	(07-Oct-11)
Prices 12 Months	0.350	(24-Nov-11)	0.030	(18-Jul-11)
Volume 12 Months	1,204,891	(23-Nov-11)	1	(19-Jul-11)

MBF Holdings Berhad Company Snapshot
Business Description:
MBF Holdings Berhad operates in the Functions related to deposit banking sector. MBf Holdings Berhad (MBfH) is an investment holding company and a provider of management services to its subsidiaries. MBfH operates in eight segments: Card and payment services, Papua New Guinea-Automotive, Papua New Guinea - Agriculture, Fiji - Retail and wholesale, Fiji - Automotive, Fiji-Property, Shipping and others. MBfH principally operates in Malaysia, South Pacific Islands, East Asia and United States of America. In March 2010, the Company incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary, MBf Carpenters Shipping Limited (MBfCSL) in the Federal Territory of Labuan, Malaysia. In May 2010, the Company incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary, MBf Carpenters Shipping (NZ) Limited. On September 29, 2010, the Company incorporated two wholly owned subsidiary companies, Frezhasia Telecoms Sdn Bhd and Frezhtalkz Mobile Sdn Bhd. On September 7, 2011, the Company incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary, MBf Carpenters Leasing Limited.

Stock Performance Chart for MBF Holdings Berhad

Stock Performance Chart for MBF Holdings Berhad

Current Price (11/18/2011): .79
Market Cap: 450,339,500

Shares Outstanding: 570,050,000
Closely Held Shares: 476,725,652

23.11.2011

Price RM 0.965
PE 6.88x
DY 5.18%
Market cap 550.1m

My 18 points guide to Successfully compounding your money in Stocks

Be a good stock picker.
Think as a business owner.
Always look at value rather than the price. Do the homework.
Buy and hold is alright for selected stocks.
Compounding is your friend, get this to work its magic.
Mr. Market is there to be taken advantage of. Do not be the sucker instead. BFS;STS.
Always buy a lot when the price is low.
Never buy when the stock is overpriced.
It is alright to buy when the selected stock is at a fair price.
Phasing in or dollar cost averaging is safe for such stocks during a downtrend, unless the price is still obviously too high.
Do not time the market for such or any stocks.
By keeping to the above strategy, the returns will be delivered through the growth of the company's business.
So, when do you sell the stock? Almost never, as long as the fundamentals remain sound and the future prospects intact.
The downside risk is protected through only buying when the price is low or fairly priced.
Tactical dynamic asset allocation or rebalancing based on valuation can be employed but this sounds easier than is practical, except in extreme market situations.
Sell urgently when the company business fundamental has deteriorated irreversibly.
You may also wish to sell should the growth of the company has obviously slowed and you can reinvest into another company with greater growth potential of similar quality. However, unlike point 16, you can do so leisurely.
In conclusion, a critical key to successful investing is in your stock picking ability.

http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-18-points-guide-to-successfully.html

11 Lessons From Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch taught me:

1. Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.
2. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
3. Over the short term, there may be no correlation between the success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock. Over the long term, there’s a 100% correlation.
4. Buying stocks without studying the companies is the same as playing poker – and never looking at your cards.
5. Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies.
6. Owning stock is like having children. Don’t get involved with more than you can handle.
7. When the insiders are buying, it’s a good sign.
8. Unless you’re a short seller, it never pays to be pessimistic.
9. A stock market decline is as predictable as a January blizzard in Colorado. If you’re prepared, it can’t hurt you.
10. Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach.
11. Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy, or the stock market. Dismiss all such forecasts and concentrate on what’s actually happening to the companies in which you’ve invested.

Lynch’s advice had a profound effect on my stock market approach. He taught me that investment success isn’t the result of developing the right macro-economic view or deciding when to jump in or out of the market. Success is about researching companies to identify those that are likely to report positive surprises.

Capital Expenditure

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 25%. Less is better.

Capital Expenditures are expenses on:
- fixed assets such as equipment, property, or industrial buildings
- fixing problems with an asset
- preparing an asset to be used in business
- restoring property
- starting new businesses

A good company will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 50%.

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of less than 25%.

Less is better.

Benjamin Graham's 113 Wise Words

The true investor scarcely ever is forced to sell his shares, and at all times he is free to disregard the current price quotation. He need pay attention to it and act upon it only to the extent that it suits his book, and no more. Thus the investor who permits himself to be stampeded or unduly worried by unjustified market declines in his holdings is perversely transforming his basic advantage into a basic disadvantage. That man would be better off if his stocks had no market quotation at all, for he would then be spared the mental anguish caused him by other persons' mistakes of judgement."

Philip Fisher's Wise Words

"The refusal to sell at a loss, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could 'at least come out even' than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous."

(Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits)

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Here is the overriding primary test, followed by observations on why it is so critically important:

Knowing all that you now know and expect about the company and its stock (not what you originally believed or hoped at time of purchase), and assuming that you had available capital, and assuming that it would not cause a portfolio imbalance to do so, would you buy this stock today, at today's price?

No equivocation. Yes or no?

Answers such as maybe or probably are not acceptable since they are ways of dodging the issue. No investor probably buys a stock; they either place an order or do not.

Here is the implication of your answer to that critical test: if you did not answer with a clear affirmative, you should sell; only if you said a strong yes, are you justified to hold.

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Ideally a stock you plan to purchase should have all of the following charateristics:

• A rising trend of earnings dividends and book value per share.
• A balance sheet with less debt than other companies in its particular industry.
• A P/E ratio no higher than average.
• A dividend yield that suits your particular needs.
• A below-average dividend pay-out ratio.
• A history of earnings and dividends not pockmarked by erratic ups and downs.
• Companies whose ROE is 15 or better.
• A ratio of price to cash flow (P/CF) that is not too high when compared to other stocks in the same industry.

Margin of Safety Concept: Stocks should be bought like groceries, not like perfume

The high CAGR in the early years of the investing period, due to buying at a discount, tended to decline and approach that of the intrinsic EPS GR of the companies over a longer investment time-frame.

Chapter 20 - “Margin of Safety” as the Central Concept of Investment

A single quote by Graham on page 516 struck me:

Observation over many years has taught us that the chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.

Basically, Graham is saying that most stock investors lose money because they invest in companies that seem good at a particular point in time, but are lacking the fundamentals of a long-lasting stable company.

This seems obvious on the surface, but it’s actually a great argument for thinking more carefully about your individual stock investments. If most of your losses come from buying companies that seem healthy but really aren’t, isn’t that a profound argument for carefully studying any company you might invest in?

myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Monday 28 November 2011

Oriental Holdings Berhad

Market Watch

MBF Holdings Berhad

Market Watch

All equity security investments present a risk of loss of capital

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Benjamin Graham

Sell the losers, let the winners run.

Investment Style

Warren Buffett

Political and Economic News

Interesting Blogs