Friday 23 December 2011

Petronas finds "significant" oil off Malaysia's Sabah


Tue Nov 15, 2011 3:56am EST
* Reserves of 227 mln boe, oil output rate of 8,200 bpd
* Estimated reserves have upside potential - Petronas
* Sabah has 12 pct Malaysia's gas reserves, 25 pct of oil-analyst 

By Min Hun Fong
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Malaysia's Petronas discovered oil offshore Sabah in the latest "significant" find this year in the hydrocarbon-rich state on Borneo island, as the national oil company sets to boost reserves and output amid easing production costs.
Initial estimates put the well's reserves at 227 million barrels of oil equivalent (boe) and tests in three different reservoirs yielded a maximum output rate of 8,200 barrels per day (bpd), Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) said on Tuesday.
Petronas' exploration and production arm, Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd, is the sole equity holder of the production-sharing contract (PSC) for the block. Wakid-1 is the second well drilled in the block. The first, Tambuku-1, yielded only minor gas discovery, Petronas said in a statement.
"Petronas Carigali plans to further appraise the discovery in the near future," it said, adding that the estimated reserves have upside potential.
The oil find comes four months after Petronas said it has discovered significant gas in the shallow waters off the coast of Borneo island.
Sabah has about 11 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of gas and 1.5 billion barrels of oil in its reserves, representing about 12 percent and 25 percent of Malaysia's gas and oil reserves respectively, said FACTS Global Energy analyst H.S. Yen.
Subramanya Bettadapura, Director of Energy & Power Systems at consultancy Frost & Sullivan Asia Pacific, said the East Malaysian state has potential gas reserves of 10 tcf and oil reserves of 2 billion barrels on a conservative estimate.
"The new discoveries indicate that there's a lot more oil out there," said Yen. "Since Petronas has a stake in all fields either through total equity (in the case of Wakid-1) or through its cemented position in all Malaysian PSCs, any oil/gas discovery is good for Petronas."
Crude oil output in Southeast Asia's second-biggest oil and gas producer is seen rising 3.3 percent next year, reversing a decline in 2011, and liquefied natural gas production may rise, the government said last month.
Oil production is expected to recover to 620,000 bpd, after an estimated 6 percent drop this year to 600,000 bpd, extending a 3.1 percent fall in 2010, it said.
SEEKING BEST RETURNS
Shamsul Azhar Abbas, who became Petronas chief executive last year, has led the producer to rejuvenate domestic fields and drill in deeper waters at home, while seeking to "high grade" its global operations by acquiring more valuable assets in Asia, West Africa and South America and exiting from less profitable ventures such as Algeria.
"Petronas is putting capital where they can get better returns for the risk involved," said Andrew Wong, associate director at Standard & Poor's in Singapore. "It recognises that certain areas such as the Middle East and North Africa are a bit more volatile and present higher risks."
Last week, Royal Dutch Shell and Petronas agreed to bolster output at fields off Sarawak and Sabah, as Malaysia works on coaxing more oil out of matured wells to stem a natural decline via projects that may lead to an additional 90,000 to 100,000 bpd of crude.
The development of the existing fields of Baram Delta off Sarawak and North Sabah using enhanced oil recovery technology will increase the nation's reserves just as drilling costs taper off amid a global economic slowdown while oil prices stay high.
U.S. crude is up 7.1 percent this year, poised for a third year of gains after climbing 15 percent in 2010 and 78 percent in 2009.
"Petronas is developing Labuan and Sabah region as the deepwater regional hub," said Bettadapura of Frost & Sullivan.
"As many as seven deepwater fields are being developed around this region. The Sabah-Sarawak Pipeline and the Sabah Oil & Gas Terminal are major investments in the region to exploit the hydrocarbon reserves in Sabah." (Additional reporting by Jane Lee and Florence Tan in SINGAPORE; Editing by Ramthan Hussain)

S&P: takes action on three Malaysian GREs


Thu Jul 28, 2011 1:01am EDT

(The following was released by the rating agency)

-- On July, 27, 2011, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services lowered the local currency sovereign rating on Malaysia to 'A' from 'A+'.

-- We are, therefore, taking rating actions on three GREs: PETRONAS, Axiata, and Telekom Malaysia.

-- The sovereign rating action has no rating impact on any other corporate entity that we rate in Malaysia.

SINGAPORE (Standard & Poor's) July 28, 2011--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it took various rating actions on three Malaysian government-related entities (GREs) after the sovereign rating action on Malaysia (foreign currency A-/Stable/A-2; local currency A/Stable/A-1; axAA+/axA-1) (see "Malaysia 'A-' FC Rating Affirmed; Local Currency Rating Lowered To 'A' From 'A+' On Revised Methodology; Outlook Stable," published on July 27, 2011, on RatingsDirect on the Global Credit Portal) as follows:

To From

Downgraded

Petroliam Nasional Bhd. (PETRONAS)

Local currency rating A/Stable/-- A+/Stable/--

ASEAN scale rating axAA+/-- axAAA/--

Axiata Group Bhd.

Foreign currency rating BBB/Stable/-- BBB+/Stable/--

Local currency rating BBB/Stable/-- BBB+/Stable/--

ASEAN scale rating axA/-- axA+/--

Senior unsecured notes BBB- BBB

CreditWatch Action

To From

Telekom Malaysia Bhd. (TM)

Foreign currency rating A-/Watch Neg/-- A-/Stable/--

Local currency rating A-/Watch Neg/-- A-/Stable/--

ASEAN scale rating axAA/Watch Neg axAA/--

Senior unsecured notes A-/Watch Neg A-

Affirmed

Petroliam Nasional Bhd.

Foreign currency rating A-/Stable/--

Senior unsecured notes A-

We lowered the local currency rating on PETRONAS to reflect the company's critical role and integral link with the Malaysian government and its sensitivity to government intervention. We equalized the long-term corporate credit rating on PETRONAS with the sovereign credit rating on Malaysia. We assessed PETRONAS' stand-alone credit profile to be 'aa-'.

We downgraded Axiata to reflect the sovereign local currency rating action because our ratings on the company factor in our view of extraordinary government support. According to our GRE methodology, we have now equalized the ratings on Axiata with our assessment of its stand-alone credit profile of 'bbb'. We continue to believe there is a "moderate" likelihood that the Malaysian government, through its investment holding arm Khazanah Nasional Bhd., would provide timely and sufficient extraordinary support to Axiata in the event of financial distress. This is based on our view that Axiata has a "strong" link with the government, although it has a "limited" role in Malaysia's economy compared with that of other Malaysian GREs.

We consider TM to have a "strong" link with, and an "important" role to, the government. We, therefore, believe there is a "moderately high" likelihood of extraordinary government support to TM, whose stand-alone credit profile we assess to be 'bbb+'. We will resolve the CreditWatch placement on TM, in which Khazanah owns 28.7%, based on our assessment of the company's stand-alone profile and the sustainability of the recent improvement in its financial metrics. A CreditWatch with negative implications indicates that we could lower or affirm the ratings in the next 90 days. Given TM's strong business risk profile, we will consider the company's financial policies in light of its investment and funding plans for the next couple of years.

The sovereign rating action does not affect the ratings on any other corporate entities that Standard & Poor's rates in Malaysia, either privately owned or GREs. These entities include Tenaga Nasional Bhd. (BBB+/Stable/--; axA+/axA-1) and AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust (BBB-/Negative/--; axBBB+/--).

RELATED CRITERIA AND RESEARCH

-- Rating Government-Related Entities: Methodology And Assumptions, Dec. 9, 2010

Malaysia eyes first gas in 2013 for $5.1 bln project


Tue Aug 23, 2011 2:57am EDT

* Petronas to develop nine offshore marginal gas fields
* Will also build a 200 km pipeline to transport gas
* Says subsidised gas prices have curbed investment
* Says offshore production facilities running at full capacity 
By Niluksi Koswanage
KUALA LUMPUR, Aug 23 (Reuters) - National energy company Petronas will develop a $5.1 billion gas project off Malaysia's east coast with first delivery expected in two years, helping to bolster the country's slowing output and meet soaring power demand.
The North Malay Basin project was unveiled on Tuesday as the Southeast Asian gas exporter faces a shortage due to frequent maintenance shutdowns, forcing state utility Tenaga Nasional to import costly fuels for power generation.
The new project comprises nine discovered gas fields about 300 kilometres (186 miles) off the east coast of peninsula Malaysia. Petronas will also develop a 200 km pipeline to transport the gas from the fields to Terengganu state.
The project is part of a greater drive to secure gas including that with high CO2 content and from marginal domestic fields, as well as taking stakes in overseas fields with an eye for LNG production.
Petronas recently made two other gas discoveries in shallow waters off the Borneo coast, and inked preliminary deals with Qatargas to supply 1.5 million tonnes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) annually over 20 years.
"Petronas expects the additional volume of gas from the North Malay basin project would help sustain supply to its customers in peninsula Malaysia," it said in a statement.
"The project, which entails numerous upstream commitments, is expected to encourage more investments by industry players."
Petronas and its production sharing partners will accelerate the process with first delivery of 100 million standard cubic feet (mmscfd) of gas per day expected by 2013, ramping up to 250 mmscfd by 2015, the company said.
It did not name its partners in the project but Petronas has previously inked production sharing contracts (PSCs) with the likes of oil majors Exxon Mobil Corp and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L).
Shares in Petronas Gas , which controls the gas production facilities and pipelines in the country, rose 0.5 percent to 13.5 ringgit by midday.
LOW GAS PRICES CURB INVESTMENT
Gas demand from Malaysia, the world's No.2 LNG exporter behind Qatar but fell to third place last year, has risen by more than 30 percent thanks to regulated domestic prices that are significantly lower than global market rates.
Prime Minister Najib Razak's government has pledged to raise gas prices every six months, making it more economically feasible to industry players to invest in developing marginal gas fields such as the North Malay Basin project.
"The planned price reform measures will benefit Malaysia by stimulating upstream investment off the peninsular and provide the long-term price signal to ensure security of supply by attracting LNG as well," said Graham Taylor, analyst with Wood Mackenzie in Singapore.
Petronas is scheduled to complete a 3 billion ringgit regasification terminal with an annual capacity of 3.5 million tonnes on mainland Malaysia by the middle of next year. It is studying plans for the second terminal.
Petronas also has long asked for the government to allow it raise gas prices in order to reduce the hefty annual subsidies of about 18-19 billion ringgit it pays out.
"These subsidised gas prices have resulted in minimal investments in the exploration and development of gas projects by oil and gas players, constraining growth in supply capacity," the company said.
"Compounding this tight situation, Malaysia's offshore production facilities have been running at full capacity, exerting tremendous pressure on gas production systems."
Last week, Tenaga Nasional bought 130,000 tonnes of fuel oil for power generation, the third time it has bought large volumes this year, at higher price levels.
The purchases, which started in the second quarter, have been due to a prolonged gas shortage that has resulted in the country's power sector receiving a third less of its allocation by Petronas. ($1 = 2.970 Ringgit) (Additional reporting by Rebekah Kebede in PERTH; Editing by Liau Y-Singand Ramthan Hussain)



Malaysia's Tenaga may buy gas from open markets in 2012-report


KUALA LUMPUR | Tue Dec 13, 2011 8:31pm EST

Dec 14 (Reuters) - Malaysia's state utilities firm Tenaga Nasional may start to source gas from the international markets next year to make up for a shortfall in supply for power generation, the New Straits Times reported on Wednesday.

The paper quoted Tenaga President and Chief Executive Officer Che Khalib Mohamad Noh as saying the firm was in talks with oil majors such as Shell, Malaysia's national oil company Petronas, and private suppliers to get the best market price for gas.

The plan to source gas from the open market will be subject to approval from the government that has kept gas and electricity tariff levels low for consumers.

Tenaga officials could not be immediately reached for comment on the report.

Tenaga buys gas from Petronas at a subsidised price of 13.70 ringgit ($4.31) per million metric British thermal units (mmBtu), compared to 30 to 40 ringgit in the open markets.

That has required Petronas to fork out 20 billion ringgit annually to maintain tariff rates.

The latest move to buy gas comes as Petronas cut its subsidised gas allocation to Tenaga due to a domestic shortage, forcing the power company to import expensive distillates that have eaten into its profits.

But in early December, Tenaga said the government agreed to implement a fuel cost sharing mechanism to share extra costs incurred from buying distillates and other expensive fuels to offset the gas shortage.

The costs would be shared between Tenaga, Petronas and the government.




UPDATE 1-Malaysia's Tenaga seeks 100,000 T Nov fuel oil



Fri Oct 7, 2011 7:53am EDT
By Yaw Yan Chong
Oct 7 (Reuters) - Malaysia's national power utility, Tenaga Nasional , has issued a tender seeking 100,000 tonnes of November-delivery fuel oil after buying similar volumes for this month, traders said on Friday.
The utility started buying large volumes of fuel oil regularly from the second quarter of this year and is expected to continue doing so until early next year, because the country's power sector has been receiving only two-thirds of its natural gas allocation from Petronas .
"They will probably have to pay more for their cargoes this time round, given the severely imbalanced state of the market currently," a Singapore-based Western trader said.
The utility is seeking four 20,000 tonne parcels and two 12,500 tonne lots of low 0.98 density, all for delivery Nov. 1-28 to Kapar in Selangor and Pasir Gudang in Johor, via the tender, which closes on Monday.
It last purchased a total of 105,000 tonnes, mostly from oil major Shell (RDSa.L), at premiums of $25-$30 a tonne to Singapore spot quotes on a free-on-board (FOB) basis.
So far, Tenaga has bought about 450,000 tonnes for April delivery onwards, mostly from Shell and European trader Mercuria.
Tenaga's demand, regarded as unexpected and irregular before April, is expected to squeeze the market for low-density cargoes, which is already tight due to a seven-month high in Western arrivals at 3.9-4.0 million tonnes for this month, leading to severe quality imbalances.
Reflecting this, the market's prompt structure has been severely backwardated for about the past three weeks since the start of the October pricing month, with October/November at seven-month highs of above $9 a tonne for the past week.
Tenaga had earlier said it has spent 400 million ringgit ($134.4 million) a month to buy power-generation fuel, draining its cash flow and eating into its reserves.
Petronas usually allocates 1,350 million standard cubic feet per day (mmscfd) of gas to the power sector. Supply has fallen below 1,000 mmscfd since the start of 2011 and now hovers between 900-950 mmscfd.
In its third-quarter financial results, Tenaga posted a net loss after it spent an additional 1.3 billion ringgit on fuel. (Editing by Jane Baird)






Malaysia's Tenaga seeks Nov fuel oil, continues rare purchase


SINGAPORE | Fri Oct 7, 2011 6:59am EDT
Oct 7 (Reuters) - Malaysian power utility Tenaga Nasional has issued a tender seeking 100,000 tonnes of fuel oil for November, after buying similar volumes for this month, traders said on Friday.
The utility is seeking four 20,000-tonne parcels and two 12,500-tonne lots of low-0.98-density. All are for delivery Nov. 1-28 to Kapar in Selangor and Pasir Gudang in Johor. The tender closes on Monday.
It only started buying large volumes of fuel oil regularly from the second-quarter this year, and is expected to continue doing so till early next year, because Petronas has cut natural gas allocation to the country's power sector by a third. (Reporting by Yaw Yan Chong; Editing by Manash Goswami)

MIDCAP-Utilities sector tops analysts' revision in Malaysia


Mon Dec 12, 2011 7:08am EST
Dec 12 (Reuters) - Malaysia's utilities are seeing earnings upgrades by analysts and the sector tops Thomson Reuters StarMine's Analyst Revisions rankings in the south east Asian country with a high score of 80.
While analysts are upbeat on the country's utilities sector, they are bearish on the materials sector, which has the lowest score of 24.
This indicates that analysts are expecting defensive sectors such as utilities to perform better than cyclical stocks, which include metals and mining companies.
Malaysia's national power producer Tenaga Nasional has the best Analysts Revision Model (ARM) score of 97 among its peers. Since Nov. 29, seven out of 21 analysts have raised their earnings estimate on the company by an average of 33.2 percent for the year ending August 2012.
On the other hand, steel producer Lion Industries Corporation Bhd has the worst ARM score of 1 in Malaysia's Materials sector. Since Nov. 30, two out of four analysts have cut their EPS estimates on the company by an average of 30.5 percent for the year ending June 2012.
CONTEXT
Malaysia's Tenaga says to share additional fuel cost with government, Petronas.
StarMine's Analyst Revisions model is a percentile ranking of stocks based on changes in analyst sentiment, with 100 representing the highest rank. This model tracks analysts' upward revisions in earnings and revenue estimates and rating changes.
On its Intrinsic Valuation model, StarMine adjusts for the usually optimistic bias in analysts' EPS forecasts and then uses the resulting growth rate and dividends to determine the valuation. (Reporting by Patturaja Murugaboopathy; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

MIDCAP-DiGi's earnings quality makes it a stand-out in Malaysia


Wed Dec 21, 2011 4:28am EST

Malaysia's third-largest mobile operator DiGi.com has the best earnings quality in the country, indicating strong profits and a faster growth than its peers in 2012.

The company scores 99 on StarMine's Earnings Quality (EQ) model -- the highest among 141 companies in Malaysia with a market value of more than $50 million and covered by three or more analysts.

DiGi's free cash flow of 548 million ringgit ($172.41 million) for the July-September quarter is at its highest level in the last four years, and exceeds its net income by a wide margin.

StarMine's research has found that earnings backed by strong cash flows tend to be more sustainable than non-cash earnings.

Digi's EQ handily tops bigger rivals Maxis and Axiata, which have EQ scores of 85 and 70, respectively.

In the past 30 days, analysts have raised their EPS estimates on DiGi by an average of 3.6 percent for 2012.

The stock has risen 46.75 percent this year, making it the best performer in the broader Malaysian market.

Starmine dataset comparing Malaysia's top four telcos:link.reuters.com/naw65s


CONTEXT:

For the fourth quarter of 2011, DiGi.Com backed its target of achieving a high single-digit revenue growth. The company has reported Q-o-Q revenue growth for nine quarters in a row.

A high score on the StarMine Earnings Quality model signals strong earnings sustainability over the next 12 months based on a company's past operating performance. ($1 = 3.1784 Malaysian ringgit) (Reporting by Patturaja Murugaboopathy; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

Thursday 22 December 2011

Investors hit by bumper losses after a year in which every stock market index lost money

Investors hit by bumper losses after a year in which every stock market index lost money
The UK was the ninth best performing market, falling by 11pc, according to Standard & Poor’s.


FTSE today: market report live
The UK was the ninth best performing market, falling by 11pc, according to Standard & Poor’s. Photo: AFP/GETTY IMAGES
It is a far cry from the beginning of the year when stock market pundits were in an optimistic mood but the Japan tsunami disaster and a full-blown eurozone crisis in the summer blew any predictions widely off course.
According to Standards & Poor’s the top developed market was the US, which fell by 4.6pc, while the top performing European markets was Ireland, which was down 10.01pc.
Not surprisingly, Greece suffered the worst performance, falling by 60pc, but nations expected to deliver the goods also suffered badly.
The BRIC nations – which many expected to be immune from the developed nations’ meltdown, also had a dire year with Brazil shares falling by 26pc, Russia by XX pc, China by 22pc and India which fell by 37pc.
The top emerging markets were Indonesia (-0.71pc), Philippines (-2.47pc) and Thailand (-4.44pc).
Many experts are still in a cautious mood. Mike Lenhoff at Brewin Dolphin said: “Our expectation of how well the equity markets can do in 2012 is limited but we still hopeful that the FTSE 100 will end 2012 at around 5850. Much will depend on what progress emerges on the eurozone’s ‘fiscal compact’. However, we also expect equity markets to gain support from a more encouraging outlook for the US economy. Also, in view of the scope for conventional policy stimulus in the developing economies, we remain optimistic about the contribution they, and notably China, will make to the global economy in the latter part of the year and beyond.”