Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Wednesday 21 March 2012
Tuesday 20 March 2012
Monday 19 March 2012
Benjamin Graham Interview
A short transcript of an interview with the father of value investing taken way back in 1960.
Question - Can the average manager of institutional funds obtain better results than the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the S&P Index over the years?
Answer - No. In effect, that would mean that the stock market experts as a whole could beat themselves--a logical contradiction.
Question - Do you think, therefore, that the average institutional client should be content with the DJIA results or the equivalent?
Answer - Yes. Not only that, but I think they should require approximately such results over, say, a moving five-year average period as a condition for paying standard management fees to advisors and the like.
Question - What general rules would you offer the individual investor for his investment policy over the years?
Answer - Let me suggest three such rules:
Rule1: The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator. This means, in sum, that he should be able to justify every purchase he makes and each price he pays by impersonal, objective reasoning that satisfies him that he is getting more than his money's worth for his purchase--in other words, that he has a margin of safety, in value terms, to protect his commitment.
Rule 2: The investor should have a definite selling policy for all his common stock commitments, corresponding to his buying techniques. Typically, he should set a reasonable profit objective on each purchase--say 50 to 100 per cent--and a maximum holding period for this objective to be realized--say, two to three years. Purchases not realizing the gain objective at the end of the holding period should be sold out at the market.
Rule 3: Finally, the investor should always have a minimum percentage of his total portfolio in common stocks and a minimum percentage in bond equivalents. I recommend at least 25 per cent of the total at all times in each category. A good case can be made for a consistent 50-50 division here, with adjustments for changes in the market level
http://investorzclub.blogspot.in/2011/09/benjamin-graham-interview.html
Question - Can the average manager of institutional funds obtain better results than the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the S&P Index over the years?
Answer - No. In effect, that would mean that the stock market experts as a whole could beat themselves--a logical contradiction.
Question - Do you think, therefore, that the average institutional client should be content with the DJIA results or the equivalent?
Answer - Yes. Not only that, but I think they should require approximately such results over, say, a moving five-year average period as a condition for paying standard management fees to advisors and the like.
Question - What general rules would you offer the individual investor for his investment policy over the years?
Answer - Let me suggest three such rules:
Rule1: The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator. This means, in sum, that he should be able to justify every purchase he makes and each price he pays by impersonal, objective reasoning that satisfies him that he is getting more than his money's worth for his purchase--in other words, that he has a margin of safety, in value terms, to protect his commitment.
Rule 2: The investor should have a definite selling policy for all his common stock commitments, corresponding to his buying techniques. Typically, he should set a reasonable profit objective on each purchase--say 50 to 100 per cent--and a maximum holding period for this objective to be realized--say, two to three years. Purchases not realizing the gain objective at the end of the holding period should be sold out at the market.
Rule 3: Finally, the investor should always have a minimum percentage of his total portfolio in common stocks and a minimum percentage in bond equivalents. I recommend at least 25 per cent of the total at all times in each category. A good case can be made for a consistent 50-50 division here, with adjustments for changes in the market level
http://investorzclub.blogspot.in/2011/09/benjamin-graham-interview.html
Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd pdf
Security Analysis, the revolutionary book on fundamental analysis and investing, was first published in 1934, following unprecedented losses on Wall Street.
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd chided Wall Street for its myopic focus on a company's reported earnings per share (eps), and were particularly harsh on the favored "earnings trends." They encouraged investors to take an entirely different approach by estimating the rough value of the operating business that lay behind the security. They have given actual examples of the market's tendency to irrationally under-value certain out-of-favor stocks.
The book is must read for any Stock Market Investor, fundamental analyst or equity research professional.
Sorry, the links below are no longer available.
Use the link to directly download the ebook in PDF format
http://books.expect-us.net/dl/Graham%20&%20Dodd%20-%20Security%20Analysis%20(6th%20ed).pdf
http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2013/09/security-analysis-benjamin-graham-and.html
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd chided Wall Street for its myopic focus on a company's reported earnings per share (eps), and were particularly harsh on the favored "earnings trends." They encouraged investors to take an entirely different approach by estimating the rough value of the operating business that lay behind the security. They have given actual examples of the market's tendency to irrationally under-value certain out-of-favor stocks.
The book is must read for any Stock Market Investor, fundamental analyst or equity research professional.
Investment Policies (Based on Benjamin Graham)
Summary of Investment Policies
A. INVESTMENT FOR FIXED INCOME:
US Savings Bonds (FDs)
B. INVESTMENT FOR INCOME, MODERATE LONG-TERM APPRECIATION AND PROTECTION AGAINST INFLATION:
(1) INVESTMENT FUNDS bought at reasonable price.
(2) Diversified list of primary common stocks (BLUE CHIPS) bought at reasonable price.
C. INVESTMENT CHIEFLY FOR PROFIT: 4 approaches are open to both the small and the large investors:
(1) Representative common stocks bought when the MARKET level is clearly LOW.
(2) GROWTH STOCKS, when these can be obtained at reasonable prices in relation to actual accomplishment – GROWTH INVESTING.
(3) Purchase of securities selling well BELOW INTRINSIC VALUE – VALUE INVESTING.
(4) Purchase of WELL-SECURED PRIVILEGED SENIOR ISSUES (bonds and preferred shares).
(5) SPECIAL SITUATIONS: Mergers, arbitrages, cash pay-outs.
D. SPECULATION:
(1) Buying stock in new or virtually new ventures (IPOs) .(2) TRADING in the market.
(3) Purchase of "GROWTH STOCKS" at GENEROUS PRICES.
_______________
For DEFENSIVE INVESTORS: Portfolio A & B
(Portfolio A: Cash, FDs, Bonds Portfolio B: Mutual funds, Blue chips)
For ENTERPRISING INVESTORS: Portfolio A & B & C
(Portfolio C: Buy in Low Market, Buy Growth stocks at fair value, Buy value stocks i.e. bargains, High grade bonds and preferred shares, Arbitrages)
For SPECULATORS: Portfolio D
(Should set aside a sum for this separate from their money in investing.)
________________
________________
Types of Investors
Graham felt that individual investors fell into two camps : "defensive" investorsand "aggressive" or "enterprising" investors.
These two groups are distinguished not by the amount of risk they are willing to take, but rather by the amount of "intelligent effort" they are "willing and able to bring to bear on the task."
Thus, for instance, he included in the defensive investor category professionals (his example--a doctor) unable to devote much time to the process and young investors (his example--a sharp young executive interested in finance) who are as-yet unfamiliar and inexperienced with investing.
Graham felt that the defensive investor should confine his holdings to the shares of important companies with a long record of profitable operations and that are in strong financial condition. By "important," he meant one of substantial size and with a leading position in the industry, ranking among the first quarter or first third in size within its industry group.
Aggressive investors, Graham felt, could expand their universe substantially,but purchases should be attractively priced as established by intelligent analysis. He also suggested that aggressive investors avoid new issues.
Click and read also:
A. INVESTMENT FOR FIXED INCOME:
US Savings Bonds (FDs)
B. INVESTMENT FOR INCOME, MODERATE LONG-TERM APPRECIATION AND PROTECTION AGAINST INFLATION:
(1) INVESTMENT FUNDS bought at reasonable price.
(2) Diversified list of primary common stocks (BLUE CHIPS) bought at reasonable price.
C. INVESTMENT CHIEFLY FOR PROFIT: 4 approaches are open to both the small and the large investors:
(1) Representative common stocks bought when the MARKET level is clearly LOW.
(2) GROWTH STOCKS, when these can be obtained at reasonable prices in relation to actual accomplishment – GROWTH INVESTING.
(3) Purchase of securities selling well BELOW INTRINSIC VALUE – VALUE INVESTING.
(4) Purchase of WELL-SECURED PRIVILEGED SENIOR ISSUES (bonds and preferred shares).
(5) SPECIAL SITUATIONS: Mergers, arbitrages, cash pay-outs.
D. SPECULATION:
(1) Buying stock in new or virtually new ventures (IPOs) .(2) TRADING in the market.
(3) Purchase of "GROWTH STOCKS" at GENEROUS PRICES.
_______________
For DEFENSIVE INVESTORS: Portfolio A & B
(Portfolio A: Cash, FDs, Bonds Portfolio B: Mutual funds, Blue chips)
For ENTERPRISING INVESTORS: Portfolio A & B & C
(Portfolio C: Buy in Low Market, Buy Growth stocks at fair value, Buy value stocks i.e. bargains, High grade bonds and preferred shares, Arbitrages)
For SPECULATORS: Portfolio D
(Should set aside a sum for this separate from their money in investing.)
________________
________________
Types of Investors
Graham felt that individual investors fell into two camps : "defensive" investorsand "aggressive" or "enterprising" investors.
These two groups are distinguished not by the amount of risk they are willing to take, but rather by the amount of "intelligent effort" they are "willing and able to bring to bear on the task."
Thus, for instance, he included in the defensive investor category professionals (his example--a doctor) unable to devote much time to the process and young investors (his example--a sharp young executive interested in finance) who are as-yet unfamiliar and inexperienced with investing.
Graham felt that the defensive investor should confine his holdings to the shares of important companies with a long record of profitable operations and that are in strong financial condition. By "important," he meant one of substantial size and with a leading position in the industry, ranking among the first quarter or first third in size within its industry group.
Aggressive investors, Graham felt, could expand their universe substantially,but purchases should be attractively priced as established by intelligent analysis. He also suggested that aggressive investors avoid new issues.
Click and read also:
Sorry, the links below are no longer available.
Use the link to directly download the ebook in PDF format
http://books.expect-us.net/dl/Graham%20&%20Dodd%20-%20Security%20Analysis%20(6th%20ed).pdf
http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2013/09/security-analysis-benjamin-graham-and.html
One up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch pdf
The New York Times best seller "one up on wall street by Peter Lynch" has more than one million copies sold through out the world. Peter Lynch, the world's greatest and the most successful fund manager, was undoubtedly the best stock picker of his time. Anise C. Wallace of The New York Times says "Mr. Lynch investment record puts him in a league by himself ".
Any investor should pay heed to what Mr. Lynch has to say and this book is full of advises by Mr. Lynch himself. He has shared loads of his own personal experiences of stock picking during his tenure at Fidelity Magellan Fund, which is truly a priceless treasure for any equity investor.
Use the following link to download this fabulous book in pdf format: One up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch
Any investor should pay heed to what Mr. Lynch has to say and this book is full of advises by Mr. Lynch himself. He has shared loads of his own personal experiences of stock picking during his tenure at Fidelity Magellan Fund, which is truly a priceless treasure for any equity investor.
Use the following link to download this fabulous book in pdf format: One up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch
Sunday 18 March 2012
Saturday 17 March 2012
TSM Global (At a Glance)
17.3.2012 | ||||
TSM Global | ||||
Income Statement | 9M | 9M | ||
31.10.2011 | 31.10.2010 | Absolute Chg | Change | |
Revenue | 272.46 | 288.92 | -16.46 | -5.70% |
Gross Profit | 0.00 | #DIV/0! | ||
Operating Profit | 31.194 | 45.847 | -14.65 | -31.96% |
Financing costs | -0.273 | -0.655 | 0.38 | -58.32% |
PBT | 34.795 | 52.596 | -17.80 | -33.84% |
PAT | 26.279 | 41.7 | -15.42 | -36.98% |
EPS (basic) sen | 12.73 | 20.73 | -8.00 | -38.59% |
Balance Sheet | 31.10.2011 | 31.1.2011 | ||
NCA | 91.007 | 75.462 | 15.55 | 20.60% |
CA | 250.299 | 176.154 | 74.15 | 42.09% |
Total Assets | 341.306 | 251.616 | 89.69 | 35.65% |
Total Equity | 284.042 | 300.543 | -16.50 | -5.49% |
NCL | 3.965 | 2.319 | 1.65 | 70.98% |
CL | 53.3 | 48.753 | 4.55 | 9.33% |
Total Liabilities | 57.265 | 51.072 | 6.19 | 12.13% |
Total Eq + Liab | 341.307 | 351.615 | -10.31 | -2.93% |
Net assets per share | 1.370 | 1.540 | -0.17 | -11.04% |
Short term Investm | 41.089 | 37.869 | ||
Cash & Eq | 91.433 | 96.833 | -5.40 | -5.58% |
LT Borrowings | 0.316 | 0.516 | -0.20 | -38.76% |
ST Borrowings | 19.002 | 9.104 | 9.90 | 108.72% |
Net Cash | 113.204 | 125.082 | -11.88 | -9.50% |
Inventories | 54.093 | 42.26 | 11.83 | 28.00% |
Trade receivables | 63.685 | 64.693 | -1.01 | -1.56% |
Trade payables | 33.918 | 25.237 | 8.68 | 34.40% |
Working capital | 196.999 | 127.401 | 69.60 | 54.63% |
Quick Ratio | 3.68 | 2.75 | 0.93 | 34.04% |
Current Ratio | 4.70 | 3.61 | 1.08 | 29.97% |
Cash flow statement | 31.10.2011 | 31.1.2011 | ||
PBT | 34.795 | 52.596 | -17.80 | -33.84% |
OPBCWC | 71.386 | 81.839 | -10.45 | -12.77% |
Cash from Operations | 87.630 | 49.731 | 37.90 | 76.21% |
Net CFO | 70.241 | 34.237 | 36.00 | 105.16% |
CFI | -58.578 | -11.998 | -46.58 | 388.23% |
CFF | -2.893 | -36.286 | 33.39 | -92.03% |
Capex | -23.846 | -16.860 | -6.99 | 41.44% |
FCF | 46.395 | 17.377 | 29.02 | 166.99% |
Dividends paid | -6.370 | -3.132 | -3.24 | 103.38% |
DPS (sen) | 5.01 | 2.46 | 2.55 | 103.38% |
No of ord shares (m) | 127.213 | 127.213 | 0.00 | 0.00% |
Financial Ratios | ||||
Gross Profit Margin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | #DIV/0! |
Net Profit Margin | 9.64% | 14.43% | -4.79% | -33.17% |
Asset Turnover * | 1.06 | 1.53 | -0.47 | -30.48% |
Financial Leverage | 1.20 | 0.84 | 0.36 | 43.53% |
*annualised | ||||
ROA | 10.27% | 22.10% | -11.83% | -53.54% |
ROC | 12.40% | 19.55% | -7.15% | -36.56% |
ROE | 12.34% | 18.50% | -6.16% | -33.32% |
Valuation | 6.3.2012 | 4.3.2011 | ||
Price | 1.22 | 1.65 | -0.43 | -26.06% |
Market cap (m) | 155.20 | 209.90 | -54.70 | -26.06% |
P/E** | 5.91 | 5.03 | 0.87 | 17.33% |
P/BV | 0.55 | 0.70 | -0.15 | -21.77% |
P/FCF | 3.35 | 12.08 | -8.73 | -72.31% |
P/Div | 24.36 | 67.02 | -42.65 | -63.65% |
DPO ratio | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 222.73% |
EY** | 16.93% | 19.87% | -2.93% | -14.77% |
FCF/P | 29.89% | 8.28% | 21.62% | 261.09% |
DY | 4.10% | 1.49% | 2.61% | 175.07% |
Cash per share RM | 0.89 | 0.98 | -9.34% | -9.50% |
**9M Earnings | ||||
Friday 16 March 2012
TOP GLOVE NET PROFIT SURGED BY 109%
Financial results for the second quarter ended February 29, 2012 (“2QFY12”)
Klang, Thursday, March 15, 2012 –Top Glove Corporation Bhd (Top Glove) today announced sales revenue of RM549.0 million and net profit of RM54.2 million in 2QFY12 for the financial year ending 31 August 2012.
Revenue for 2QFY12 recorded a growth of 13% to RM549.0 million from RM485.2 million in the corresponding quarter last financial year, and net profit surged 109% to RM54.2 million from RM25.9 million.
On a six month cumulative (September to February) comparison between 1HFY12 and 1HFY11, revenue rose 13% to RM1,103.8 million from RM976.7 million and net profit improved 39% to RM86.7 million from RM62.3 million. The improved performance was attributed to an increase in glove demand, improved operational efficiency and a downtrend in latex prices which reduced from an average of RM8.14/kg in 1HFY11 to RM7.58/kg in 1HFY12.
Top Glove’s Group Chairman, Tan Sri Lim Wee Chai commented “The stronger US dollar and lower latex prices gave us better net profit for 2QFY12. We have learnt from past experience on excessive increases in latex prices and shall remain cautious to continue with our planned strategy for a more balanced product mix of latex and nitrile gloves to cater to on-going customer preference.”
Thursday 15 March 2012
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