Showing posts with label EV/EBITDA multiple. Show all posts
Showing posts with label EV/EBITDA multiple. Show all posts

Wednesday 4 March 2020

Earnings Yield of the Enterprise

EBIT multiple  = EV / EBIT

Earnings Yield of the Enterprise (before tax)  EY = EBIT / EV

For example:
EY of A = 11.3%
EY of B = 15.3%

The EY of B at 15.3% is higher than the 11.3% of A, hence, B is a cheaper buy than A.

The EY computation is pre-tax EY and this is good enough for comparison among companies.  

For determining if you would like to invest in a stock, use after-tax EY so that you can compare with other alternative investments.


EY (after tax) = (EBIT x (1 - tax rate) / EV

For example:
EY (after tax) of A = 8.5%
EY (after tax) of B = 11.5%



Why is the earnings yield so important?

1.  It allows you to see how cheap a stock currently is.  Unlike a DCF analysis, calculating a stock's current earnings yield requires no estimates into the future.

2.  Using earnings yield as your main valuation tool to compare the relative price-value relationship of companies in the same industry, helps you to see which one is a better buy.. For individual cases, the investor should be happy to invest in a company with normal growth rate of 5% with an after-tax earnings yield of 12%.



How to use EV / EBIT?

1)  EV / EBIT as a primary tool to
  • evaluate its earnings power and
  • to compare it to other companies

in addition to the PE ratio.


2)  Joel Greenblatt uses for his Magic Formula the Earnings Yield of the enterprise, in conjunction with the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC).

3)  Buffett uses this when evaluating a business and has said that he will generally be willing to pay 7 x EV / EBIT for a good business that is growing 8% - 10% per year


4)  For cyclical plantation companies which have a lot of debts, it is more appropriate to use EBIT multiple and EV per hectare, rather than basing on PE ratio and market cap per hectare.


Summary

EBIT multiples (EV / EBIT) are better market valuation metrics than PE. 

However, both EBIT multiples and PE are all relative and comparative metrics.. 

It would be better if we can determine the absolute value of a stock, the intrinsic value. 

We can then compare the market price with the intrinsic value and determine the margin of safety to give us a better decision making in stock investment.



Reference::

Pages 251 - 252
The Complete VALUE INVESTING Guide that Works!  by K C Chong






Monday 29 May 2017

Using Multiples

The use of multiples can increase valuations based on DCF analysis.

There are five requirements for making useful analyses of comparable multiples:

  1. value multibusiness companies as a sum of their parts,
  2. use forward estimates of earnings,
  3. use the right multiple,
  4. adjust the multiple for nonoperating items, and,
  5. use the right peer group.




1.  Value Multibusinesses companies as a sum of their parts

Multibusiness companies' various lines of business typically have very different growth and ROIC expectations.

These firms should be valued as a sum of their parts.



2,  All Multples should use forward estimates of earnings

All multiples should be forward-looking rather than based on historical data, as valuation of firms is based on expectations of future cash flow generation.


3.  Use the Right Multiples

(a) Value-to-EBITA & P/E Multiples

The right multiple is often the value-to-EBITA ratio.

This measure is superior to the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio because:

  • capital structure affects P/E and 
  • nonoperating gains and losses affect earnings.



(b) Alternative Multiples

Alternatives to the value-to-EBITA and P/E multiples include

  • the value-to-EBIT ratio, 
  • the value-to-EBITDA ratio, 
  • the value-to-revenue ratio, 
  • the price-to-earnings-growth (PEG) ratio, 
  • multiples of invested capital, and 
  • multiples of operating metrics.

4.  Adjust the multiples for nonoperating items


All of these ratios should be adjusted for the effects of nonoperating items.



5.  Use the right Peer Group

The peer group is important.

The peer group should consist of companies whose underlying characteristics (such as production methodology, distribution channels, and R&D) lead to similar growth and ROIC characteristics.

Saturday 29 April 2017

Enterprise Value Multiples

Enterprise value (EV) is calculated as the market value of the company's common stock plus the market value of outstanding preferred stock if any, plus the market value of debt, less cash and short term investment (cash equivalent).

EV
= market value of company's common stock
+ market value of outstanding preferred stock
+ market value of debt
- cash and short term investment (cash equivalent)

It can be thought of as the cost of taking over a company.



EV/EBITDA multiple

The most widely used EV multiple is the EV/EBITDA multiple.

EBITDA measures a company's income before payments to any providers of capital are made.

The EV/EBITDA multiple is often used when comparing two companies with different capital structures.


Loss-making companies usually have a positive EBITDA

Loss-making companies usually have a positive EBITDA, which allow analysts to use the EV/EBITDA multiple to value them.  

The P/E ratio is meaningless (negative) for a loss making company as its earnings are negative.