Thursday 23 December 2010

Trading versus Investing

Saw these interesting postings in Blackspy fundamental blog.  


There is a saying:  "It is not a sin when you buy a stock at its low price."  This implies that one is able to value the stock confidently, thereby knowing the probability of upside is higher than the probability of the stock going down.  


What can we learn from the actions of Alam Maritim Chairman below?  Many 'investors' in the stock market are using such a strategy already.  Is this a strategy one can employ profitably, safely and consistently? 


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Alam Maritim Chairman disposed 100,000 shares back to market

Still remember DATO' CAPT AHMAD SUFIAN BIN QURNAIN @ABDUL RASHID acquired Alam Maritim 100,000 shares on 10 Dec 2010 at my previous post??
http://hongwei85.blogspot.com/2010/12/alam-maritim-chairman-acquired-100000.html

Now he disposed back all the 100,000 shares to open market again~ sign -_-"

On 10 Dec 2010, he acquired 100,000 shares at the price RM 0.89
On 14 Dec 2010, he disposed 30,000 shares at the price RM 1.04
On 16 Dec 2010, he disposed 25,000 shares at the price RM 1.04
On 17 Dec 2010, he disposed 45,000 shares at the price RM 1.056

Just in one week, Dato earned about RM 15k in open market.


Here is the earlier post of when the Alam Maritim Chairman bought the stocks.


Alam Maritim Chairman acquired 100,000 shares.

DATO' CAPT AHMAD SUFIAN BIN QURNAIN @ABDUL RASHID acquired Alam Maritim 100,000 shares at 10 Dec 2010.


Why he bought it? He has too much cash and do not know where to spend?
No no! He knows somwthing is worth by putting his money in this company. Nobody know how the company is running other than chairman.


Post modified: 23.12.2010
Here is another portfolio of a trader (copied from a blog)

I'm a long term investor, not so much on daily trading, slowly allocating part of my money into short term trading. Below is my year 2010 investment portfolio and total profit received. Can those active short term traders share your portfolio? I would like to benchmark my trading method to see if long / medium term investment is more lucrative or short term active trading is more lucrative.

Purc. Date Stock Buy Value P Unit C Unit Cost Dividend Sell Price Profit Selling Date Total Month Hold
19-Apr-10 GPacket 1.15 3 3 3,495.04 0 0.92 -735.04 11-Oct-10 6
9-Dec-10 Pchem-ca 0.335 10 10 3,390.00 0.41 710.00 9-Dec-10 1
26-Nov-10 Pechem 5.04 2 2 10,080.00 5.4 720.00 8-Dec-10 1
26-Nov-10 Pechem 5.04 6 6 30,240.00 5.6 3,360.00 9-Dec-10 1
4-Oct-10 Supermax 4.18 1 1 4,200.00 0 4.41 210.00 8-Dec-10 3
11-Mar-10 Maybank 7.5 1 1 7,555.25 0 9 1,444.75 11-Oct-10 7
11-Nov-09 Maxis 4.75 1 1 4,780.00 390 5.34 950.00 11-Oct-10 12
18-Feb-10 Genting 6.65 0.5 3,350.00 10 1,650.00 11-Oct-10 8
18-Feb-10 Genting 6.65 0.5 2,850.00 10.8 2,550.00 22-Dec-10 10
23-Feb-10 BJTOTO 4.25 2 2 8,562.55 320 4.17 97.45 8-Nov-10 9
1-Dec-09 Gamuda 2.81 1 1 2,850.00 100 3.83 1000.00 21-Dec-10 12

Total profit made: around 11,957.16 (some of the shares I didn't keep track of brokerage fees)

The amount of capital he employed into his portfolio peaked on 26th November 2010.
The total amount at risk was = 2,850 + 2,850 + 4,200 + 30,240 + 10,080 =50,220.
His profit of 11,957.16 gives a return of 23.8%.
His individual stock holding period returns will be higher.

Since January 2010, the KLCI index has risen from around 1250 to 1500, giving a return of 20% for the year.

1 comment:

Kesh said...

Thank you for posting my article.

When you know what is the value of the thing you buy, you will buy it when undervalue and sell it when overvalue. I think the dato know something there~

Nice to read your blog, but by the way many your blog has too many articles, it make me feel lagging when browsing your blog.