What Warren Buffett says about Commodity Companies

COMMODITY COMPANIES

Warren Buffett does not like to invest in what he calls commodity companies - companies whose product does not differ from that of competitors in any significant way.

A company like this can be vulnerable to the actions of competitors and have limited power to raise prices to retain their profit position in the light of inflation.

WHAT WARREN BUFFETT SAYS ABOUT COMMODITY COMPANIES

Warren Buffett said this in 1982:

‘[Where] costs and prices are determined by full-bore competition, there is more than ample capacity, and the buyer cares little about whose product or distribution services he uses, industry economics are almost certain to be unexciting. They may well be disastrous.’

WHAT WARREN BUFFETT SAYS ABOUT GOOD BUSINESSES

Good businesses with that ‘protective moat’ that Warren Buffett likes have the ability to cope with inflation by raising prices. As he said in 1993:

‘The might of their brand names, the attributes of their products and the strength of their distribution systems gives them an enormous competitive advantage, setting up a protective moat around their economic activities. The average company, in contrast, does battle daily without any means of protection.’

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY HOLDINGS

Stocks held by Berkshire Hathaway in 2002, as stated by Buffett in his letter to stockholders include:

• The Coca Cola Company
• American Express
• The Gillette Company
• H and R Block Inc
• Moody’s Corporation
• The Washington Post Company
• Wells Fargo and Company

These are all companies with a unique or special product, or with a company brand name, or in a market domination position. They or their products have a loyalty (voluntary or otherwise) that means customers want or must come back.

Another desirable quality in non-commodity companies is repeat business. Customers drink their Coke, wear out their razor blades, or finish reading their Washington Post, and then, eventually have to replace it.

WHAT WARREN BUFFETT SAYS ABOUT DEBT

Warren Buffet acknowledges that debt can effectively increase the return on equity in a company but warns against it. In 1987, he said this:

‘Good business or investment decisions will eventually produce quite satisfactory economic results, with no aid from leverage.'

'It seems to us both foolish and improper to risk what is important (including, necessarily, the welfare of innocent bystanders such as policyholders and employees) for some extra returns that are relatively unimportant.’

WARREN BUFFETT DOES NOT LIKE DEBT

Warren Buffett does not like debt and does not like to invest in companies that have too much debt, particularly long-term debt. With long-term debt, increases in interest rates can drastically affect company profits and make future cash flows less predictable.

• In 1982, Warren Buffett noted that Berkshire Hathaway preferred to buy companies with little or no debt and has repeated this mantra on many occasions. 
• He adopts the same philosophy for his company, preferring to avoid debt but where necessary going into it on a long-term basis only with fixed rates of interest and to obtain the finance before they need it.

Warren Buffett and Long-Term Debt

WARREN BUFFETT AND LONG-TERM DEBT

Warren Buffett speaks only generally of his approach to debt. Mary Buffett and David Clark have concluded that he focuses on long-term debt, a conclusion that is supported by his public comments. They believe that his concern lies with the company’s ability to repay its debts, should the need arise, from its profits; the longer the time period, the more vulnerable is the company to external changes and the less predictable are its future earnings.

The formula for such a calculation is:

Number of years to pay out debt = Long term debt
                                                 Current annual profit

COMPANY EXAMPLES

If we apply this formula to Johnson and Johnson, for example, we find, using Value Line, that for 2002, the long-term debt of the company was $2022 million and the profit for that year was $6610 million. Dividing the first figure by the second, we can calculate that at that rate the company could pay off its long-term debt in 0.3 of a year.

If we apply the same formula to McDonald’s Corporation, we find, using Value Line, that for 2002, the long-term debt of that company was $9703 million and the profit for that year was $ 1692 million. Dividing the first figure by the second, we can calculate that at that rate the company could pay off its long-term debt in 5.73 years.

Charlie Munger - A Short Biography

CHARLIE MUNGER AND WARREN BUFFETT

Charlie T Munger works alongside Warren Buffett, as Vice-Chairman ofBerkshire Hathaway and Warren invariably refers to him as his partner and right hand man, generously giving Charlie credit for much of his success and that of the company.

Charlie Munger was a practising lawyer, having got into Harvard Law School without then having an existing Bachelor degree, not an easy thing to do.Roger Lowenstein recounts that Charlie was somewhat assertive as a student; when challenged by a professor in the Harvard Socratic fashion to analyze a case, Charlie, who had not prepared for the lesson, is reputed to have told the professor to give him the facts of the case and he, Charlie, would give him the law.

Charlie was practising law in Omaha Nebraska when he met Warren Buffett and Buffett eventually persuaded him to give up the law and get into financial investment. Charlie did so, a decision that one suspects neither man has regretted. Certainly, long time shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway would not.

Munger is chief executive officer of Wesco, an associate of Berkshire Hathaway, and like Buffet, his annual letters to shareholders can give good clues as to the investment secrets of this brilliant duo.

Charlie Munger is not only a brilliant investor; he is also a deep thinker with strong views on society, education and the philosophy of life. Go here to read an example of Charlie Munger’s frank discission of investment philosophy.

In 1995, Charlie Munger addressed students at the Harvard Law School on the issue of psychology of human misjudgement.

Charlie Munger is an interesting man and the recent subject of a book on investment philosophy, Investing: The Last Liberal Art

FURTHER RESOURCES

Our review of Investing: The Last Liberal Art, by Robert Hagstrom

EXTERNAL RESOURCES

The philosophy of Charlie Munger

http://www.buffettsecrets.com/charlie-munger.htm

Warren Buffett - A Short Biography

EARLY LIFE

Buffet was born in 1930 in Omaha, Nebraska, the son of a stockbroker and Congressman, and has become probably the world’s most successful investor.

As a boy, irrespective of his family background, he delivered newspapers to make extra money and this probably sparked his interest in the media where he has made several successful investments including the Washington Post Company, a stock that has made him a lot of money and which he vows never to sell.

Imbued with a determination to make good and an entrepreneurial nature, Warren dabbled in several part time businesses but his destiny was chartered early in the piece when, after graduating from the University of Nebraska, he studied business at the Columbia Graduate Business Schoolunder the legendary Benjamin Graham.

WORKING WITH BENJAMIN GRAHAM

He tried to get a position with Graham’s firm and was at first unsuccessful. He finally got the job and, as he generously acknowledges, learned a lot about stock investment from The Master.

Graham eventually retired and Buffett started a limited partnership in Omaha, using capital contributed by family and friends. The partnership was a great success and Buffett is said to have averaged an annual rate of return for the partnership in excess of 23 per cent, far in excess of the market.

BUYING BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY

Buffett, after several years, decided to wind up the partnership, returning the lucky investors their capital and their share of the profits, and bought an interest in Berkshire Hathaway, a textile company, giving his original investors the the chance to invest. The smart ones did so.

Buffett’s early days at Berkshire Hathaway were not great. The company was in an industry facing real challenges from exports and high manufacturing costs. Warren Buffett had not, however, forgotten what he had learned under Graham, and arranged for the company to buy out two Nebraska insurance companies.

This was the start of Buffett’s interest in insurance and the rise to financial fame of both himself and Berkshire Hathaway. The insurance game is a hard one but under Buffett, the company has become, not only a successful share investor, but a leading provider of insurance.

BUFFETT AND CHARLIE MUNGER

Buffett struck up a friendship with Charles T Munger, a lawyer and investor and Charlie Munger eventually joined Warren at Berkshire Hathaway as his Vice-Chairman, alter ego, and friend. Warren Buffett is always the first to acknowledge the contribution that Charlie Munger has made to Berkshire Hathaway. (Listen to an interview with Charlie Munger, or read our biography)

Under Buffett and Munger, Berkshire Hathaway has become an investment giant that wholly owns a number of successful companies that include:

• Geico Corporation
• Nebraska Furniture Mart
• See’s Candy Shops

WARREN BUFFET, THE MAN

Warren Buffett, the man, is just as hard to define as Warren Buffett, the investor. He projects a homespun frugality but one suspects that he plays his personality as close to the chest as he does his investment secrets. He always claims that it is his partner, Charlie Munger, who keeps his feet planted firmly in the ground.

Warren Buffet has become a legend and is generally ranked, along with his mentor, Benjamin Graham, first in a stellar cast of investors that includes Peter Lynch, John Neff, and Philip Fisher.

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY AND RETAINED EARNINGS

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY AND RETAINED EARNINGS

Berkshire Hathaway does not, following Buffett’s mantra, pay dividends to its shareholders and this is one reason why its compound return over the years of Buffett-Munger management has been so high.

• The downside of course is that shareholders have not received dividends, meaning, that if they were dependent on money coming in at a given time, their only recourse, in relation to their shareholding, would be to sell the shares or borrow against them.
• Having regard to the huge price of a single share over the past few years, this meant that investors may have had to either keep all their shareholding or dispose of it, not always the choice they wanted. Berkshire Hathaway partly catered for this dilemma by introducing B shares, which are in essence a fractional unit of the normal shares.

A POWERFUL FORCE

When asked to nominate the most powerful force on earth, Albert Einstein is reputed to have answered ‘compound interest’. Buffett might well agree.

Buffett likes companies with high and increasing returns on equity (ROE)

HIGH RETURNS ON EQUITY

Buffett is interested in companies that have rights rates of earnings on equity and likes them even more where the return rates are increasing. He reasons that, with a company like this, he is better off if the company pays no or little dividends and retains the money to earn even more for its owners.

• In addition, where no dividend is received, there is no income tax payable by the shareholder. 
• Instead, the investor gets the value of the increase in value in the shares which will, eventually, rise to reflect the enhanced earnings. 
• The shareholder can then retain the shares, sell them at a time that best suits them, if they wish, and take advantage of the capital gains taxation regime.

It is why potential investors should calculate the company’s history of returns on equity and management of retained earnings.

Compounding and Retained Earnings

Warren Buffet is said to look at the compounding factor when deciding on investments, requiring a stock investment to show a high probability of compound growth in earnings of at least 10 per cent before making an investment decision.

Warren Buffett has on several occasions referred to the use by a company of its retained earnings as a test of company management.

• He tells us that, if a company can earn more money on retained earnings than the shareholder can, the shareholder is better off (taxation aside) if the company retains profits and does not pay them out in dividends. 
• If the shareholder can achieve a higher rate of return than the company, the shareholder would be better off if the company paid out all its profits in dividends (taxation situation again excluded) so that they could use the money themselves.

Put simply, 

• if a company can retain earnings to grow shareholder wealth at better than the market rates available to shareholders, it should do so. 
• If it can’t, it should pay the earnings to shareholders and let them do with them what they wish.