Wednesday, 18 July 2012

Benjamin Graham: The Intelligent Investor (audiobook)






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  • Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd 

    Security Analysis, the revolutionary book on fundamental analysis and investing, was first published in 1934, following unprecedented losses on Wall Street.

    Benjamin Graham and David Dodd chided Wall Street for its myopic focus on a company's reported earnings per share (eps), and were particularly harsh on the favored "earnings trends." They encouraged investors to take an entirely different approach by estimating the rough value of the operating business that lay behind the security. They have given actual examples of the market's tendency to irrationally under-value certain out-of-favor stocks.

    The book is must read for any Stock Market Investor, fundamental analyst or equity research professional. 



    Investment Policies (Based on Benjamin Graham)

    Summary of Investment Policies

    A. INVESTMENT FOR FIXED INCOME:
    US Savings Bonds (FDs)

    B. INVESTMENT FOR INCOME, MODERATE LONG-TERM APPRECIATION AND PROTECTION AGAINST INFLATION:
    (1) INVESTMENT FUNDS bought at reasonable price.
    (2) Diversified list of primary common stocks (BLUE CHIPS) bought at reasonable price. 

    C. INVESTMENT CHIEFLY FOR PROFIT: 4 approaches are open to both the small and the large investors:
    (1) Representative common stocks bought when the MARKET level is clearly LOW.
    (2) GROWTH STOCKS, when these can be obtained at reasonable prices in relation to actual accomplishment – GROWTH INVESTING.
    (3) Purchase of securities selling well BELOW INTRINSIC VALUE – VALUE INVESTING.
    (4) Purchase of WELL-SECURED PRIVILEGED SENIOR ISSUES (bonds and preferred shares).
    (5) SPECIAL SITUATIONS: Mergers, arbitrages, cash pay-outs.

    D. SPECULATION:
    (1) Buying stock in new or virtually new ventures (IPOs) .(2) TRADING in the market.
    (3) Purchase of "GROWTH STOCKS" at GENEROUS PRICES.


    _______________


    For DEFENSIVE INVESTORS: Portfolio A & B
    (Portfolio A: Cash, FDs, Bonds Portfolio B: Mutual funds, Blue chips)

    For ENTERPRISING INVESTORS: Portfolio A & B & C
    (Portfolio C: Buy in Low Market, Buy Growth stocks at fair value, Buy value stocks i.e. bargains, High grade bonds and preferred shares, Arbitrages)

    For SPECULATORS: Portfolio D
    (Should set aside a sum for this separate from their money in investing.)

    ________________
    ________________


    Types of Investors

    Graham felt that individual investors fell into two camps : "defensive" investorsand "aggressive" or "enterprising" investors.

    These two groups are distinguished not by the amount of risk they are willing to take, but rather by the amount of "intelligent effort" they are "willing and able to bring to bear on the task."

    Thus, for instance, he included in the defensive investor category professionals (his example--a doctor) unable to devote much time to the process and young investors (his example--a sharp young executive interested in finance) who are as-yet unfamiliar and inexperienced with investing.

    Graham felt that the defensive investor should confine his holdings to the shares of important companies with a long record of profitable operations and that are in strong financial condition. By "important," he meant one of substantial size and with a leading position in the industry, ranking among the first quarter or first third in size within its industry group.

    Aggressive investors, Graham felt, could expand their universe substantially,but purchases should be attractively priced as established by intelligent analysis. He also suggested that aggressive investors avoid new issues.


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    Tuesday, 17 July 2012

    Are You an Investor?






    Are You An Investor? Successful investors tend to possess certain characteristics.  Do you have them? What do you do, if you don’t? The first step to successful investing is knowing your strengths and weaknesses in the investment game. That way, you can work on those shortcomings and make better investment decisions.  The MarketPsych website offers free tests you can take to measure your suitability as an investor as well as other aspects of your financial life.
    To take any of the tests, you have to register with the site (it’s free). If you’re concerned about privacy, you can register anonymously.
    The Investor Personality test helps you understand your personality traits as they apply to investing.  The report you receive gauges your suitability as an investor and offers suggestions for improving any behaviors that could undermine your investment success.   The test takes about 20 minutes and includes 60 questions about your personality followed by 15 questions about what you would do in different investment situations.
    The personality questions cover a lot of ground.  Do you tend to think things through? Do you plan? How do feel about change? Are you usually relaxed or easily stressed? Do you like excitement and adventure? Do you enjoy abstract ideas or prefer practical information? Are you confident? Can you juggle several tasks at once? Can you make decisions or do you vacillate?  Do you take others’ feelings into account? Do you react quickly?
    The investment questions are a bit tougher because they don’t offer answers for the gray areas we all live in.  For example, one question asks whether you would choose to spend more now and have less in retirement, or spend less now and have more in retirement.  My answer is neither of those alternatives.  Another question asks what you would do if you bought a stock and its price increased significantly over a short period — without any news or information about the company.  Yikes! I’m an engineer, so it’s almost impossible to make a decision without any information. Some of the questions include one possible answer: watch the company in order to determine a reasonable purchase or selling price, and then make a decision.
    The report you receive rates your personality in several ways, such as how conscientious you are, how emotional you are, whether you are an extrovert or introvert, and your openness and agreeableness.  Ratings that appear in green (see screen capture, this page) indicate suitability as an investor, whereas yellow ratings are traits that could inhibit your investment success.
    The bias section of the report rates your confidence, risk-taking, discipline, thinking, and herding instinct.  For example, the hypothetical results include a below-average score in loss aversion.  You can click the Click here link to learn how this trait might harm your investing.  For example, the Risk-Related Biases Web page discusses the common mistakes many investors make with their investments, such as holding onto a loser hoping for a comeback.  Then, it includes specific advice for high scorers and low scorers for each aspect of risk-taking, including loss aversion, emotional vulnerability, risk aversion, and cutting winners short.  In this case, the explanation warns that low scorers for loss aversion might take excessive risk.



    My Investor Personality Test Results  :-)
     Print
    Investor Personality Test

    PERSONALITY FACTORS
    Conscientiousness : High 
    Emotionality : Below Average 
    Extraversion : Below Average 
    Openness : Above Average 
    Agreeableness : Below Average
    For Details Click here
    BIAS REPORT
    Confidence Biases
    Overconfidence : Above Average
    Over-Optimism : Below Average
    For Details Click here
    Risk-taking Biases
    Risk Aversion : Above Average
    Emotional Vulnerability : Below Average
    Cutting winners short : Below Average
    For Details Click here
    Impulse-control
    Self-discipline : Above Average
    Immediate Gratification : Below Average
    Excitement-seeking : Very Low
    For Details Click here
    Intellectualism
    Intellectualism : High
    For Details Click here
    Herding
    Trend-following : Below Average
    For Details Click here

    SE Asia Stocks: Malaysia at record high; Fed meeting eyed


    July 16, 2012

    BANGKOK, July 16 – Southeast Asian stock markets extended gains today with Malaysian shares hitting a record high as fears of an economic hard-landing in China subsided, but trading volumes were low as investors waited for a US Federal Reserve meeting.
    Malaysia hit an all-time high of 1,635.96 points with a 0.6 per cent gain, while the Philippines outperformed the region with a 1.6 per cent jump.
    Indonesia gained 0.7 per cent to a more-than one-week high with, Thailand edged up 0.3 per cent to its highest since May 8.
    Singapore closed 0.1 per cent firmer at 2-1/2-month high.
    Regional analysts said investors cautiously bought into equities ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s semi-annual testimony to the US Congress on the economy set for tomorrow and Wednesday. – Reuters

    Kiss Your Boss Goodbye. It's Time to Be an Entrepreneur



    Kiss your boss goodbye--it's time to become an entrepreneur
    I recently read a reliable report on the attitude of the American workforce.  To my surprise I learned more than half of all employees are not engaged at work. In other words, most workers are not happy, not satisfied, not productive, not loyal, not inspired and will jump ship if another opportunity arises.  In fact, most are looking to leave now and have polished their resumes.   If this is the case, I would also assume that the managers who supervise these disillusioned employees are probably jerks, or are carrying out the mandates of thoughtless upper management.
    If you’re a company leader who doesn’t focus on keeping employees engaged, make note; your days are numbered.  I suggest you change now, with sincere intent to take care of your people, or suffer the disastrous consequences of your own unemployment.
    I have more to say on this topic to company management.   Who do you think does all the work in your business?  Who do you think makes your products, sells them, provides support, collects receipts and pays workers? It’s not you, my friend.  Have you forgotten that you hired these people as a resource to help you build a highly profitable business? Have you forgotten they are a precious asset to be valued and protected? How long do you think you can mistreat quality workers until they bolt? In a word, it’s not very long.  Do you get the picture?  Am I making sense? In sum, your financial success, your promotions, your glory, all depend on how well you treat those subordinates who have placed their trust and confidence in you.
    Now a word to Les Miserables.  If you are going to quit, for heaven’s sake, don’t go to work for another pathetic firm. Do something wild: Kiss your boss goodbye and launch your own business.  If you have had enough, become your own king.   The money you have made for others now shifts to yourself. Take that idea that’s been in your mind for months and turn it into a profitable company. If you are an engineer, a programmer, a salesman, a teacher, an accountant, a whatever, start today planning your escape from corporate prison.
    I am sure you are similar to the entrepreneurs I spend time with everyday.   As a principal investor, I put money into emerging companies that have all been founded by someone who, for the most part, previously worked for a clueless company.  They left seeking their own destiny and fulfillment, hoping life would be much better on their own.  I know their employment history, their state of mind and the decision process they followed as they took a leap of faith to follow their dreams.
    Over the last few months, I have spent several evenings giving advice to a gentleman who is a full time employee of a large company. He possesses a great business idea.  He is anxious to understand the steps he needs to follow to properly organize his own company.
    Today, I am pleased to share with you the same information he is learning.  So, if you are ready to soar, please make note of the following initial guidelines:
    1.  Keep your day job until the time is right to leave.  Keep in mind; you really have two options to consider:
    A)  You can leave tomorrow if you have the resources in hand to sustain your efforts long enough to reach profitability. Give yourself at least one year to succeed.  If you can’t reach your goal in that time frame, look for other ways to survive and prosper, or, B)  You can ponder, prepare, organize, and execute plan overtime, at night and on weekends until everything is ready to go.
    2.  If you have signed a non-compete with your current employer, honor it.  Wait until you can legally pursue your opportunity.  Find some form of income to sustain your personal life in the interim.
    3.  Determine your purpose, your vision, your strategy.  Why are you in business? What do you hope to accomplish? What must you do to be successful? Are your answers sound and realistic?
    4.  Test your assumptions.   Determine who your perfect customers are.  Know everything about them.  Talk to them, listen and respond accordingly. Know how many total potential customers there are.  Learn if potential customers will want to buy your product or service.   Learn about their needs, pain and current solutions. Determine the right price and where buyers expect to make a purchase.  Understand what they watch, hear and read. Know how to promote your offering.  Understand the competition.  Know their value proposition and why people buy their products.
    5.  Evaluate a product’s viability.  Consider the design, development and manufacturing of the perfect solution at the best possible cost. Understand why your solution will be chosen by customers.
    6.  Evaluate and test a plan to sell your product and collect revenues.  Will you sell directly to customers using the internet, your own sales team or independent reps; will you sell your products to distributors; will you sell to retailers or resellers; will you sell to the government?


    7.  Determine if you can make a profit. Know your costs, expenses, revenues, and margins.  Know how much working capital you will need to sustain the business and grow it.  Know where you can find money beyond your own resources.  Determine if financial resources will be available and committed.   Establish a financial system to provide accurate and timely reports to manage the operation.
    With positive answers to these initial points, I suggest the following next steps.
    • Determine your business location; street, city, and state.
    • Name your company. Decide what your firm will be called by clients, vendors, employees and all other entities. Reserve this name for your legal documents and for your internet website. You do this by contacting the Secretary of State, Business Division, to learn if your chosen name is available. At the same time, search the internet domain names to learn if the name is also available for your use.  If available, proceed to register and pay the related fees to secure your ownership of your company name.
    • Secure a business license and any necessary permits from your local city business office.
    • Obtain a Federal tax ID number, form SS4, from the IRS. With this information, you will be able to establish an account with a local bank for checking, savings, merchant account and other services.
    • Meet with an attorney to establish a legal entity.  The attorney will give you several options to consider, such as whether you should operate as a sole proprietor, a general partnership, an LLC, an S corporation or a C corporation.   He or she will explain to you the risks, responsibilities, costs, liabilities, taxes, duties, and reports that are associated with each entity. I also recommend you spend time understanding these various formats via the internet which covers in depth what you will need to know.  The law office will also prepare articles of incorporation, by laws, contracts, patents, stock/shares of ownership and provide guidance on company board agendas and minutes, key transactions and state annual reports.  In addition, you will be given advice on various labor laws – work hours, safety, breaks, immigrants plus any other legal service you might need.
    • Meet with an accountant.  He or she will help you understand what responsibilities you will have with the IRS; namely, taxes related to the company, yourself, and employees. This vendor can also assist with state and federal tax filings. An accountant will also help you with financial reporting and various accounting software options.
    Now that you are ready, meaning you have legions of customers who will buy your superior product for the right price yielding good profits, it’s time to act.  Yes, act, moving fast, with faith and a determination to overcome every obstacle on your way to greatness. Don’t look back. Keep your eyes on the bright horizon. It’s your time to shine. It’s your future to enjoy. You’re now the boss.  Be a great one! Good luck.
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