March 1: Property developers, Wilmar, UOB, Cerebos, Raffles Medical, Midas
Written by The Edge
Monday, 01 March 2010 08:46
Wilmar International (WLIL.SI), the world’s largest palm oil planter, is likely to be in the spotlight on Monday after reporting a better-than-expected 18% rise in its fourth-quarter results.
Benchmark Straits Times Index (.FTSTI) inched 0.06% higher to end at 2,750.86 points last Friday.
US stocks rose last Friday, capping their best monthly advance since November as data showed the economy grew a tad better than expected in the fourth quarter.
Property developers: The government said it will raise the cost of residential land development starting March 1. Non-landed residential charges will rise 8% on average, while charges for landed homes will increase 12% on average, it said in an e-mailed statement today. Charges for commercial land development will decline an average of 2%.
Wilmar International (WLIL.SI), the world’s largest palm oil planter reported on Sunday a better-than-expected 18% rise in fourth-quarter net profit as a global economic recovery drove commodities prices higher. It also said it would continue to seek attractive investment opportunities to support future growth.
United Overseas Bank (UOBH.SI) , Singapore’s third-biggest bank, expects high single-digit loan growth in 2010 and is trying to maintain loan margins for corporate customers, CEO Wee Ee Cheong told a news conference.
Singapore-listed health supplement manufacturer Cerebos Pacific (CERE.SI) said last week it is aiming for a 10–20% revenue growth over the next three years as it steps up its presence in China, Indonesia and Vietnam.
Raffles Medical Group, the private healthcare provider in Singapore and the region, says profit after tax for the group increased 20.1% from $31.7 million in 2008 to $38 million in 2009.
Midas Holdings, the manufacturer of aluminium alloy extrusion products for China’s railway sector, announced a 14.9% rise in net profit to $37.5 million for the financial year ended December 31, 2009 (FY2009).
Abterra, the supply chain manager of resources and minerals, managed to swing back into the black with a net profit of $13.3 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2009 (FY2009) largely due to a gain from the revaluation of a mining asset.
Yongnam Holdings, the structural steel contractor and specialist civil engineering solutions provider, announced a record profit before tax of $48.8 million for its full year ended December 31, 2009 (FY2009) on the back of a 2.7% increase in revenue to $346.8 million.
China Sports International, the sports fashion footwear and apparel company based in China, reported net profit decreased by 33.7% to RMB122.6 million ($25.3 million) for the full year ended 31 December 2009 (FY09) from RMB184.9 million in FY08 as the result of lower average selling prices for footwear products.
Delong Holdings, the manufacturer of hot-rolled steel coils (HRC) in China, says it posted a net profit after tax of RMB 248.4 million and RMB 416.9 million ($86 million) for the fourth quarter (4Q2009) and full year (FY2009) respectively, reversing net losses of RMB 637 million and RMB 370.4 million recorded in 4Q2008 and FY2008 respectively.
Synear Food Holdings, the China-based producer of quick freeze food, today posted a more than two-fold surge in net profit to RMB40.7 million ($8.4 million) for the three months ended December 31, 2009 (4Q09), due mainly to lower selling and distribution expenses and lower income tax expense. Revenue for the quarter rose 1.1% to RMB507.1 million.
Food Empire Holdings, the manufacturer of instant beverage products, frozen convenience food, confectionery and snack food, says profit before tax fell 86.2% to US$3.2 million ($4.5 million) while revenue fell 39.3% to US$134 million and for the year ended 31 December 2009.
Apex-Pal International, which operates the global chain of Sakae Sushi restaurants, today reported a net profit before tax of $3.3 million for the fiscal full year ending on 31 December 2009.
Techcomp (Holdings), the China manufacturer and distributor for analytical and life science instruments, posted a 139.4% year-on-year rise in net profit attributable to shareholders to US$7.4 million ($10.4 million) for the 12 months ended 31 December 2009 (FY2009). Revenue increased 29.3% to US$104.8 million fuelled by Asia’s increasing demand for analytical and life science equipment.
http://www.theedgesingapore.com/the-daily-edge/business/13008-march-1-property-developers-wilmar-uob-cerebos-raffles-medical-midas.html
Preparing for the Inevitable Bursting Bubble
How are you preparing for the next bubble?
There’s plenty of reason to expect more surprises, given the number of hedge funds moving large amounts of money quickly around the world and the big banks making their own trades.
Individuals, as always, may be tempted to make their own financial bets, too. Last time, they bought overpriced homes with too much borrowed money. Next time, who knows what the bubble will be? And that’s the problem, as it always is. How do you identify the next thing that will pop? Is it China? Or Greece? Or Treasury bonds? It is difficult to predict and make the right defensive (or offensive) moves at the correct moment to save or make money.
Still, if you want to better insulate yourself from bubbles — however often they may inflate — there are plenty of things you can do. Your debt levels matter, and you may want to consider a more flexible investment strategy. But perhaps most important, this is a mental exercise that begins and ends with an honest assessment of your long-term goals and how you handle the emotional jolts that come from the bubbles that burst along the way.
FIXED EXPENSES
Start with the basics. The less you have to pay toward monthly obligations, the better off you are, and that’s especially true at a time of economic disruption. You certainly wouldn’t want any bills increasing, so now’s a good time to refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage.
Whittle down student loan and credit card debt, too, and pay cash for your car if possible. “Flexibility is priceless in a time of panic,” said Lucas Hail, a financial planner with Foster & Motley in Cincinnati.
SELF-RELIANCE
Then take a hard look at how much you should rely on promises from the government. Social Security and Medicare may not fit the traditional definition of bubbles, but that hasn’t stopped Rick Brooks from advising his financial planning clients to expect less from both programs. “Something that is not sustainable will not continue. It just can’t,” he said of Medicare.
Mr. Brooks, the vice president for investment management with Blankinship & Foster in Solana Beach, Calif., said anyone under 50 should assume that Medicare will look nothing like it does now and examine private health insurance premiums for guidance as to what may need to be spent on health care in retirement. Meanwhile, the firm advises current retirees to assume a 20 percent cut in Social Security benefits at some point.
Bedda D’Angelo, president of Fiduciary Solutions in Durham, N.C., has an equally stark outlook on long-term employment risk. If there are two adults in the household, your goal should probably be to have two incomes instead of one. “I do believe that unemployment is inevitable,” she said, adding that people who think they are going to retire at 65 should save for retirement as if they will be forced out of the work force in their mid-50s.
PORTFOLIO TACTICS
Perhaps you did what you thought you were supposed to during the last decade. You got religion and stopped trading stocks. Then, you split your assets among various low-cost mutual funds and added money regularly. And the results weren’t quite what you hoped.
Tempted to make big bets on emerging markets or short Treasury bills? You’ve landed in the middle of the debate between those who favor a more passive asset allocation and those who prefer something called tactical allocation.
They frown on the hubris of the tactical practitioners. To make a tactical approach work, they note, you need to know what the right signals will be to buy and sell everything from stocks to gold, during every future market cycle. Then, these tacticians need to have the discipline to act each and every time. This is extraordinarily hard.
“What consumers need to know is that no matter how comforting it is to believe a formulaic approach or prepackaged investment product will allow them to put their financial future on autopilot, our current and future financial environment will require advice, diligence, education and responsiveness, which takes into account strategic consideration of geopolitical and economic relationships,” as Ryan Darwish, a financial planner in Eugene, Ore., put it to me this week.
A growing number of financial planners are embracing a middle, more measured approach: If diversification across stocks, bonds and other asset classes has proved to be a good thing in most investing environments, why not diversification around investment approaches?
“I am not a financial genius, but the geniuses are even worse off because they’re anchored on one philosophy,” said David O’Brien, a financial planner in Midlothian, Va. So he and a growing number of his peers have added some strategies to their baseline portfolios aimed at losing less during bubbles while still gaining in better times. “We’re not trying to shoot for the moon,” he added.
These tactics can include managed futures, absolute return funds, merger arbitrage and other approaches that will get their own column someday.
The embrace of all this even led one investment professional I spoke with this week to express the ultimate sacrilege: It really is different this time.
Thomas C. Meyer of Meyer Capital Group in Marlton, N.J., noted that many of these alternative strategies were not even available in mutual-fund form three to four years ago. So that’s different. He’s now putting 30 percent of his clients’ equity portfolios into such investments.
The big change, however, is that the baby boomer money is getting older. People are further along in their careers than they were during the market crash in 1987, and they can’t rely on pensions as so many more near retirees could in the 1980s (while shrugging off stock market volatility). And the boomers don’t have as much time to make up lost ground, especially if they’re already retired.
“Losing less means a lot right now,” Mr. Meyer said. “So we want to suck volatility out where we can.”
MATTER OF THE MIND
But can you live with less volatility — and the permanent end of occasional portfoliowide returns in the teens or higher? Markets run on greed and fear; bubbles expand and deflate thanks to outsize versions of each. One of the few things you can predict about bubbles is that they will test your conviction on where you sit along the fear-greed continuum.
And once they pop, you’ll know a bit more about how your mind works than you did before.
This last downturn was severe enough that about 10 percent of Steven A. Weydert’s clients realized that they had overestimated their own risk tolerance. “Ideally, with an asset allocation, you never want to look back and say you’re sorry,” said Mr. Weydert of Bowyer, Weydert Wealth Planning Partners in Park Ridge, Ill.
So rather than trying to predict the number and type of bubbles, it may make more sense to look inward when trying to predict the future. Bob Goldman, a financial planner in Sausalito, Calif., said that clients often looked at him blankly when he asked them what it was they imagined for themselves in the future. Sometimes, they need to go home and figure out what sort of life it is that they’re saving for — and how much (or little) it might cost.
“People come in and talk about how we all know that inflation is going to explode next year,” Mr. Goldman said. “Well, we don’t all know that. We don’t know anything. But we can know something about our own lives, and there is a person we can talk to about that. A person in the mirror.”
