Wednesday, 22 December 2010

What investment bankers earn in UK

What investment bankers earn
From back office clerk to accountant to head of investment, we list the average salaries – and bonuses – of investment bank employees in the City of London.

City of gold: What investment bankers earn
City of gold: What investment bankers earn Photo: AFP
Settlements:
Clerk: £30,000-£43,000 (plus 10pc bonus)
Supervisor: £40,000-£55,000 (plus 15pc bonus)
Manager: £48,000-£70,000 (plus 20pc bonus)
Trade Support:
0-1 years: £25,000-£30,000 (plus bonus dependent on trader or broker performance)
More than 3 years: £40,000-£60,000 (plus bonus dependent on trader or broker performance)
Financial Control:
Newly qualified: £35,000-£45,000 (plus 5 to 7pc bonus)
Director: £85,000-£130,000 (plus 40 to 60pc bonus)
Regulatory Accountant:
Newly qualified: £35,000-£48,000 (plus 5 to 7pc bonus)
Director: £90,000-£110,000 (plus 40 to 60pc bonus)
Private banker/Client portfolio manager:
1-3 years: £30,000-£45,000 (plus 10 to 30pc bonus)
More than 10 years: £80,000-£100,000 (plus 40 to 100pc bonus)
Investment analyst:
1-3 years: £40,000-£65,000 (plus 0 to 100pc bonus)
More than 10 years: £110,000-£130,000 (plus 0 to 100+pc bonus)
Fund manager:
5-8 years: £70,000-£100,000 (plus 0 to 100pc bonus)
More than 10 years: £110,000-£150,000 (plus 0 to 100+pc bonus)
Chief investment officer/Head of investment:
£130,000 (plus 100+pc bonus)

Padini Holdings Berhad

 • Direct beneficiary of uptick in consumer spending
We recently hosted a corporate presentation by Padini Holdings (Padini),
a well-established retailer of fashion apparel and  footwear, and came
away with a positive medium-term outlook on the company. Strong brand
recognition and large nationwide store network place Padini in favourable
position to capitalise on any strengthening consumer sentiment and
spending.

• Padini Corp and Vincci Ladies continue to lead 
Padini Corp and Vincci Ladies are the most significant subsidiaries in
Padini Group, together constituting 70% of FY10 group revenue and 84%
of pretax profit. Padini-branded clothing and footwear with the Vincci label
have consistently resonated with Malaysian consumers thanks to the
group’s effective merchandising strategy.

• Extending ‘Brands Outlet’ store network 
The group is expanding its value proposition ‘Brands Outlet’ stores in
response to positive reception by shoppers and to expand its store
network to urban areas beyond the highly saturated Klang Valley. There
are currently 11 ‘Brands Outlet’ stores that account for 27% of the group’s
total retail floor space.

• Potential for dividend upside 
Given Padini’s minimal capex requirements in the 2-year forward forecast
period, we believe that the company could pay out higher dividends than
the 15.0 sen DPS in FY10 (or 32% dividend payout ratio).

• Fair value of RM5.33 
Utilising a target P/E of 10x applied to CY11 EPS of 53.3 sen, we arrive at
a fair value of RM5.33. Our target P/E is based on a 2x premium to Bonia
Corp, Padini’s closest comparable. We believe that Padini deserves to
trade at higher valuations because it has a larger  store network and
higher margin product mix (with larger proportion of fashion apparel).
Target P/E is lower than Padini’s 12-year historical average P/E of 11.7x
(FY99-FY10) however, as we anticipate moderation in earnings growth
moving forward. We have projected a 3-year net profit CAGR (FY10-12) of
6.4%. Our fair value indicates a potential 9% upside to current share
price.


http://www.ecmmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2010/12/PAD_101221_Non-rated.pdf

Tuesday, 21 December 2010

The path to achievable growth


Martin Roth
December 1, 2010

    Click for more photos






    In a rocky market environment, with the economic outlook also far from clear, one way to boost a portfolio is to seek out growth stocks - those dynamic companies that continue to expand year after year.
    These can offer the astute investor both a steadily appreciating share price and a rising dividend payout.
    However, they also come with greater risk than other stocks, often including high price-earnings ratios and significant share-price volatility.
    Typically, a growth stock operates within a thriving industry and occupies a strong and expanding market share position within that industry, allowing it to boost profits on a sustainable basis.
    Its particular strength might be its technology, or its ability to bring out a steady stream of innovative new products, or simply a business model that is superior to that of rivals.
    Dynamic management is often another notable characteristic.
    A classic example is the bionic-ear implant manufacturer Cochlear, which holds about two-thirds of the global market for its products with high profit margins. A continuing stream of new, high-tech models keeps it at the forefront of its industry.
    Between 2004 and 2010 its earnings per share figure tripled and a glance at its long-term share-price chart shows that from about $22 in early 2004, the shares soared to nearly $80 in late 2007, before retreating when the global financial crisis hit.
    Simon Robinson, a senior private wealth manager at Wilson HTM, which manages the Wilson HTM Priority Growth Fund, cites another example - electronics retailer JB Hi-Fi.
    ''Now that they have established their business model effectively, they are able to gain significant leverage as they continue to roll out new stores,'' he says. ''Then, as sales volumes increase, they get more buying power and more value for their advertising dollar.
    ''That allows them to become more efficient than competitors and they pass on these efficiencies to their customers, which makes them even more competitive. It is a virtuous circle.''
    However, Robinson notes that a particular danger of growth stocks is that the market might project into the share price significant levels of growth, above what is actually achievable. This can lead to a high share price, followed by a sharp sell-off once investors realise that growth will not meet expectations.
    ''Growth stocks are sometimes significantly underpriced and sometimes they are significantly overpriced,'' he says. ''It is important for investors to understand the components of that growth, including the industry in which the company operates and the competitive dynamic there.''
    In fact, he advises investors that their best strategy is to analyse companies carefully in order to spot potential growth stocks while they are still on relatively low price-earnings ratios and have not generally been recognised by the market.
    For investors interested in this theme, another issue recently has come to the fore - claims that Australia now has far fewer growth stocks than previously.
    ''If you went back five years or so there were a lot of pretty sexy growth stories,'' says an equity strategist at Merrill Lynch, Tim Rocks. ''In healthcare there were companies like Cochlear and [vaccine and blood products corporation] CSL and in other industries you had a range of companies that still had good growth in front of them, such as JB Hi-Fi.
    ''[Surfwear specialist] Billabong International was another example.
    ''Even [merchant bank] Macquarie at that time, you would say, was a growth company. It was expanding offshore and as many as a dozen more large companies were out there, with very interesting long-term growth profiles.
    ''That appears to us to be no longer the case. Many of those companies are now well advanced in their strategies, so their periods of very high growth are behind them.
    ''And, more interestingly, the next generation has not really appeared to step up. So we struggle to find a big list of companies with that genuine sustainable growth in front of them.''
    He notes that much growth in the Australian market comes from the resources sector but the relevant stocks tend to be volatile and too China-dependent to be classic growth stocks.
    However, Robinson says, there are always growth stocks ''but the trick is finding them''.
    The institutional business director at Hyperion Asset Management, Tim Samway, rates four internet companies - Seek, Wotif.com Holdings, REA Group and Carsales.com. ''They have very high returns on equity, low debt and steady organic earnings growth,'' he says.in

    The art of picking gems

    Martin Roth







    December 15, 2010
      Examine a particular company in the context of the wider economy when selecting stocks.
      A reasonably firm domestic economy and improving conditions overseas have led many analysts to forecast that next year will be a good one for the sharemarket.
      Nevertheless, the ride for investors could be rocky.
      In particular, we appear to be developing what some are terming a two-speed economy. While the mining and energy industries boom, other sectors are mixed, with growing concerns about a slowdown in consumer spending and about the impact of the dollar's strength.
      The result is that stock selection - always a significant consideration for serious investors - becomes more important than before.
      What are the key ingredients of successful stock picking?
      Talk to any group of experts and you will find they offer many varying methods. It is sometimes said that investing is not a science but an art.
      Here are four considerations:
      UNDERSTAND THE ECONOMY
      For many professionals, the stock-selection process begins with a top-down examination of economic trends. "I like to see where I think the economy is going, both here and overseas," says a senior client adviser and strategist at Austock Securities, Michael Heffernan.
      "That sets the canvas, or the foundation, on which I make my selections. Whether I expect the economy to do well or badly will influence which stocks I choose."
      SEARCH FOR VALUE
      Learn the fundamentals of the company in which you wish to invest. This is certainly the most important consideration for any investment decision and, while it may sound obvious, it is clear many investors have only a cursory understanding of the companies whose shares they buy.
      "You need to do some legwork," says an equity analyst with the Fat Prophets market information company, Greg Fraser. "You need to know about the company, its industry and its competitors. You should understand its products or services."
      This can all be seen as the qualitative side of the company. It is also important to look at the quantitative side - its financial statements. "Look at the earnings of the company, not just for this year but in a trend over time," he says. "You also need to understand the balance sheet and the cash flow statement. These can give you a feel for how highly geared the business is, its exposure to interest rates, whether it is sufficiently capitalised or not and so on.
      "And once you put those things together, you then need to try and work out whether you think the company's shares are currently trading above or below what you think is a fair value."
      The chief executive officer of the funds management and market data company Lincoln Indicators, Elio D'Amato, urges investors to pick stocks that are exhibiting dynamic growth.
      "There are not many truisms in the sharemarket," he says. "But there is at least one - if earnings grow over the long term, the share price will follow."
      This month his company released a shortlist of stocks it believes could outperform in 2011, including debt-collection agency Credit Corp Group, equipment rental finance specialist Silver Chef, engineering company Forge Group, retailer Thorn Group and internet service provider iiNet.
      SPECIALISE
      Select several areas of the market and develop an in-depth knowledge of these.
      Controversial British businessman Jim Slater wrote a book on this theme, titled The Zulu Principle, after realising that his wife, with just a little reading, was becoming an expert in Zulus.
      He advises investors to specialise in a narrow area of the market and to become an authority. He says doing this will allow recognition of small, dynamic growth stocks before most others.
      RESPECT MARKET CYCLES
      Author and educator Alan Hull manages the Alan Hull Books investor website (alanhullbooks.com.au). As an exercise, early in 2009 he drew up two portfolios, one comprising solid, highly rated blue chips and the other made up of "Dogs of the Dow" - large stocks that had been among the market's worst performers in the previous year.
      In the rally of 2009, the blue-chip portfolio recorded a one-year return of 15 per cent. By contrast, the "Dogs of the Dow" soared more than 90 per cent.
      "It was obvious that during 2009 we were in a bargain-hunter's environment," he says. "It was not a market that had reverted to fundamentals. That is not to say that fundamental analysis does not work. But it was not suited to that part of the market cycle.
      "If someone says to me fundamental analysis is the best method, or technical analysis is the best method, I become very sceptical, because there is no single solution. It is a question of discerning where we are in a market cycle and then working out the most appropriate investment style. To be successful as an investor, one has to be open and remain humble to the market."

       http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/money/investing/the-art-of-picking-gems-20101214-18w60.html

      New year financial resolutions

      New year financial resolutions
      John Wasiliev
      December 21, 2010 - 11:22AM

      While the coming fortnight usually sees most people relax and enjoy the festive season, anyone who is taking a longer break could do worse that put some of this time towards a review of their investment strategy.

      One reason why such reviews can be useful at this time of the year is because you can do something about a strategy that may not be going that well while there is still plenty of the financial year remaining.

      The end of the calendar year is half way through a financial year so there is still six months of the 2010-11 financial year remaining. You can also come up with financial new year’s resolutions with the goal of implementing at least one that should improve your financial position.

      For example you could make it a resolution that if you invest in shorter period term deposits that offer attractive returns that you still getting a good rate when the investment is rolled over. Banks have been known to invite investors to roll a deposit over for a 'similar term' without pointing out that same term does not necessarily mean the same higher interest rate.

      Another thing you can do, suggests Elizabeth Moran, an analyst with fixed interest broker FIIG Securities, is reassess your appetite for taking risks with your money. Is it still the same as it was a year ago or have you become more pessimistic or optimistic?

      Being more gloomy about the year ahead could suggest your tolerance for risk has lowered. Remaining optimistic on the other hand suggests you are happy with the present state of affairs. A question to ask is whether your state of mind is related to the state of your portfolio.

      A useful strategy when conducting a review is to check your exposure to different types of investments – shares, property and income investments – and decide whether they are likely to satisfy your goals for the rest of the year.

      Another consideration is to put any goals you have into perspective and maybe do things a bit differently.

      A commentary in the current edition of the National Australia Bank's private wealth division’s newsletter highlights the importance of having goals. It also makes a very interesting observation about goals and investing.

      It notes goals are often expressed with a single purpose in mind such as meeting certain future liabilities or expenses like paying for children’s education in 12 years’ time or retiring with a certain level of income at age But the reality is that people often have multiple goals with different time horizons as well as different priorities.

      An alternative investment strategy is one that that recognises multiple goals, priorities and time horizons. It can involve having distinct investment portfolios for each goal with each portfolio evaluated on its ability to meet its objective.

      Reflecting on the connection between an investment strategy and goals can be worthwhile at strategic times, such as the end of the calendar year, because it can be a period when people have the commodity many complain they are short of, namely the time to think about things. January is generally the quietest month of the year in financial markets, making it the most suitable time to spend considering your financial affairs.

      By contrast, the end of the financial year around 30 June is often a rushed period. There is never a real break and most people are as busy in July and August as they are in May and June. At least over the Christmas-New Year summer holiday period, things do slow down to give you space to consider your financial future.

      http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/money/on-the-money/new-year-financial-resolutions-20101218-19172.html

      Monday, 20 December 2010

      Interest rates 'will have to rise sixfold in two years'

      Interest rates will have to rise almost sixfold over the next two years to cope with rising inflation, business leaders have warned.

      Interest rates will rise six fold in two years
      Interest rates will rise six fold in two years 
      It will bring financial pain to seven million home owners with floating interest rates who will see a jump of almost £200 on a typical monthly mortgage payment.
      Charities have already warned that repossessions are likely to rise next year and the threat of a succession of quick interest rate rises will exacerbate their fears.
      The Confederation of British Industry predicts that higher than anticipated rises in the cost of living will push the Bank of England (BoE) to begin increasing interest rates in the spring.
      It predicted that the Bank base rate – the interest rate at which the BoE lends to other banks – will rise more than two percentage points by the end of 2012. Mortgage rates are expected to follow closely behind.
      “Many households have been benefiting (from the low interest rates) in terms of mortgage payments, but that will start to turn over the next couple of years,” said Lai Wah Co, the CBI’s head of economic analysis.
      The organisation predicts that the Consumer Prices Index, the Government’s preferred measure of inflation, will reach 3.8 per cent within the first three months of next year and that it will still be well above the Bank’s 2 per cent target two years from now. It currently stands at 3.3 per cent.
      The CBI expects interest rates to climb from their record low level of just 0.5 per cent in the second quarter next year.
      It forecasts rates will rise 0.25 percentage points each quarter before the pace doubles in the middle of 2012 to 0.5 point increases, taking the bank rate to 2.75 per cent by that year’s end.
      Last week, the Bank of England warned in its Financial Stability Report that two thirds of borrowers are now on floating interest rate deals and the proportion is rising. At the height of the credit crisis in 2007, the proportion stood at less than half of all outstanding mortgages.
      A 2.25 per cent rise in mortgage rates would see the monthly repayments on a typical £150,000 mortgage increase from £909 to £1096.
      In another blow for home owners, economists predict that the average value of a home in Britain will lose 10 per cent of its value from their peak levels earlier this year to the end of 2011.
      The house price gains seen at the beginning of this year have already been wiped out, according to Nationwide.
      Britain’s biggest building society said the average price of a home dropped 0.3 per cent in November, the equivalent of almost £1,000 in a month, bringing the average price of a home to £163,398.
      The CBI expects inflation as measured by the retail prices index – which includes more housing costs – will follow an even higher path than CPI, reaching 5 per cent at the start of next year.
      The CBI said it had raised its quarterly forecasts to take into account the “persistent strength” of energy and commodity prices.
      High inflation will put further pressure on households as people face higher prices and mortgage rates, but pay packets struggle to keep pace.
      Tim Moore, an economist at research group Markit, said: “December brings to a close another difficult year for household finances. The UK economy looks to have avoided a double-dip recession in 2010, but there is little evidence that household finances have even begun to recover. People have seen their spending power gradually eroded by stubbornly high inflation throughout the year and little in the way of income growth to compensate for this.”

      Inflation beating investments

      Inflation beating investments

      Inflation has hit a new high, but there are options for income seekers.
      By Emma Wall 8:00AM GMT 18 Dec 2010

      Inflation has hit a new high, with Britain's cost of living rising at the fastest pace seen in six months. The Government's official measure of inflation, the consumer prices index (CPI), hit 3.3pc in November and, even more worryingly, the retail prices index (RPI), which some consider a more accurate inflation reading, rose to 4.7pc last month.

      This is another nail in the coffin for Britain's savers. The average easy-access savings account is paying 0.81pc – the effect of the Bank Rate remaining at just 0.5pc since March last year – and making it almost impossible for people to live off the income from their cash savings.

      Experts are urging income-chasers to turn to equities, saying the average yield from FTSE 100 companies is more than 3pc and some income funds promise 7pc. Equities do not carry the same guarantees as savings in a cash account, but if you choose the right investment vehicle, income from savings could again be a viable option.

      There are two main avenues through which to gain a yield from investing – shares that pay dividends or funds. The UK has some of the best stock markets for dividends.

      Nick Raynor, the investment adviser at The Share Centre, likes Chesnara, an underwriter for life assurance products, now at 210p a share and offering a yield of 7.5pc. Royal Dutch Shell "B" is £19.41 a share and offers a yield of 5.6pc.

      He also tips Aviva, at 366p, yielding 7.9pc: "Recent weakness in the share price takes the yield to almost 8pc, and the dividend is stable. We believe next year will see the dividend continue to rise."

      Mr Raynor also likes Vodafone at 163p a share and offering a yield of 4.8pc and property company British Land at 484p, yielding 5.6pc.

      European companies also offer attractive dividends. France Telecom paid a dividend of €1.40 last year – a yield of about 8pc.

      If you want to leave stock picking to experts, choose an income fund. There are straight equity income funds, bond funds and those that invest in a mixture of the two. Equity income funds hold a selection of companies for a chosen region, such as UK, Europe, emerging markets or global funds.

      There are fewer dividend-paying companies in the emerging markets region, but the number is increasing, and as it does more funds are expected to launch.

      There are 75 UK equity income funds, with the top-performing over the past five years being Halifax UK Equity Income. Based on £1,000 invested, with the income accumulated, the Halifax fund has returned 42pc.
      Troy Trojan Income, Unicorn UK Income and Aviva Investors UK Equity Income funds have all returned more than 35pc in the same period.

      If you are after an even bigger rate of interest, you could try an enhanced income fund. This is a fund that operates in tandem with a traditional income fund and sells call options on the income fund's holdings.
      Enhanced income funds aim to generate a higher income (typically a yield of 7pc a year compared with the average income fund that is now yielding 4.8pc), but at the cost of sacrificing some of the capital growth associated with shares – and they do this using complex derivatives known as options. The funds sell options, for which they receive a fee, on shares held in the portfolio based on a prediction of how the share price will rise in a three-month period.

      Enhanced income funds are able to offer much higher yields than traditional income funds because of the fee they get for selling the option. There are only a handful on the market, but there are plans to launch more.

      Opinions are divided as to whether they carry a higher risk than traditional income funds. Michael Clarke, the manager of Fidelity's Enhanced Income fund, said he tried to ensure as safe an investment as possible.

      In opting for high income, you also lose out on capital growth, so investors need to weigh up whether they are prepared to limit capital growth potential for a little bit of extra yield. Schroder Income Maximiser yielded 7.18pc in the past year, Fidelity Enhanced Income 7.39pc, Newton Higher Income 7.97pc and Insight UK Equity Income Booster 8.76pc.

      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/8209610/Inflation-beating-investments.html