Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Sunday, 23 February 2014
Saturday, 22 February 2014
When Call Options May be Used?
1. Call options benefit buyers when the price of the underlying stock rises above the strike or exercise price.
- Investors buy calls when they are bullish on the stock.
- If an investor bought the call option instead of the stock, the greatest percentage return would come from selling the option, due to the concept of leverage.
- If the market price of the stock declines below the strike price of the option, the most the investor would lose is the option premium.
2. Call options may also be used as a hedge against an upturn in the price of a stock on a short position.
- Assume that an investor had sold short 100 shares of stock A when it was $80 per share.
- When the price of stock A declines to $69 per share, the investor wants to protect the $11 profit per share against a rise in the price of the stock A.
- The investor could buy a call option , which has a strike price of $70 per share.
- For every $1 increase in stock A above $70 per share, there is a profit on the call option that offsets the loss on the short sale..
- If, however, stock A continues to go down in price, the investor has lost only the amount paid to buy the option.
- This strategy allows an investor to protect profits without having to close out his position.
How to benefit from call options?
A call option gives the holder the right to buy 100 shares of the underlying stock at the exercise or strike price up through the date of expiration of the option.
The basic problem is that the stock would have to move up in price above the strike price before the option expires because the option is worth nothing at expiration.
Intrinsic value of call option = Market Price of the Stock - Strike Price
The option premium price fluctuates depending on two factors:( a) the underlying price of the stock, and (b) the time left until the expiration of the option.
The basic problem is that the stock would have to move up in price above the strike price before the option expires because the option is worth nothing at expiration.
Intrinsic value of call option = Market Price of the Stock - Strike Price
The option premium price fluctuates depending on two factors:( a) the underlying price of the stock, and (b) the time left until the expiration of the option.
Should you Buy and Sell the Option or the Stock?
Stock Price $35 Option Price $0.50 Strike Price $35
Stock Price rises to $42 Option premium price increases to $7.25
Scenario Analysis
1. Buying the Stock
Buy 100 shares of the stock at $35 per share Total Cost $3,500
Sell 100 shares of the stock at $42 per share Total Proceeds $4,200
Profit = 4,200 - 3,500 = $700
Return on Investment = 700/3500 = 20%
2. Buying and Selling the Option
Buy stock option Total Cost $50
Sell stock option Total Proceeds $725
Profit = 725 - 50 = $675
Return on Investment = 675/50 = 1350%
3. Exercise Option
Buy stock option Cost $50
Cost to exercise option at strike price Cost $3,500
Total Cost = 50 + 3500 = $3,550
Sell stock at $42 per share Total Proceeds $4,200
Profit = 4,200 - 3,550 = $650
Return on Investment 650/3550 = 18.3%
- Buying and selling the stock, in scenario 1, results in a 20% return.
- This is not to be sneezed at, but compared to buying and selling the option in scenario 2, buying and selling the stock comes in as a poor second to a return of 1350%.
- Comparatively, scenario 3, buying and exercising the option, produces the smallest return of 18.3%.
- Moreover, this scenario 3 also requires the largest outlay of capital ($3,550 versus only $50 for the call option and $3,500 to buy the stock).
Stock Price $35 Option Price $0.50 Strike Price $35
Stock Price falls to $30
Scenario Analysis
1. Buying the Stock
Buy 100 shares of the stock at $35 per share Total Cost $3,500
Sell 100 shares of the stock at $30 per share Total Proceeds $3,000
Loss = 3,500 - 3,000 = $500
Return on Investment = -500/3500 = -14.28%
2. Buying and Selling the Option
Buy stock option Total Cost $50
Stock option expires Total Proceeds $0
As the strike price is above the current price, the intrinsic value of the option is zero.
Loss = cost of buying the option = $ 50
3. Exercise Option
Buy stock option Cost $50
Cost to exercise option at strike price Cost $ -
As the strike price is above the current price, so the option would not be exercised.
Loss = cost of buying the option = $50
- However, if the stock price declines to $30 per share, buying the stock at $35 and selling it at $30 results in a $500 loss and a 14.28% loss (= -500/3500)
- Buying the stock option and having it expire results in a 100% loss on invested capital and a $50 loss of capital.
- There is no third alternative; the strike price is above the current price, so the option would not be exercised. The maximum loss is the cost of the option, $50.
Conclusion:
- Buying and selling the option not only gives the greatest return on investment but also requires the lowest capital outlay.
- By buying a call option instead of the stock, the investor invests a small fraction of the cost of the stock.
- If the stock price rises significantly above the strike price within the period before expiration, the investor can profit by selling or exercising the option.
- In the later case, the investor can then sell the stock or hold it for long-term capital appreciation.
- The most an investor can lose from buying a call option is the cost of the option.
- Thus, the downside risk is limited, as opposed to the potential loss in the case of buying the stock.
- There are many examples of high-flying stocks that have risen to abnormally high prices only to fall back into oblivion, resulting in tremendous losses for those investors who had invested when the stocks were trading at excessively high price.
How to use stock index options?
- Stock index options allow investors to take long and short positions on the market without having to buy or sell the stocks that make up the index.
- A stock index option is a put or call written on a market index.
- Options are offered on most of the major stock market indices.
- Settlement for stock index options is in cash rather than stocks.
- If you think the market is going to decline, you can buy a put option.
- With stock index options you can track the markets without having to buy or sell the stocks.
- Options on stock indices are valued and trade in the same way as options on individual stocks with the notable exceptions that settlement is made in cash for the former.
- The use of stock index options can assist individual investors with large stock portfolios to hedge against potential losses.
- If the investor does not want to sell holdings of appreciated stocks int he portfolio, the investor can protect these gains by buying stock index put options.
- If the market declines, the stock index puts will rise in value, which will offset the losses on the individual stocks.
- Instead, if the investor wrote call options on the stock index resembling the portfolio, the value of the options would decline if the market declined.
- The stocks in the portfolio would lose value, but this loss would be offset by the premiums received from writing the call options.
Related:
Friday, 21 February 2014
Should you bother with options, rights, or warrants?
Options
Options are relatively complicated financial instruments. Most people lose money using options. The obvious question is whether you should even bother with using options.
Options do have characteristics that make them unattractive to some investors:
There are also a number of reasons for using options:
Options are relatively complicated financial instruments. Most people lose money using options. The obvious question is whether you should even bother with using options.
Options do have characteristics that make them unattractive to some investors:
- Options contracts have short lives, and investors could lose their entire investment if the stock price does not change in the predicted direction within the time frame.
- Investors could lose their entire investment even if the stock price moves in the predicted direction after the time frame.
- The risk of loss is not limited when selling uncovered calls or puts.
There are also a number of reasons for using options:
- Investors can profit from using options without having to invest larger amounts to buy the underlying equity. In other words, investing in options costs a fraction of the cost of buying the stock.
- Returns on invested funds from the use of options is much greater than investing in stocks.
- The risk of loss is limited to the cost of the premium paid on the option when buying options.
- Mini options were launched on March 18, 2013. They represent 10 shares of stock, as opposed to regular options contracts, which represent 100 shares, with the aim of creating a broader audience for this market.
Rights and Warrants
Understanding what rights and warrants are can assist investors in determining a course of action when faced with having to make decisions about them.
Related:
Related:
Options, rights and warrants
Dengue Fever Information - What did people with dengue die of?
Dengue Fever Information
For people who live, work or travel extensively in the tropics
Especially those who have had Dengue and are worried about getting it again,
as subsequent infections can have a much more severe reaction
http://oasisdesign.net/health/dengue.htm
For people who live, work or travel extensively in the tropics
Especially those who have had Dengue and are worried about getting it again,
as subsequent infections can have a much more severe reaction
Summary: Dengue hemorrhagic fever is not particularly difficult to treat, nor that dangerous if your treatment is good. This document describes hard to find info for good monitoring and treatment. Print it out and take it with you to areas where dengue is endemic, for peace of mind to and as a quality control checklist for proper treatment in of dengue. Please link to this page to make it easier for others to find.
My wife and I came down with Dengue fever while working on water, sanitation and health care for an Indigenous community in Michoacan, Mexico.
Search on the internet and it is easy to find out that if you've had dengue before, you're at higher risk for contracting dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dying a gruesome death.
Numerous authorities give the excellent, but difficult to follow advice that boils down to:
"...avoid getting bit by the dengue transmitting mosquito."
Well...the dengue mosquito bites primarily during the day, but if it's still hungry, it will bite at night, too. So, unless you leave and never come back, or you're in a bee keeping suit with DEET all over it, day and night (unlikely, considering most places where there is dengue it is hot), there is a good chance you might get bit again.
So what to do—short of never living in/ visiting/ working in any tropical place ever again?What if you do get bit again, despite precautions?
It was very difficult to find out what the actual odds of getting DHF are, and what to do if you do get dengue again. A few days search was almost fruitless, until I reached Enid Garcia at the Center for Disease control in Puerto Rico. In stark contrast to the other sources, she is a veritable font of excellent, practical information and advice.
Here's some general info on dengue, followed by the information she shared with me:
General info on Dengue
Dengue is the most important mosquito-borne viral disease affecting humans; its global distribution is comparable to that of malaria, and an estimated 2.5 billion people live in areas at risk for epidemic transmission (1997 numbers).
Each year, tens of millions of cases of dengue fever occur and, depending on the year, up to hundreds of thousands of cases of DHF. The case-fatality rate of DHF in most countries is about 5%; most fatal cases are among children and young adults.
Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) are caused by one of four closely related, but antigenically distinct, virus serotypes (DEN-1, DEN-2, DEN-3, and DEN-4), of the genus Flavivirus. Infection with one of these serotypes does not provide cross-protective immunity, so persons living in a dengue-endemic area can have four dengue infections during their lifetimes.
(Note: it is the subsequent infections which are much more severe)
Dengue is primarily a disease of the tropics, and the viruses that cause it are maintained in a cycle that involves humans and Aedes aegypti, a domestic, day-biting mosquito that prefers to feed on humans. Infection with dengue viruses produces a spectrum of clinical illness ranging from a nonspecific viral syndrome to severe and fatal hemorrhagic disease. Important risk factors for DHF include the strain and serotype of the infecting virus, as well as the age, immune status, and genetic predisposition of the patient.
Dengue symptoms
Once an infected mosquito has bite a susceptible person, the virus has an incubation period of about 4 - 7 days in the body, prior to the development of symptoms. Dengue may produce very mild or severe illness. The disease is characterized by sudden onset of fever (at or over 38°C during the first 3 to 5 days), headache, general malaise, bone pain, and muscular pain. Also some people may present with vomiting or diarrhea, a generalized rash and in some persons, hemorrhagic manifestations that are usually very mild. The symptoms may last from 5 to 7 days. A small proportion of patients may develop low platelets, low blood pressure and severe bleeding requiring hospital care (Dengue hemorrhagic fever or DHF).
What are odds of getting and dying of hemorrhagic or shock dengue if you've had dengue and you get it again?
- DHF usually results from a second infection from a different serotype
- The theory is that antibodies that prevent reinfection by one serotype somehow help other serotype viruses do worse damage
- Most DHF cases are secondary infections. About 90 % of DHF patients have a previous history of dengue (secondary infections). But even if you have a second infection it does not mean that you will develop DHF. Usually 10- 12.5% of secondary infections develop DHF
- Your risk of dying from DHF with inadequate treatment is 10--15%
- Your risk of dying with adequate treatment is less than 1%, regardless of age group.
- In the majority of cases, the actual cause of death is dehydration from loss of plasma volume, not the hemorrhage itself.
The causes of death from DHF by rank (these are causes of poor prognosis of dengue)
1. Shock due to dehydration
2. Severe Hemorrhage
3. Encephalitis
4. Hepatic failure
Precautions for people who've already had dengue
If you are returning to a dengue area after already having had dengue, you're at greater risk.
- Avoid getting bit
- Research beforehand a physician, clinic, or hospital which you trust to give you adequate treatment should you develop DHF.
- If you are in endemic areas as part of a development program and you're far from major medical care (as we are), see if you can include part or all of the elements of a "dengue mini-clinic" in your program (see below) so you can monitor your own or other dengue cases locally.
Small dengue clinic list
This list is of equipment for monitoring for possibly emergent DHF in a non-hospital setting, to determine if hospitalization is necessary or not:
- CBC Counter (for WBC, Hematocrit, and platelet count)
- Sphygmomanometer (for blood pressure monitor)
- Thermometers (for children, adults)
- Syringes
- IV fluids & setup: Normal saline solution
- Ring Lactate
Monitoring dengue patients for onset of DHF
Usually people who develop DHF do so after the fever goes down. It is most critical to monitor closely during the 24-48 hours after the fever goes down. In mild cases of DHF changes in vital signs are minimal and transient, patients recovering spontaneously or shortly after a brief period of time. In more severe DHF cases the disease might progress rapidly into a stage of shock. If you can, get a platelet count, blood pressure, and hematocrit at the onset of regular dengue symptoms, as a baseline.
- Hemorrhage, decrease in blood pressure, declining platelet count, or increasing hematocrit are all warning signs that DHF may be developing and you should head towards your medical backup/ hospital.
- If you're far from hospital, go early. Don’t wait.
- If you have any hemorrhage look for medical assistance. Hemorrhage by itself does not mean you will be hospitalized. Your physician needs to evaluate you.
- You can have dengue and mild hemorrhage without it being considered DHF.
- Typical hemorrhage is nosebleed, gum bleed, small red dots in skin (pitequeas), and vaginal bleeding. Less common is vomiting blood.
- Transition from dengue to DHF can happen pretty fast (hours, not days), so make sure to be prepared to respond in case of clinical deterioration.
Patient follow up
- Attend to the patients overall state of well-being
- Check and close monitor blood pressure. If it is falling, then probably more fluid is needed possibly IV.
- Dehydration —Main characteristic of DHF is that people dehydrate faster, through capillary leakage. The fluid may collect in places other than the arteries and veins, such as lungs and abdomen.
- Get hematocrit, platelet count when symptoms/fever starts for baseline.
- Keep monitoring daily. If it goes up by 20% from what they had, this suggests dengue hemorrhagic fever, but don't want to wait this long.
- Do daily/ 2x daily hematocrits, if increasing could indicate leaking of the capillaries.
Criteria for hospitalization
- Increasing hematocrit
- Platelet count --less than 100,000mm3
- Any spontaneous bleeding
- Any warning sign for shock ( see shock related symptoms)
- If not adequately treated, dehydration is what kills people (shock from loss of fluid), not the hemorrhage.
- Give a lot of oral fluids and IV fluids without overload
- Can hydrate adequately just from drinking in most cases
Shock related symptoms
Dengue shock symptoms which indicate that the patient should go to a hospital immediately:
- Clinical deterioration
- Severe abdominal pain as dominant symptom (worse than headache, pain in bones)
- Change in mental status-does not respond, loses sense, can't wake up.
- Drastic change in temperature (cold, clammy or mottling skin)
- Severe vomiting
- Not passed urine in 4 – 6 hours
If you have the equipment & know-how, it could benefit a severely dehydrated patient to provide IV fluids during transport if it is a long way to the hospital.
Testing
You need to send blood to a well-equipped laboratory for dengue testing.
Virologic testing
Virologic testing (to see which of the four serotypes of dengue you've got) has to be done during the acute stage (1-5 days) of the illness to isolate the virus. Afterwards it won't be easy to determine which serotype it was.
The public health service in some countries do virologic analysis by area and outbreaks. Thus, if you've been infected, you might be able to find out the likely serotype by asking around, even if it is too late to test yourself.
Serologic testing
Serologic testing is to see if you have develop antibodies against dengue virus. This will let you know your risk factor for subsequent infections.
IGM testing will give let you know if you've had dengue or not, within 30 days of infection.
IGG testing will let you know if you had dengue in the past (long term immunity)
If you think (or know) you've been exposed to dengue years before, IGG testing will show if you still have the antibodies, and thus are at greater risk of contract DHF from a subsequent infection—this is the most critical information.
Infants exposed to antibodies via pregnancy or mothers milk
- An infant who has been exposed to antibodies through pregnancy or mothers milk and still has them will react exactly the same as somebody who had dengue before. Maternal antibodies usually last up to 6 months or more.
- You can do an IGG test for infant, to determine. If your baby has antibodies or not.
- If a baby tests positive for IGM, they had their own direct infection.
- Not all babies get IGG from breast milk.
- If they test negative for IGG, they will respond to a subsequent dengue infection as an initial infection, not as a more dangerous second infection.
- Retest the baby six months after breastfeeding stops to see If he has own immunity, usually mom's antibodies only last 3-6 months.
- Classic dengue is generally milder in young people. But the risk of DHF increases in infants (less than 1 year) due to the presence of maternal antibodies. Risk of fatality from DHF with adequate treatment is similar across different age groups.
- More children contract dengue, because they have not been exposed to the virus previously and are susceptible.
At the hospital
Should you fly to a hospital in an industrialized country?
The care for dengue is relatively simple, and hospitals in endemic areas are probably more experienced with dengue than most hospitals in overdeveloped countries.
If the facility is reasonable, the personnel reasonably competent, and the patient reasonably happy, it's probably best to stay put.
An ideal situation might be a local hospital close to an airport.
Adequate follow up in a hospital (or small dengue clinic If there is no alternative):
- Frequent (daily or twice daily) platelet count, hematocrit, blood pressure.
- Adequate but not excessive hydration, IV If necessary.
- Monitoring of patient well-being
Before discharge
- Platelet count
- Must have stable or increasing platelet count higher than 50,000
- (below 50,000 risk of spontaneous bleeding is higher)
- Blood pressure
- Stable blood pressure (shows good hydration)
- Hematocrit
- Stable or falling (indicative of no or improvement in capillary leakage)
- Pass 48 hours without fever
- No vomiting
- Doesn't have respiratory distress
- From fluid in lungs.
- Improved general constitution
Good luck!
Thursday, 20 February 2014
Options, rights and warrants
Options have many uses and investors need to be aware of their ramifications in order to be able to use them.
In order to do so, investors need to familiarize themselves with knowledge about options.
Learning the Vocabulary
Options: They are stock derivative investments.
Derivative security: A financial security that derives its value from another security.
Options and futures: These are stock derivatives that offer investors some of the benefits of stocks without having to own them.
Options contract: This gives the holder the right to buy or sell shares of a particular common stock at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specified date (expiration date).
Option: An option is a right, not an obligation, to buy or to sell stock at a specified price before or on an expiration date.
Strike price: The price at which the holder of the option can buy or sell the stock.
Expiration date: An option expires on its expiration date.
Stock Option: This is a derivative security because its value depends on the underlying security, which is the common stock of the company.
Options market: Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the American Options Exchange (AOE), the Philadelphia Exchange (PHO), and the Pacific Exchange (PSE). Options can also be traded in the over-the-counter market.
Options websites: www.cboe.com, www.nyse.com/futuresoptions/nyseamex, www.amex.com, www.phlx.com. Click on all exchanges and list all options and LEAPS. Click on Submit, and a list of options for the stock you requested will appear.
Options contracts: Calls and Puts
Call option: A call option gives the option owner the right to buy shares of the underlying company at a predetermined price (strike price) before expiration.
Put option: A put option contract gives the option owner the right to sell shares of the underlying company at the strike price before expiration.
Option holder: Option holder has the right to convert the contract at his/her discretion. It is not an obligation. Holders of the option can exercise the option when it is to their advantage and let the options contract expire if it is not advantageous.
Options contract: SIX items of note in an options contract. 1. Name of the company whose shares can be bought or sold. 2. The number of shares that can be bought or sold, generally 100 shares per contract. 3. The exercise or strike price, which is the stated purchase or sale price of the shares in the contract. 4. The expiration date, which is the date when the option to buy or sell expires. 5. The settlement procedure. 6. The options exercise style.
Option buyer: The option buyer is also referred to as the option holder.
Option seller: The seller of the original contract is referred to as the option writer. In any contract, there are at least two parties: buyers and sellers.
Settlement procedure: This is stipulated for stock options, which indicates when delivery of the underlying common stock takes place after the holder exercises the option.
Options exercise style: There are two basic exercise styles that determine when the option can be exercised, namely, American style and European style.
American style: Options on individual stocks can be exercised ANY time before the expiration date.
European style: Stock index options can be exercised ONLY on expiration date.
Life of the option: The expiration date is also important, as it specifies the life of the option.
Standardized expiration dates: The expiration dates are standardized for options contracts listed on the exchanges. There are three cycles for listed option expirations, and each option is assigned to one of these cycles: January cycle: January-April-July-October; February:cycle: February-May-August-November; and March cycle: March-June-September-December.
Options Clearing Corporation (OCC): The trading of options is greatly facilitated by the Options Clearing Corporation, which, besides maintaining a liquid marketplace, also keeps track of the options and the positions of each investor. Buyers and writers of options do not deal directly with one another but instead with the OCC.
Contract period for stock options: The contract period for stock options is standardized with three-, six-, and nine-month expiration dates. Generally, two options on a stock are introduced to the market at the same time with identical terms except for the strike (exercise) price.
LEAPS (long-term equity anticipation securities): Longer-term options contracts, called LEAPS have life spans of up to three years before expiry. They have similar characteristics to the short-term options contracts but, because of their longer expiration periods, have higher premium prices.
Time value of an option: An option is a wasting asset. There is a time value to the price of an option. The more time before the option expires, the greater is the time value of the option. As the option moves closer to its expiration, so the time value of the option decreases in value. Generally, options are not normally exercised until they are close to expiry because an earlier exercise means throwing away the remaining time value. Another generalization with options (both calls and puts) is that most options are not bought with the intention of exercising them. Instead, they are bought with the intention of selling them.
Intrinsic value of the call option: The intrinsic value of a call option is the difference between the market price of the stock and the strike price. Intrinsic Value of Call Option = Market Price of the Stock - Strike Price.
In the money call option: When the market price is greater than the strike price, the call option is said to be in the money.
Out of the money call option: A call option is said to be out of the money when the market price of the stock is less than the strike price.
At the money call option: The market price of the option equals the strike price.
Time value of put option: Puts are wasting assets and have no value at expiration.
Intrinsic value of put option: The intrinsic value of the put option is determined by subtracting the market price of the stock from the strike price. Intrinsic Value of a Put Option = Strike Price - Market Price of the Stock.
Out of the money put option: If the put option has no intrinsic value, it is out of the money.
In the money put option: If the put option has intrinsic value, it is in the money; and it is profitable to exercise the put option.
At the money put option: If the strike price equals the market price of the stock, the option is at the money.
Writing options: Investors can also write or sell options, which provide additional income from the premiums received from the buyers of the option contracts. The upside potential to this strategy for option writers is limited, however, because the most money the writer can make is the amount of the option premium.
Writing covered option: A covered option is an option that is written against an underlying stock that is owned, or sold short, by the writer. The writer of the option owns the stock against which the options are written.
Writing naked option: This is the second method of writing an option. A naked option, is an option written on an underlying stock that is not owned or sold short by the writer.
Writing covered calls: A covered call limits the appreciation the writer can realize. Therefore, it is a good idea to write covered calls on the stocks you think won't rise or fall very much in price.
Writing naked call: Writing a naked call on a stock is more risky than writing a covered call because of the potential for unlimited losses. A naked call is when the writer does not own the underlying stock, which would limit the losses if the stock rocketed up in the price. Investors can profit from writing naked calls on stocks whose prices either decline or remain relatively flat below the strike price for calls.
Writing covered puts: The writer of a covered put sells short the underlying stock and receives a premium for the covered put. If the option is exercised, the writer would buy back the stock at the strike price and use the shares to close out his short position.
Writing naked puts: The writer of a put option expects the stock to rise or at best not fall in price. If the put writer does not own the underlying stock, the contract is a naked or uncovered put, which necessitates that the writer deposits an amount of money with the brokerage firm for the required margin.Without owning the underlying stocks, the potential loss is not cushioned if the price of the stock falls rapidly.
Combination of Puts and Calls: Straddle and Spread
Straddle: A straddle is the purchase (or sale) of a put and a call with the same strike price and the same expiration date.
Spread: A spread is the purchase or sale of a combination of put and call options contracts with different strike prices.
Stock Index Options: Stock index options allow investors to take long and short positions on the market without having to buy or sell short the stocks that make up the index. A stock index option is a put or call written on a market index. With stock index options you can track the markets without having to buy or sell the stocks. Options on stock indices are valued and trade in the same way as options on individual stocks with the notable exceptions that settlement is made in cash for the former.
Rights: A right, also known as a preemptive right, is an option allowing a shareholder to by additional shares of new stock of the company at a specified price within a specified time period before the shares are offered to the public. A right allows a current shareholder to buy more common stock of the company in advance of the public at a discounted price (subscription price). Stock rights are issued to existing shareholders on a stated date. These rights give existing shareholders the opportunity to maintain their same proportionate ownership in the company after the new issue of common stock. Rights, like options, can be bought for one of two reasons: either to exercise the rights or to speculate on the rights.
Trading cum rights: To be eligible to buy these additional shares at the subscription price, the common stock of the company must be owned as of the record date set by the board of directors. Most rights offering have a short period of time (between two and six weeks) for existing shareholders to either subscribe to the new shares or sell the rights. It is during this period that the stock is said to be trading cum rights, where the value of the right is included in the market price of the stock.
Trading ex-rights date: After a specified date, known as the ex-rights date, stock transactions do not include the rights. Theoretically, the stock price goes down after this date, when the rights trade separately.
Value of a right: The value of a right depends on the market price of the stock, the subscription price of the right, and the number of rights necessary to buy each new share.
Cum Rights Value: The formula to determine the value of the rights before they trade independently of the stock is as follows: Cum Rights Value = (Market Price of Stock - Subscription Price) / (Number of Rights to Buy a Share + 1)
Ex-rights Value: After the stock trades ex-rights, its price declines by the value of the right, because rights trade separately from the stock. Investors who want to buy the rights can purchase them on the market in the same way they can purchase the stock. The ex-rights value is calculated as follows; Ex-rights Value = (Market Price of Stock - Subscription Price) / (Number of Rights Needed to Buy a Share)
Warrants: A warrant is a security that allows its owner to purchase a stated number of shares of common stock at a specified price within a specified time period. A warrant is similar to a long-term option in that it gives the owner the right to by a stated number of shares of the underlying company's stock at a specific price within a specific period of time. The differences between warrants and options are that with warrants the specified price can be fixed or it can rise at certain intervals, such as every five years, and the company can extend the expiration date. Warrants have longer lives than options. An option can have a life of nine months or less; warrants extend for years, and some companies have issued perpetual warrants. Generally, there is a waiting period before warrants can be exercised. Corporations issue warrants as sweeteners with other securities issued by the company. Warrants can be attached to bonds or preferred stocks. In some cases, warrants have been distributed to shareholders in place of stock or cash dividends. The major advantage of warrants over options is that warrants have longer lives. Warrants do well when stock prices are rising, but investors should still be selective about the warrants they buy. If the stock never goes up in price, there is little to no opportunity to profit from buying the warrants. Generally, as with options, warrants should be bought to trade and not to exercise.
Value of a warrant: When a company issues warrants, the purchase price of the stock is generally fixed at a higher price than the market price of the stock at issue. Value of a warrant = (Market price of stock - Exercise price ) x (Number of shares purchased with the warrant).
Premium of a warrant: Premium = Market price of the warrant - Value of the warrant. If the market price of the stock never rises to the strike price of the warrant during its life, the warrant is not exercised and expires.
Related:
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,42222.0.html
In order to do so, investors need to familiarize themselves with knowledge about options.
Learning the Vocabulary
Options: They are stock derivative investments.
Derivative security: A financial security that derives its value from another security.
Options and futures: These are stock derivatives that offer investors some of the benefits of stocks without having to own them.
Options contract: This gives the holder the right to buy or sell shares of a particular common stock at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specified date (expiration date).
Option: An option is a right, not an obligation, to buy or to sell stock at a specified price before or on an expiration date.
Strike price: The price at which the holder of the option can buy or sell the stock.
Expiration date: An option expires on its expiration date.
Stock Option: This is a derivative security because its value depends on the underlying security, which is the common stock of the company.
Options market: Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the American Options Exchange (AOE), the Philadelphia Exchange (PHO), and the Pacific Exchange (PSE). Options can also be traded in the over-the-counter market.
Options websites: www.cboe.com, www.nyse.com/futuresoptions/nyseamex, www.amex.com, www.phlx.com. Click on all exchanges and list all options and LEAPS. Click on Submit, and a list of options for the stock you requested will appear.
Options contracts: Calls and Puts
Call option: A call option gives the option owner the right to buy shares of the underlying company at a predetermined price (strike price) before expiration.
Put option: A put option contract gives the option owner the right to sell shares of the underlying company at the strike price before expiration.
Option holder: Option holder has the right to convert the contract at his/her discretion. It is not an obligation. Holders of the option can exercise the option when it is to their advantage and let the options contract expire if it is not advantageous.
Options contract: SIX items of note in an options contract. 1. Name of the company whose shares can be bought or sold. 2. The number of shares that can be bought or sold, generally 100 shares per contract. 3. The exercise or strike price, which is the stated purchase or sale price of the shares in the contract. 4. The expiration date, which is the date when the option to buy or sell expires. 5. The settlement procedure. 6. The options exercise style.
Option buyer: The option buyer is also referred to as the option holder.
Option seller: The seller of the original contract is referred to as the option writer. In any contract, there are at least two parties: buyers and sellers.
Settlement procedure: This is stipulated for stock options, which indicates when delivery of the underlying common stock takes place after the holder exercises the option.
Options exercise style: There are two basic exercise styles that determine when the option can be exercised, namely, American style and European style.
American style: Options on individual stocks can be exercised ANY time before the expiration date.
European style: Stock index options can be exercised ONLY on expiration date.
Life of the option: The expiration date is also important, as it specifies the life of the option.
Standardized expiration dates: The expiration dates are standardized for options contracts listed on the exchanges. There are three cycles for listed option expirations, and each option is assigned to one of these cycles: January cycle: January-April-July-October; February:cycle: February-May-August-November; and March cycle: March-June-September-December.
Options Clearing Corporation (OCC): The trading of options is greatly facilitated by the Options Clearing Corporation, which, besides maintaining a liquid marketplace, also keeps track of the options and the positions of each investor. Buyers and writers of options do not deal directly with one another but instead with the OCC.
Contract period for stock options: The contract period for stock options is standardized with three-, six-, and nine-month expiration dates. Generally, two options on a stock are introduced to the market at the same time with identical terms except for the strike (exercise) price.
LEAPS (long-term equity anticipation securities): Longer-term options contracts, called LEAPS have life spans of up to three years before expiry. They have similar characteristics to the short-term options contracts but, because of their longer expiration periods, have higher premium prices.
Time value of an option: An option is a wasting asset. There is a time value to the price of an option. The more time before the option expires, the greater is the time value of the option. As the option moves closer to its expiration, so the time value of the option decreases in value. Generally, options are not normally exercised until they are close to expiry because an earlier exercise means throwing away the remaining time value. Another generalization with options (both calls and puts) is that most options are not bought with the intention of exercising them. Instead, they are bought with the intention of selling them.
Intrinsic value of the call option: The intrinsic value of a call option is the difference between the market price of the stock and the strike price. Intrinsic Value of Call Option = Market Price of the Stock - Strike Price.
In the money call option: When the market price is greater than the strike price, the call option is said to be in the money.
Out of the money call option: A call option is said to be out of the money when the market price of the stock is less than the strike price.
At the money call option: The market price of the option equals the strike price.
Time value of put option: Puts are wasting assets and have no value at expiration.
Intrinsic value of put option: The intrinsic value of the put option is determined by subtracting the market price of the stock from the strike price. Intrinsic Value of a Put Option = Strike Price - Market Price of the Stock.
Out of the money put option: If the put option has no intrinsic value, it is out of the money.
In the money put option: If the put option has intrinsic value, it is in the money; and it is profitable to exercise the put option.
At the money put option: If the strike price equals the market price of the stock, the option is at the money.
Writing options: Investors can also write or sell options, which provide additional income from the premiums received from the buyers of the option contracts. The upside potential to this strategy for option writers is limited, however, because the most money the writer can make is the amount of the option premium.
Writing covered option: A covered option is an option that is written against an underlying stock that is owned, or sold short, by the writer. The writer of the option owns the stock against which the options are written.
Writing naked option: This is the second method of writing an option. A naked option, is an option written on an underlying stock that is not owned or sold short by the writer.
Writing covered calls: A covered call limits the appreciation the writer can realize. Therefore, it is a good idea to write covered calls on the stocks you think won't rise or fall very much in price.
Writing naked call: Writing a naked call on a stock is more risky than writing a covered call because of the potential for unlimited losses. A naked call is when the writer does not own the underlying stock, which would limit the losses if the stock rocketed up in the price. Investors can profit from writing naked calls on stocks whose prices either decline or remain relatively flat below the strike price for calls.
Writing covered puts: The writer of a covered put sells short the underlying stock and receives a premium for the covered put. If the option is exercised, the writer would buy back the stock at the strike price and use the shares to close out his short position.
Writing naked puts: The writer of a put option expects the stock to rise or at best not fall in price. If the put writer does not own the underlying stock, the contract is a naked or uncovered put, which necessitates that the writer deposits an amount of money with the brokerage firm for the required margin.Without owning the underlying stocks, the potential loss is not cushioned if the price of the stock falls rapidly.
Combination of Puts and Calls: Straddle and Spread
Straddle: A straddle is the purchase (or sale) of a put and a call with the same strike price and the same expiration date.
Spread: A spread is the purchase or sale of a combination of put and call options contracts with different strike prices.
Stock Index Options: Stock index options allow investors to take long and short positions on the market without having to buy or sell short the stocks that make up the index. A stock index option is a put or call written on a market index. With stock index options you can track the markets without having to buy or sell the stocks. Options on stock indices are valued and trade in the same way as options on individual stocks with the notable exceptions that settlement is made in cash for the former.
Rights: A right, also known as a preemptive right, is an option allowing a shareholder to by additional shares of new stock of the company at a specified price within a specified time period before the shares are offered to the public. A right allows a current shareholder to buy more common stock of the company in advance of the public at a discounted price (subscription price). Stock rights are issued to existing shareholders on a stated date. These rights give existing shareholders the opportunity to maintain their same proportionate ownership in the company after the new issue of common stock. Rights, like options, can be bought for one of two reasons: either to exercise the rights or to speculate on the rights.
Trading cum rights: To be eligible to buy these additional shares at the subscription price, the common stock of the company must be owned as of the record date set by the board of directors. Most rights offering have a short period of time (between two and six weeks) for existing shareholders to either subscribe to the new shares or sell the rights. It is during this period that the stock is said to be trading cum rights, where the value of the right is included in the market price of the stock.
Trading ex-rights date: After a specified date, known as the ex-rights date, stock transactions do not include the rights. Theoretically, the stock price goes down after this date, when the rights trade separately.
Value of a right: The value of a right depends on the market price of the stock, the subscription price of the right, and the number of rights necessary to buy each new share.
Cum Rights Value: The formula to determine the value of the rights before they trade independently of the stock is as follows: Cum Rights Value = (Market Price of Stock - Subscription Price) / (Number of Rights to Buy a Share + 1)
Ex-rights Value: After the stock trades ex-rights, its price declines by the value of the right, because rights trade separately from the stock. Investors who want to buy the rights can purchase them on the market in the same way they can purchase the stock. The ex-rights value is calculated as follows; Ex-rights Value = (Market Price of Stock - Subscription Price) / (Number of Rights Needed to Buy a Share)
Warrants: A warrant is a security that allows its owner to purchase a stated number of shares of common stock at a specified price within a specified time period. A warrant is similar to a long-term option in that it gives the owner the right to by a stated number of shares of the underlying company's stock at a specific price within a specific period of time. The differences between warrants and options are that with warrants the specified price can be fixed or it can rise at certain intervals, such as every five years, and the company can extend the expiration date. Warrants have longer lives than options. An option can have a life of nine months or less; warrants extend for years, and some companies have issued perpetual warrants. Generally, there is a waiting period before warrants can be exercised. Corporations issue warrants as sweeteners with other securities issued by the company. Warrants can be attached to bonds or preferred stocks. In some cases, warrants have been distributed to shareholders in place of stock or cash dividends. The major advantage of warrants over options is that warrants have longer lives. Warrants do well when stock prices are rising, but investors should still be selective about the warrants they buy. If the stock never goes up in price, there is little to no opportunity to profit from buying the warrants. Generally, as with options, warrants should be bought to trade and not to exercise.
Value of a warrant: When a company issues warrants, the purchase price of the stock is generally fixed at a higher price than the market price of the stock at issue. Value of a warrant = (Market price of stock - Exercise price ) x (Number of shares purchased with the warrant).
Premium of a warrant: Premium = Market price of the warrant - Value of the warrant. If the market price of the stock never rises to the strike price of the warrant during its life, the warrant is not exercised and expires.
Related:
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,42222.0.html
Tuesday, 18 February 2014
Everything You Need to Know About Personal Investing in One Page
Scott Adams - Dilbert and the Way of the Weasel
"Everything You Need to Know About Personal Investing."
1. Make a will
2. Pay off your credit cards.
3. Get term life insurance if you have a family to support.
4. Fund your 401k to the maximum.
5. Fund your IRA to the maximum.
6. Buy a house if you want to live in a house and you can afford it.
7. Put six month's expenses in a money market account.
8. Take whatever money is left over and invest 70 percent in a stock index fund and 30 percent in a bond fund through any discount broker and never touch it until retirement.
9. If any of this confuses you, or if you have something special going on (retirement, college planning , tax issues), hire a fee-based financial planner.
"Everything You Need to Know About Personal Investing."
1. Make a will
2. Pay off your credit cards.
3. Get term life insurance if you have a family to support.
4. Fund your 401k to the maximum.
5. Fund your IRA to the maximum.
6. Buy a house if you want to live in a house and you can afford it.
7. Put six month's expenses in a money market account.
8. Take whatever money is left over and invest 70 percent in a stock index fund and 30 percent in a bond fund through any discount broker and never touch it until retirement.
9. If any of this confuses you, or if you have something special going on (retirement, college planning , tax issues), hire a fee-based financial planner.
Sunday, 16 February 2014
Courage becomes the supreme virtue after adequate knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
A fourth business rule is more positive: “Have the courage of
your knowledge and experience. If you have formed a conclusion
from the facts and if you know your judgment is sound, act on it—
even though others may hesitate or differ.” (You are neither right
nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you. You are right
because your data and reasoning are right.) Similarly, in the world
of securities, courage becomes the supreme virtue after adequate
knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
Fortunately for the typical investor, it is by no means necessary for his success that he bring these qualities to bear upon his pro- gram—provided he limits his ambition to his capacity and confines his activities within the safe and narrow path of standard, defen- sive investment. To achieve satisfactory investment results is easier than most people realize; to achieve superior results is harder than it looks.
Benjamin Graham
The Intelligent Investor
Fortunately for the typical investor, it is by no means necessary for his success that he bring these qualities to bear upon his pro- gram—provided he limits his ambition to his capacity and confines his activities within the safe and narrow path of standard, defen- sive investment. To achieve satisfactory investment results is easier than most people realize; to achieve superior results is harder than it looks.
Benjamin Graham
The Intelligent Investor
Thursday, 13 February 2014
The FRIEND of your cash - The Magic of Compounding
Know the enemy of your cash: INFLATION
Know the friend of your cash: COMPOUNDING
Michael saved $1,000 per year from age of 21 for 10 years.
Terrence saved $2,000 per year from the age of 31 for 25 years.
Assuming they both had the same rate of return at 12% per year, at the age of 55 years, Michael grew his money more than Terrence.
The earlier you start, the less you need to save and the more you will have.
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,47111.msg1170071.html#msg1170071
Know the friend of your cash: COMPOUNDING
Michael saved $1,000 per year from age of 21 for 10 years.
Terrence saved $2,000 per year from the age of 31 for 25 years.
Assuming they both had the same rate of return at 12% per year, at the age of 55 years, Michael grew his money more than Terrence.
The earlier you start, the less you need to save and the more you will have.
http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,47111.msg1170071.html#msg1170071
Sunday, 9 February 2014
Property Investments
Understanding the figures behind property investments.
Here are the important calculations
Income Statement
Gross Rental Income
Vacancy Allowance (%)
Gross Operating Income = Gross Rental Income - Vacancy Allowance
Annual Operating Expenses
Total Expenses include assessment tax, quit/annual rent, management service charge, fire insurance, householder's insurance, MRTA, and others.
MRTA = mortgage-reducing term assurance
MLTA = mortgage-level term assurance (MLTA)
Net Operating Income
Net Operating Income = Gross Operating Income - Total Expenses
Cash Flow (before tax) from your property investment
Having calculated the net operating income, subtract the annual mortgage payments to obtain the cash flow (before tax) from the property investment.
Cash flow (before tax) = Net Operating Income - Annual Mortgage Payments
How much do you value or pay for the property?
Purchase price
Down payment / Equity
Balance financed by mortgage
Mortgage Summary
Bank
Term (Years)
Interest (% )
Total Monthly Payment
Total Yearly Payment
Total Debt Payment
Reference: Mortgage Calculators
Initial Yield Computation
Initial Yield = Gross Annual Rental / Purchase Price
Those more enterprising aim for initial yield of :
House 4 to 6%
Condo 8 to 12%
Return on Equity (ROE)
Your returns come from these 3 sources:
1. Cash Flow (before tax) provided by the property
2. Gains from your equity growth in the property
3. Appreciation of your property price over the period.
Your TOTAL RETURNS at the end of the mortgage period = 1 + 2 + 3
TOTAL ROE = (1+2+3) / Initial Down-payment for the Property
My general rules:
1. Properties prices appreciate by 100% every 10 years, higher for those in good locations..
2. Rental yields are around 3%/year based on present market price.
3. Rentals increase generally by 10% every 3 years, but only for selected properties in good locations.
When you own a good or great property in a great location at a good price, you will enjoy great ROE on your property investment, using the generous leverage provided by your bank mortgage (using other people's money). You paid an initial down-payment, and your tenants pay for the mortgages and the expenses. On top of this, you may even enjoy a positive cash flow from the property giving you regular income. During the tenure, you continue to enjoy increasing rental, after-all, you have no problem getting the best tenants and the existing tenants will likely pay up since they are making good earnings from the use of the property. At the end of the mortgage period, you would have owned 100% equity of the property, the property would have appreciated over the long period, and you have also pocketed incomes from the positive cash flow generated by the property. Totaling all these gains and then working back to your initial down-payment (your equity), you would have realised a great ROE.
Those less knowledgeable in share investing may wish to go the property route.
Summary:
1. Location, location, location = good or great properties
2. Net Operating Income = Gross Operating Income - Total Expenses
3. Cash flow (before tax) = Net Operating Income - Mortgage Payments
4. Mortgage - go for the largest available mortgage, with the longest term and the lowest interest
5. Ensure that 2 & 3 are always positive.
(Types of properties: squatter homes, low cost houses and apartments, houses, apartments and condominiums, townhouses/duplexes, commercial, service apartments, luxury homes, mobile homes, raw land, recreational, ranches, agriculture, industrial, specialty buildings such as stadiums and theaters.)(
Summary:
1. Location, location, location = good or great properties
2. Net Operating Income = Gross Operating Income - Total Expenses
3. Cash flow (before tax) = Net Operating Income - Mortgage Payments
4. Mortgage - go for the largest available mortgage, with the longest term and the lowest interest
5. Ensure that 2 & 3 are always positive.
(Types of properties: squatter homes, low cost houses and apartments, houses, apartments and condominiums, townhouses/duplexes, commercial, service apartments, luxury homes, mobile homes, raw land, recreational, ranches, agriculture, industrial, specialty buildings such as stadiums and theaters.)(
Tuesday, 28 January 2014
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