Smart Investing: Don’t Lose Money!

We’ve all been told that in order to create wealth we must take risks and invest, invest, invest. Between stocks, bonds, mutual funds, 401(k)’s, IRA’s and so forth, people are feeling the pressure to invest because they have been taught that it’s the only way to wealth. The problem is many people are losing money. And, though some recover from losses (and some never do), losing money has a much greater negative impact on your wealth than gains do. Let me explain.

Impact of Losses vs. Gains

First, some basic math. I want to show you how losses hurt much more than gains help. Many people are under the impression that if they have a 20 percent loss one year and a 20 percent gain the next, then everything is okay and they’re back to their original investment. Unfortunately, this isn’t true.

Let’s say you invest $100,000. The first year, you lose 20 percent. You’re left with $80,000. The next year you make a 20 percent gain. How much do you have? Remember the “gain” must be calculated from the current value of $80,000, so a 20 percent gain on $80,000 would take your value up to $96,000. You’ve still lost money.

But what if you had a gain first and then a loss, would that make any difference? Let’s see: Again, you start with $100,000. Only, this time, you gains 20 percent off the bat. Now you have $120,000. The next year you lose 20 percent, leaving you with $96,000. There is no difference whether you gain first or lose first; the loss can happen at any point and will still have a greater impact than the gain.

Don’t Lose Money!

Remember the most important rule in
creating wealth, “don’t lose money.” 

In the end, no matter how you choose to invest your money, make informed decisions and look at all your opportunities.

Dan Thompson is a 25+ year financial expert and author of “Discovering Hidden Treasures.” He specializes in wealth creation and retirement planning.

OCTOBER 5, 2010

http://www.quizzle.com/blog/2010/10/smart-investing-dont-lose-money/

The difference between Simple Average Returns and Compound Returns

Below is an illustration of the difference between simple average returns and compound returns, as well as the impact of losses no matter when they occur. Each Manager (A through F) had a different investment approach and therefore, performed differently in each of the three years. The table represents the different returns year-after-year over a three-year period for six separate managers.

	Client A	Client B	Client C	Client D	Client E	Client F
Year 1	10.0%	6.0%	16.0%	30.0%	45.0%	55.0%
Year 2	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	-20.0%	-30.0%	-35.0%
Year 3	10.0%	14.0%	4.0%	20.0%	15.0%	10.0%
Simple Average	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%
Compound Returns	10.00%	9.95%	9.89%	7.66%	5.29%	3.49%
Ending Value of $1 Million Invested	$1,331,000	$1,329,240	$1,327,040	$1,248,000	$1,167,250	$1,108,250

In each case, the simple return over the three years is 10%, whereas the compounded return (the amount of gain you have realized) fluctuates between a high of 10% and a dismal 3.49%. Despite the larger returns in some years, the investment is more severely impacted by the loss. Interestingly, as the size of the loss increases, a greater percentage gain is required to restore the account back to breakeven. In short, it is important to understand that managers can brag about simple averages but you can only spend compound returns. Our goal is to execute investment strategies that capture the most of bull markets while preserving gains in bear markets to provide superior long-term compound returns.

*While our rule of thumb for investing is "don't lose money", investments have the potential for negative returns over both the short and long term. Our goal, however, is to limit the downside through security selection, asset allocation, diversification, and the use of active risk management, including the use of options and contra-funds.

http://traderwm.com/DLM/

Compound returns are the most precise and accurate reflection of your portfolio's bottom line and thus, they are of utmost concern for you.

Compound returns are a reference to the cumulative impact of gains or losses on your portfolio, they are a reflection of your ability in your investing and they are indications of how much money is in your account. Simple returns, on the other hand, are the returns that occur each day, month or year and are only a snapshot look at an investment's performance without regard to its history. 


For example, if a portfolio is down 10% one year and up 10% the next, the simple return on this portfolio is 0% and the manager can report a "break-even" performance over these two years if he refers to his simple returns. However, when it comes to compound returns, which reflect the net effect to your account, the portfolio is actually down 1%. The loss in year one reduced the amount of capital invested for the following year and therefore, a higher performance was needed simply to return the investment to breakeven. It would take an 11% gain to make up for a 10% loss, regardless of the order of the gain/loss.

Malaysia’s rich spend mostly on cars, yachts and planes

By Clara Chooi

October 14, 2011

KUALA LUMPUR, Oct 14 — When they have some extra cash to blow, Malaysia’s rich prefer splurging on a fancy new set of wheels, luxurious yachts or private jets, the Asia-Pacific Wealth Report 2011 has revealed.

These big spenders see less glitter or glamour in jewellery or swanky watches, unlike their rich Southeast Asian counterparts in Singapore, who prefer burning bucks on these sparkling adornments.

Last year, 46 per cent of Malaysia’s rich invested their ringgit in luxury collectibles like cars, boats and jets, the highest percentage of any country within the Asia-Pacific region.

In 2010, 46 per cent of Malaysia’s rich invested their ringgit in luxury collectibles like cars, boats and jets, the highest percentage of any country within the Asia-Pacific region. — Reuters file pic

The region’s average topped at just 30 per cent, with Malaysia leading the list and followed by Taiwan at 38 per cent, Indonesia 36 per cent, China 35 per cent, Japan and Australia tied at 30 per cent, South Korea 28 per cent, Hong Kong 23 per cent, India 21 per cent and Singapore, merely six per cent.

Twenty-four per cent of Malaysia’s rich chose jewellery over gleaming sports rims while 16 per cent took a fancy to acquiring rare collectibles like special wines or old coins.

A small 10 per cent thronged art galleries to spruce up their collections while others invested in their favourite sports teams and other miscellaneous “investments of passion”.

The report, released yesterday by Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management and Capgemini, surmised that such “investments of passion” would continue to hold appeal to all “high net worth individuals” or HNWIs within the Asia-Pacific market as the ranks of the wealthy in the region continue to grow at a brisk pace.

HNWIs are defined as those having investable assets of US$1 million (RM3.13 million) or more, excluding primary residence, collectibles, consumables, and consumer durables.

“Investments of passion hold appeal for all HNWIs, both for their aesthetic appeal and their potential to gain in value. Asia-Pacific HNWIs’ appetite for investments of passion increased in 2010, especially in emerging markets that suffered less than developed economies in the global downturn,” the report said.

The report also said last year’s spending pattern revealed that a majority of HNWIs in Asia-Pacific remained most heavily invested in real estate and equities.

An estimated 30 per cent of the financial assets of Malaysia’s rich is in real estate, followed by 28 per cent in equities, 26 per cent in fixed income, 10 per cent in cash or deposits and six per cent in other alternative investments.

A majority of the HNWIs’ holdings also stayed within their respective home regions, the report added.

“Malaysia, China, and India, the allocations to home-region investments remained high at around 85 per cent,” it said.

When compared to its neighbours in the region, however, the report said Malaysian HNWIs assets were the least diversified with 86 per cent in home-region investments.

The report surmised that the Asia-Pacific HNW segment had “thrived” last year but was expected to face a slump this year and in 2012.

“The number of HNWIs in the region grew to 3.3 million in 2010, from 3.0 million in 2009, making the HNWI population 18.3 per cent larger than in 2007.

“As a result of that growth, the Asia-Pacific HNWI population also became the second-largest in the world, overtaking Europe (which had 3.1 million HNWIs in 2010), and nearing that of North America (3.4 million),” the report said.

Economic expansion in the region was likely to “abate slightly”, however, this year and in 2012, as economies absorb the withdrawal of fiscal and monetary stimulus, rising inflation, constrained capacity, and the macroeconomic imbalances prompted by large foreign-capital inflows.

“As a result, GDP growth in Asia-Pacific excluding Japan is expected to slow to 6.9 per cent in 2011, and 6.8 per cent in 2012 (down from 8.3 per cent last year),” it said.

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/malaysias-rich-spend-their-money-mostly-on-cars-yachts-and-planes/

Don’t Lose Money!

The hardest thing in investing is recovering from a loss. It takes a 100% gain to recover from a 50% loss. So don’t lose money!

How to Never Lose Money in the Stock Market

Now that’s a pretty controversial heading, isn’t it?  It reminds you of Will Rogers’ line:  “I’m more interested in the return of my money than the return on my money.”

Losing money seems to be as big of a part of stock market investing as wealth building.  Losses and their devastating results certainly draw more attention.  In fact, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as other stock market watchdog agencies, require a warning to investors that losses are possible.

So how can I get away with that heading?  Simple:  Because it’s true!  A man named Benjamin Graham first wrote about the system in the ‘50s.  Warren Buffett and his Berkshire Hathaway company followed these rules and became the most successful stock market investor of all times.  These are their rules, and their system.  And here it’s presented in easy-to-follow terminology.

You must have a hook, and the acronym I use for this system is this: D.A.B.L.  (Don’t dabble in the markets, DABL instead). Each letter of the acronym stands for a part of investing; a rule if you will.  Follow these four rules and you will never lose money in the market.  Break even once, and you’re gambling.  There’s an old time Brooklyn comedian, named Myron Cohen, who said this about gambling:

“Here’s how you come out ahead in Las Vegas:  When you get off the plane, walk into the propeller!” So don’t walk into the propeller, follow the D.A.B.L. and build your wealth as sure as sunrise.

“D” Stands for Diversification.  To be properly diversified you need thousands of stocks encompassing all descriptions.  Large Caps, Mid-Caps, Small Caps, International, Growth, Value, Growth and Income, etc.  When you have a widely diversified portfolio, individual stock losses are swallowed by individual gains.  The “Enrons” will be offset by the “Microsofts” and “Exxons.”  In our practice, we use 54 mutual funds to achieve this.  Each fund owns hundreds and thousands of stocks.  Diversification upon diversification.  Now you might ask, “But what if I’d bought Microsoft and Exxon 20 years ago? Wouldn’t I have made much more?”  Yes you would have.  But what if you’d bought Enron?  Before it crashed and burned, Wall Street analysts wouldn’t shut up about what a great buy Enron was. You’d have lost everything, and it wouldn’t have recovered the same as the rest of the market when times got better.   In short, diversification removes the gambling aspect of stock market investing.

“A” Stands for Asset Allocation.  This goes hand in hand with diversification.  This is simply allocating investments in varied sectors of the economy to minimize market downturns and profit on the inevitable upswings.  Here’s a conservative asset allocation for all seasons:

Small Cap Growth funds               5%

Mid Cap Growth funds                 5%

Large Cap Growth funds               5%

Small Cap Value funds                 10%

Mid Cap Value funds                   10%

Large Cap Value funds                 10%

Value Blend funds                        10%

Aggressive Growth funds             10%

High Yield Bonds fund                   5%

Investment Grade Bonds                5%

International Global Bonds             5%

Global Emerging Markets               5%

International Growth                       5%

International Value                        10%

The word “cap” refers to Capitalization – the size of the stocks the fund purchases.  “Blend” means the fund invests across all styles and sizes in its area.  International usually means outside the U.S., while global includes U.S. investments.  This allocation uses strictly mutual funds.  Software like Morningstar places each fund in the “style boxes” described in this allocation.  If you don’t have enough assets to buy all those funds, start with “value” and “growth,” and leave “aggressive” and “emerging” markets for last.  If you’re investing in your 401(k) and don’t have all those options, do the best you can to duplicate this allocation with emphasis on “value.”

“B” Stands for Buy and Hold.  Buy and hold works, as proven repeatedly by the likes of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett.  Buying and selling securities results in losses or minimum gains for most investors.  It does generate lots of commissions, which is why the brokerage industry hates that one fact.  However they’re coming around with fee-wrapped account, tacitly encouraging buy-and-hold.

“L” Stands for Long Term Goals.  The minimum holding period is five to seven years.  Diversified buy-and-hold investments have achieved this goal in every seven-year period since 1969.  Stock market investments should always be held for the long term.  Anything else is gambling.

Now here’s a question that always comes up:  “I will be retiring next year.  Shouldn’t I be invested mostly in safe investments like treasury bonds and CDs?”

Well that depends on how much money you have for retirement.  The D.A.B.L. system is strictly to make money grow – make the pie bigger.  Most retirees have enough funds to leave a certain amount alone for seven years.  That’s the amount that should be invested for growth.  It’s going to vary for everyone.  There’s no pat answer – you’ve got to analyze your own situation.  Remember, this system is for growth, and every retirement portfolio needs growth – a certain amount of money targeted to get much larger in a given number of years to offset the ravages of inflation.

So go ahead, D.A.B.L – just don’t dabble.

By Patrick Astre

http://www.myarticlearchive.com/articles/8/224.htm

Message:  If you do not diversify, do not asset allocate, do not buy and hold, and do not keep your stocks for 5 to 7 years ... you are NOT investing but gambling. 

3 Ways to Not Lose Money in the Stock Market

People ask me all the time how I haven’t lost hoards of money like most others. How I do I pick winners every time?

Well the truth is that I don’t always pick winners. In fact, I’m sure the percentage of winners to losers is somewhere around 50-50%; however, I am able to keep my losses to a minimum because of my strict entry and exit plans before taking part of any stock.

If you have ever read any of my free stock recommendations, then you realize that I am a big user of technical analysis and for every stock I keep an entry, stop, and exit point. These three items I believe are an absolute must have before throwing your money into the market.

I’ll briefly go over each one so you understand what I am talking about.

Entry

Before entering any stock you should have a predetermined price at where you want to enter the stock. Basically you want to choose a price that symbolizes the stock has broke out or gained momentum.

Although my stock winners and losers percentage is 50-50%, my entries allow me to avoid stocks that are not right. If the stock never hits my price, than move on. There are so many things you can invest in. Don’t get caught up with any one stock.

Stops

There are various forms of stops, and different times to use them. A stop is a price point where you will exit the stock. Depending on your savvy, stops can be a changing variable. Typically you want your first stop at a point where you would consider the trade a failure. So if you buy at $15, then you might create a stop at $14.80.Listening to this stop is very critical because these are where most people incur the most losses.

The easiest way to avoid losses is to cut them. Trim the fat. If something is not working, then why should you still hold on to it? The more you lose the longer it takes to recover, and now your money is tied up.

If you are fortunate enough to see gains, then move your stops up. So if the stock goes to $16, then maybe your move the stop to $15.80. There are many different ways to determine a stop, but ultimately it depends on what you want.

Exits

Lastly, no trade is complete unless you cash out. The worst thing you can do is blindly go into any stock and not have some sort of price target. You will notice in my charts that I find potential price targets. This is one of the hardest things to do, but don’t get caught up with trying to squeeze every penny out. Any profit is better than no profit.

Once that price target is reached, then its okay to play with house money, but make sure to take some profit off the table or at least move your stop up.

When implementing these three items it is very important to stay discipline. Don’t change anything on a hunch.Unless there is some strong evidence to change your initial stance, then don’t do it. Ultimately that is how you keep your losses to a minimum and profits to a max.

You can learn more about techincal analysis through Chart Pattern Analysis.

April 22nd, 2009 

http://thewildinvestor.com/3-ways-to-not-lose-money-in-the-stock-market/