Tuesday, 11 April 2017

Four Key Questions when using Financial Information and Interpreting Accounting Ratios

There are many traps in using financial information and interpreting accounting ratios.

You are advised to approach the job with caution and always keep in mind four key questions:

  1. Am I comparing like with like?
  2. Is there an explanation?
  3. What am I comparing it with?
  4. Do I believe the figures?


1.  Am I comparing like with like?

Financial analysts pay great attention to the notes in accounts and to the stated accounting policies.

One of the reasons for this is that changes in accounting policies can affect the figures and hence the comparisons.

For example:
  • Consider a company that writes off research and development costs as overheads as soon as they are incurred.
  • Then suppose that it changes policy and decides to capitalize the research and development, holding it in the Balance Sheet as having a long-term value.
  • A case can be made for either treatment but the change makes it difficult to compare ratios for different years.


2.  Is there an explanation?

Do not forget that there may be a special reason for an odd-looking ratio.

For example:
  • Greetings card manufacturers commonly deliver Christmas cards  in August with an arrangement that payment is due on 1 January.
  • The 30 June Balance Sheet may show that customers are taking an average of 55 days' credit.
  • The 31 December Balance Sheet may show that customers are taking an average of 120 days' credit.
  • This does not mean that the position has deteriorated dreadfully and the company is in trouble
  • The change in the period of credit is an accepted feature of the trade and happens every year.
  • It is of course important, particularly as extra working capital has to be found at the end of each year.


3.  What am I comparing it with?

A ratio by itself has only limited value.

It needs to be compared with something.

Useful comparisons may be with the company budget, last year's ratio, or competitors' ratios.



4.  Do I believe the figures?

You may be working with audited and published figures.

On the other hand, you may only have unchecked data rushed from the accountant's desk.

This sort of information may be more valuable because it is up to date.

But beware of errors.

Even if you are not a financial expert, if it feels wrong, perhaps it is wrong.





Accounting Ratios - these are among the most important

There are many useful ratios that can be taken from accounts.

The following are among the most important but there are many others.

  • Profit turnover
  • Return on Capital Employed 
  • Stock turn
  • Number of Days' Credit Granted
  • Number of Days' Credit Taken
  • Dividend per Share
  • Price/earnings ratio

When going through a set of accounts, it is a good idea to pick out relevant figures, work out the ratios and try to draw conclusions.

For all the ratios, if you have access to frequently produced management accounts, the ratios will be more useful.




Questions to ask yourself regarding Accounting Ratios:


  1. What was the ratio of Profit to Turnover?
  2. What was the Return on Capital Employed?
  3. What was the Stock Turn?
  4. What was the number of days' credit granted?  (Ignore possible GST or VAT implications)
  5. What is the working capital?  Does this give cause for concern?





Dividend per share

For example;

Total dividends  $2 million
Number of issued shares  10 million
Dividend per share  20 sen.

This is the total dividends for the year divided by the number of shares in issue.

Any preference shares are normally disregarded.

Price/earnings ratio

For example:

Profit after tax  $5 million
Number of issued shares 10 million
Earnings per share 50 sen
Current share price $7.50
Price/earnings ratio 15

This is one of the most helpful of the investment ratios and it can be used to compare different companies.

The higher the number the more expensive the shares.

It is often useful to do the calculation based on anticipated future earnings rather than declared historic earnings, although of course you can never be certain what future earnings will be.

The calculation is the current quoted price per share divided by earnings per share.

Gearing

For example:

Loans  $6 million
Shareholders' funds $3 million
Gearing 200%


The purpose of this ratio is to compare the finance provided by the banks and other borrowing with the finance invested by shareholders.

It is a ratio much used by banks, who may not like to see a ratio of 1 to 1 (or some other such proportion) exceeded.

The ratio is sometimes expressed as a proportion as in 1 to 1.

Sometimes it is expressed as a percentage:  1 to 1 is 50% because borrowing is 50% of the total.

Gearing is said to be high when borrowing is high in relation to shareholders' funds.

This can be dangerous but shareholders' returns will be high if the company does well  

This is what is meant by being highly geared.

Number of days' credit taken

In this case the figure for closing trade creditors is compared with that for the annual purchases.  

Annual costs of sales  $6 million
Trade creditors  $1.0 million
Number of days' credit taken

The calculation is (1.0 / 6.0) x 365 = 61 days



Number of days' credit granted

For example:

Annual turnover including GST  $10 million
Trade debtors $1.5 million
Number of days' credit  55

The calculation is:  (1.5 / 10) x 365 = 55 days

Obviously, the lower the number of days the more efficiently the business is being run.

The figure for trade debtors normally comes from the closing Balance Sheet and care should be taken that it is a figure typical of the whole year.

If $1.5 million of the $10 million turnover came in the final month, the number of days' credit is really 31 instead of 55.

The calculation is:  (1.5 / 1.5 ) x 31 = 31 days

Care should also be taken that the GST-inclusive debtors figure is compared with the GST-inclusive turnover figure.

GST is normally excluded from the Profit and Loss Account.



GST = General Sales Tax
In other countries, it is the VAT or Value Added Tax.

Stock Turn or Inventory Turn

For example:

Annual turnover  $10 million
Annual cost of sales (60%)  $6 million
Stock value $1.5 million
Stock turn 4


This measures the number of times that total stock is used (turned over) in the course of a year.

The higher the stock turn the more efficiently the business is being run, though adequate safety margins must of course be maintained.

It is important that the terms are completely understood and that there are no abnormal factors.

Normally the definition of stock includes all finished goods, work in progress and raw materials.

The stock value will usually be taken from the closing Balance Sheet but you need to consider if it is a typical figure.

If the business is seasonal, such as a manufacturing of fireworks, it may not be.  

A better result may be obtained if the average of several stock figures throughout the year can be used.

Profit Turnover

For example:

Annual turnover $10 million
Annual profit before tax $1 million
Profit before tax to turnover 10%


This uses Profit before tax but it may be more useful to use Profit after tax.

Perhaps you want to define profit as excluding the charge for bank interest (EBIT or Earnings before Interest and Tax).

You should select the definition most relevant to your circumstances.

Return on Capital Employed

For example:

Capital employed $5 million
Annual profit after tax $1 million
Return on capital employed 20%

The profit may be expressed before or after tax.

Capital employed is the net amount invested in the business by the owners and is taken from the Balance Sheet.

Many people (including Warren Buffett) consider this the most important ratio of all.

It is useful to compare the result with a return that can be obtained outside the business.

If a bank is paying a higher rate, perhaps the business should be closed down and the money put in the bank.

Note that there are 2 ways of improving the return.  In the example above:

  • the return on capital employed would be 25% if the profit was increased to $1.25 million.
  • it would also be 25% if the capital employed was reduced to $4 million.

Reading the content of the Annual Report

The content of the Annual Report and Accounts is governed by the law and accounting standards, though directors do still have some discretion.

Listed companies are required to use international accounting standards.

If you are looking at the Report and Accounts of a listed company you will see the following:
  • Independent Auditor's Report
  • Balance Sheet (it might be called Statement of Financial Position)
  • Statement of Comprehensive Income or it might be called Income Statement (this corresponds with the Profit and Loss Account)
  • Statement of Changes in Equity
  • Statement of Cash Flows
  • Notes to the financial statements
  • Chairman's Statement
  • Directors' Report
  • Business Review
  • Directors' Remuneration Report
There is so much detail that there is really no substitute for diving in and having a look at the Report and Accounts of your chosen company.

Try not to get bogged down.  Best of luck.



Additional Notes:

Can you locate the following in the Report and Accounts of the company you are interested?
  • the pre-tax profit (Profit and Loss Account)
  • details of the fixed assets (Balance Sheet and supporting notes)
  • the amount of any exports (the notes)
  • is it an unqualified audit report? (the Audit Report)
  • details of any political or charitable donation (the Directors' Report)
  • was there a cash outflow in the period? (the Cash Flow Statement)
  • details of the share capital (Balance Sheet and supporting notes)
  • the amount of the capital employed (the Balance Sheet).

Consolidated Accounts

A large group may have a hundred or more companies.

It would obviously give an incomplete picture if each of these companies gave information just about its own activities.

This is especially true when companies in a group trade with each other.

This is why the holding company must include consolidated accounts as well as its own figures.

The effect of inter-group trading is eliminated and the Consolidated Balance Sheet gives the group's position in relation to the outside world.

This does not remove the obligation for every group company to prepare and file its own accounts.

Such accounts must include the name, in the opinion of the directors, of the ultimate holding company.

Cash Flow Statement

There are sometimes disputes about the figures in the Profit and Loss Account and Balance Sheet.

This is one reason why cash is so important.  

Cash is much more a matter of fact rather than of opinion.

It is either there or it is not there.

Whether the cash came from (banks, shareholders, customers) is also a matter of fact.

So too is where the cash went to (dividends, wages, suppliers, etc.).

The Cash Flow Statement gives all this information.

Late filing of financial accounts

Unfortunately, a small minority of companies file their accounts late or even not at all.

This is an offence for which the directors can be punished and the company incur a penalty, but it does happen.

It is often companies with problems that file late.

Why profit is listed with the liabilities in the Balance Sheet?

Assets and Liabilities in the Balance Sheet

  • Assets in the Balance Sheet are the debit balances in the bookkeeping system.
  • Liabilities in the Balance Sheet are credit balances in the bookkeeping system.


Credit and Debit Balances in the Profit Statement

  • In the Profit Statement, sales and income are the credit balances.
  • In the Profit Statement, costs are the debit balances.
  • The net total of all the balances is the profit or loss.
  • This one figure (profit or loss) goes into the Balance Sheet as a single item.
  • A profit is a credit which is listed with the liabilities.


Explanation on why profit (a credit balance in the Profit Statement) is listed with liabilities in the Balance Sheet

  • The explanation is that the profit belongs to someone outside the business. 
  • If the Balance Sheet is for a company, the profit belongs to the shareholders.
  • It may one day be paid to them in the form of a dividend or by return of capital on the winding up of the company.

Debit and Credit Balances

The first rule of double-entry bookkeeping is that for every debit there must be a credit.

This means that an accounting entry always involves one account being debited and another account being credited.

Let us consider what happens when a $20,000 car is purchased.

  • The Motor Vehicle account (which is an asset) is debited with $20,000.
  • The Bank Account is credited with $20,000.

Two accounting rules to Understand Balance Sheets

In order to understand the Balance Sheets, you must be familiar with the following two fundamental accounting rules:


  • For every debit there must be a credit.
  • Balance Sheet assets are debit balances and Balance Sheet liabilities are credit balances.

Depreciation

Fixed assets are assets that will have a value to the business over a long period, usually understood to be any time longer than a year.

They do usually lose their value:

  • either with the passage of time (e.g. a lease),
  • with use (e.g. a piece of machinery that wears out) or
  • due to obsolescence (e.g. computers).


Therefore, they are written off over a number of years.

Depreciation is a book entry and no cash is involved.

The entry is:

  • debit depreciation (thus reducing profit)
  • credit the asset (thus reducing the value of the asset).


Fixed assets are grouped together in the Balance Sheet and one total is given for the net value of all of them.

Examples of fixed assets are:

  • freehold property
  • plant and machinery
  • computers
  • motor vehicles

Prudent Reserves

When something happens that causes an asset to lose value, it is written off.

  • For example, if some stock (asset) is stolen, the value of the stock in the Balance Sheet is reduced.

The same thing must happen if a prudent view is that an asset has lost some of its value.

  • For example, if some of the stock is obsolete and unlikely to sell for full value.
  • Normally, the Balance Sheet will just show the reduced value, which will be explained with notes.


Stock reserve

The creation of a stock reserve reduces the profit.

  • If it is subsequently found that the reserve was not necessary, the asset is restored to its full value and the profit is correspondingly increased in a later period.


Bad debt reserve

It is often necessary to create a bad debt reserve to cover money that may not be collectable from customers.

  • This bad debt reserve reduces the profit.
  • For example, loan loss reserve or provision by the banks.




Working Capital

This is the difference between current assets and current liabilities.

It is extremely important.

  • A business without sufficient working capital cannot pay its debts as they fall due. 
  • In this situation it might have to stop trading even if it is profitable.


Possible alternatives might include:

  • raising more capital,
  • taking out a long-term loan, or
  • selling some fixed assets.