Tuesday, 24 August 2010

****Know your company to stay Streets ahead




The management thinking can be best understood by reading the management discussion and analysis mentioned in the annual report. One can start with reading three year’s annual reports. This will allow you to compare the management analysis from past reports with what really transpired in the following year. The next important thing that will help you is the corporate governance details in the annual report.

“Management’s intentions towards the minority shareholders must be carefully understood,” advises Kunj Bansal, chief investment officer of Sanlam SMC India. If the business has just been sold, the promoters collecting a non-compete fee does not bode well for smaller shareholders.

Some investors find buy back programmes done at suppressed stock prices and unrelated diversifications detrimental to the minority shareholders. Management actions in the past while handling surplus cash can be good signalling device. One quantitative element that comes handy is the quantum of management compensation. One can look at payout to the management as a percentage of the net profit and decide if the management is fair.


Related Party Transactions




Good companies do business with related parties at fair market prices. The same is disclosed in the annual report for the benefit of the shareholders. Few related party transactions, along with high transparency, is an indicator of a good business. Promoters’ presence in the same business through a privately-held entity is a clear dampener as the investor in the publicly-listed entity runs the risk of promoter placing the ‘cream business’ in the privately-held entity.
Business model

Simply put, it means where and how the company earns its bread and butter. You have to figure out what products the company produces or markets. Five Ws — who, when, where, what, why, will help you understand the raw materials that go in, the time and skill set required, the risks faced by the company and probably all those variables that can influence your returns as a shareholder.

During tech boom of 2000, investors poured in their hard earned money into hundreds of dotcom companies. A few avoided these companies as they found that there were no meaningful revenues or they were bleeding at operational level. Undoubtedly those who stayed clear of that boom were the eventual winners. A thorough understanding of the business can help determine the potential of business and the risks the business is subject to.

Pricing Power

If you grasp the business model well, you stand to understand the pricing power. Customers and suppliers can influence the profit if they possess the pricing power. Generally, businesses with a few customers or sole suppliers typically do not have pricing power. Hence it makes sense to stay with companies that have a large customer base and have many suppliers and still a monopoly player in the business.
Power of intangibles

Intangibles such as brands play a significant role in the performance of a company. In the long-run, consumer preferences tilted in favour of a brand can bring in high visibility of income for a business. Intellectual property rights are also important as they offer an edge over others. They become the deciding factors in the knowledge-driven businesses.

“Investors must check the ownership of such intangibles. If the promoters own the brands in the personal capacity, then it is a case of promoters making money at the expense of the shareholders,” says Avinash Gorakshkar. This is especially true if the business is doing well, as the promoter can take home a sizeable amount of profits by way of higher fees.

Point of Reference:  Information Sources

Company annual reports:

--> An annual communication to shareholders

--> Available to all shareholders

--> High authenticity

--> Good companies also keep them on their websites














Broker reports:

--> Prepared by brokers to solicit business and advise clients

--> Can be helpful in understanding micro or company-specific issues

--> May contain scenario analysis that exhibits impacts of changes in fundamentals
Company presentations:

--> These are prepared by companies from time to time

--> Meant for analysts and give update on business

--> You have to discount the contents as company may paint an overoptimistic picture

--> Available on company websites

Industry reports:

--> Prepared by consulting firms and industry bodies such as FICCI

--> Offers good business insights

--> Useful in tracking changes in regulatory, technological changes

--> Available on websites of industry bodies or websites of manufacturers

--> You have to discount the interested parties' views
Stock exchange filings:

--> Periodic communications by the company

--> High authenticity

What differentiates winners from losers in a stock market: Qualitative Variables

What differentiates winners from losers in a stock market? Some may religiously follow the recommendations of a ‘hit’ stock broker. And some may even dig a bit deeper to know about the stock and the company they plan to invest in by going through the earnings and valuations multiples. But the real winners could still be a league ahead of such investors. That’s because they keep an eye on the qualitative variables. Let’s look at them: 

People 

This is the most important variable. You should know both the promoters and the professional managers who run the company. If the business is managed by a first-generation entrepreneur, check if the promoter is professionally and technically qualified to run the business. Of course, this is not a necessary condition and one has to exercise judgment. If the management consists of professionals, look at their employment history to understand their track record. For instance, before setting up HDFC Bank’s operations in 1994, Aditya Puri was a successful country head of Citibank in Malaysia. 

The management thinking can be best understood by reading the management discussion and analysis mentioned in the annual report. One can start with reading three year’s annual reports. This will allow you to compare the management analysis from past reports with what really transpired in the following year. The next important thing that will help you is the corporate governance details in the annual report. 

“Management’s intentions towards the minority shareholders must be carefully understood,” advises Kunj Bansal, chief investment officer of Sanlam SMC India. If the business has just been sold, the promoters collecting a non-compete fee does not bode well for smaller shareholders. Some investors find buy back programmes done at suppressed stock prices and unrelated diversifications detrimental to the minority shareholders. 

Management actions in the past while handling surplus cash can be good signalling device. One quantitative element that comes handy is the quantum of management compensation. One can look at payout to the management as a percentage of the net profit and decide if the management is fair. 

Related party transactions 

Good companies do business with related parties at fair market prices. The same is disclosed in the annual report for the benefit of the shareholders. Few related party transactions, along with high transparency, is an indicator of a good business. Promoters’ presence in the same business through a privately-held entity is a clear dampener as the investor in the publicly-listed entity runs the risk of promoter placing the ‘cream business’ in the privately-held entity. 

Business model 

Simply put, it means where and how the company earns its bread and butter. You have to figure out what products the company produces or markets. Five Ws — who, when, where, what, why — will help you understand the raw materials that go in, the time and skill set required, the risks faced by the company and probably all those variables that can influence your returns as a shareholder. During tech boom of 2000, investors poured in their hard earned money into hundreds of dotcom companies. 


http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/personal-finance/savings-centre/analysis/What-differentiates-winners-from-losers-in-a-stock-market/articleshow/6404286.cms




Related:  
Read how a company used its large cash reserve:
Review of Fima Corp's Earnings
http://whereiszemoola.blogspot.com/2010/08/review-of-fima-corps-earnings.html

****What differentiates winners from losers in a stock market: Qualitative Variables

What differentiates winners from losers in a stock market? Some may religiously follow the recommendations of a ‘hit’ stock broker. And some may even dig a bit deeper to know about the stock and the company they plan to invest in by going through the earnings and valuations multiples. But the real winners could still be a league ahead of such investors. That’s because they keep an eye on the qualitative variables. Let’s look at them: 

People 

This is the most important variable. You should know both the promoters and the professional managers who run the company. If the business is managed by a first-generation entrepreneur, check if the promoter is professionally and technically qualified to run the business. Of course, this is not a necessary condition and one has to exercise judgment. If the management consists of professionals, look at their employment history to understand their track record. For instance, before setting up HDFC Bank’s operations in 1994, Aditya Puri was a successful country head of Citibank in Malaysia. 

The management thinking can be best understood by reading the management discussion and analysis mentioned in the annual report. One can start with reading three year’s annual reports. This will allow you to compare the management analysis from past reports with what really transpired in the following year. The next important thing that will help you is the corporate governance details in the annual report. 

“Management’s intentions towards the minority shareholders must be carefully understood,” advises Kunj Bansal, chief investment officer of Sanlam SMC India. If the business has just been sold, the promoters collecting a non-compete fee does not bode well for smaller shareholders. Some investors find buy back programmes done at suppressed stock prices and unrelated diversifications detrimental to the minority shareholders. 

Management actions in the past while handling surplus cash can be good signalling device. One quantitative element that comes handy is the quantum of management compensation. One can look at payout to the management as a percentage of the net profit and decide if the management is fair. 

Related party transactions 

Good companies do business with related parties at fair market prices. The same is disclosed in the annual report for the benefit of the shareholders. Few related party transactions, along with high transparency, is an indicator of a good business. Promoters’ presence in the same business through a privately-held entity is a clear dampener as the investor in the publicly-listed entity runs the risk of promoter placing the ‘cream business’ in the privately-held entity. 

Business model 

Simply put, it means where and how the company earns its bread and butter. You have to figure out what products the company produces or markets. Five Ws — who, when, where, what, why — will help you understand the raw materials that go in, the time and skill set required, the risks faced by the company and probably all those variables that can influence your returns as a shareholder. During tech boom of 2000, investors poured in their hard earned money into hundreds of dotcom companies. 


http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/personal-finance/savings-centre/analysis/What-differentiates-winners-from-losers-in-a-stock-market/articleshow/6404286.cms




Related:  
Read how a company used its large cash reserve:
Review of Fima Corp's Earnings
http://whereiszemoola.blogspot.com/2010/08/review-of-fima-corps-earnings.html

Ajinomoto (21.8.2010)

Visit here for a write up on Ajinomoto
http://turtleinvestor888.blogspot.com/2010/08/ajinomoto-eat-well-live-well.html







UMW (23.8.2010)

Visit this link for an analysis of latest earnings report from UMW
http://turtleinvestor888.blogspot.com/2010/08/my-one-laggard-pick-umwrm-641.html




If you look at the segmental results, the automotive segment is the real money spinner. It accounts for 96% of the pre-tax results.



UMW (23.8.2010)









Visit this link for an analysis of latest earnings report from UMW
http://turtleinvestor888.blogspot.com/2010/08/my-one-laggard-pick-umwrm-641.html

Fima Corp

Stock Performance Chart for Fima Corporation Berhad

Here is a good review of the historical data of this company over the years by Ze Moola:
REVIEW OF FIMA CORP'S EARNINGS
http://whereiszemoola.blogspot.com/2010/08/review-of-fima-corps-earnings.html

Also read:
http://whereiszemoola.blogspot.com/2010/08/hey-this-blog.html

Shanghai new home sales halved in Jan-July: report

Copyright AFP, 2010 | Aug 23, 2010

Shanghai new home sales halved in Jan-July: report

Sales of new homes in Shanghai dropped 48 percent in the first seven months of 2010 from a year earlier, as China's efforts to cool the property market began to bite, state media said Monday.

By the end of July sales in terms of floor space totalled 9.11 million square metres (98.1 million square feet), the Shanghai Daily reported, citing the city's statistics bureau.

It did not provide comparative figures for 2009.Chinese authorities have issued a slew of measures in recent months as they seek to prevent the property market overheating and causing a bubble that could derail the country's economy.

The government has tightened restrictions nationwide on advance sales of new developments, introduced curbs on loans for third home purchases and raised minimum down-payments for second homes.

The property price index for July was 10.3 percent higher than a year earlier, down from a record rise of 12.8 percent in April, the National Bureau of Statistics said earlier this month.

Prices in Beijing remained flat month-on-month in July, while they dipped 0.6 percent in Shanghai and 0.4 percent in the southern city of Shenzhen, on the border with Hong Kong.

At the weekend, vice premier Li Keqiang urged local governments to implement the central government's policies to curb speculation in the real estate sector and increase the supply of affordable housing, the Xinhua news agency reported.

http://www.starproperty.my/PropertyScene/TheStarOnlineHighlightBox/6623/0/0

Property advice from Hong Kong tycoon, Li Ka-Shing


LIVE IN Magazine | Jul 19, 2010
Property advice from Hong Kong tycoon, Li Ka-Shing

Hong Kong tycoon, Li Ka-Shing

Home prices have risen rapidly in the last 15 months, sparking concerns about a possible bubble in the Hong Kong market. While urging caution, Li Ka-Shing avoided the “B” word while answering questions at the recent results press conference for his two flagship companies, Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. and Cheung Kong (Holdings) Ltd. Instead, he praised government officials for their effective use of mortgage-tightening measures and tough talk to keep the market in line.

“I think the Hong Kong government has already tried its very best to keep prices stable," Li told a throng of reporters. “I think the government has done a nice job.”

The annual results conference usually affords the biggest opportunity for local journalists to dig for sound-bites from Li, who is known to many in Hong Kong simply as “chiu yan,” or ”superman,” for his investing prowess.

Referring to past statements in which he’s recommended citizens buy property if they have extra cash on hand, Li grinned and said, “If people bought when I suggested, they would have done very well.”

In Mainland China, where Beijing officials are focusing on land hoarding by real estate developers, Li said his companies hadn’t ever been challenged by authorities.

Not everyone in the Li clan has been as fortunate. Earlier this month, Beijing municipal authorities banned Pacific Century, a company controlled by Li’s younger son Richard, from making future land acquisitions in the city after the company allegedly failed to proceed with work on a real estate project in the city in a timely manner. A spokesman at the time said company officials were seeking more information about the incident and declined further comment.

The elder Li cautioned observers against reading too deeply into that matter. “You can’t just look at what’s on the surface, or you’ll misunderstand. It may not be a matter related to Pacific Century at all,” Li said, without elaborating.

Mostly, the tycoon left the property market commentary to elder son Victor, seated to his right, who summed it up this way: “In the end, property is a question of supply and demand – and in Hong Kong, supply is limited and demand is growing,” Victor Li said.

http://www.starproperty.my/PropertyGuide/Finance/5944/0/0

Low dividend payout by AirAsia if any

Tuesday August 24, 2010

Low dividend payout by AirAsia if any
By LEONG HUNG YEE
hungyee@thestar.com.my


PETALING JAYA: While analysts approve of AirAsia Bhd’s move to pay dividends, they expect the dividend payout will not be significant yet.

The budget carrier, which has been listed since 2004, do not have a dividend policy. However, the group is now considering to pay dividend to its shareholders.

HwangDBS Vickers Research said that although the dividend payment was positive for AirAsia’s shareholders, it did not expect yield to be attractive, considering AirAsia’s huge capital commitment as it was still at its expansion phase.

A local analyst said although AirAsia could afford to start paying dividend, it need not do so as no one expected the airline to pay dividend.

“Its cashflows are okay but the questions is not about the decision to pay, but by what quantum. It (quantum) makes a difference, for example paying one sen – which still constitutes a dividend although it’s not material – and a payout which gives a decent yield such as 10 sen,” he added.

A bank-backed analyst concurred that AirAsia could afford to pay dividend based on its current cashflow but it would not be as significant yet. He added that investors could invest in dividend stocks such as British American Tobacco if dividend was what they were after.

“AirAsia is a growing company. Investors invest in AirAsia for its growth story. They could pay half a sen to one sen in dividend and it may be more symbolic in the next three years,” he added.

The analyst also said AirAsia needed to restructure its Thai and Indonesian units as both were currently leveraging on its balance sheet.

Another analyst said AirAsia was currently on an expansion phase and would required large capital commitment. Hence, its dividend yield would not be as attractive.

“I don’t think it will be that much. In terms of yield, it may not be that attractive,” she said.

Yesterday, a local daily reported group CEO Datuk Seri Tony Fernandes as saying the group was planning to propose a dividend policy by the third quarter of this year.

AirAsia has been mulling over a dividend for some time. In June, Fernandes said AirAsia was in a much better position to consider paying dividends to its shareholders after solving some issues within the group.

Although it has announced its intention to pay its maiden dividend, the carrier has not given any indication on when the first payout will be.

As at June 30, AirAsia has a short and long-term borrowing of RM7.58bil and a deposit, bank and cash balances of RM858.1mil.

“The borrowings are mainly in the form of term loans which are for the purchase of new Airbus A320-200 aircraft,” it said in notes accompanying its latest quarterly results.

For the quarter ended June 30, AirAsia posted a net profit of RM198.9mil for the three months to June 30, a 43% jumped from RM139.2mil in the previous corresponding period, on a turnover of RM940.6mil.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2010/8/24/business/6906547&sec=business

Genting M’sia pays RM15.7m in share buy-back

Tuesday August 24, 2010

Genting M’sia pays RM15.7m in share buy-back

KUALA LUMPUR: Genting Malaysia Bhd spent RM15.71mil to buy five million of its own shares yesterday and announced that it intends to acquire more within the next 10 months.

The shares represented just below a quarter of the 20.527 million Genting Malaysia shares traded yesterday.

Genting Malaysia closed five sen higher at RM3.14.

In a filing with Bursa Malaysia, the company said it intended to purchase up to a further 362.207 million of its shares (representing 6.13% of the issued and paid-up share capital) within the next 10 months.

Its cumulative net outstanding treasury shares now comprised 228.501 million or 3.87% of its issued and paid-up capital of 5.907 billion shares as at Aug 23.

The share buy-back was part of continuing efforts under its capital management programme, which the company constantly monitored together with its strategies of business expansion (through organic growth or acquisitions) and capital distribution, Genting Malaysia said.

The company said it would continue to pursue share buy-back efforts when opportunities presented themselves, pursuant to the mandate approved by its shareholders on June 9. — Bernama

Bursa surpasses psychological 1,400-point level


Tuesday August 24, 2010

Bursa surpasses psychological 1,400-point level

PETALING JAYA: The local bourse surpassed the key 1,400-point level to close 0.58% higher at 1,403.15 on selective buying of blue-chip stocks in the latter part of the trading day by funds as better-than-expected corporate results at home outweigh the lack of fresh leads from abroad.

Analysts were convinced that the benchmark index would face resistance at that level after a spate of macro news which heralded a gloomier second half.

CIMB Group Holdings Bhd became the largest bank after its market capitalisation exceeded that of Malayan Banking Bhd’s (Maybank) yesterday.

CIMB’s market capitalisation stood at RM58.06bil compared to Maybank’s RM57.61bil. CIMB’s share price rose 22 sen to RM7.92 while Maybank’s added 1 sen to RM8.14.

Among other actively traded counters, Genting was up 11 sen to RM8.72, PPB added 40 sen to RM17.36 and TM was three sen higher at RM3.58.

However, investors remained cautious as reflected in the broader market, with 465 counters down compared to 291 gainers while 270 counters were traded unchanged.

Volume was relatively low at 805.11 million shares traded with a total value of RM1.33bil.

The local bourse bucked the trend in the region, where Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 lost two-thirds of a per cent to 9,116.69, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.44% to 20,889.01 and Singapore’s Straits Times Index was 0.36% lower at 2,925.99.

Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar faced selling pressure after a federal election over the weekend failed to deliver a majority to either incumbent prime minister Julia Gillard nor opposition leader Tony Abbott.

Sydney’s S&P/ASX 200 Index was little change, shedding 0.4%.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2010/8/24/business/6907184&sec=business

Big investors moving away from stocks into gold and bonds

Published: Tuesday August 24, 2010 MYT 9:05:00 AM
Updated: Tuesday August 24, 2010 MYT 9:13:21 AM

Big investors moving away from stocks into gold and bonds

NEW YORK: The smart money has moved away from stocks. So is the era of stock investing over?

It's too early to tell, but one thing is certain: "Money goes where it is treated best, and that hasn't been in stocks," says Wade Slome, who advises high net-worth investors and runs a hedge fund at his firm, Sidoxia Capital Management in Newport Beach, California.

The overall stock market is down over the past decade, while the price of gold has more than quadrupled and corporate bond returns have doubled. Couple that with the slow economy, and hedge fund managers and institutional investors continue to shift money away from stocks to investments they think will be safer.

An estimated $170 billion has been put in bond funds this year, while $35 billion has been pulled from stock funds, according to the Investment Company Institute, a trade group for the mutual fund industry.

So much for buy and hold.

Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group say we're in a "drive-by market." Their take: Stock investors aren't anticipating or analyzing anything. They just react to the news of the day and then move on to the next thing.

Three months ago, the survival of European banks and economies was front and center. Now, it's barely mentioned. Same goes for the "flash crash" in May. News of strong corporate earnings one day can drive the market sharply higher, but a weak earnings report the next can send prices plunging.

"Investors look at what is in front of them at that minute, and that's it," says Paul Hickey, one of the founders of the investment research firm.

The volatility begets more volatility, which further unnerves investors who have been punished by losses over the last decade. The total return, including dividend, for the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 index is down about 11 percent since August 2000, according to Bespoke.

That means an investor who put in $10,000 in an S&P index fund 10 years ago and held it now has less than $9,000 to show for it.

Billionaire investor George Soros is one of those who bolted out of stocks in the second quarter. His Soros Fund Management reduced its stock holdings by about 40 percent to $5.1 billion from April through June, according to a quarterly report filed Aug. 17 with U.S. securities regulators. The fund sold 93 percent of its stake in Pfizer and 98 percent of its stake in Wal-Mart during the quarter.

The fund's biggest holding is an exchange-traded fund in gold-related stocks. It represents 13 percent of its stock portfolio. The quarterly report does not detail the fund's holdings outside of stocks, and the fund declined to comment on its investments.

Other big-name investors with large positions in gold ETFs include John Paulson, who was made famous for his successful bet that the subprime mortgage market would blow up.

They are sticking with gold even though prices for the precious metal are up 9 percent this year to more than $1,200 an ounce. That's four times the $300 price of an ounce of gold in 2000.

There has been an equally bullish move into government and corporate bonds. The Federal Reserve has pushed down interest rates to almost zero to stimulate the economy. That has spurred a rally in Treasury bonds and notes. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is down to 2.6 percent, its lowest level since the height of the financial crisis in 2009. Prices and yields move in the opposite direction.

Lower rates should help companies because they make it cheaper to borrow money and allow them to refinance their existing debt. Corporate profits then go up, leaving more money to spend on expansion or workers.

That's why lower rates should help boost stocks, says Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank in Chicago. "But we are not seeing that at all right now."

Instead, investors are putting money into corporate bonds, even those that offer little guaranteed return. IBM was able to raise $1.5 billion by selling 3-year notes that pay a mere 1 percent in interest. That was only 0.30 percentage points more than the yield on comparable U.S. Treasurys.

Johnson & Johnson sold 10-year bonds this month with a 2.95 percent yield, even though it pays a dividend equal to about 3.7 percent of its stock price.

That means an investor who buys $10,000 in J&J bonds gets back $295 annually for 10 years, plus the principal. If that investor bought 166 shares of J&J stock at about $60 a share now and held it for a decade, the annual payout would be $360 a year, plus any price appreciation in the stock and increases in dividends. J&J has increased its dividend for 48 consecutive years.

Junk bonds are also attracting investors. They are being issued by companies at a record clip. Junk bonds are rated lower than other corporate debt because they have a higher probability of default. Investors are compensated for that risk with higher yields, which currently average around 9 percent.

Institutional investors like pension funds that are willing to take above-average risks to get above-average returns, says Ed Yardeni, who runs his own investment and economics consulting firm.

"Investors are fed up with stocks," Yardeni says. "But they are still diversified: Half their portfolio is in gold and half in bonds."

Of course, investing in bonds and gold aren't risk-free. Far from it. The dramatic rallies in both have some on Wall Street saying that bonds and gold could be nearing a bubble that's about to pop.

By taking those positions, investors are hedging their bets about what's to come with the economy. Gold is considered a protector against inflation, and bonds are good to hold in times of deflation.

As for stocks, they're getting the short shrift they deserve. - AP

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2010/8/24/business/20100824091246&sec=business

CIMB invests RM1.1b in IT platform


CIMB invests RM1.1b in IT platform
By Adeline Paul Raj
Published: 2010/08/24

The 1Platform project will be completed on a country-by-country basis, starting with Thailand, followed by Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore.

CIMB Group (1023), the country's second largest banking group, will spend RM1.1 billion over the next five years to implement a unified banking platform across Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand.

The so-called 1Platform project, which involves building a single operations and information technology (IT) framework, will help it operate as one entity across the region, its group chief executive officer Datuk Seri Nazir Razak said.

"(It) unifies CIMB group and enables us to compete as a truly regional bank. It will also facilitate product development and proliferation across the region, enabling our people to more effectively bundle and cross-sell products," he told reporters after CIMB inked agreements with its four main technology partners for the project yesterday.

The partners were awarded jobs worth about 40 per cent of the total investment.

The RM1.1 billion investment, which will come from internal funds, is the biggest component of the group's regional transformation blueprint, for which CIMB has budgeted RM2.1 billion over up to five years.

CIMB chose Silverlake Axis, a homegrown global IT solutions provider, to provide the core banking system. Its other partners for the project are IDS Scheer, IBM and Accenture.

Given the scale and magnitude of the 1Platform project, its implementation will be completed on a country-by-country basis, starting with Thailand, followed by Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore.

The whole group is expected to be on the unified platform by 2015, Nazir said.

CIMB's investment in the project is on top of its usual RM350 million a year spending on IT.

"The full impact of our investment in 1Platform and other transformation initiatives will only be felt progressively over the next three to five years," he said.

On another matter, Nazir said CIMB "stands ready" to apply for a dual-listing on the Jakarta Stock Exchange once rules there permit this.

Bloomberg reported later yesterday that the group wanted to list there towards the end of this year or early next year, citing PT Bank CIMB Niaga president director Arwin Rashid.



Read more: CIMB invests RM1.1b in IT platform http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/itcimb-2/Article/index_html#ixzz0xTyQItQA

Maybank jumps on analysts' stock upgrade


Maybank jumps on analysts' stock upgrade
Published: 2010/08/24

Kenanga Research and TA Securities upgraded the stock after Maybank turned in an over fivefold increase in net profit to RM3.8 billion for the year to June 30.

Malayan Banking Bhd's (Maybank) (1155)stock got a boost yesterday as analysts raised their target prices after the lender reported record earnings.

The stock rose to an intra-day high of RM8.40 before closing lower at RM8.14, its highest close in 28 months. It closed 1 sen higher from the previous trading day.

At least two research firms, Kenanga Research and TA Securities, upgraded the stock after Maybank turned in an over fivefold increase in net profit to RM3.8 billion for the year to June 30.

RHB Research raised its fair value for the stock by 2 per cent to RM9.86 while ECM Libra Research lifted its target by about 9 per cent to RM9.81.

"In our view, valuations remain decent with strong organic growth expected from the domestic operations as well as Bank Internasional Indonesia (BII). Hence, the negative impact from the expensive acquisitions of BII and Pakistan's MCB Bank would be more than nullified with (2011 earnings) expected to exceed pre-acquisition levels," RHB said in a note to clients yesterday. It maintained an "outperform" call on the stock.



Read more: Maybank jumps on analysts' stock upgrade http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/mayre2/Article/#ixzz0xTxfBxqO

Plantations, banking boost Boustead earnings in Q2


Plantations, banking boost Boustead earnings in Q2
Published: 2010/08/24

CONGLOMERATE Boustead Holdings Bhd (2771)has tripled its second quarter net profit, driven mainly by its plantation and banking businesses.

It also doubled its dividend for the quarter to 10 sen a share, bringing the total payout for the first six months to 15 sen a share from 10 sen a year ago.

Boustead, controlled by Lembaga Tabung Angkatan Tentera, reported a net profit of RM146.5 million for the April-June quarter, up from RM46.9 million in the same period a year ago.

Revenue for the three-month period was 12 per cent higher at RM1.42 billion from RM1.27 billion in 2009.
Boustead deputy chairman and group managing director Tan Sri Lodin Wok Kamaruddin said most of its divisions have performed satisfactorily.

"We have marked improvements compared with the previous financial year," he said in a statement yesterday.

Cumulatively, the group doubled its net profit to RM266 million for the first six months compared with RM131 million last year.

Revenue for the first half of the year was 20 per cent higher at RM3 billion.

Leading the way for the six-month period was the plantation division which registered a significant increase in profit of RM92 million from RM34 million in 2009.

"The increase was primarily due to positive crude palm oil (CPO) prices," he said.

The finance and investment division was the highest profit contributor for the six-month period delivering a profit of RM105 million.

This resulted in an increase of RM95 million from 2009.

"The primary contributing factor was the recognition of gains from the disposal of BH Insurance Bhd for RM75 million," he said.

Furthermore, improved results from the Affin Group and interest savings from Boustead Holdings' level contributed to the division's bottom line.

Its other divisions such as heavy industries conversely closed the six months with a lower profit of RM49 million, compared with RM64 million during the same period last year. This was mainly due to lower progress billings.

The group is bullish on prospects as the Malaysian economy is expected to fare much better in the second half of the financial year.

"Our divisions are at the forefront of the Malaysian economy and we expect to ride on this positive sentiment," he said.

Boustead is optimistic of CPO prices rising over the next few months due to adverse weather conditions, thinning supply and an increase in demand, especially in traditional markets around the world



Read more: Plantations, banking boost Boustead earnings in Q2 http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/bouse-2/Article/#ixzz0xTwFZmdI

Saturday, 21 August 2010

Maybank posts 4Q net profit of RM912.47m

Maybank posts 4Q net profit of RM912.47m
Tags: Abdul Wahid Omar | Bank Internasional Indonesia | Maybank | MCB Bank | Turnaround

Written by Joseph Chin
Friday, 20 August 2010 17:45


KUALA LUMPUR: MALAYAN BANKING BHD [] staged a turnaround in the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2010 with net profit of RM912.47 million versus net loss of RM1.118 billion a year ago when it was affected by the RM1.97 billion impairment charge on its investment in Bank Internasional Indonesia (BII) and MCB Bank.

The banking group said on Friday, Aug 20 revenue was slightly lower at RM4.73 billion versus RM4.85 billion. Earnings per share were 12.89 sen versus loss per share of 17.62 sen. Its pre-tax profit was RM1.36 billion versus a pre-tax loss of RM821.67 million.

Maybank proposed a final dividend of 44 sen per share. Out of the amount, four sen per share will be paid in cash while the balance of 40 sen per share will be in the electable portion whereby a shareholder may either elect whether to receive it entirely in cash or reinvest in Maybank shares.

For the financial year ended June 30, net profit surged 450% to RM3.818 billion from RM691.87 million. Pre-tax profit was a record of RM5.37 billion compared to pre-tax profit of RM1.67 billion in 2009. Revenue was 5.5% higher at RM18.56 billion compared with RM17.58 billion.

"If compared to the normalised profit last year, pre-tax profit this year totalled RM5.01 billion, a 31.7% increase from RM3.81 billion previously," it said. The results were achieved on the back of higher revenues across all key business segments.

Maybank president and CEO Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid Omar said: "The good set of results is testimony to the significant progress we have made in our transformation group-wide. It is indeed a year of achievement as we cross the 'regional milestone' of US$100 billion in total assets and US$1 billion in profit after tax."

He said that for Maybank, whilst it is more than pleased and have overcome the many challenges after the regional acquisitions, "our journey of change is far from over".

Wahid said for this year, the group had reframed its strategic aspirations to humanise financial services from the heart of Asean and reorganised its operations structure to enhance service and product delivery, pioneering new ways of providing financial solutions across the key markets.

"The year ahead will be a challenging one and we are confident that the right formula is now in place for us to consistently deliver as Malaysia's regional financial services leader," it said.

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/172222-flash-maybank-posts-4q-net-profit-of-rm91247m.html

UMW 2Q net profit surges 166.6% to RM211m

UMW 2Q net profit surges 166.6% to RM211m
Tags: earnings | Perodua | Toyota | UMW Holdings

Written by Yong Min Wei
Friday, 20 August 2010 22:52


KUALA LUMPUR: UMW HOLDINGS BHD [] posted a strong set of earnings, reporting RM211.69 million in net profit for the second quarter ended June 30, 2010 (2Q10).

It said on Friday, Aug 20 that earnings jumped 166.6% from RM79.43 million a year ago due to higher sales of Toyota and Perodua vehicles and favourable model mix.

UMW said improved performance from the equipment and manufacturing & engineering segments coupled with favourable foreign exchange rates, accounted for the significant improvement in profit for the current quarter.

"Our overseas associate, WSP Holdings Ltd, has reported an overall improvement in both domestic and international sales and a lower loss for the second quarter of 2010," it said.

The 2Q revenue rose 27.2% to RM3.28 billion from RM2.58 billion a year ago while earnings per share were 18.74 sen versus 7.24 sen.

UMW declared an interim single-tier dividend of 20% or 10 sen per share for the year ending Dec 31, 2010 – totaling net dividend payable of about RM114.5 million – to be paid on Oct 7. The group's net asset per share stood at RM3.62 as at June 30.

For the six months ended June 30, 2010, net profit surged 137% to RM344.55 million from RM145.38 million while revenue grew 28.1% to RM6.31 billion from RM4.93 billion.

The group said strong economic recovery in the first half of 2010 resulted in higher demand for its Toyota vehicles, industrial and heavy equipment as well as automotive parts. However, it noted that the slow and weak rebound in the oil & gas industry has affected demand for some of its pipes and services.

UMW's share price on Aug 20 rose two sen to close at RM6.43 with 183,400 shares traded.

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/172230-umw-2q-net-profit-surges-1666-to-rm211m.html

Portfolios hold firm as market tumbles

Portfolios hold firm as market tumbles

20 Oct 08 | Issue 259
By Alex Chin
It’s been a wild ride on the stockmarket since our June portfolio update, but our Income and Growth portfolios have put in a resilient performance.
We’re pretty pleased with the performances of our two model portfolios since 30 June, considering the carnage that’s been wreaked on world stockmarkets. Based on Friday’s closing prices, our Income Portfolio lost 3.8% and ourGrowth Portfolio lost 8.8% over the period, but that compares very favourably with the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index, which dived 23.9%.
Probably the main factor has been the relatively low exposure of the two portfolios to resources stocks. That hurt us in the first half of the year, but it’s helped since, with the bursting of the resources bubble knocking BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto down 44% and 54% respectively.

Solid income

The Income Portfolio’s fall of 3.8% since 30 June, compared to 23.9% for the All Ords Accumulation Index, puts it well ahead of its benchmark over the seven years since inception on 10 July 2001, with a total return of 13.6% pa compared to 6.6% pa for the index.
Portfolio performances at 17 Oct 08
 Since 30 Jul 08Since incep. (2001)
Income Portfolio (3.8%) 13.6% pa
Growth Portfolio (8.8%) 4.3% pa
All Ords Accum. (23.9%) 6.6% pa

The world’s banks have been the talk of the markets over the past few months, but our own have fared pretty well. Westpac has posted a gain of 7% since 30 June, while ANZhas declined 10%. Commonwealth Bank has managed an increase of 3%, helped along by a positive reaction to its purchase of BankWestfor the lowly price of $2.1bn. You can see our own valuation of CBA in today’s feature, What’s Commonwealth Bank worth?.
Highly geared non-financial stocks, however, have fared less well, andTimbercorp has dropped 25%. While there’s a lot of debt, the company is being priced at only one-third of its net assets, which provides a considerable margin of safety. TREES2 have dropped 36% as the difficulties faced by their issuerGreat Southern have become more apparent. We recently downgradedTREES2 to Hold.
An exception to the rule, however, was Sigma Pharmaceuticals, which rose 36.4% despite relatively high debt levels, after its half-year result provided evidence of an improved performance. And Westfield Group was able to confound gloomy projections for the global economy by edging up 2%.
The portfolio’s only real exposure to the resources sector, Washington H Soul Pattinson, dropped 15% as the value of its shareholding in coal miner New Hope Corporation fell 39%.
We’re going to tender all of our holding in MMC Contrarian in its buyback scheme. About half the shares should be bought back at 70.9 cents per share, making a useful $7,500 available to buy any bargains that appear.

Mixed results in Growth

The Growth Portfolio lost 8.8% over the period, which puts its return since inception on 7 August 2001 at a disappointing 4.3% pa compared to 6.6% pa for the All Ords Accumulation Index. You can read the reasons for this in our past half-year portfolio updates, but the long and the short of it is that we didn’t get off to a good start and some of our recent investments are yet to pay off – to put it kindly – and we plainly got into one or two a bit early.
Roc Oil was the major casualty, with a fall of 68% alongside the rapidly falling oil price, the controversial merger with Anzon Australia and the death of CEO John Doran. But the trouble wasn’t limited to resources, and fears of a downturn in the advertising industry sent STW Communications down 35%. On the positive side, Cochlear saw its stock jump 32% as demand for its products continues to grow.
The portfolio’s financial stocks provided a mixed performance. Macquarie Groupand fund manager Treasury Group were in the doghouse, with their stocks down 36% and 28% respectively. But Platinum Asset Management chalked up an 11% gain as the performance of its funds improved, and RHG Group clocked up a rise of 110% as the cash rolls in and the company buys back shares.
This is an interesting time for both portfolios. You can see what’s in them and follow their progress in the Portfolios section of our website. There has been no buying or selling over the quarter, but the current market is an ideal time to change that. There’s spare cash in the Growth portfolio, so look out for some buying in the near future.
Disclosure: The author, Alex Chin, and other staff members own shares in many of the companies mentioned in this article. See the staff portfolio on our website for a full listing.