Identifying Durable Competitive Advantages by Analyzing Financial Statements.

Part one: Finding Durable Competitive Advantages by Analyzing the Income Statement

Part two: Finding Durable Competitive Advantages through the Balance Sheet

Part three: Finding Durable Competitive Advantages through the Cash Flow Statement

Reference:
The Value Investing Blog
http://www.oldschoolvalue.com/stock-valuation-spreadsheet.php

Warren Buffett and Durable Competitive Advantage

Warren Buffett repeatedly emphasizes that an investor must invest into a company that offers a durable competitive advantage. Any company that has a durable competitive advantage is likely to be able to maintain its profitability over a long period of time. Competitive advantage is meant to signify that the company must have a product or service line that is distinctively unique. However, a unique product or service does not make a company financially sound. Rather it is a durable competitive advantage that ensures that the company would be able to maintain its competitive advantage over a long period of time. The product and service must enjoy a competitive advantage such as through the existence of a brand name or through a patented, natural or regional monopoly. Firms also enjoy a competitive advantage if they offer high quality products and are able to develop customer loyalty.

Warren Buffett states that any business that enjoys a durable competitive advantage is likely to have a long history of profitability that is based on a narrow range of products or services. A company that has a competitive advantage is likely to remain in the industry for the foreseeable future. The fact that the organizations products are profitable would mean that their spending on research and development would be minimal whereas the company would also not be in need of continuous up gradation. Furthermore, a company that enjoys a high competitive advantage is likely to offer a product that has a rising or stable pattern of demand.

Any company that enjoys a high competitive advantage is likely to be in a monopolistic position within the market. This is because its unique products and services are likely to generate sales due to their high quality and distinct image. This allows the firm to increase prices while still maintain profitability and sales. This is of immense importance to shareholders as increasing sales and returns signal higher returns for the stock owners. Furthermore, competitive advantage allows a business to refrain from entering into price battles with other competitors and the company is able to dominate the market. The competitive advantage allows the firm to lead the market and generate high profits from the stable product line. Finally, the fact that the business has a durable competitive advantage would mean that it would be able to maintain the current earnings per share in the foreseeable future.

So how exactly is the durable competitive advantage beneficial to investors like Warren Buffet? Warren Buffet states that any company that enjoys a sustainable competitive advantage is likely to invest a minimal amount into research and development and new plant and equipment. This would free up cash for other investing purposes such as expansion that would allow the business to increase its sales and profitability. The availability of cash is also likely to prevent the company from taking on debt and incurring the cost associated with servicing of debt. A company that enjoys a durable competitive advantage is likely to have high amounts of free cash flow which could be passed on to shareholders in form of high return on equity.

http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/13233607-warren-buffett-and-a-durable-competitive-advantage

Portfolio Management

When you start investing in stocks, you will soon have a portfolio of them. And managing your portfolio is just as important as picking the right stocks in the first place. Because if you mismanage your portfolio you could be minimizing your potential returns or end up losing money! 

So always take note of your stock portfolio and here are some guidelines to help you along:

1. This one is straightforward but some beginners neglect to do this - Keep records of all your investment decisions. If you don't keep track, you won't know how much you're making or losing!
2. A portfolio of 5-8 stocks is optimum for the typical investor . Keep within a certain number so your portfolio remains manageable. Too many stocks could result in a lack of proper management and cause losses in your portfolio
3. Monitor a company's' quarterly reports and keep track of their fundamental performance
4. On top of monitoring your stock through financial reports, you should attend the Annual General Meetings (AGMs) to meet a company's management team face-to-face
5. Stay current with world and economic affairs and monitor any news on your stocks and the industry they're in

In a nutshell, managing your portfolio can be summed up in one simple sentence: sell your losers, keep your winners. Sell bad, under-performing investments and cut your losses. Stay invested in good companies and hold on to them, especially if they have good growth potential.

Because let me ask you...

Would you be happy with a 22% dividend yield year after year? That means for every $100 you invested, you're getting $22 back in passive income every year. You don't even have to do anything to make that money; you just sit and wait!

Well, that's what value investing can do for you when you hold on to a winner long enough. Read this article below and it'll show you how:

http://www.millionaireinvestor.com/3-reasons-why-value-investing-is-so-powerful

MillionaireInvestor.com

Buffett: The time to buy stocks is when nobody else wants them

In the recession of 20087 - 2009 we had the opportunity, and for those of us who did venture into that abyss, the rewards were tremendous.

Here is a quote from Warren Buffett during the 1990-1991 recession in the U.S.:

"Nevertheless, fears of a California real estate disaster similar to that experienced in New England caused the price of Wells Fargo stock to fall almost 50% within a few months during 1990.  Even though we had bought some shares at the prices prevailing before the fall, we welcomed the decline because it allowed us to pick up many more shares at the new panic prices.

Investors who expect to be ongoing buyers of investments throughout their lifetimes should adopt a similar attitude toward market fluctuations; instead many illogically become euphoric when stock prices rise and unhappy when they fall."

Lim Kit Siang - A Great Malaysian

Vote for a Better Malaysia 5.5.2013.

The campaigning is over and the stands of the various parties are disseminated by various means.

On this faithful day, let's vote for the government of our choice.

Cast your vote for a better Malaysia.

The issues that are dominant in this election, for me are:

CORRUPTION and good governance,

CRIME

Cost of living issues are very important for many Malaysians too.

VOTE FOR A BETTER MALAYSIA

Be Proactive. You must be the agent for Change

The Danger of Low Dividends

By Morgan House
April 25, 2013 

Earnings among S&P 500 companies are at an all-time high. By quite a bit, too: Operating earnings per share last year were more than 10% above the previous peak set in 2006, when the economy topped out before the recession.

Dividend payouts are also at an all-time high, but there is much less to be excited about here. Companies have been paying out a lower share of their earnings as dividends for decades, and the trend shows little sign of slowing. The dividend payout ratio is pitiful:

Source: Yale, author's calculations.

A lot of this decline over time is explained by companies using more of their free cash flow to repurchase shares. Benjamin Graham's classic 1949 book contains deep analysis and commentary on dividends, but scarcely a mention of share buybacks. That changed dramatically after the 1980s. Legg Masson has shown that from 1985 to 2011, S&P 500 dividends increased fourfold, but share buybacks increased 21-fold.  

The impact this shift has on how investors are compensated is deep. As Shawn Tully of CNNMoney pointed out earlier this year, the dividend yield on ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  ) is a little more than 2%, but the total yield including buybacks is north of 7%. Pfizer's (NYSE:PFE  ) dividend yields more than 3%, but with buybacks the company returns 7.6% to shareholders. Wal-Mart's (NYSE: WMT  ) total yield is about double its dividend yield.

There are mountains of evidence showing that, on average, investors are better off with dividends than share buybacks, as CEOs have a terrible history of buying back their shares at nosebleed prices.

But I think the damage of the shift toward buybacks may even be underrated. With interest rates at zero, investors have been clamoring for yield wherever they can find it. For years, that's been stocks with high dividends, whose prices have been pushed to record levels and yields down to near record lows. Shares of Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) now yield less than 4% and Altria Group (NYSE: MO  ) , less than 5%.

These are still healthy yields, particularly compared with fixed-income alternatives -- and both companies have high dividend payout ratios. But I can't help but wonder whether companies favoring buybacks over dividends will ultimately be a disservice to companies with high dividends. The lack of yield among most stocks drives up valuations at companies that still do provide reasonable payouts, and high current valuations will eat into future returns.

Managers typically cite the desire to "enhance shareholder value" when announcing share buybacks. But never underestimate the power of unintended consequences. 

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/04/25/the-danger-of-low-dividends.aspx

The 3 Cs issues of this election. Which party is addressing these issues?

The 3 top issues to be addressed in this election:

1.  Cost of Living issues
2.  Crime issues.
3.  Corruption issues.


Sadly, in every election, some choose to focus on race and other divisive issues.

http://blog.limkitsiang.com/2013/04/30/dalang-sebenar-mei-13-dibongkar-oleh-dato-mohd-tamrin-ghafar/


So, who is telling the truth?  Are you enlightened or confused?

A hilarious speaker. "A vote for DAP is a vote for PAS. A vote for MCA is a vote for Ibrahim. A vote for MIC is a vote for Zul." VOTE FREELY and WISELY.

Gary Nair at Ceramah Perdana Tmn Free School 21 Apr 2013

@ 7 min
@ 12.20 min

MalaysiaStock.Biz is an excellent website for those who are investing in the Malaysian Stock Market.

About MalaysiaStock.Biz

http://www.malaysiastock.biz/Latest-Announcement.aspx


MalaysiaStock.Biz provides Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange's (KLSE) share price information, latest announcement for quarter report, dividend news, bonus/rights issue news for all the listed companies in KLSE. This website is also providing information like quarter report history, dividend history and bonus issue & right issue history.

This website is a free channel to access the KLSE market watch information covered from Top Volume, Top Gainers, Top Losers, and up to each categories and individual listed company.

For registered member, you are entitled to the exclusive benefits like portfolio manager, watchlist manager & report analysis tools. Portfolio manager is a management tool for you to keep track all your current portfolio holdings, while watchlist manager is the place for you to monitor your stock list. Both portfolio manager and watchlist manager will summarize all the related dividend news, bonus issue news & rights issue news for all the counters under your portfolio or watchlist. Report analysis tool is a powerful tool for you to shortlisted KLSE counter based on selected criteria. Some of the features are Top 30 Best EPS KLSE Stocks of the Year, Top 30 Best Dividend KLSE Stocks of the Year, 3 Years Continuously Improvement in Dividend and 3 Years Continuously Improvement in Revenue & Profit.

All the services are FREE of charges. Feel free to feedback to us if any so that we can keep improving the website. Thank you.

Site Map

Home

Market Watch

• KLCI
• Closed-Fund
• Construction
• Consumer Products
• Finance
• Hotels
• Industrial Products
• IPC
• Mining
• Plantation
• Properties
• REITs
• Technology
• Trading-Services

Listed Companies

• KLCI
• Closed-Fund
• Construction
• Consumer Products
• Finance
• Hotels
• Industrial Products
• IPC
• Mining
• Plantation
• Properties
• REITs
• Technology
• Trading-Services

Report Analysis

• Top 30 Best EPS Counters of the Year
• Top 30 Best Dividend Counters of the Year
• 3 Years Continuously Improvement in Dividend
• 3 Years Continuously Improvement in Revenue & Profit

Portfolio & Watchlist

• Portfolio Manager
• Watchlist Manager

Dividend Policy

• Dividend Policy

Latest Discussion

• Latest Discussion

About Us

• About Malaysia Stock

Contact Us

• Contact Us

Privacy Policy

• Privacy Policy

Mat Sabu - Ceramah 23.04.2013

Mat Sabu - Kenapa isu perkauman dan agama di-permainkan olih pihak yang tertentu

Tun Mahathir menentang kuat RASUAH - Jangan terima rasuah

Mat Sabu juga menentang rasuah. Yang berbeza ia lah persepsi isu agama dan perkauman.

An apology is rewarded with a kiss. Change is in the air. Change for the better.

Yesterday, UMNO president Najib Razak urged Indians to forget the insulting remarks by Zulkifli, claimed that Indians had been warming up to him, and alluded to a photograph of an Indian man clad in BN shirt kissing him on the cheek. 

In the latest development, 104 members of the Shah Alam division of MIC showed their displeasure by quitting the Indians-only party.  

http://en.harakahdaily.net/index.php/headline/7104-indian-kiss-of-death-takes-its-toll-on-bn-with-exodus-from-mic.html

Here is a view of Zul’s apology 

APRIL 22, 2013

How does he imagine all this will help him go against Khalid Samad in Shah Alam and win “101 per cent” in the May 5 general election?

Khalid was the one MP who stood side by side with the Indian community after the cow-head protest in Shah Alam even when it was not the politically smart thing to do.

What did Umno do? They got the cow-head protesters to pose for pictures with their vice-president after explaining the protest against a Hindu temple in Shah Alam.

Put him where he belongs, in the garbage bin of history. 

Read more here:   http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/sideviews/article/zuls-shallow-apology-kunjuraman-karuppan/

In this video, Rafizi Ramli clarifies the difficulty of PR in accommodating Hindraf's requests in an electoral pact.

Are You Making These Investing Mistakes?

by MMARQUIT

One of the ways that you can build wealth, and live a little more abundantly is to invest. Investing can provide a way for you to put your money to work on your behalf. While there are risks involved in investing, and the possibility of loss, you can reduce some of that chance of loss by avoiding some of the more common investing mistakes.

As you consider investing, and how to build a portfolio that works for your situation, here are some common mistakes to avoid:

1.  Panicking with the Crowd

It’s easy to get scared and panic — especially when everyone else is doing it. However, you need to be careful about when you sell investments. While there are some very good reasons to sell a stock, it’s rarely a good idea to sell a stock just because everyone is in panic mode.

Instead, take a step back and look at the big picture. Are assets losing ground because the whole market is tanking? If so, you might not want to pull the trigger too quickly. Instead, consider the fundamentals. If the fundamentals are still solid, there is a good chance that your assets will recover in time.

2.  Trading Too Often

This can be tied with panicking, but it can also be its own problem. Too many of us get caught up in to day to day movements, and think that we need to trade a lot. While there are day traders who manage to make good money on regular market movements, it’s important to realize that these traders are dedicated to what they do.

Most of us regular folks are better off trading at wider intervals, or employing a dollar cost averaging strategy. Trading too often can cost you in terms of transaction fees, and there is a bigger chance that you will lose out.

3.  Lack of Diversity

If you want to reduce the overall risk of your portfolio, you need to remember to diversify to some degree. You need to make sure that your investments are diversified in terms of asset class, as well as across different sectors and industries. It also doesn’t hurt to diversify geographically and include investments from other countries. Avoid investing heavily in your company’s stock.

It’s fairly easy to start investing, and to diversify. There are index funds and ETFs that allow you to diversify easily, while at the same time helping you avoid some of the bigger risks that can come with investing.

4.  Failure to Understand What You're Investing In.

One of the reasons it’s good to start with stocks and bonds, and investments that are based on them (like index funds and ETFs), is because they are fairly easy to understand. You shouldn’t invest in things that you don’t understand. Take a few minutes to learn how different asset classes are traded, and how different investments work. It is also worth to learn what factors influence different investments. Get a handle on how different investments work, and you will be far more likely to find success and avoid some of the pitfalls that bring down investors.


http://couponshoebox.com/tips/are-you-making-these-investing-mistakes/

3 Reasons to Invest in Stocks

by MMARQUIT

With the recent volatility in the stock market, and with the financial crisis of 2008 still looming large in many memories, it isn’t too surprising that many people are wary of investing in stocks.

It’s true that stock investing comes with some risk. However, it doesn’t have to mean that you avoid stocks altogether. Here are 3 reasons to find the money to invest in stocks:

1. Build Wealth Over Time

One of the realities of life is that putting money in a high-yield savings account or high-yield CD just isn’t going to cut it if you want to more effectively build wealth over time. This is especially true in a low-yield environment like what we’ve got right now. Your low-yield products are unlikely even to earn a return that beats inflation. You can’t build adequate wealth over time with your earning power subject to real losses.

Investing in stocks gives you the chance to earn higher returns that beat inflation, and that put the magic of compound interest to work on your behalf. When you know how money works, and you can put that knowledge to work, you can build wealth more effectively over time. Stocks are among the best ways to do that.

2. The Stock Market Has Yet to Lose in the Long Run

Even though volatility is a problem in the short-term, and there are big crashes on occasion, the stock market hasn’t lost in the long run. If you plan out your long-term goals, you’ll find that investing gives you the best chance of reaching them.

Over long periods of time — 25 to 30 years — the stock market has always seen net gains. Over time, the trend line smooths out, and doesn’t look so scary. One of the biggest investing mistakes is to panic at short-term volatility, selling with the herd, even though it’s a great time to buy at bargain prices. Take a step back and really consider the big picture and the long-term. You might be surprised at what you find.

3. Stock Investing Doesn't Have to be Complex

The real hang up for many people is stock picking. They worry about whether or not they are choosing the right stocks, and get concerned about seemingly-complex concepts like P/E ratios and reading balance sheets. While these are things that can be learned, stock investing doesn’t have to be complex, especially to start.

Simple investments, like index funds, can help you avoid the pitfalls of stock picking. With index funds, you can start investing fairly easily, with little expertise, and with a small amount of money. An index fund, which follows a group of investments (you can even pick an all-market fund and track the entire market’s performance), allows you to avoid the need for stock picking. These types of investments have made the whole process less complex for large groups of people.

You can start with a small amount of money, and be consistent. Indeed, when it comes to investing success, consistency is key. Create a plan, and look for funds that you understand. You might get around to stock picking later, but to start, it doesn’t need to be complex — and over time it can result in true wealth.

http://couponshoebox.com/tips/3-reasons-to-invest-in-stocks/

Professor Swensen's Asset Allocation Strategy

@ 15 minutes

3 ways to make money:
Asset Allocation
Market Timing
Stock Selection




David Swensen is the chief investment officer of Yale University, where he has produced stunning results in managing portfolios over 25 years. In this lecture, he talks about managing a portfolio for individual investors and stresses on the importance of diversification and equity-orientation.

Special Lecture in Seoul April 2010

Yale's Financial Wizard, David Swensen.

Uploaded on 27 May 2009
Yale's Financial Wizard, David Swensen. The renowned Chief Investment Officer of Yale's $20 billion dollar endowment discusses the strategy behind the fund's extraordinary long term track record, recent criticisms of the "Yale model" and his investment recommendations for individual investors.

Guest Speaker David Swensen (YaleCourses)

Published on 5 Apr 2012

Financial Markets (2011) (ECON 252)

00:00 - Chapter 1. Introduction, Overview, and "Barron's" Criticism of the Swensen Approach to Endowment Management
15:49 - Chapter 2. Asset Allocation
30:38 - Chapter 3. Market Timing
37:16 - Chapter 4. Security Selection
46:02 - Chapter 5. "Barron's" Criticism Revisited
52:57 - Chapter 6. Questions & Answers

Complete course materials are available at the Open Yale Courses website: http://oyc.yale.edu

Open Yale Course：Financial Markets 09. Guest Lecture by David Swensen

Ideas for Investment Success

Uploaded on 24 Mar 2011
David Swensen is a so-called legendary institutional investor who has survived a harsh investment environment over several decades. In his interview, he suggests the elegantly simple advice for you to have to follow for your investment success.

David Bach's #1 Financial Mistake to Avoid

Corruption is still the scourge. Please vote wisely for a better society.

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=500613263339497&set=vb.296868620365231&type=2&theater





@ 2.50 min  Until 5 or 6 years ago, a 10 A student from a poor family was unable to get a scholarship from the government.

@ 6.30 min.  His explanation on why his donation of $30 million was rejected by UTAR..

@ 10.10 min.  How politics and the awarding of contracts without tenders, impoverished you?

The Politics of Fear, Mistruth and Confusion - Different message targeted at different crowd.

If only our politicians can ALWAYS address to a mixed Malaysian crowd in every election gathering.


Ghani: If Kit wins, Hadi might be PM
Vote Lim Kit Siang and you might get PAS president Abdul Hadi Awang as your next prime minister, warned Gelang Patah candidate and incumbent Johor menteri besar Abdul Ghani Othman to Chinese voters in the constituency.

MCA:  If PR wins, PAS would dominate the coalition.
However BN, especially MCA, has been warning the Chinese that PAS, which has the strongest machinery and largest membership among three parties, would dominate Pakatan and grab the premiership when Pakatan comes to power.

UMNO:  If PR wins, DAP will dominate the coalition.
Umno, on the other hand, is trying to convince Malay voters that DAP would be the dominant power in the coalition.


http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/227552

Not a surprise that BN candidate for Pasir Mas parliamentary seat withdrew.

This is not unexpected.   BN was suggested by TDM to field Ibrahim Ali, the President for Perkasa in this election.  This would be most unacceptable for some component parties of BN and not a popular move for some segment of the Malaysian society.

Even before this "unexpected event", it was already rumoured that BN candidate for Pasir Mas would withdraw and this seat would be a direct contest between Ibrahim Ali and PAS.

Sorry for those folks, especially the component parties of BN, who think that the true representative announced by Najib will be their candidate to represent BN and to win this seat for BN.

In true partnership and friendship, we should value INTEGRITY, above all else.

KLCCP to list stapled REIT by May

Posted on 9 April 2013

KUALA LUMPUR (April 9, 2013): KLCC Property Holdings Bhd (KLCCP), which is expected to list its stapled real estate investment trust (REIT) by early May this year, is in the process of securing an anchor tenant for its latest development in the Kuala Lumpur City Centre (KLCC) area, said its group CEO Hashim Wahir.

"We are not a speculative developer. What we're working on now is to secure the anchor tenant and once it is secured, then we will start planning (for the development). Our target has always been the multinationals because we would like to enhance the precinct by having a mix of tenants," he told reporters after its EGM yesterday.

Hashim said the 0.6ha vacant land in front of Mandarin Oriental in Kuala Lumpur, known as Lot D1, could possibly be an office building with retail component but the building plans will only be confirmed once it has secured the anchor tenant.

"It can be equivalent to Menara 3 Petronas, with one million sq ft of gross floor area," he said, adding that it is in talks with potential anchor tenants but declined to comment on when it expects to finalise talks.

At yesterday's meeting, shareholders approved KLCCP's proposal to create Malaysia's first syariah-compliant stapled REIT in Malaysia, including the injection of Petronas Twin Towers, Menara 3 Petronas and Menara ExxonMobil into the REIT vehicle, KLCC REIT.

Hashim said KLCCP will retain the remaining assets which are Dayabumi Complex, Suria KLCC and Mandarin Oriental, as well as the management services namely KLCC REIT Management Sdn Bhd which will be formed under KLCCP as the manager of the REIT.

"We have a three-pronged growth strategy. We have retained Dayabumi Complex, which has quite a significant redevelopment potential. That's why we're not injecting it into the REIT yet.

"We also have Lot D1, which has a significant development potential," he said.

"Once the assets are stable, we can inject it into the REIT. Of course, we have the normal growth as mentioned, our tenancy will have rental increases and under this arrangement, we also have the first right of refusal on future assets belonging to KLCC (Holdings) Sdn Bhd, which is the ultimate shareholders of KLCCP Stapled Group before Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas)," he added.

In November last year, KLCCP announced that it had signed 15-year triple net lease agreement with Petronas in regard to the Petronas Twin Towers effective Oct 1, 2012. During the first three years, rental would be RM29.1 million per month.

At the same time, its wholly-owned subsidiary Arena Merdu Sdn Bhd also signed a 15-year triple net lease agreement for Menara 3 Petronas, where rental for the first three years would be RM6.1 million per month.

Hashim said the rental rates will be reviewed every three years and the increase in rental rates would be 3% per year, compounded every three years. For its other properties, the leases are between three and five years and will be reviewed based on the market.

On acquiring new assets, he said: "We are focusing on developing what we have in our portfolio but any opportunities that come by that meets the profile of our investment, adds to the value creation of our shareholders and REIT unit holders in future, it will be considered."

Meanwhile, KLCCP director Datuk Manharlal Ratilal said the KLCCP Stapled Group will become one of the largest property groups in Asia, with a RM12 billion market capitalisation if the restructuring exercise and listing proceed as planned.

"The three assets (Petronas Twin Towers, Menara 3 Petronas and Menara ExxonMobil) are worth about RM15 billion. The group's debt is around RM2.3 billion and the balance is the market capitalisation," he said.

KLCCP Stapled Group intends to distribute 95% of the overall distributable income to unit holders for 2013 and 2014. The REIT will be the largest in Malaysia, almost three times bigger than Sunway REIT.

http://www.thesundaily.my/news/656556

Aeon Credit to issue rights, bonus shares?

Posted on 16 April 2013 - 05:38am

Kang Siew Li
sunbiz@thesundaily.com

PETALING JAYA (April 16, 2013): Non-bank financial institution Aeon Credit Service (M) Bhd is expected to seek clearance from its board of directors at a meeting on Thursday for a capital raising exercise via a rights issue as well as to undertake a bonus issue to reward its shareholders, according to sources close to the situation.

The company is due to release its full-year results for the financial year ended Feb 20, 2013 (FY13) on the same day.

Analysts told SunBiz they are not surprised by Aeon Credit's proposed cash-call as management has indicated its plan to raise the company's capital base for a while now.

"The main purpose of the equity raising is to boost its capital adequacy ratio to 25% from 18% now, which is nearing Bank Negara Malaysia's minimum level of 16%," said an analyst at a local research firm.

"Aeon Credit may also raise debt to fund future growth. In its annual report, the company had said it would be comfortable with a gearing ratio of 3-5 times and it is now less than 4 times," he added.

A Kenanga Research analyst said the rights issue will support Aeon Credit's loan growth plans for the next two to three years, while the bonus issue will help to improve the stock's liquidity and attract more retail participation.

He noted while the rights issue may result in a dilution of Aeon Credit's share value, the stock will remain attractive to investors post the exercise due to its healthy financial position and sound profitability, and a downward adjustment from its existing high share price.

Aeon Credit closed up 8 sen at RM14.32 yesterday, with 96,700 shares traded.

In a report dated April 12, 2013, HwangDBS Vickers Research Sdn Bhd said a capital call by Aeon Credit is probable since its capital ratio has fallen to 19% in November 2012 and it has always kept a higher buffer of above 20% than Bank Negara's 16% requirement.

"We are positive on the potential fund raising as this will shore up its balance sheet to support future growth, while the enlarged share base could improve trading liquidity," it said.

The research firm also sees the company raising debt to fund growth and refinance some of its medium-term notes which are expiring in the next 12 months, estimated to be RM400 million.

"In our scenario analysis, we assume Aeon Credit could do a rights issue on the basis of 1-for-9 at an indicative issue price of RM12.90 (based on 10% discount to a theoretical ex-rights price of RM14.30), and raise RM210 million to bring its capital ratio to 25%.

"We estimate the enlarged share base (+11%) would dilute earnings per share and return on equity by 5% and 7 percentage points respectively in FY14," it said.

HwangDBS is expecting Aeon Credit to deliver record net profit of RM129 million in FY13, up 35% from a year earlier, with the loan book growing 54% to RM2.3 billion.

"The key drivers remain personal loans and vehicle easy payments as Aeon Credit fills the financing needs of customers in the low to middle income segment," it said, maintaining a "hold" call on the stock with a RM16.10 target price.

http://www.thesundaily.my/news/662692

A Young Boy singing "Ini kali lah TUKAR."

LIM KIT SIANG'S PRESS CONFERENCE FROM UBAH TV

Jim Rogers: We're Wiping out the Savings Class Globally, to Terrible Consequence

Jim Rogers decries the growing uncertainty and recklessness of global central planners as the world enters unchartered financial markets:

For the first time in recorded history, we have nearly every central bank printing money and trying to debase their currency. This has never happened before. How it’s going to work out, I don't know. It just depends on which one goes down the most and first, and they take turns. When one says a currency is going down, the question is against what? because they are all trying to debase themselves. It’s a peculiar time in world history.

I own the dollar, not because I have any confidence in the dollar and not because it’s sound – it’s a terribly flawed currency – but I expect more currency turmoil, more financial turmoil. During periods like that, people, for whatever reason, flee to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. It is not a safe haven, but it is perceived that way by some people. That’s why the dollar is going up. That’s why I own it. Will I own it in five years, ten years? I don't know. 

It makes it extremely difficult for the investor looking for acceptable risk/reward or the saver looking to protect their purchasing power; as in Rogers' view, all options have their problems:

I own gold and silver and precious metals. I own all commodities, which is a better way to play as they debase currencies. I own more agriculture than just about anything else in real assets because of the reasons we discussed before. We were talking before about the risk-free or worry-free investment. Even gold: the Indian politicians are talking about coming down hard on gold, and India is the largest buyer of gold in the world. If Indian politicians do something -- whether it’s foolish or not is irrelevant -- if they do something, gold could go down a lot. So I own it. I’m not selling it. But everything has problems.

To Rogers, the bigger danger that concerns him is the hollowing out of the 'saving class' resulting from this situation. Central planners' policies are punishing the prudent in favor of rescuing the irresponsible. This has happened before in world history, and the aftermath has always had grievous economic, social -- and often human -- costs:

Throughout our history – any country’s history – the people who save their money and invest for their future are the ones that you build an economy, a society, and a nation on.

In America, many people saved their money, put it aside, and didn’t buy four or five houses with no job and no money down. They did what most people would consider the right thing, and what historically has been the right thing. But now, unfortunately, those people are being wiped out, because they are getting 0% return, or virtually no return, on their savings and their investments. We’re wiping them out at the expense of people who went deeply into debt, people who did what most people would consider the wrong thing at the expense of people who did the right thing. This, long-term, has terrible consequences for any nation, any society, any economy.

If you go back in history, you'll see what happed to the Germans when they wiped out their savings class in the 1920s. It didn’t lead to good things down the road for Germany. It didn’t lead to good things for Italy, which did the same thing. There were plenty of countries where it wiped out the people who saved and invested for their future. It’s usually a serious, political reaction, desperation in some cases, and looking for a savior and easy answers is usually what happens when you destroy the people who save and invest for the future.

Secret of the Wealthy

Asset Allocation: Building a Better Balanced Portfolio

Portfolio Allocation for Peak Earners

Tesco Profit Hit by Write-Downs

Tesco Profit Hit by Write-Downs

BY KATHY GORDON

LONDON—Tesco PLC on Wednesday counted the cost of years of ambitious expansion under former chief Terry Leahy, as the U.K. supermarket operator's profit for the year was all but wiped out by payments to clean up its domestic business and a charge related to its failed U.S. venture.

Full-year net profit fell for the first time in 19 years, to £124 million ($190.5 million) from £2.81 billion a year earlier. The figure was hit by a £1.17 billion charge on the retailer's failed U.S. chain Fresh & Easy, and a £804 million write-down on property in the U.K.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324493704578427933954071390.html?ru=yahoo&mod=yahoo_hs

17 April 2013
Preliminary Results Announcement 2012/13 Tesco PLC’s Preliminary Results 2012/13 were announced today at 7.00am. View all results materials including full release and Philip Clarke's blog post. Financial highlights £3.5bn trading profit – year-on-year performance largely reflects UK reinvestment Final dividend maintained at 10.13p, giving full-year dividend of 14.76p. Good progress in the UK, delivering improved results – for customers and for Tesco Strong online performance: Group sales of over £3bn for the first time – up 13% Confirming exit from the United States – process well-advanced. F+F brand clothing sales now exceed £1bn in UK alone, with +9% LFL sales growth Clear approach to future growth, capital expenditure, returns and cash, providing clarity for shareholders Philip Clarke – Chief Executive "The announcements made today are natural consequences of the strategic changes we first began over a year ago and which conclude today.  With profound and rapid change in the way consumers live their lives, our objective is to be the best multichannel retailer for customers. Our plan to 'Build a Better Tesco' is on track and I am pleased with the real progress in the UK.  We have already made substantial improvements to our customers' shopping experience, which are starting to be reflected in a better performance. We have set the business on the right track to deliver realistic, sustainable and attractive returns and long-term growth for shareholders. The consequences are non-cash write-offs relating to the United States, from which we today confirm our decision to exit, and for UK property investments which we will not pursue because of our fundamentally different approach to space. We have also faced external challenges which have affected our performance, notably in Europe and Korea. Our focus now is on disciplined and targeted investment in those markets with significant growth potential and the opportunity to deliver strong returns." View full release.

Margin of Safety. Paying Up Doesn't Pay Off

Paying Up Doesn't Pay Off
	1999	2004	1999	2004	5-Year	5-Year
	P/E	P/E	Price $	Price $	EPS Growth	Total Return
Coca Cola	47	20	58	42	66%	-28%
Pfizer	42	13	32	27	165%	-16%
Wal-Mart	58	23	69	53	93%	-23%
Dell	75	35	51	42	78%	-18%
Microsoft	78	21	58	27	69%	-53%
Intel	36	21	41	24	-4%	-41%
Cisco	134	24	54	19	100%	-65%
Average	67	22	52	33	81%	-35%

The above chart contains seven of the best businesses in existence.

In the five years from 1999 to 2004, these wonders of American business boosted their earnings per share by an average of 81%, yet had you invested in all of them in 1999, your aggregate return would have been a disappointing negative 35%.

The cause of your loss would be the high price you paid for these businesses in 1999 when their price/earnings ratio averaged a breathtaking 67 times.

By 2004, the average price/earnings ratio had returned to a more rational 22 times, more than offsetting the spectacular gains in earnings per share posted by these corporate giants.

An intelligent investor would have recognized that even for the greatest businesses in the world, at 67 times earnings, Mr. Market was asking too high a price and no margin of safety was available.

MARGIN OF SAFETY

If you had asked Graham to distill the secret of sound investing into three words, he might have replied, "margin of safety/"  These are still the right three words and will remain so for as long as humans are unable to accurately predict the future.

As Graham repeatedly warned, any estimate of intrinsic value is based on numerous assumptions about the future, which are unlikely to be completely accurate.  By allowing yourself a margin of safety - paying only $60 for a stock you think is worth $100, for example - you provide for errors in your forecasts and unforeseeable events that may alter the business landscape.

Just think, if you were asked to build a bridge over which 10,000 pound trucks were to pass, would you build it to hold exactly 10,000 pounds.  Of course not - you'd build the bridge to hold 15,000 or 20,000 pounds.  That is your margin of safety.

Think Independently. You should derive no comfort in either standing with or against the crowd.

Warren Buffett said the best advice he ever got from Graham was to think independently.

Just as you ignore Mr. Market's daily communications (unless, of course, he gives you an interesting quote), you should also derive no comfort in either standing with or against the crowd.

As Graham wrote, "You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you.  You are right because your data and reasoning are right."

If you have reached a rational conclusion about a stock based on sound judgement, you should act even though others around you may hesitate or differ.