Because investors have become suspicious of company profits, free cash flow is a popular way to assess a share.
Rightly, profits are too easy to manipulate. Yet, free cash flow can be manipulated as well and you need to know how to spot this.
Companies can boost their free cash flow in many ways.
Here are a few ways they can do this:
1. Delay paying their bills until after the end of the financial year.Review FCF and its trend over at least 5 years
This is why you should review a company's free cash flow over a number of years (at least 5 years) and look at the trend.
You need to look at what is causing the free cash flow to change, as not all free cash flow should be valued the same.
NOT all FCF should be valued the same.
1. Highest quality of free cash flow
Ideally, a company should be generating more free cash flow because its profits are growing. This is the highest quality of free cash flow.
2. Lesser quality of free cash flow
Companies that are boosting cash flows through changes in working capital (paying their bills later, collecting their debtors faster and holding less stocks of finished goods) or cutting capex might be doing the right thing, but these kind of improvements are not achievable year after year.
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