As an investor, you have to know something about volatility and risk, where it comes from and how it can affect your investment performance.
If you avoid volatility altogether, example, keeping your money in fixed deposits or risk free saving deposits, you will eventually be sorry in all but the most remote black swan scenarios.
What are you to do?
You will have to face the risk and decide how you want to go forward in your investing. There are at least four things you can do about risk, to manage it.
1. Avoid risk: accept risk-free returns of 2% or less.
2. Retain risk: know it's there, know its dangers, and deal with them.
3. Reduce risk: be smart about what you are doing by taking the necessary precautious
4. Transfer risk: make contrarian investments or buy derivatives -another scary concept, to insure your portfolio.
The best investing approach to risk taking
The best investing approach overall is some combination of the four.
Warren Buffett's strategy was primarily to reduce risk by knowing what he was doing. We can embrace a lot of what he has to say, though we cannot all be so masterful.
We may want to avoid risk with certain portions of our investments, like an emergency or college fund as we approach our children's college years.
We will retain risks, knowing it is hard to quantify or measure just how much risk we want to retain.
We will reduce risks by being smart, which means knowing where the risks come from and taking steps, like doing smart, forward-looking research to reduce them.
There are ways to transfer some of the risks by buying and selling certain types of options to trade a relatively more volatile future for certain cash today or to insure a portfolio outright.
"Take no risk" is not an option.
If you have money, you will take risk.
If you want your money to work for you some day, you have to take a little more risk, especially in view of long-term inflation.
If you embrace and manage the risk properly and stay within yourself, you won't lose sleep at night.
What is risky is what makes you lose sleep at night.
This is anything that's psychologically upsetting or distracting that causes you not to be wholly focused or effective on the rest of what's gong on around you.
Risk checklist
Here is a short risk checklist:
Conclusion
In the end, it all depends on how much risk you want to take and how you feel about risk to achieve a balance you are comfortable with.
Low volatility investing is the acceptance and management of some investing risk to produce better-than-market returns while minimizing exposure to the wealth-destroying sharp downturns that can have long-term effects on investing performance.
If you avoid volatility altogether, example, keeping your money in fixed deposits or risk free saving deposits, you will eventually be sorry in all but the most remote black swan scenarios.
What are you to do?
You will have to face the risk and decide how you want to go forward in your investing. There are at least four things you can do about risk, to manage it.
1. Avoid risk: accept risk-free returns of 2% or less.
2. Retain risk: know it's there, know its dangers, and deal with them.
3. Reduce risk: be smart about what you are doing by taking the necessary precautious
4. Transfer risk: make contrarian investments or buy derivatives -another scary concept, to insure your portfolio.
The best investing approach to risk taking
The best investing approach overall is some combination of the four.
Warren Buffett's strategy was primarily to reduce risk by knowing what he was doing. We can embrace a lot of what he has to say, though we cannot all be so masterful.
We may want to avoid risk with certain portions of our investments, like an emergency or college fund as we approach our children's college years.
We will retain risks, knowing it is hard to quantify or measure just how much risk we want to retain.
We will reduce risks by being smart, which means knowing where the risks come from and taking steps, like doing smart, forward-looking research to reduce them.
There are ways to transfer some of the risks by buying and selling certain types of options to trade a relatively more volatile future for certain cash today or to insure a portfolio outright.
"Take no risk" is not an option.
If you have money, you will take risk.
If you want your money to work for you some day, you have to take a little more risk, especially in view of long-term inflation.
If you embrace and manage the risk properly and stay within yourself, you won't lose sleep at night.
What is risky is what makes you lose sleep at night.
This is anything that's psychologically upsetting or distracting that causes you not to be wholly focused or effective on the rest of what's gong on around you.
Risk checklist
Here is a short risk checklist:
- If you cannot sleep at night, you are taking too much risk.
- If you cannot function normally without being distracted; if you are irritable or angry or pensive or withdrawn, you are probably taking too much risk.
- If you are risking something greater than you can afford to lose, you are taking too much risk.
- If you are truly worried about your long-term financial security, you are taking too much risk.
- The converse is true too. If you are truly worried about long term financial security, you may not be taking enough risk; you are sacrificing too much return.
Conclusion
In the end, it all depends on how much risk you want to take and how you feel about risk to achieve a balance you are comfortable with.
Low volatility investing is the acceptance and management of some investing risk to produce better-than-market returns while minimizing exposure to the wealth-destroying sharp downturns that can have long-term effects on investing performance.
1 comment:
Hey! I liked what you have to say. Risk is absolutely necessary in order to gain the kind of wealth you are looking to gain for your future. I am fully invested in stocks with the maximum amount of equity exposure. Consider investing in American Funds, which has a rate of return of 12% since the funds inception nearly a century ago. The American Funds Family has a good process when they select their securities by consulting with at least nine different managers. They have a history of losing less money during a market downturn helping investors earn more money over their investing career. It is all about taking risk because if you stick with index funds only then you will not earn as much as you could possibly earn. Index funds do not earn as much because they hang on to those underperforming securities for the most part.
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