Operating Results, Fact and Fiction
Let's begin
with the numbers. The official annual
report begins on K-1 and extends for 124 pages. It is filled with a vast amount
of information - some important, some trivial.
Among its
disclosures many owners, along with financial reporters, will focus on page
K-72. There, they will find the proverbial "bottom line" labeled
"Net earnings (loss)." The numbers read $90 billion for 2021, ($23
billion) for 2022 and $96 billion for 2023.
What in the
world is going on?
You seek
guidance and are told that the procedures for calculating these
"earnings" are promulgated by a sober and credentialed Financial
Accounting Standards Board ("FASB"), mandated by a dedicated and
hard-working Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and audited
by the world-class professionals at Deloitte & Touche
("D&T"). On page K-67, D&T pulls no punches: "In our
opinion, the financial statementspresent fairly, in all material respects (italics mine), the
financial position of the Company . . . . . and the results of its operations .
. . . . for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2023"
So
sanctified, this worse-than-useless "net income" figure quickly gets
transmitted throughout the world via the internet and media. All parties
believe they have done their job - and, legally, they have.
We,
however, are left uncomfortable. At Berkshire, our view
is that "earnings" should be a sensible concept that Bertie will find
somewhat useful - but only as a starting point-
in evaluating a business. Accordingly, Berkshire also reports to Bertie and you what we call
"operating earnings." Here is the story they tell: $27.6 billion for 2021; $30.9 billion
for 2022 and $37.4 billion for 2023.
The primary difference between the mandated figures
and the ones Berkshire prefers is that we exclude unrealized capital gains or
losses that at times can exceed $5 billion a day.
Ironically, our preference was pretty much the rule until 2018, when the
"improvement" was mandated. Galileo's experience, several centuries
ago, should have taught us not to mess with mandates from on high. But, at
Berkshire, we can be stubborn.
Make no
mistake about the significance of capital gains: I expect them to be a very important component of Berkshire's value
accretion during the decades ahead. Why else would we commit huge dollar
amounts of your money (and Bertie's) to marketable equities just as I have been
doing with my own funds throughout my investing lifetime?
I can't
remember a period since March 11, 1942 - the date of my first stock purchase -
that I have not had a majority of my
net worth in equities, U.S.-based equities.
And so far, so good. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below 100 on that
fateful day in 1942 when I "pulled the trigger." I was down about $5
by the time school was out. Soon, things turned around and now that index
hovers around 38,000. America has been a terrific country for investors. All
they have needed to do is sit quietly, listening to no one.
It is more
than silly, however, to make judgments about Berkshire's investment value based
on "earnings" that incorporate the capricious day-by-day and, yes, even year-by-year movements
of the stock market. As Ben Graham taught me, "In the short run the market
acts as a voting machine; in the long run it becomes a weighing machine."
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