Showing posts with label Berkshire Hathaway. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Berkshire Hathaway. Show all posts

Sunday 17 February 2019

Buffett doubles down on banks as Berkshire trims Apple stake


15 Feb 2019

NEW YORK (Feb 15): Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc took advantage of a plunge in bank stocks to pile even further into his bet on financials, while trimming a giant stake in Apple Inc.

Berkshire spent the last half of the year snapping up more shares of banks and insurers, moves that made the company a major shareholder in four of the five largest US banks. The Omaha, Nebraska-based conglomerate boosted its stake in JPMorgan Chase & Co and Bank of America Corp in the last three months of the year.


Key Insights

Berkshire reduced its Apple stake by 1% in a period that marked its first holiday quarter sales decline in 18 years and saw shares plunge 30% . It’s still the biggest holding in Buffett’s portfolio, and the stock has rebounded about 8% this year.

Buffett didn’t enjoy his time investing in International Business Machines Corp, but he may have made quite a haul on its latest purchase.

Berkshire owned 4.2 million shares of Red Hat Inc at year-end, though it’s unclear if they were bought before IBM’s purchase of the company sent the stock up 45% on Oct 29.

Berkshire also boosted its stakes in regional lenders, including PNC Financial Services Group Inc and US Bancorp. That could be a bet on consolidation in the industry, as this month’s announced merger between SunTrust Banks Inc and BB&T Corp has led to speculation that more deals are coming.

Market Reaction

Oracle shares dropped 1.3% at 4:56pm in New York, after the end of regular US trading. Apple was down as well, losing about 0.5%.

Get More

Buffett had long praised JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon even as Berkshire Hathaway didn’t invest in the stock. Berkshire eventually plowed in when the timing aligned, according to Vice Chairman Charles Munger. “As investment has gotten harder and the banks have done better and better, we’ve finally reached a crossing point where he was willing to act,” Munger said Thursday in an interview after the Daily Journal Corp meeting in Los Angeles.

Berkshire’s dalliance with Oracle Corp was short-lived. After taking a US$2.1 billion stake in the software firm in the third quarter, Berkshire had sold out by year-end. Buffett has typically taken a more cautious approach to technology companies, given his lack of familiarity with the space.
Buffett likes to take advantage of what he views as fear in the markets, and that certainly hit banks last quarter. The S&P 500 Financials Index dropped 14% in the fourth quarter, the worst period in more than seven years.


- Bloomberg

Tuesday 30 October 2018

Why Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway May Be a Bargain

Why Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway May Be a Bargain

By Mark Kolakowski
October 1, 2018


Shares of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A) have put on a growth spurt recently, propelling them far ahead of the market, in defiance of critics who had raised concerns about the giant ($526 billion market capitalization) conglomerate's prospects for future growth, and who argued that CEO Warren Buffett had lost his edge as an investor. Now some leading investment professionals are seeing value in Berkshire, and calling it a buy, Barron's reports. The recent performance of Berkshire's class A stock is compared to major stock market indexes in the table below.


Buffett's Berkshire Is Flying High
Stock or IndexGain Since 7/171-Year Gain
Berkshire Hathaway Class A10.9%16.5%
S&P 500 Index (SPX)3.7%16.1%
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)5.3%18.2%
Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC)2.4%24.7%
Source: Yahoo Finance, based on adjusted close data.


Read more: Why Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway May Be a Bargain | Investopedia https://www.investopedia.com/news/why-buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-may-be-bargain/#ixzz5VOba1eIl



What Matters for Investors

Widely recognized as an investing genius, Buffett's moves are closely watched for clues about the future direction of the market and the best places to invest. Also, since Berkshire's constituent operating subsidiaries are often seen as models of best management practices.

Nonetheless, Berkshire stock has lagged the market for a number of years, as detailed in the table below, leading an increasing number of analysts and commentators to criticize Buffett as someone who is still resting on the laurels of big gains posted decades ago. In June, a Barron's column argued that Berkshire is long overdue for a series of changes necessary to keep it relevant going forward. (For more, see also: How Berkshire Should Prepare for Life After Buffett.)

Berkshire's Stock Has Lost Its Edge
Average Annual Total ReturnsLast 10 YearsLast 5 Years
Berkshire Hathaway Class A8.7%11.1%
S&P 500 9.7%13.5%
Source: Barron's, based on Bloomberg data and Berkshire reports; data through June 13.


One of those proposed changes was to return capital to investors through dividends and share repurchases. Berkshire is sitting on a mountain of cash that exceeded $106 billion as of June 30, spurring concerns that Buffett is finding it increasingly difficult to employ this capital profitably. On July 17, Buffett announced that Berkshire would become more flexible in its approach to share repurchases, a move that sent its shares upward. Since its recent high close on Sept. 20, however, the price of Berkshire's class A shares has retreated by 4.0%.

"Berkshire is not a screaming bargain, but it's still undervalued," according to David Rolfe, chief investment officer at St. Louis-based money management firm, in remarks to Barron's. He believes that the class A shares should be worth about $400,000 each, or 25% above the Sept. 28 close, while he values the class B shares at $275 each, implying a potential 28% gain.

Rolfe bases these figures on a bottom-up analysis of Berkshire's operating units, such as the Burlington Northern railroad and the Geico insurance company. He inferred market values for them, based on comparisons with competitors that share their strengths. Additionally, he applied current market prices to Berkshire's investment portfolio of share holdings in other publicly-traded companies, which was worth $192 billion as of June 30.

Second quarter operating profits for Berkshire were up by 67% year-over-year (YOY). Barron's notes that its operating companies are domestically-focused, and are propelled by the strong U.S. economy, while also being big winners from corporate tax reductions.

Looking Ahead

Buffett turned 88 in August, and his longtime right-hand man, Berkshire Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, is 94. A major question mark hanging over the company is Buffett's failure to announce a succession plan.

Meanwhile, Berkshire's stake in Apple Inc. (AAPL) is by far the largest position in its equity investment portfolio. As of June 30, Berkshire held 252 million shares of Apple, then worth nearly $47 billion, according to Fortune. Since then, Apple's share price has risen by 22.4%, making this holding now worth about $57 billion. Buffett has been adding to this position, though others question whether Apple's growth has peaked.

As far as investing Berkshire's cash hoard is concerned, rumors abound regarding what new companies Buffett might choose to buy into, or buy outright. Among those alleged targets is Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV), whose market cap of around $36 billion would make it easily digestible for Buffett. Berkshire already owns Southwest stock worth about $3 billion, and has positions in several other major airlines. Berkshire also increased its holdings of The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA) in the second quarter, per Fortune. (For more, see also: Morgan Stanley Thinks Berkshire Should Buy This Airline.)



Read more: Why Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway May Be a Bargain | Investopedia https://www.investopedia.com/news/why-buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-may-be-bargain/#ixzz5VObFsEqs
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Stock Performance Chart for Berkshire Hathaway Inc.




Stock Data:

Current Price (10/26/2018): 296,805
(Figures in U.S. Dollars)


Recent Stock Performance:
1 Week -5.6%
4 Weeks -1.7%
13 Weeks -7.2%
52 Weeks 5.4%

Saturday 19 August 2017

Berkshire Hathaway P/B = 2.3 (19.7.2017)

Berkshire Hathaway
19.8.2017

INCOME STATEMENT
Millions USD
Year …. 2016 …. 2015 …. 2014 …. 2013 …. 2012
Revenues …. 222,935 …. 209,995 …. 194,864 …. 179,770 …. 160,837
GrProf …. 53,789 …. 52,944 …. 45,270 …. 41,134 …. 33,857
EBIT …. 35,572 …. 38,461 …. 31,549 …. 29,217 …. 23,354
Int Exp …. 3,497 …. 3,515 …. 3,253 …. 2801 …. 2,744
PBT …. 33,667 …. 34,946 …. 28,105 …. 28,796 …. 22,236
PAT …. 24,074 …. 24,083 …. 19,872 …. 19,476 …. 14,824
EPS (Dil) …. 9.76 …. 9.77 …. 8.06 …. 7.90 …. 5.98
No of shr (Dil) …. 2.466 …. 2.465 …. 2.465 …. 2.465 …. 2.477



GP Marg …. 24.13% …. 25.21% …. 23.23% …. 22.88% …. 21.05%
PBT Marg …. 15.10% …. 16.64% …. 14.42% …. 16.02% …. 13.83%
NP Marg …. 10.80% …. 11.47% …. 10.20% …. 10.83% …. 9.22%
EBIT/Int …. 10.17 …. 10.94 …. 9.70 …. 10.43 …. 8.51



BALANCE SHEET
Millions USD
Year …. 2016 …. 2015 …. 2014 …. 2013 …. 2012
CA …. 142,494 …. 119,721 …. 107,923 …. 91,454 …. 91,229
NCA …. 478,360 …. 432,536 …. 418,263 …. 393,477 …. 336,223
TA …. 620,854 …. 552,257 …. 526,186 …. 484,931 …. 427,452

CL …. 47,392 …. 33,260 …. 48,506 …. 44,469 …. 47,288
NCL …. (17,856) …. (5,922) …. (25,180) …. (21,685) …. (22,760)
TL …. 29,536 …. 27,338 …. 23,326 …. 22,784 …. 24,528
Eq …. 286,359 …. 258,627 …. 243,027 …. 224,485 …. 191,588
TL+Eq …. 620,854 …. 552,257 …. 526,186 …. 484,931 …. 427,452



Cash …. 86,370 …. 71,730 …. 63,269 …. 48,186 …. 46,992
ST Debt …. 12,350 …. 1,989 …. 8,283 …. 6,634 …. 11,927
LT Debt …. 89,294 …. 82300 …. 71926 …. 65590 …. 50809
Total Debt …. 101,644 …. 84,289 …. 80,209 …. 72,224 …. 62,736

Inventories …. 15,727 …. 11,916 …. 10,236 …. 9,945 …. 9,675
AR …. 40,397 …. 36,075 …. 34,418 …. 33,323 …. 34,562
AP …. 35,042 …. 31,271 …. 40,223 …. 37,835 …. 35,361

CA-CL …. 95,102 …. 86,461 …. 59,417 …. 46,985 …. 43,941

TD/Eq …. 35.5% …. 32.6% …. 33.0% …. 32.2% …. 32.7%
TD/TA …. 16.4% …. 15.3% …. 15.2% …. 14.9% …. 14.7%
TL/TA …. 4.8% …. 5.0% …. 4.4% …. 4.7% …. 5.7%

CR …. 3.01 …. 3.60 …. 2.22 …. 2.06 …. 1.93
QR …. 2.67 …. 3.24 …. 2.01 …. 1.83 …. 1.72



CE …. 659,832 …. 590,727 …. 540,949 …. 488,648 …. 427,156

Average of 2 years
CE (Avg) …. 625,280 …. 565,838 …. 514,799 …. 457,902 ….
TA (Avg) …. 586,556 …. 539,222 …. 505,559 …. 456,192 ….
Eq (Avg) …. 272,493 …. 250,827 …. 233,756 …. 208,037 ….






CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Millions USD
Year …. 2016 …. 2015 …. 2014 …. 2013 …. 2012
Net Inc …. 24,427 …. 24,414 …. 20,170 …. 19,845 …. 15,312
D&A …. 8,901 …. 7,779 …. 7,370 …. 6,508 …. 5,146
FFO …. 25,614 …. 23,571 …. 23,624 …. 22,661 …. 19,791
CWC …. 6,921 …. 7,920 …. 8,386 …. 5,043 …. 1,159
NetOCF …. 32,535 …. 31,491 …. 32,010 …. 27,704 …. 20,950

Capex …. (12,954) …. (16,082) …. (15,185) …. (11,087) …. (9,775)

FCF …. 19,581 …. 15,409 …. 16,825 …. 16,617 …. 11,175
Dividends …. - …. - …. - …. - …. -
RE …. 24,427 …. 24,414 …. 20,170 …. 19,845 …. 15,312


NetOCF/Net Inc …. 133.2% …. 129.0% …. 158.7% …. 139.6% …. 136.8%
FCF/Net Inc …. 80.2% …. 63.1% …. 83.4% …. 83.7% …. 73.0%
Capex/Net Inc …. 53.0% …. 65.9% …. 75.3% …. 55.9% …. 63.8%
Capex/NetOCF …. 39.8% …. 51.1% …. 47.4% …. 40.0% …. 46.7%
Capex/D&A …. 145.5% …. 206.7% …. 206.0% …. 170.4% …. 190.0%
DPO ratio …. 0.0% …. 0.0% …. 0.0% …. 0.0% …. 0.0%



VALUATION
Year …. 2016 …. 2015 …. 2014 …. 2013 …. 2012
Share Price RM …. 244,121 …. 200,150 …. 223,600 …. 187,350 …. 156,280
Market cap (m) …. 602,002 …. 493,370 …. 551,174 …. 461,818 …. 387,106

ROCE …. 5.7% …. 6.8% …. 6.1% …. 6.4% ….
ROA …. 4.1% …. 4.5% …. 3.9% …. 4.3% ….
ROE …. 8.8% …. 9.6% …. 8.5% …. 9.4% ….

FCF/Revenues …. 8.8% …. 7.3% …. 8.6% …. 9.2% …. 6.9%

FCF/Mkt Cap …. 3.3% …. 3.1% …. 3.1% …. 3.6% …. 2.9%
DY …. 0.0% …. 0.0% …. 0.0% …. 0.0% …. 0.0%

Mkt. cap/Equity (P/B) …. 2.10 …. 1.91 …. 2.27 …. 2.06 …. 2.02
Mkt. cap/Net Inc (PE) …. 25.01 …. 20.49 …. 27.74 …. 23.71 …. 26.11



Today's Price RM …. 267,377
Shares (m) …. 2.466
Market cap (m) today …. 659,352

Mkt. cap/Equity (P/B) …. 2.30
Mkt. cap/Net Inc (PE) …. 27.39




Comments:

Cash in book of 86.37 Billion

FCF generated in 2016 was 19.581 Billion

Sunday 6 August 2017

Berkshire Hathaway class A share is trading at 148% of its Book Value (Overvalued)


Price per share of Berkshire class A shares $270,000.
Book value per share, at the end of March :  $182,816.
Price to book value ratio of Berkshire class A shares:  148% (overvalued)

(Book value per share is Buffett's preferred measure of growth, )

Saturday, 5 August 2017 |
Buffett(filepic) believes operating income is a better gauge of how Berkshire and its more than 90 businesses are doing than net income, which fluctuates more because it incorporates investment gains, which fell 51 percent from a year earlier.
Buffett(filepic) believes operating income is a better gauge of how Berkshire and its more than 90 businesses are doing than net income, which fluctuates more because it incorporates investment gains, which fell 51 percent from a year earlier.
NEW YORK: Billionaire Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc on Friday reported a 15 percent drop in second-quarter profit, as lower investment gains and a loss from insurance underwriting offset improvement in its BNSF railroad business.

Operating profit also fell short of analyst forecasts, though Berkshire attributed much of the decline to accounting issues, including for currency fluctuations and a major contract with the insurer American International Group Inc.

Net income for Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire fell to $4.26 billion, or $2,592 per Class A share, from $5 billion, or $3,042 per share, a year earlier.

Operating profit declined 11 percent to $4.12 billion, or $2,505 per Class A share, from $4.61 billion, or $2,803 per share.

Analysts on average expected operating profit of about $2,791 per share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Buffett believes operating income is a better gauge of how Berkshire and its more than 90 businesses are doing than net income, which fluctuates more because it incorporates investment gains, which fell 51 percent from a year earlier.

Book value per share, Buffett's preferred measure of growth, rose 2.7 percent from the end of March to $182,816.

The company's stock price, meanwhile, set a record high on Friday, with Class A shares closing up $1,629.80 at $270,000.
"They had a good quarter," said Bill Smead, chief executive of Smead Capital Management Inc in Seattle, which owns Berkshire stock. "The results reflect Berkshire's positioning in the U.S. economy."

BNSF saw profit rise 24 percent to $958 million, helped by high single-digit percentage increases in freight revenue from consumer and industrial products, and double-digit increases from agricultural products and coal.

That helped offset a second straight quarterly loss from insurance underwriting, totaling $22 million compared with a year earlier $337 million profit.

Berkshire said that weakness reflected losses from currency changes, as well as the amortization of deferred charges from its January agreement to take on many long-term AIG property and casualty risks, in exchange for $10.2 billion upfront.

That contract helped boost float, or the amount of insurance premiums collected before claims are paid and which help fund Berkshire's growth, to $107 billion from $91 billion at year end, Berkshire said. - Reuters

Read more at http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2017/08/05/berkshire-profit-falls-as-underwriting-loss-offsets-railroad-gains/#IBzWWSqRbxmOzbYk.99

Monday 8 May 2017

Berkshire Hathaway: A Safe, High-Quality, Growing Company

The Basics

  • Stock price (5/4/17): $249,540
    • $166.34 for B shares
  • Shares outstanding: 1.64 million
  • Market cap: $409 billion
  • Total assets (Q4 '16): $621 billion
  • Total equity (Q4 '16): $286 billion
  • Book value per share (Q4 '16): $172,108
  • Repurchase maximum price (1.2x book): $206,530
  • Downside to the Buffett repurchase put: 17%
  • P/B: 1.45x
  • Float (Q4 '16): $92 billion
  • Revenue: $224 billion
  • Berkshire Hathaway today is the 11th largest company in the world (and 4th largest in the U.S.) by revenues

History

  • Berkshire Hathaway today does not resemble the company that Buffett bought into during the 1960s
  • It was a leading New England-based textile company, with investment appeal as a classic Ben Graham-style "net-net"
  • Buffett took control of Berkshire on May 10, 1965
  • At that time, the company had a market value of about $18 million and shareholder's equity of about $22 million

  • Buffett is doing a good job investing – the latest examples being Precision Castparts, Kraft and Duracell– but the cash is coming in so fast (a high-class problem)!
    • Berkshire will generate free cash flow equal to the $32.7 billion paid for PCP in ~2 years
  • Markets have a way of presenting big opportunities on short notice
    • Junk bonds in 2002, chaos in 2008
    • Buffett has reduced the average maturity of Berkshire’s bond portfolio so he can act quickly

Valuing Berkshire

"Over the years we've…attempt[ed] to increase our marketable investments in wonderful businesses, while simultaneously trying to buy similar businesses in their entirety." – 1995 Annual Letter
"In our last two annual reports, we furnished you a table that Charlie and I believe is central to estimating Berkshire's intrinsic value. In the updated version of that table, which follows, we trace our two key components of value. The first column lists our per-share ownership of investments (including cash and equivalents) and the second column shows our per-share earnings from Berkshire's operating businesses before taxes and purchase-accounting adjustments, but after all interest and corporate expenses. The second column excludes all dividends, interest and capital gains that we realized from the investments presented in the first column." – 1997 Annual Letter
"In effect, the columns show what Berkshire would look like were it split into two parts, with one entity holding our investments and the other operating all of our businesses and bearing all corporate costs." – 1997 Annual Letter


Buffett's Comments on Berkshire's Valuation Lead to an Implied Historical Multiplier of ~12x









  • 1996 Annual Letter: "Today's price/value relationship is both much different from what it was a year ago and, as Charlie and I see it, more appropriate."
  • 1997 Annual Letter: "Berkshire's intrinsic value grew at nearly the same pace as book value" (book +34.1%)
  • 1998 Annual Letter: "Though Berkshire's intrinsic value grew very substantially in 1998, the gain fell well short of the 48.3% recorded for book value." (Assume a 15-20% increase in intrinsic value.)
  • 1999 Annual Letter: "A repurchase of, say, 2% of a company's shares at a 25% discount from per-share intrinsic value...We will not repurchase shares unless we believe Berkshire stock is selling well below intrinsic value, conservatively calculated...Recently, when the A shares fell below $45,000, we considered making repurchases."

/2017/05/tilson-berkshire-hathaway-safe-high-quality-growing-company-30-upside/


Estimating Berkshire's Value: 2001 – 2016























  1. Unlike Buffett, we included a conservative estimate of normalized earnings from Berkshire's insurance businesses: half of the $2 billion of average annual profit over the 12 years prior to 2014, equal to $600/share prior. Starting in the 2015 AR, Buffett began to include all insurance earnings, so this is reflected in 2014 and 2015 earnings. Both we and Buffett exclude investment income.
  2. Historically we believe Buffett used a 12 multiple, but given compressed multiples during the downturn, we used an 8 in 2008-2010 and 10 since then.

Berkshire Is Trading 16% Below Its Intrinsic Value




















* Investments per share plus 12x pre-tax earnings per share through 2007, then an 8x multiple from 2008-2010, and a 10x multiple thereafter.



12-Month Investment Return 

• Current intrinsic value: $296,000/share 
• Plus 6% annual growth of intrinsic value of the business 
• Plus ~$10,000/share cash build over next 12 months 
• Equals intrinsic value in one year of $324,000 
• 30% above today's price 


Catalysts 

• Continued earnings growth of operating businesses 
• Likelihood of meaningful acquisitions 
• New stock investments 
• Additional cash build 
• Share repurchases (if the stock drops to 1.2x book or below; it’s currently at 1.45x)


Conclusion: 

Berkshire Has Everything I Look for in a Stock: It's Safe, Cheap and Growing at a Healthy Rate 

• Extremely safe: Berkshire's huge hoard of liquid assets, the quality and diversity of its businesses, the fact that much of its earnings (primarily insurance and utilities) aren't tied to the economic cycle, and the conservative way in which it's managed all protect Berkshire's intrinsic value, while the share repurchase program provides downside protection to the stock 
• Upside: trading 16% below intrinsic value (without giving any credit to immense optionality), with 30% upside over the next year 
• Downside: Only 17% downside to 1.2x book value, which is where Buffett it will to buy the stock, thereby putting a floor on it. 
• Growing: Intrinsic value is growing at roughly 6-8% annually

Saturday 15 April 2017

Charlie Munger provided some answers to: Why did Berkshire under Buffett do so well?



1.   Why did Berkshire under Buffett do so well?

Only four large factors occur to me:

(1) The constructive peculiarities of Buffett,
(2) The constructive peculiarities of the Berkshire system,
(3) Good luck, and
(4) The weirdly intense, contagious devotion of some shareholders and other admirers, including some in the press.


I believe all four factors were present and helpful. But the heavy freight was carried by

  • the constructive peculiarities, 
  • the weird devotion, and 
  • their interactions.


In particular, Buffett’s decision to limit his activities to a few kinds and to maximize his attention to them, and to keep doing so for 50 years, was a lollapalooza.  Buffett succeeded for the same reason Roger Federer became good at tennis.

Buffett was, in effect, using the winning method of the famous basketball coach, John Wooden, who won most regularly after he had learned to assign virtually all playing time to his seven best players. That way, opponents always faced his best players, instead of his second best. And, with the extra playing time, the best players improved more than was normal.

And Buffett much out-Woodened Wooden, because in his case the exercise of skill was concentrated in one person, not seven, and his skill improved and improved as he got older and older during 50 years, instead of deteriorating like the skill of a basketball player does.

Moreover, by concentrating so much power and authority in the often-long-serving CEOs of important subsidiaries, Buffett was also creating strong Wooden-type effects there. And such effects enhanced the skills of the CEOs and the achievements of the subsidiaries.

Then, as the Berkshire system bestowed much-desired autonomy on many subsidiaries and their CEOs, and Berkshire became successful and well known, these outcomes attracted both more and better subsidiaries into Berkshire, and better CEOs as well.

And the better subsidiaries and CEOs then required less attention from headquarters, creating what is often called a “virtuous circle.”



2.   What were the big mistakes made by Berkshire under Buffett?

Well, while mistakes of commission were common, almost all huge errors were in not making a purchase, including not purchasing Walmart stock when that was sure to work out enormously well. The errors of omission were of much importance. Berkshire’s net worth would now be at least $50 billion higher if it had seized several opportunities it was not quite smart enough to recognize as virtually sure things.



3.   The next to last task on my list was: Predict whether abnormally good results would continue at Berkshire if Buffett were soon to depart.

The answer is yes.

Berkshire has in place in its subsidiaries much business momentum grounded in much durable competitive advantage.

Moreover, its railroad and utility subsidiaries now provide much desirable opportunity to invest large sums in new fixed assets. And many subsidiaries are now engaged in making wise “bolt-on” acquisitions.

Provided that most of the Berkshire system remains in place, the combined momentum and opportunity now present is so great that Berkshire would almost surely remain a better-than-normal company for a very long time even if:

(1) Buffett left tomorrow,
(2) his successors were persons of only moderate ability, and
(3) Berkshire never again purchased a large business.

But, under this Buffett-soon-leaves assumption, his successors would not be “of only moderate ability.” For instance, Ajit Jain and Greg Abel are proven performers who would probably be under-described as “world-class.”

“World-leading” would be the description I would choose. In some important ways, each is a better business executive than Buffett.

And I believe neither Jain nor Abel would
(1) leave Berkshire, no matter what someone else offered or
(2) desire much change in the Berkshire system.

Nor do I think that desirable purchases of new businesses would end with Buffett’s departure. With Berkshire now so large and the age of activism upon us, I think some desirable acquisition opportunities will come and that Berkshire’s $60 billion in cash will constructively decrease.



4.   My final task was to consider whether Berkshire’s great results over the last 50 years have implications that may prove useful elsewhere.

The answer is plainly yes.

In its early Buffett years, Berkshire had a big task ahead: turning a tiny stash into a large and useful company. And it solved that problem by avoiding bureaucracy and relying much on one thoughtful leader for a long, long time as he kept improving and brought in more people like himself.

Compare this to a typical big-corporation system with much bureaucracy at headquarters and a long succession of CEOs who come in at about age 59, pause little thereafter for quiet thought, and are soon forced out by a fixed retirement age.

I believe that versions of the Berkshire system should be tried more often elsewhere and that the worst attributes of bureaucracy should much more often be treated like the cancers they so much resemble. A good example of bureaucracy fixing was created by George Marshall when he helped win World War II by getting from Congress the right to ignore seniority in choosing generals.



Ref:

http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2014ltr.pdf

If you are thinking of buying Berkshire shares, please read what Warren Buffett has shared here in his newsletter of 2014.



Today Berkshire possesses:

(1) an unmatched collection of businesses, most of them now enjoying favorable economic prospects;
(2) a cadre of outstanding managers who, with few exceptions, are unusually devoted to both the subsidiary they operate and to Berkshire;
(3) an extraordinary diversity of earnings, premier financial strength and oceans of liquidity that we will maintain under all circumstances;
(4) a first-choice ranking among many owners and managers who are contemplating sale of their businesses and
(5) in a point related to the preceding item, a culture, distinctive in many ways from that of most large companies, that we have worked 50 years to develop and that is now rock-solid.

These strengths provide us a wonderful foundation on which to build.



The Next 50 Years at Berkshire

Now let’s take a look at the road ahead. Bear in mind that if I had attempted 50 years ago to gauge what was coming, certain of my predictions would have been far off the mark. With that warning, I will tell you what I would say to my family today if they asked me about Berkshire’s future.


‹ First and definitely foremost, I believe that the chance of permanent capital loss for patient Berkshire shareholders is as low as can be found among single-company investments. That’s because our per-share intrinsic business value is almost certain to advance over time. 

This cheery prediction comes, however, with an important caution:

  • If an investor’s entry point into Berkshire stock is unusually high – at a price, say, approaching double book value, which Berkshire shares have occasionally reached – it may well be many years before the investor can realize a profit. 
  • In other words, a sound investment can morph into a rash speculation if it is bought at an elevated price. Berkshire is not exempt from this truth.



Purchases of Berkshire that investors make at a price modestly above the level at which the company would repurchase its shares, however, should produce gains within a reasonable period of time.

  • Berkshire’s directors will only authorize repurchases at a price they believe to be well below intrinsic value.
  •  (In our view, that is an essential criterion for repurchases that is often ignored by other managements.)


For those investors who plan to sell within a year or two after their purchase, I can offer no assurances,whatever the entry price.

  • Movements of the general stock market during such abbreviated periods will likely be far more important in determining your results than the concomitant change in the intrinsic value of your Berkshire shares. 
  • As Ben Graham said many decades ago: “In the short-term the market is a voting machine; in the long-run it acts as a weighing machine.” Occasionally, the voting decisions of investors – amateurs and professionals alike – border on lunacy.
  • Since I know of no way to reliably predict market movements, I recommend that you purchase Berkshire shares only if you expect to hold them for at least five years. 
  • Those who seek short-term profits should look elsewhere.



Another warning: Berkshire shares should not be purchased with borrowed money. 

  • There have been three times since 1965 when our stock has fallen about 50% from its high point. 
  • Someday, something close to this kind of drop will happen again, and no one knows when. 
  • Berkshire will almost certainly be a satisfactory holding for investors. But it could well be a disastrous choice for speculators employing leverage.



‹ I believe the chance of any event causing Berkshire to experience financial problems is essentially zero.

  • We will always be prepared for the thousand-year flood; in fact, if it occurs we will be selling life jackets to the unprepared. 
  • Berkshire played an important role as a “first responder” during the 2008-2009 meltdown, and we have since more than doubled the strength of our balance sheet and our earnings potential. 
  • Your company is the Gibraltar of American business and will remain so.


Financial staying power requires a company to maintain three strengths under all circumstances:
(1) a large and reliable stream of earnings;
(2) massive liquid assets and
(3) no significant near-term cash requirements.

Ignoring that last necessity is what usually leads companies to experience unexpected problems:

  • Too often, CEOs of profitable companies feel they will always be able to refund maturing obligations, however large these are. 
  • In 2008-2009, many managements learned how perilous that mindset can be.


Here’s how we will always stand on the three essentials. 

1.  First, our earnings stream is huge and comes from a vast array of businesses.

  • Our shareholders now own many large companies that have durable competitive advantages, and we will acquire more of those in the future. 
  • Our diversification assures Berkshire’s continued profitability, even if a catastrophe causes insurance losses that far exceed any previously experienced.

2.  Next up is cash. 

  • At a healthy business, cash is sometimes thought of as something to be minimized – as an unproductive asset that acts as a drag on such markers as return on equity. 
  • Cash, though, is to a business as oxygen is to an individual: never thought about when it is present, the only thing in mind when it is absent. 
  • American business provided a case study of that in 2008. In September of that year, many long-prosperous companies suddenly wondered whether their checks would bounce in the days ahead. Overnight, their financial oxygen disappeared.
  • At Berkshire, our “breathing” went uninterrupted. Indeed, in a three-week period spanning late September and early October, we supplied $15.6 billion of fresh money to American businesses.
  • We could do that because we always maintain at least $20 billion – and usually far more – in cash equivalents. And by that we mean U.S. Treasury bills, not other substitutes for cash that are claimed to deliver liquidity and actually do so, except when it is truly needed. 
  • When bills come due, only cash is legal tender. Don’t leave home without it.


3.  Finally – getting to our third point – we will never engage in operating or investment practices that can result in sudden demands for large sums.

  • That means we will not expose Berkshire to short-term debt maturities of size nor enter into derivative contracts or other business arrangements that could require large collateral calls.
  • Some years ago, we became a party to certain derivative contracts that we believed were significantly mispriced and that had only minor collateral requirements. These have proved to be quite profitable.
  • Recently, however, newly-written derivative contracts have required full collateralization. And that ended our interest in derivatives, regardless of what profit potential they might offer. 
  • We have not, for some years, written these contracts, except for a few needed for operational purposes at our utility businesses.
  • Moreover, we will not write insurance contracts that give policyholders the right to cash out at their option. Many life insurance products contain redemption features that make them susceptible to a “run” in times of extreme panic. 
  • Contracts of that sort, however, do not exist in the property-casualty world that we inhabit. If our premium volume should shrink, our float would decline – but only at a very slow pace.
  • The reason for our conservatism, which may impress some people as extreme, is that it is entirely predictable that people will occasionally panic, but not at all predictable when this will happen. 
  • Though practically all days are relatively uneventful, tomorrow is always uncertain. (I felt no special apprehension on December 6, 1941 or September 10, 2001.) 
  • And if you can’t predict what tomorrow will bring, you must be prepared for whatever it does.


Ref:
http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2014ltr.pdf

Tuesday 16 August 2016

Major Changes Seen in Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway Stocks

Major Changes Seen in Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway Stocks: Apple, Walmart, Phillips 66, Deere & More

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-A) has released its public equity holdings as of June 30, 2016. What makes this so interesting for Warren Buffett fans, outside of Buffett being one of the richest men alive, is that there have been many key changes in the Buffett stocks over the last few quarters. The Berkshire Hathaway earnings report in recent weeks showed that the total equity securities listed on the balance sheet was $102.563 billion, while the 13F filing with the SEC showed the balance as of June 30 as being $129.7 billion.
24/7 Wall St. and its founders have followed the portfolio changes from Buffett’s top stock holdings for about two decades now. We track the changes made each quarter, and ultimately these end up being quite different through time. Buffett’s addition of two more portfolio managers in recent years only makes the changes look even more extreme over time.
Investors need to keep in mind that approximately 61% of the aggregate fair value of the common equity securities is concentrated in four companies: 
  1. Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) at $23.7 billion; 
  2. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) at $12.3 billion; 
  3. The Coca-Cola Company at $18.1 billion; and 
  4. American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) at $9.2 billion.

Again, big changes have been made. Warren Buffett also has large stakes in food-giant Kraft Heinz Co. (NYSE: KHC) and refining giant Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX); and the March quarter showed a new $1 billion stake in Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL). Berkshire Hathaway also ended the June-2016 quarter with almost $72.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents. That figure is from a total of insurance and other, railroad utilities and energy, and finance and financial products.
Here is how the new list of Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway’s public share holding looks as of June 30, 2016.
American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) was the same 151.6+ million shares, a position which remains perpetually static whether shares rise or fall. Buffett has owned AmEx for so long it may be cheaper for him to just hold rather than pay gains.
The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) was the exact same stake of 400 million shares, a position which has also remained static for years. Buffett has defended his stake here for years.
International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) was listed as the same 81.232 million shares in June as it was in March. Still, this Big Blue stake has been raised and raised. It was 81.03 million shares as of December 31, about 79.5 million shares as of the end of last June, and the end of 2014 position was 76.971 million IBM shares.
Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) is a position that Warren Buffett might add to for infinity. The June 30 stake was listed as the same 479.704 million shares listed in March. This was 470.29 million shares last September, and again it just keeps being raised. As a reminder, it was documented that Buffett has filed to be allowed to increase his stake north of the 10% threshold with the SEC. With Wells Fargo being a serial acquirer of its own stock Buffett might end up owning more than 10% of the stock even without trying.
Kraft Heinz Co. (NYSE: KHC) was listed as 325,634,818 shares, the same stake it was on March 31 and at the end of 2015. This stake is from the 3G Capital deal and is actually more important than it seems. Buffett had been suggesting that his exposure would be coming down due to his preferred shares being redeemed. The earnings report in recent weeks confirmed that. The value here as of June 30 was $28.8 billion.
Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) was an INCREASED STAKE to 78.782 million shares as of June 30. As of March 31, it was a 75.55 million share stake and this has risen steadily. This stake previously had been classified as an elimination in 2015 and then was shown after Buffett got the stake classified with the SEC as confidential.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) was an INCREASED STAKE to 15.227 million shares as of June 30, worth some $1.455 billion. The stake in Apple was a new position back in the March quarter, listed as 9,811,747 shares worth some $1.069 billion at that time.
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (NYSE: AXTA) was the same stake of 23.324 million shares, after having been listed as a new position of 20 million shares.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK) was a larger stake at 20.827 million shares, up from a prior 20.112 million. That was versus 24.6 million shares in the past.
Charter Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: CHTR) was a slightly lower stake at 9.337 million shares. This was 10.326 million shares in March but was up then from 10.281 million at the end of 2015.
Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) was the same stake at 4,333,363 shares.
DaVita Inc. (NYSE: DVA) was the same 38.565 million shares, but this had been raised in prior quarters prior to Buffett entering into a standstill agreement not to buy more than 25% of the company.
Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE) was a smaller stake at 21.959 million shares. That is down from 23.28 million shares, but that had been 22.884 million shares at the end of 2015 after some 5.83 million shares had been added at the end of last year.
General Electric Corp. (NYSE: GE) was the same stake of 10.585 million shares. This stake was raised in 2014 and had been telegraphed before because of the warrants.
General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) was a the same stake of exactly 50 million shares, but this previously had been raised from 41 million shares last year.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) was the same stake of 10.959 million shares, but this had been as high as 12.631 million shares prior to the end of 2015.
Graham Holdings Co. (NYSE: GHC) remains the same tiny stake of 107,575 shares in what is just the remains of Washington Post breakup.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) was the same tiny stake of only 327,100 shares, but Buffett watchers know this is a leftover bit from a much larger stake in years past.
Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE: KMI) was listed as 26.533 million shares as of June 30. This was the same stake as in March and was selected by one of Buffett’s portfolio managers rather than on his own.
Lee Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: LEE) was the same tiny stake of only 88,863 shares.
Liberty Media Corp. (NASDAQ: LMCA) and Liberty Global PLC (NASDAQ: LBTYA) are both again listed as Buffett and Berkshire Holdings. These are counted as Class A and Class C shares, so we will leave this stakes simplified just like that.
M&T Bank Corp. (NYSE: MTB) was the same position at 5.382 million shares — same as always.
MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA) was the same 4.934 million shares as in March, but this was 5,229,756 shares at the end of 2015.
Media General Inc. (NYSE: MEG) was the same-sized stake at 3.471 million shares.
Mondelez International Inc. (NASDAQ: MDLZ) is the same position again at 578,000 shares, remaining handily lower than in the past and dating back to the Kraft breakup.
Moody’s Corp. (NYSE: MCO) was the same position of 24.669 million shares yet again, but this stake is still lower than in years past.
NOW Inc. (NYSE: DNOW) was the same stake of 1.825 million shares.
Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG) is still a much lower stake of just 315,400 shares, same as in March. This had previously been listed as almost 52.8 million shares in the prior formal 13F report before the Duracell swap. P&G had once peaked at 96.3 million shares in the Buffett stocks.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE: QSR) was the same stake at 8.438 million shares. The reality is that this is much larger if you consider the $3 billion in perpetual preferred shares pointed out previously.
Sanofi (NYSE: SNY) was the same position at 3.905 million shares.
Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) was a lower stake at 22.275 million shares. This had been up to 30 million shares previously, but this used to be a smaller stake at 22.35 million last June.
Torchmark Corp. (NYSE: TMK) the same stake at 6.353 million shares.
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc. (NASDAQ: FOXA) was the same stake of 8.951 million shares at the end of 2015. This stake was raised from 6.228 million shares in prior reports, versus 4.747 million shares at the end of 2014.
U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) was the same position of 85.06 million shares at the end of June but that stake had been raised slightly before the prior quarters (was 80.09 million shares at the end of 2014).
USG Corp. (NYSE: USG) was the same stake at just over 39.002 million shares, but this had been raised prior to the end of 2014.
United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) was the same position of just 59,400 shares, way down from 2012.
VeriSign Inc. (NASDAQ: VRSN) was slightly smaller at 12.952 million shares, after having had been a tad larger at 13.044 million shares in March. This one had previously grown in 2014.
Verisk Analytics Inc. (NASDAQ: VRSK) was the same position at 1,563,434 shares, but that is lower than in prior quarters.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) was the same stake at 15 million shares in June versus the end of March, but that had been raised a year earlier.
Visa Inc. (NYSE: V) was the same stake of 10.239 million shares at the end June, but this is up from 9.885 million shares in 2015. The Visa stake had been raised throughout 2014.
WABCO Holdings Inc. (NYSE: WBC) was the same 3.237 million shares, but this had been coming down through time. At one point the stake was over 4 million shares.
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) was a stake was taken down by more than 15 million shares to 40.226 million by the end of June. That was decreased by 949,430 in March to some 55,235,863 shares. That stake was 56.185 million shares at the end of 2015 and was down from 60.385 million shares at the end of June and after having been raised prior to 2015.




Sunday 14 August 2016

Berkshire Hathaway: Growth at Reasonable Price (GARP)


















Stock Data:
Recent Stock Performance:

1 Week 1.7%
4 Weeks 4.5%
13 Weeks 1.3%
52 Weeks 3.6%

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
Key Data:

Current Price (8/12/2016): 221,750
(Figures in U.S. Dollars)


Ticker: BRK.A
Country: United States

Exchanges: NYSE FRA
Major Industry: Diversified Financials

Sub Industry: Fire, Marine, & Casualty Insurance
2015 Sales 210,821,000,000
(Year Ending Jan 2016).
Employees: 331,000

Currency: U.S. Dollars
Market Cap: 364,525,068,000

Fiscal Yr Ends: December
Shares Outstanding: 1,643,856

Share Type: Class A
Closely Held Shares: 438,078


Spreadsheet of financials of Berkshire Hathaway:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NGeyBdgNZuoFPxDP8seY3IIALK94PoEHR3l2GggbiPo/edit#gid=0



Comments:

1. Revenue grew about 50% over the last 5 years.
2. Pretax profit and Net Income more than doubled over the last 5 years.
3. Earnings generate lots of funds from operations and net cash from operations. These suggest high quality earnings.
4. Capital expenditure is about 50% of net cash from operations.
5. Accordingly about 50% of the net cash from operations are the owners money (free cash flow).
6. Current ratio is about 3. About 80% of the current asset is cash & short term investments.
7. Total Debt of Berkshire is 75 billion and cash is 71 billion, therefore, it is net cash negative. (surprise!)
8. Equity is 259 billion and total liabilities 302 billion (75 billion debts and 227 billion other liabilities).
9. Financial leverage is about 2x. (Total Asset/Total Equity)
10.. Asset Turnover was 0.38, net Profit Margin was 11.4%, Return on Average Asset was 4.4% and Return on Average Equity was 9.6% in 2015.
11. Revenues, Pretax income, net income, profit margins, net operating cash flows, capital expenditures, total assets and total equity have grown consistently over the last 5 years.
12. At price of US 221,750 per share, its present market cap is 365 billion and is 1.4x its book value of 259 billion.
13. Free Cash Flow to Sales was 7.3% in 2015 (a cash cow).
14. Free Cash Flow yield based on the market cap price was 4.2%.

Tuesday 10 May 2016

Berkshire Hathaway live-streamed its annual shareholder meeting for the first time in the company's history (video)




For the first time in the company’s history, Berkshire Hathaway live-streamed its annual shareholder meeting for all of the world to see.
https://finance.yahoo.com/brklivestream

Monday 18 May 2015

Tracking Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio - Q1 2015 Update

During Q4 2014, Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) US long stock portfolio decreased ~2% from $109.37B to $107.13B. The top-five positions account for over two-thirds of the portfolio: Wells Fargo (23.88%),Coca-Cola (15.14%), International Business Machines (11.92%), American Express (11.06%), and Wal-Mart (4.64%). There are 45 individual stock positions many of which are minutely small compared to the overall size of the portfolio.
Warren Buffett's writings (pdfs) are a treasure trove of information and are a very good source for anyone starting out on individual investing.
New stakes:

None.

Stake Disposals:

None.

Stake Increases:
International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM): IBM is Buffett's third-largest stake at 11.92% of the portfolio. The original position was purchased in Q3 2011 at prices between $157.54 and $185.21. Since then, the stake has gone up by almost 40% through periodic purchases. Last five quarters have seen minor buying and the stock currently trades at $173. Berkshire's cost-basis on IBM is at around $170. Buffett is very bullish on IBM and controls ~8% of the business. For investors attempting to follow Buffett, IBM is a very good option to consider for further research.
Deere & Company (NYSE:DE): DE stake was first acquired in Q3 2012 when around 4M shares were purchased at prices between $75.11 and $82.70. The position remained steady until Q3 2014 when an additional ~3.6M shares were purchased at prices between $82 and $91.38 - Berkshire avoided disclosing DE stake in Q3 2014 by making use of the "section 13(f) Confidential Treatment Requests". Last quarter, the position was increased by another 125% at prices between $80 and $91. This quarter saw a marginal increase. The stock currently trades at $89.13. The stake is at 1.42% of the portfolio and Buffett controls ~5% of the business.
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX): The 2% of the US long portfolio PSX stake as of Q4 2013 was reduced to a 0.71% stake in Q1 2014 at prices between $70.67 and $80.35. The position was further reduced by one-third the following quarter at prices between $76.69 and $86.33. This quarter saw an about-turn: ~14% increase at prices between $59 and $80. The stock currently trades at $81.05. Berkshire's cost-basis on PSX is much lower.
Precision Castparts (NYSE:PCP): PCP has seen steady buying in the last two quarters. Q4 2014 saw a ~37% increase at prices between $218 and $243 and this quarter saw another ~47% increase at prices between $200 and $241. The stock currently trades at $216. The stake is still very small at 0.82% of the US long portfolio.
Twenty First Century Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) (NASDAQ:FOXA): FOXA is a minutely small 0.20% of the US long portfolio stake established last quarter at prices between $31.77 and $39.01 and increased by ~31% this quarter at prices between $32.80 and $38.40. The stock currently trades at $33.99.
US Bancorp (NYSE:USB): USB, a 3.41% stake has been in the portfolio since 2006. The position was tripled during the 2007-2009 timeframe and since then was reduced by around 15% overall as of EOY 2012. In Q2 2013, ~17M shares were purchased at prices between $32.27 and $36.15. This quarter saw a 4.57% increase at prices between $40.94 and $45.12. Berkshire's cost-basis on USB is ~$32 and the stock is trading well above that price at $43.93. Buffett controls 4.7% of the business.
Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE:WFC): WFC is Buffett's largest stake at 23.88% of the US long portfolio, well ahead of Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) which is at 15.14%. This quarter saw a ~7M share stake increase at prices between $50.72 and $56.17. The previous significant activity was in Q2 2013: over 18M shares were purchased at the time at prices between $34.66 and $38.20. The stock currently trades at $55.52. Berkshire's average cost-basis is at around $25.
Stake Decreases:
Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK): BK is a 0.78% of the US stock portfolio stake. The bulk of the original position was purchased in Q2 2012 at prices between $19.51 and $24.67. The stake was increased by 30% in Q2 2013 at prices between $26.70 and $30.55 and since then had been kept relatively steady. Last three quarters have seen a combined ~16% reduction at prices between $35.95 and $41.53. The stock currently trades at $43.09.
Charter Communications (NASDAQ:CHTR): CHTR is a 1.08% of the US long portfolio position. It was established in Q2 2014 at prices between $118 and $158 and more than doubled in Q3 2014 at prices between $151 and $164. Last quarter saw a further ~25% increase at prices between $140 and $170. This quarter saw a minor ~3.5% reduction. The stock currently trades at around $181.
National Oilwell Varco Inc. (NYSE:NOV): NOV is a minutely small 0.09% of the US long portfolio stake. The original position was established in Q2 2012 at prices between $60 and $80.67. It was increased by ~19% in Q2 2013 at prices between $64.14 and $71.57. Last four quarters have seen a combined ~78% reduction at prices between $47.46 and $65.53. The stock currently trades at $51.27.
NOTE: The implied performance of this position by the prices quoted above is negatively skewed because of the effect of National Oilwell Varco's NOW Inc. spinoff. The terms called for NOV shareholders to receive one share of NOW Inc. for every four shares of NOV held.
Liberty Global PLC (NASDAQ:LBTYA) (NASDAQ:LBTYK): The minutely small 0.25% position in Liberty Global established in Q4 2013 at prices between $37.50 and $44.50 (adjusted for the 03/2014 stock-split) was increased significantly to a 0.57% position in Q1 2014 at prices between $40.37 and $46. The stake was further increased by ~17% in the following quarter at prices between $38.49 and $45.61. Last two quarters had seen marginal buying while this quarter saw a marginal reduction. The stock currently trades at $49.43 and the stake is at 0.84% of the US long portfolio.
MasterCard Inc. (NYSE:MA), Viacom (NASDAQ:VIAB), Visa Inc. (NYSE:V), & Wabco Holdings (NYSE:WBC): These are very small (less than ~0.60% of the US long portfolio each) stakes that were decreased marginally this quarter. Berkshire controls 6.6% of Wabco Holdings.
Kept Steady:
Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR): QSR is a 0.30% of the US long portfolio position established last quarter at prices between $35 and $42. The stock currently trades just outside that range at $42.14. The stock started trading in December 2014 following a merger/rename transaction between Tim Hortons and Burger King Worldwide - QSR has already increased ~22% since the first day of trading (12/10/2014). There was heavy activist involvement previously and the latest filing show Bill Ackman directly owning 38M shares (18.80% of business). Berkshire's stake in the business is at around 4.2%.
Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU): SU is a small 0.61% of the US long portfolio position first purchased in Q2 2013 at prices between $27.40 and $32. Last year saw a ~24% increase at prices between $27.74 and $43.08. The stock currently trades at $30.42.
DaVita Inc. (NYSE:DVA): DVA is a 2.93% of the US long portfolio position that was aggressively built-up over several quarters: the original stake was doubled in Q1 2012, increased by over 50% in Q2 2012, 24% in Q4 2012, and an additional 16% in Q1 2013. There has been marginal buying since. The bulk of the stake build-up happened at prices between $30 and $49. The stock currently trades at around $81.48. In May 2013, Berkshire's Ted Weschler signed an accord with DVA, limiting open-market purchases to 25% of the company- the position is currently at 17.9% of the business.
DIRECTV (NASDAQ:DTV): DTV is a 2.49% position first purchased in Q3 2011. The bulk of the current stake was purchased in Q4 2011 at prices between $40.60 and $47.87. In Q2 2014, the position was reduced by around one-third at prices between $74 and $88.25. In Q3 2014, the pattern reversed: a ~28% stake increase at prices between $83.55 and $87.72 and that was followed with a ~5% increase last quarter at prices between $82.56 and $87.89. The stock currently trades at around $91.46. AT&T (NYSE:T) is in the process of acquiring DTV in a $95 per share cash-and-stock deal ($28.50 per share cash and the rest in stock protected with a collar).
General Motors (NYSE:GM): GM is a 1.44% of the US long portfolio position that was first purchased in Q1 2012 at prices between $21 and $30. The stake was increased by 60% in Q2 2013 at prices between $27.53 and $35.03. Q1 2014 saw a 25% reduction at prices between $34 and $41 and in the following quarter there was an about-turn: 9.86% increase at prices between $31.93 and $37.09. Q3 2014 saw another ~21% increase at prices between $31.94 and $37.97 and last quarter saw a marginal increase. The stock currently trades at $34.91.
American Express (NYSE:AXP), Coca-Cola, and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG): These are very large stakes that were kept steady during the last two years. Buffett has said these positions will be held "permanently". Berkshire's cost-basis on AXP, KO, and PG are at around $8.49, $3.25, and $6.40 and ownership stakes are at 14.8%, 9.2%, and 1.9% respectively.
Chicago Bridge & Iron (NYSE:CBI): CBI is a 0.57% of the US long portfolio position that was increased by 47% in Q2 2013 at prices between $50.92 and $63.75. Last quarter saw a 12% stake increase at prices between $65.51 and $87.65. The original position was purchased in Q1 2013 at prices between $46 and $62. The stock currently trades at $55.01. Berkshire controls 9.9% of the business. For investors attempting to follow Berkshire, CBI is a good option to consider for further research.
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS): GS is 2.22% of the US long portfolio stake established in Q4 2013. Berkshire Hathaway received $5B worth of warrants to buy GS stock during the financial crisis (October 2008) at a strike price of $115 (43.5M shares) that was to expire October 1, 2013. Buffett exercised the right before expiry to start this long position. GS currently trades at $203.
Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) (NASDAQ:LMCK): LMCA is a petite 0.43% stake first purchased in Q4 2011. It was increased by ~75% in Q1 2012 and roughly doubled the next quarter. Q2 2014 saw a ~24% stake reduction and since then has been kept steady.
Moody's Inc. (NYSE:MCO): MCO is a 2.39% of the US long portfolio stake that was decreased by 14% in Q2 2013 at prices between $52.23 and $68.62. The stock currently trades at $110. Buffett's cost basis is ~$10 and so he is sitting on large long-term gains on the ten-bagger. The stock returned around 48% in 2013, 23% in 2014, and another ~13% so far this year. Berkshire controls 11.5% of the business.
USG Corporation (NYSE:USG): USG is a very long-term holding and there was a significant 21.39M share stake increase in Q4 2013 due to conversion of notes at $11.40 per share - Berkshire acquired the convertible notes during the financial crisis (2/2009) and USG opted to redeem them on 12/16/2013. Q2 2014 saw a ~11.5% stake increase at prices between $29.57 and $33.16. The stock currently trades at $28.10. Buffett controls around 27% of the business and overall cost-basis is at around $19.
VeriSign Inc. (NASDAQ:VRSN): VRSN was first purchased in Q4 2012 at prices between $34.15 and $49.48. The position was more than doubled in Q1 2013 at prices between $38 and $48 and another one-third the following quarter at prices between $44.39 and $49.27. Q1 & Q2 2014 also saw a combined ~17% increase at prices between $47 and $63. The stock currently trades at $64.09. The current position is at ~10% of the business although as a percentage of the portfolio the stake is still very small at 0.81%.
Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ): VZ is a small 0.68% of the US long portfolio position established in Q1 2014 at prices between $46 and $49.30. It was increased by ~36% the following quarter at prices between $45.94 and $50.05. The stock currently trades at $49.79.
Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE:WMT): WMT stake was first purchased in 2005. It has since been built up to a 4.64% position (top-five stake). The position was increased by 4% in Q1 2013 at prices between $68 and $75 and another 17% in Q1 2014 at prices between $72.66 and $78.91. The stock currently trades at $79.24. Berkshire's cost-basis on the position is at around $56.
Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST), General Electric (NYSE:GE), Graham Holdings (NYSE:GHC), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Kraft Foods Group (NASDAQ:KRFT), Lee Enterprises (NYSE:LEE), M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB), Media General (NYSE:MEG), Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ), NOW Inc. (NYSE:DNOW), Sanofi (NYSE:SNY), Torchmark Corporation (NYSE:TMK), United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ:VRSK), : These are minutely small positions (less than ~0.5% of the portfolio each) kept steady this quarter. Although the relative size of the position is small, it should be noted that Berkshire controls 3.6% of Media General. The DNOW position was established in Q2 2014 as a result of National Oilwell Varco's spin-off of its distribution business. Also, per the annual report, Berkshire has a $2.03B position in Sanofi - so in addition to the 13F securities listed in the spreadsheet, Berkshire also owns Sanofi securities listed in Euronext Paris. The only other large non-US individual stock position reported in the AR is Munich RE at $4B (11.8% of the business).
Note: Tesco plc (OTCPK:TSCDY) was another position listed in the 2013 annual report. Berkshire liquidated that stake in 2014: sold 301M shares and realized $444M in losses.