Thursday, 8 January 2009

SIGNS AT THE BOTTOM

SIGNS AT THE BOTTOM

The bottom – or near enough the bottom – of a market cycle theoretically should be easier to call than the top or near top. The evidence is found in the corporate balance sheets, income statements, PE ratios, dividend yields, and other quantitative measures. It is likewise reflected in low ratios for the market as a whole. The quantitative factors speak for themselves.

The dividend yield on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, for example, usually cycles between a high yield of 6 percent at the market’s bottom and a low yield of 3 percent at the top. The Dow’s average dividend yield sometimes stretches beyond these boundaries, but historically this is a trustworthy parameter of undervalue and overvalue.



THRIVING IN EVERY MARKET
Value Investing Made Easy (Janet Lowe):
  1. THRIVING IN EVERY MARKET
  2. MR. MARKET
  3. SUITABLE SECURITIES AT SUITABLE PRICES
  4. PAYING RESPECT TO THE MARKET
  5. TIMING VERSUS PRICING
  6. BELIEVING A BULL MARKET
  7. THE PAUSE AT THE TOP OF THE ROLLER COASTER
  8. MAKING FRIENDS WITH A BEAR
  9. BARGAINS AT THE BOTTOM
  10. SIGNS AT THE BOTTOM
  11. BUYING TIME
  12. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST PLAY THE HORSES

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