Thursday 8 January 2009

BARGAINS AT THE BOTTOM

BARGAINS AT THE BOTTOM

In 1932 Graham was 38 years old and had already made and lost millions of dollars. To survive the Great Depression he taught at several universities, testified as an expert witness in securities cases, wrote freelance pieces for the financial press, and with his partner, Jerome Newman, bought and liquidated defunct companies.

In June 1942, Forbes published the first in a series of articles written by Graham alerting investors that the shares of many companies were selling at prices below the value of the actual cash held in the company vaults. The series was called “Is American Business Worth More Dead Than Alive?”

Graham pointed out that 30 percent of the companies listed on the NYSE were selling at less than their net working capital, with some going for less than their cash assets. In other words, if an investor bought all the shares of a company, then sold off its assets, he would reap considerable profits. That series of articles was widely read. It gave dispirited investors the courage to return to the stock market and spurred a long, sustained recovery.

Graham’s wisdom inspired investors again in 1974, when the stock market was in a deep depression. He addressed the annual meeting of the Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts (which he helped found), the predecessor to the Association for Investment Management and Research (AIMR). In a speech entitled “A Renaissance of Value,” Graham pointed out that once more, stocks were selling at deep discounts to their intrinsic value. “How long will such “fire-sale stocks” continue to be given away?” he asked. Graham encouraged the investment managers to buy as many bargain issues as possible while prices were low. The Dow, at the time, had receded to 600.

Again, Graham sounded the wake-up call that led to a market revival. By 1976 the DJIA topped 900.



THRIVING IN EVERY MARKET
Value Investing Made Easy (Janet Lowe):
  1. THRIVING IN EVERY MARKET
  2. MR. MARKET
  3. SUITABLE SECURITIES AT SUITABLE PRICES
  4. PAYING RESPECT TO THE MARKET
  5. TIMING VERSUS PRICING
  6. BELIEVING A BULL MARKET
  7. THE PAUSE AT THE TOP OF THE ROLLER COASTER
  8. MAKING FRIENDS WITH A BEAR
  9. BARGAINS AT THE BOTTOM
  10. SIGNS AT THE BOTTOM
  11. BUYING TIME
  12. IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST PLAY THE HORSES

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