Monday 25 January 2010

The Bulls and the Bears

In a normal day of trading, many stocks will go up in price, while otheres will go down.

But occasionally, there's a stampede when the prices of thousands of stocks are running in the same direction, like bulls at Pamplona.  If the stampede is uphill, we call it a "bull market."

When the bulls are having their run, sometimes 9 out of 10 stocks are hitting new highs every week.  People are rushing around buying as many shares as they can afford.  They talk to their brokers more often than they talk to their best friends.  Nobody wants to miss out on the good thing.

As long as the good thing lasts, millions of shareholders go to bed happy, and wake up happy.  They sing in the shower, whistle while they work, help old ladies across the street, and count their blessings every night as they put themselves to sleep reviewing the gains in their portfolios.

But a bull market doesn't last forever.  Sooner or later, the stampede will turn downhill.  Stock prices will drop, with 9 out of 10 stocks hitting new lows every week. People who were anxious to buy on the way up will become more anxious to sell on the way down, on the theory that any stock sold today will fetch a better price than it would fetch tomorrow.

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