To be a successful investor, you really need to understand psychology as well as history and philosophy. Very often emotions drive the market up or down. Remember that economies and stock markets are two different things.
As Paul Samuelson,l the Nobel Prize winning economists, once put it, "The stock market has anticipated nine of the last five recessions."
China's economy, for example, has been growing rapidly for years now, yet its stock market declined consistently for four years between 2001 and 2005. The public overreacting to positive or negative news reports, will buy or sell short at the wrong time. Investor psychology can accelerate such trends int he market.
Anybody can feel panicky. Losing your perspective in the midst of market panic is equivalent to losing your money in that market.
Ref:
Jim Rogers
A Gift to My Children
Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
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