Sunday, 14 December 2025

This is a solid, time-tested value investing checklist suitable for long-term investors seeking to build wealth steadily while avoiding big mistakes.

 









This chart outlines Terry Smith's investing philosophy, as summarized by Brian Feroldi. Smith is a well-known value-oriented fund manager (Fundsmith), and his principles emphasize quality, patience, and discipline. Below is a breakdown and analysis of each section:


1. The Rule of 3

  • Buy Good Companies – Focus on quality businesses with durable competitive advantages.

  • Don’t Overpay – Even great companies can be bad investments if bought at too high a price.

  • Do Nothing – Avoid overtrading; let compounding work over time.

Comment:
This is a distilled version of Warren Buffett’s philosophy: buy wonderful businesses at fair prices and hold them. “Do nothing” is especially important—many investors hurt returns by over-trading.


2. Disqualifying Features

  • Start by eliminating bad companies rather than searching for good ones.

  • Reduces the risk of catastrophic losses.

Comment:
This is a practical risk-management tool. By filtering out companies with poor economics, high debt, or dubious governance first, you save time and avoid “value traps.”


3. High Returns on Capital

  • ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) is a key metric for quality.

  • Formula:

    ROIC=Net Operating Profit After TaxInvested Capital

Comment:
ROIC measures how efficiently a company uses its capital. Consistently high ROIC often indicates a moat and competent management. Terry Smith heavily emphasizes this in his stock selection.


4. Look for High FCF Yields

  • Free Cash Flow Yield compares FCF to the company’s market value.

  • Formula:

    FCF Yield=Free Cash FlowMarket Value of the Company
  • Compare to “3% over expected inflation” as a hurdle rate.

Comment:
FCF is harder to manipulate than earnings. A high FCF yield can signal undervaluation, but it must be considered alongside business quality—a declining business may have a high but unsustainable yield.


5. Create a Watchlist

  • Track companies that are good but not cheap enough.

  • Use price targets to wait for the right entry point.

Comment:
This encourages patience and preparedness. Many investors miss opportunities because they don’t track companies systematically over time.


6. Exploit Advantages of Being an Individual Investor

  • Play the long game – no quarterly performance pressure.

  • Buy unloved stocks or industries – contrarian opportunities.

  • Invest anti-cyclically – go against market sentiment.

Comment:
This section is crucial. Individual investors can be more flexible and patient than institutions. They can exploit market inefficiencies in neglected areas without size constraints.


Overall Commentary:

Strengths:

  • The framework is simple, disciplined, and focused on quality and value.

  • Emphasizes psychological and behavioral edges (patience, contrarianism).

  • Uses few but powerful metrics (ROIC, FCF yield).

Potential Limitations:

  • Requires deep business analysis and patience—not suitable for short-term traders.

  • “Don’t overpay” is subjective; determining intrinsic value is challenging.

  • Anti-cyclical investing demands strong conviction and can involve long periods of underperformance.

Verdict:
This is a solid, time-tested value investing checklist suitable for long-term investors seeking to build wealth steadily while avoiding big mistakes. It aligns closely with the philosophies of Buffett, Munger, and other quality-focused investors.
The emphasis on eliminating bad ideas and waiting for the right pitch is especially valuable in today’s noisy markets.

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