Earnings, Dividends and Payout Ratio: Earnings don’t grow at a constant rate. Dividends are more stable than earnings. Payout ratio varies over time.

Dividends are more stable than earnings, so the payout ratio certainly varies over time. Additionally, corporations have shown less willingness to pay dividends, and investors have shown less inclination to demand dividends, to the payout ratio today is roughly half of what it was in the early 60s.

Earnings don’t grow at a constant rate, either. Over the last 53 years, earnings have grown at a 6.7% rate, but that has included times of shrinkage, and boom times as well.




http://alephblog.com/2007/07/09/the-fed-model/