Monday, 27 May 2013

The risks in property development

The risks in property development are:

1.  Insufficient own capital to fund the project.
2.  Over-leverage and excessive borrowings.
3.  Poor sales for various reasons - poor location, industry related reasons.
4.  Cyclical downturn.

Many property projects are launched in the cyclical upturn of the industry.  Soon many more jumped in the game.  When the cyclical downturn comes, the weaker developers suffer.

How then do you assess management quality?

Those in management should have integrity, intelligence and also must be hardworking.  Most importantly, they should have integrity.  Search and look for integrity in the managers; without this, their intelligence and hardworking will work against the interest of the shareholders.

In present day perspective, the shareholders and the management interests are linked or in conflict mainly in two principal areas of:

(1)  competence of management and,
(2)  policies of management toward stockholders - notably in the matter ofdividends.

What are your views of companies hoarding cash aplenty when perhaps, the better decision is to distribute the cash to the shareholders in dividends or share buy-backs?

WHY KEEP CASH?

Different strategies for investing available cash. WHY KEEP CASH?

One significant difference between many investors is evident in the different strategies for investing available cash.

Some investors will typically choose to be fully invested at all times, since cash balances would likely cause them to lag behind a rising market.  

Other investors, by contrast, are willing to hold cash reserves (for the short term) when no bargains are available.  Among the reasons offered are:

1.  Cash is liquid and provides a modest, sometimes attractive nominal return, usually above the rate of inflation.


2.  The liquidity of cash affords flexibility, for it can quickly be channeled into other investment outlets with minimal transaction costs.


3.  Finally, unlike any other holding, cash does not involve any risk of incurring opportunity cost (losses from the inability to take advantage of future bargains) since it does not drop in value during market declines.



Reminder:
Do not underestimate the power of CASH for the short term.
For the long term, CASH deposits will always lose out to inflation.

Saturday, 25 May 2013

The Intelligent Investor is likely to need considerable willpower to keep from following the crowd - Benjamin Graham

Have the Discipline to Say No

Arming yourself with a sound investment philosophy and search strategy puts you on the path to selecting businesses suitable for investment.  Once a business is valued, the most difficult determinants of whether to invest or not come into play.

Unlike valuation, which primarily relies on quantitative measures, investors now must rely on qualitative factors:

  • Having the discipline to say no.
  • Being patient.
  • Having the courage to make a significant investment at a maximum point of pessimism.

These factors are exceedingly important because the probability of suffering investment loss is significantly higher due to the emotional underpinnings of these factors.

Most investors are smart; few, however, are disciplined enough to say no and move on or, more important, be patient.  Very few activities in life can be practiced successfully without some degree of discipline.  Being disciplined requires you to think independently and ignore crowd psychology.  Discipline requires investors to be confident in their research and analysis and be prepared to receive criticism from all angles.

Yet disciplined investors clearly realize that investment success comes from sticking to their methods and not participating in crowd folly.

Wednesday, 22 May 2013

Insiders Selling to lock in their gains during this bull market.

Date Announced  22-May-13  
Changes in Share Holdings
Company Shrs Acquired/ Director/Substantial Shareholder Shrs held
(Disposed) after Changed
ALLIANCE FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD AFG (909,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 190,793,140  
81,000  
ALLIANCE FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD AFG (24,400)   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc ("MUFG") 80,532,807  
ALLIANCE FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD AFG (3,400)   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc ("MUFG") 80,529,407  
ALLIANCE FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD AFG (300,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 191,111,240  
618,100  
ALLIANCE FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD AFG 2,900   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc ("MUFG") 80,532,307  
AIRASIA BERHAD   AIRASIA 4,000,000   Employees Provident Fund Board 231,549,000  
MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HOLDINGS BERHAD AIRPORT (7,700)   Employees Provident Fund Board 135,171,520  
AL-`AQAR HEALTHCARE REIT ALAQAR 1,311,400   Lembaga Tabung Haji 57,761,356  
AMMB HOLDINGS BERHAD AMBANK (81,100)   Employees Provident Fund Board 331,972,457  
2,928,900  
BENALEC HOLDINGS BERHAD   BENALEC (2,782,000)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) 53,064,600  
BIMB HOLDINGS BERHAD BIMB 659,000   Employees Provident Fund Board 97,370,700  
BINTULU PORT HOLDINGS BERHAD BIPORT (293,900)   KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN) 38,792,300  
BOILERMECH HOLDINGS BERHAD (ACE Market)  BOILERM (668,800)   Leong Yew Cheong 38,877,412  
BURSA MALAYSIA BERHAD BURSA (5,800)   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. ("MUFG") 27,869,258  
42,400  
CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD CIMB (1,354,400)   Employees Provident Fund Board 877,827,032  
1,186,000  
CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD CIMB (433,900)   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc (MUFG) 794,785,177  
CAPITAMALLS MALAYSIA TRUST CMMT (750,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 165,943,600  
DIALOG GROUP BERHAD DIALOG 2,500,000   Employees Provident Fund Board 372,190,035  
DIGI.COM BERHAD DIGI (1,014,600)   Employees Provident Fund Board 1,201,738,740  
DOLOMITE CORPORATION BERHAD   DOLMITE 278,970   HUANG JEN SOONG 9,074,073  
DRB-HICOM BERHAD DRBHCOM 500,000   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 146,287,600  
EASTERN & ORIENTAL BERHAD E&O 311,600   CIMB COMMERCE TRUSTEE BERHAD 59,504,000  
EASTERN & ORIENTAL BERHAD E&O 8,351,900   CIMB COMMERCE TRUSTEE BERHAD 67,855,900  
FELDA GLOBAL VENTURES HOLDINGS BERHAD   FGV 342,000   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 299,986,370  
FELDA GLOBAL VENTURES HOLDINGS BERHAD   FGV (105,000)   KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN) 253,079,800  
GENTING PLANTATIONS BERHAD GENP (5,000)   KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN) 46,545,700  
GENTING PLANTATIONS BERHAD GENP (200,000)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 116,458,200  
HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD   HAPSENG (8,935,100)   Gek Poh (Holdings) Sdn Bhd 1,272,992,880  
HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD   HAPSENG (8,935,100)   Hap Seng Insurance Services Sdn Bhd ["HSIS"] 108,481,780  
HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD HLBANK 80,000   Employees Provident Fund Board 260,375,772  
HOCK SENG LEE BERHAD HSL 263,400   Employees Provident Fund Board 56,128,560  
HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BERHAD HSPLANT (2,916,000)   Gek Poh (Holdings) Sdn Bhd 424,240,000  
HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BERHAD HSPLANT (2,916,000)   Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad 424,240,000  
ICAPITAL.BIZ BERHAD ICAP 129,200   City of London Investment Management Company Ltd 12,781,900  
IGB CORPORATION BERHAD IGB (175,100)   Employees Provident Fund Board (EPF) 92,544,122  
193,400  
IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD IHH 1,043,900   Employees Provident Fund Board 530,355,000  
IJM CORPORATION BERHAD IJM (123,300)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) 102,766,280  
200,000  
IJM CORPORATION BERHAD IJM (500,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 154,793,489  
100,000  
IJM LAND BERHAD   IJMLAND (174,200)   Employees Provident Fund Board 75,870,300  
KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD   KLK 31,500   Employees Provident Fund Board 162,743,138  
MAH SING GROUP BERHAD   MAHSING 175,000   Employees Provident Fund Board ("EPF") 103,001,960  
MAH SING GROUP BERHAD   MAHSING (3,000,000)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) 57,173,866  
MAH SING GROUP BERHAD   MAHSING (3,100,000)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) -
MAXIS BERHAD MAXIS 2,019,000   Employees Provident Fund Board ("EPF Board") 478,710,400  
MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD   MAYBANK (5,698,000)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 874,025,124  
MBM RESOURCES BHD MBMR (500,000)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 58,401,891  
170,000  
MICROLINK SOLUTIONS BERHAD (ACE Market) MICROLN 3,000   Insas Berhad 7,852,400  
MICROLINK SOLUTIONS BERHAD (ACE Market) MICROLN 3,000   Insas Plaza Sdn Bhd 7,852,400  
MISC BERHAD MISC (34,300)   Employees Provident Fund Board 426,309,958  
MISC BERHAD MISC (811,700)   Employees Provident Fund Board 426,442,158  
MISC BERHAD MISC (97,900)   Employees Provident Fund Board 426,344,258  
MK LAND HOLDINGS BERHAD   MKLAND (8,700,000)   KASI A/L K L PALANIAPPAN 268,134,415  
MNRB HOLDINGS BERHAD MNRB (255,200)   AMANAHRAYA TRUSTEES BERHAD - SKIM AMANAH SAHAM BUMIPUTERA 101,423,000  
METRONIC GLOBAL BERHAD   MTRONIC (8,000,000)   Ling Yew Kong 37,355,000  
NESTLE (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NESTLE (32,200)   Employees Provident Fund Board 23,404,200  
NESTLE (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NESTLE (1,200)   Employees Provident Fund Board 23,403,000  
NESTLE (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NESTLE (5,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 23,398,000  
NYLEX (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NYLEX 227,800   Pacific & Orient Berhad 85,356,388  
NYLEX (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NYLEX 227,800   Chan Thye Seng 85,356,388  
NYLEX (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NYLEX 227,800   Mah Wing Holdings Sdn Bhd 85,356,388  
NYLEX (MALAYSIA) BERHAD NYLEX 227,800   Mah Wing Investments Limited 85,356,388  
ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD ORIENT 2,100   Aberdeen International Fund Managers Limited 46,725,100  
ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD ORIENT 36,100   Aberdeen International Fund Managers Limited 46,761,200  
ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD ORIENT 2,100   Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Limited 54,222,700  
ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD ORIENT 36,100   Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Limited 54,258,800  
ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD ORIENT 2,100   Aberdeen Asset Management PLC and its subsidiaries 66,145,200  
ORIENTAL HOLDINGS BERHAD ORIENT 36,100   Aberdeen Asset Management PLC and its subsidiaries 66,181,300  
PANASONIC MANUFACTURING MALAYSIA BERHAD PANAMY 2,000   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,Inc ("MUFG") 6,073,000  
PANASONIC MANUFACTURING MALAYSIA BERHAD PANAMY 700   Aberdeen Asset Management PLC and its subsidiaries 8,731,800  
PANASONIC MANUFACTURING MALAYSIA BERHAD PANAMY 2,000   Aberdeen Asset Management PLC and its subsidiaries 8,733,800  
PANTECH GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD   PANTECH (1,200,000)   GL MANAGEMENT AGENCY SDN BHD 79,895,960  
PANTECH GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD   PANTECH (1,200,000)   DATO’’ GOH TEOH KEAN 79,895,960  
PANTECH GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD   PANTECH (1,200,000)   DATIN LEE SOCK KEE 79,895,960  
PARKSON HOLDINGS BERHAD   PARKSON (559,300)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) ("KWAP") 55,968,954  
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Guoco Group Limited -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   GuoLine Overseas Limited -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   GuoLine Capital Assets Limited -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Hong Leong Company (Malaysia) Berhad -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   HL Holdings Sdn. Bhd. -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   GLL (Malaysia) Pte. Ltd. -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Pembinaan Sri Jati Sdn. Berhad -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Bedford Development Sdn. Bhd. -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   GuocoLand Limited -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   GuocoLand Assets Pte. Ltd. -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Hong Realty (Private) Limited -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Hong Leong Investment Holdings Pte. Ltd. -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Kwek Holdings Pte. Ltd. -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Kwek Leng Beng -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Davos Investment Holdings Private Limited -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Kwek Leng Kee -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   Quek Leng Chye -
PASDEC HOLDINGS BERHAD PASDEC (1,750,200)   GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad -
PUBLIC BANK BERHAD PBBANK (1,925,900)   Employees Provident Fund Board 461,040,381  
130,000  
PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD   PCHEM 950,000   Employees Provident Fund Board 1,012,690,800  
PETRA ENERGY BERHAD PENERGY (1,241,000)   Lembaga Tabung Haji 22,299,412  
PERISAI PETROLEUM TEKNOLOGI BHD PERISAI (2,005,200)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 61,793,000  
PERISAI PETROLEUM TEKNOLOGI BHD PERISAI 1,600,000   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 63,393,000  
PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD PETDAG (80,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 73,440,900  
PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD PETDAG 41,900   Employees Provident Fund Board 73,482,800  
PETRONAS GAS BERHAD PETGAS (44,000)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 266,966,400  
222,000  
PETRONAS GAS BERHAD PETGAS (150,900)   KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN) 104,779,600  
36,900  
POS MALAYSIA BERHAD POS (300,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 41,467,800  
PRICEWORTH INTERNATIONAL BERHAD   PWORTH (4,500,000)   Lee Kian Vui 9,648,150  
SIME DARBY BERHAD SIME (454,400)   Employees Provident Fund Board 809,389,455  
1,249,800  
SAPURAKENCANA PETROLEUM BERHAD SKPETRO (816,400)   Employees Provident Fund Board 679,584,689  
1,150,000  
SKP RESOURCES BHD SKPRES (9,000,000)   DATO’’ GAN KIM HUAT 525,424,291  
SKP RESOURCES BHD SKPRES (9,000,000)   RENOWN MILLION SDN BHD 175,246,075  
S P SETIA BERHAD SPSETIA 200,000   KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN) 129,158,850  
S P SETIA BERHAD SPSETIA 1,850,000   Employees Provident Fund Board 128,666,230  
S P SETIA BERHAD SPSETIA (671,200)   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc ("MUFG") 133,161,400  
SUNWAY REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST SUNREIT (845,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 318,304,300  
250,000  
TASEK CORPORATION BERHAD TASEK 5,000   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc ("MUFG") 14,851,759  
TH PLANTATIONS BERHAD   THPLANT 1,480,200   Employees Provident Fund Board 47,855,400  
TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD TM 249,900   Employees Provident Fund Board 480,700,300  
TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD TOPGLOV (809,200)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) -
TRIPLC BERHAD TRIPLC (6,488,295)   Gempur Likas Sdn Bhd -
TRIPLC BERHAD TRIPLC (6,488,295)   Ho Kim Shing -
TRIPLC BERHAD TRIPLC (6,488,295)   Md Zahary Bin Malek -
TRIPLC BERHAD TRIPLC 4,000,000   Minat Bakti Sdn Bhd 4,000,000  
TRIPLC BERHAD TRIPLC 4,000,000   Aidil Bin Abdul Aziz 4,000,000  
TRIPLC BERHAD TRIPLC 4,000,000   Ruzlan Bin Rahmat 4,000,000  
UNITED MALACCA BERHAD UMCCA 12,800   Aberdeen Asset Management PLC and its subsidiaries ("The Group&qu 29,152,050  
UNITED MALACCA BERHAD UMCCA 7,300   Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Limited 16,112,350  
UNITED MALACCA BERHAD UMCCA 7,300   Aberdeen International Fund Managers Limited 10,912,650  
UNITED MALACCA BERHAD UMCCA 5,500   Aberdeen Asset Management Sdn Bhd 12,989,700  
UNITED MALACCA BERHAD UMCCA 20,600   Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc("MUFG") 29,139,250  
UMS-NEIKEN GROUP BERHAD UMSNGB 150,000   Yeo Guik Hiang 4,012,400  
UOA DEVELOPMENT BHD UOADEV 600,000   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD ("EPF BOARD") 79,828,200  
UNITED PLANTATIONS BERHAD UTDPLT 7,600   MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP. INC (MUFG) 24,148,000  
UNITED PLANTATIONS BERHAD UTDPLT 19,800   Aberdeen Asset Management PLC and its Subsidiaries 24,167,800  
WAH SEONG CORPORATION BERHAD WASEONG 83,200   Employees Provident Fund Board 45,142,433  
WCT BERHAD WCT (2,500,000)   Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (DiPerbadankan) 64,933,210  
WCT BERHAD WCT (300,000)   Employees Provident Fund Board 123,708,430  
WHITE HORSE BERHAD WTHORSE    Teo Kim Tay 12,559,015  
WHITE HORSE BERHAD WTHORSE    Teo Kim Lap 12,533,027  
WHITE HORSE BERHAD WTHORSE    Teo Swee Teng 13,498,593  
YTL CORPORATION BERHAD YTL (3,312,300)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 789,297,047  
YTL POWER INTERNATIONAL BHD YTLPOWR (3,000,000)   EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD 586,482,916

Tuesday, 14 May 2013

5 Steps to Creating a Sustainable Competitive Advantage


Whether you’re pitching investors or launching a new product, success is more likely if you can create and communicate a sustainable competitive advantage.

Being first to market isn’t enough, as someone bigger with something better will come along and leave you in the dust. And it doesn’t matter if there isn’t a product in the market that’s exactly the same as yours. If another company is solving the same pain you’re addressing, for the same customers – they are competition.
While creating a sustainable competitive advantage is not easy, the following will help ensure you get and remain ahead of the field.
1. Establish Brand Loyalty. Customers will often remain with a brand they have loyalty towards, even though the company does not offer the cheapest or most effective product. Focus on building strong relationships with your customers and delivering a great customer experience and service.
2. Patent Your Product. There has been a lot of debate recently about the true value of a patent. While patents are not a ‘cure all’, they are an important weapon in an entrepreneur’s competitive advantage arsenal.
3.  Continually Innovate. Customers like updates and upgrades. Keeping your product fresh and compatible with the market place (particularly if software), is essential.
4. Hire ‘Connected’ Team Members. If your market includes large companies and government departments, connections to key individuals within these organizations can dramatically accelerate your ability to meet and secure contracts. Try to have at least one member on your team who is ‘connected’.
5. Use Long Term Contracts and Incentives.  This step has to be executed carefully, as it can backfire. If you can establish a long term contract with your customer, then clearly they are less likely to switch to a competitor. If you only offer long terms contracts, however, and your competitors are offering short terms contracts, then you are likely to lose business.
Ideally you want to incentivize your customers to enter into a long term contract with you, possibly by providing a slight reduction in cost or a bonus. Equally, customers are more likely to be willing to enter into a long terms contract if they have just completed a successful short term contract with you.

Identifying Durable Competitive Advantages by Analyzing Financial Statements.