Thursday 12 November 2009

Comparing PE ratios across Countries

Comparing PE ratios across Countries

Comparisons are often made between price-earnings ratios in different countries with the intention of finding undervalued and overvalued markets. Markets with lower PE ratios are viewed as under valued and those with higher PE ratios are considered over valued.

Given the wide differences that exist between countries on fundamentals, it is clearly misleading to draw these conclusions. For instance, you would expect to see the following, other things remaining equal:

· Countries with higher real interest rates should have lower PE ratios than countries with lower real interest rates.
· Countries with higher expected real growth should have higher PE ratios than countries with lower real growth.
· Countries that are viewed as riskier (and thus command higher risk premiums) should have lower PE ratios than safer countries
· Countries where companies are more efficient in their investments (and earn a higher return on these investments) should trade at higher PE ratios.


http://zonecours.hec.ca/documents/A2009-1-1877347.ch18-earning-multiple(1).pdf

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