myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

Friday, 1 May 2009

Chrysler driven into bankruptcy

Chrysler driven into bankruptcy

Chrysler became the first major car manufacturer to file for bankruptcy in the current recession after last-minute negotiations between the US government and a batch of dissident hedge fund creditors broke down.

By James Quinn, Wall Street Correspondent
Last Updated: 9:20PM BST 30 Apr 2009

But, at the same time, Chrysler entered into a strategic partnership with Italian rival Fiat designed to safeguard its long-term future and give it access to fuel-efficient technologies and smaller car designs.

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The developments – which followed months of negotiations by Barack Obama’s automotive task force – herald a new chapter in the 84-year-old company’s history. A chapter which will ultimately see it controlled by Fiat and the United Auto Workers (UAW) union.

The collapse followed an 11th-hour stand-off between the US automotive task force and 20 hedge and distressed debt funds which control $1bn (£676m) of Chrysler’s $6.9bn debt. The funds refused to accept a deal which would have seen them paid only 44pc of what they are owed.

The dissident funds, including Oppenheimer Funds and Perella Weinberg’s Xerion Capital Fund, stood firm after alleging they were being unfairly treated in favour of government funded banks such as JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, who are among Chrysler’s biggest creditors.

President Obama reprimanded the hedge funds, saying he could not support “a group who held out for the prospect of an unjustified taxpayer bailout”. He added that some “demanded returns twice what others were getting”. The attack was a negative moment in an otherwise highly positive statement, in which he called Chrysler one of the companies that “helped make the 20th century the American century”.

The car maker has been given a “new lease on life” as a result of the deal with Fiat, the President said. He added that the company’s move into Chapter 11 will be “quick ... efficient ... and controlled” and “will not disrupt the lives of those who work at Chrysler.”

The alliance with Fiat will safeguard 30,000 jobs at Chrysler, tens of thousands at suppliers and dealers, and guarantee the healthcare rights of 170,000 retired Chrysler workers and their families.

Chrysler was last night due to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York, a process which will allow a bankruptcy judge to approve its restructuring plan, which has the support of employees, unions, and 70pc of creditors by value.

Obama administration officials described the bankruptcy process as “purely surgical”, saying it would take 30-60 days for the new Chrysler to re-emerge.

Filing for bankruptcy will allow Chrysler to access $3.3bn in new debtor-in-possession financing from the US government, intended to ensure it can operate as normal through the process, as well as $4.7bn in US loans on exiting Chapter 11, on top of $4bn already loaned back in December. The Canadian and Ontario governments will provide a further $2.42bn.

In return, on formation of the new Chrysler, the US government will own an 8pc stake — and its Canadian counterparts a 2pc stake — and will be able to nominate five directors between them.
Fiat will get a 20pc stake in the new company to begin with, but President Obama stressed the Italian company will not be allowed to take a majority stake until “every taxpayer dime” has been repaid. UAW, will have a 55pc stake.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/transport/5252690/Chrysler-driven-into-bankruptcy.html

2 comments:

MoneyBonanza said...: FREE Full Length Movies, Music, Games, and MORE!!!
@ InternetSurfShack.com; Friday, May 01, 2009 1:17:00 pm
Homebizseo said...: The troubles at Chrysler and General Motors are a major concern for everyone in the United States and around the world. I do not know what the correct solution is but I hope that it will all work out for the better. I hope with all the government assistance and restructuring that the automakers can bounceback and become strong during the latter half of the year.

Regards, homebizseo; Friday, May 01, 2009 5:44:00 pm

My 18 points guide to Successfully compounding your money in Stocks

Be a good stock picker.
Think as a business owner.
Always look at value rather than the price. Do the homework.
Buy and hold is alright for selected stocks.
Compounding is your friend, get this to work its magic.
Mr. Market is there to be taken advantage of. Do not be the sucker instead. BFS;STS.
Always buy a lot when the price is low.
Never buy when the stock is overpriced.
It is alright to buy when the selected stock is at a fair price.
Phasing in or dollar cost averaging is safe for such stocks during a downtrend, unless the price is still obviously too high.
Do not time the market for such or any stocks.
By keeping to the above strategy, the returns will be delivered through the growth of the company's business.
So, when do you sell the stock? Almost never, as long as the fundamentals remain sound and the future prospects intact.
The downside risk is protected through only buying when the price is low or fairly priced.
Tactical dynamic asset allocation or rebalancing based on valuation can be employed but this sounds easier than is practical, except in extreme market situations.
Sell urgently when the company business fundamental has deteriorated irreversibly.
You may also wish to sell should the growth of the company has obviously slowed and you can reinvest into another company with greater growth potential of similar quality. However, unlike point 16, you can do so leisurely.
In conclusion, a critical key to successful investing is in your stock picking ability.

http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-18-points-guide-to-successfully.html

11 Lessons From Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch taught me:

1. Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.
2. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
3. Over the short term, there may be no correlation between the success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock. Over the long term, there’s a 100% correlation.
4. Buying stocks without studying the companies is the same as playing poker – and never looking at your cards.
5. Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies.
6. Owning stock is like having children. Don’t get involved with more than you can handle.
7. When the insiders are buying, it’s a good sign.
8. Unless you’re a short seller, it never pays to be pessimistic.
9. A stock market decline is as predictable as a January blizzard in Colorado. If you’re prepared, it can’t hurt you.
10. Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach.
11. Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy, or the stock market. Dismiss all such forecasts and concentrate on what’s actually happening to the companies in which you’ve invested.

Lynch’s advice had a profound effect on my stock market approach. He taught me that investment success isn’t the result of developing the right macro-economic view or deciding when to jump in or out of the market. Success is about researching companies to identify those that are likely to report positive surprises.

Capital Expenditure

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 25%. Less is better.

Capital Expenditures are expenses on:
- fixed assets such as equipment, property, or industrial buildings
- fixing problems with an asset
- preparing an asset to be used in business
- restoring property
- starting new businesses

A good company will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 50%.

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of less than 25%.

Less is better.

Benjamin Graham's 113 Wise Words

The true investor scarcely ever is forced to sell his shares, and at all times he is free to disregard the current price quotation. He need pay attention to it and act upon it only to the extent that it suits his book, and no more. Thus the investor who permits himself to be stampeded or unduly worried by unjustified market declines in his holdings is perversely transforming his basic advantage into a basic disadvantage. That man would be better off if his stocks had no market quotation at all, for he would then be spared the mental anguish caused him by other persons' mistakes of judgement."

Philip Fisher's Wise Words

"The refusal to sell at a loss, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could 'at least come out even' than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous."

(Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits)

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Here is the overriding primary test, followed by observations on why it is so critically important:

Knowing all that you now know and expect about the company and its stock (not what you originally believed or hoped at time of purchase), and assuming that you had available capital, and assuming that it would not cause a portfolio imbalance to do so, would you buy this stock today, at today's price?

No equivocation. Yes or no?

Answers such as maybe or probably are not acceptable since they are ways of dodging the issue. No investor probably buys a stock; they either place an order or do not.

Here is the implication of your answer to that critical test: if you did not answer with a clear affirmative, you should sell; only if you said a strong yes, are you justified to hold.

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Ideally a stock you plan to purchase should have all of the following charateristics:

• A rising trend of earnings dividends and book value per share.
• A balance sheet with less debt than other companies in its particular industry.
• A P/E ratio no higher than average.
• A dividend yield that suits your particular needs.
• A below-average dividend pay-out ratio.
• A history of earnings and dividends not pockmarked by erratic ups and downs.
• Companies whose ROE is 15 or better.
• A ratio of price to cash flow (P/CF) that is not too high when compared to other stocks in the same industry.

Margin of Safety Concept: Stocks should be bought like groceries, not like perfume

The high CAGR in the early years of the investing period, due to buying at a discount, tended to decline and approach that of the intrinsic EPS GR of the companies over a longer investment time-frame.

Chapter 20 - “Margin of Safety” as the Central Concept of Investment

A single quote by Graham on page 516 struck me:

Observation over many years has taught us that the chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.

Basically, Graham is saying that most stock investors lose money because they invest in companies that seem good at a particular point in time, but are lacking the fundamentals of a long-lasting stable company.

This seems obvious on the surface, but it’s actually a great argument for thinking more carefully about your individual stock investments. If most of your losses come from buying companies that seem healthy but really aren’t, isn’t that a profound argument for carefully studying any company you might invest in?

myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Friday, 1 May 2009

Chrysler driven into bankruptcy

2 comments:

All equity security investments present a risk of loss of capital

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Benjamin Graham

Sell the losers, let the winners run.

Investment Style

Warren Buffett

Political and Economic News

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