myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.

Showing posts with label Axiata. Show all posts

Sunday, 2 September 2012

Industries - Telecommunication (1)

Stock Performance Chart for Adept Telecom PLC

Stock Performance Chart for Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited

Stock Performance Chart for Allwin Telecommunication Company Limited

Stock Performance Chart for Alternative Networks PLC

Stock Performance Chart for Amalgamated Electronic Corporation Limited

Stock Performance Chart for Amcom Telecommunications Limited

Stock Performance Chart for American Tower Corporation

Stock Performance Chart for APT Satellite Holdings Limited

Stock Performance Chart for Asahi Net, Inc

Stock Performance Chart for Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Limited

Stock Performance Chart for Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc.

Stock Performance Chart for Avantel Softech Limited

Stock Performance Chart for Axiata Group Berhad

Friday, 22 June 2012

Investor's Checklist: Telecom

Shifting regulations and new technologies have made the telecom industry far more competitive. Though some areas are more stable than others, look for a wide margin of safety to any estimate of value before investing.

Telecom is a capital-intensive business. Having the resources to maintain and improve the network is critical to success.

Telecom is high fixed-cost business. Keeping an eye on margins is very important.

Watching debt is also important. Firms can easily overextend themselves as they build networks.

The price of wireless airtime is plummeting. Carriers continue to compete primarily on price.

Ref: The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing by Pat Dorsey

Read also:
Investor's Checklist: A Guided Tour of the Market...

Friday, 23 December 2011

S&P: takes action on three Malaysian GREs

Thu Jul 28, 2011 1:01am EDT

(The following was released by the rating agency)

-- On July, 27, 2011, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services lowered the local currency sovereign rating on Malaysia to 'A' from 'A+'.

-- We are, therefore, taking rating actions on three GREs: PETRONAS, Axiata, and Telekom Malaysia.

-- The sovereign rating action has no rating impact on any other corporate entity that we rate in Malaysia.

SINGAPORE (Standard & Poor's) July 28, 2011--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it took various rating actions on three Malaysian government-related entities (GREs) after the sovereign rating action on Malaysia (foreign currency A-/Stable/A-2; local currency A/Stable/A-1; axAA+/axA-1) (see "Malaysia 'A-' FC Rating Affirmed; Local Currency Rating Lowered To 'A' From 'A+' On Revised Methodology; Outlook Stable," published on July 27, 2011, on RatingsDirect on the Global Credit Portal) as follows:

To From

Downgraded

Petroliam Nasional Bhd. (PETRONAS)

Local currency rating A/Stable/-- A+/Stable/--

ASEAN scale rating axAA+/-- axAAA/--

Axiata Group Bhd.

Foreign currency rating BBB/Stable/-- BBB+/Stable/--

Local currency rating BBB/Stable/-- BBB+/Stable/--

ASEAN scale rating axA/-- axA+/--

Senior unsecured notes BBB- BBB

CreditWatch Action

To From

Telekom Malaysia Bhd. (TM)

Foreign currency rating A-/Watch Neg/-- A-/Stable/--

Local currency rating A-/Watch Neg/-- A-/Stable/--

ASEAN scale rating axAA/Watch Neg axAA/--

Senior unsecured notes A-/Watch Neg A-

Affirmed

Petroliam Nasional Bhd.

Foreign currency rating A-/Stable/--

Senior unsecured notes A-

We lowered the local currency rating on PETRONAS to reflect the company's critical role and integral link with the Malaysian government and its sensitivity to government intervention. We equalized the long-term corporate credit rating on PETRONAS with the sovereign credit rating on Malaysia. We assessed PETRONAS' stand-alone credit profile to be 'aa-'.

We downgraded Axiata to reflect the sovereign local currency rating action because our ratings on the company factor in our view of extraordinary government support. According to our GRE methodology, we have now equalized the ratings on Axiata with our assessment of its stand-alone credit profile of 'bbb'. We continue to believe there is a "moderate" likelihood that the Malaysian government, through its investment holding arm Khazanah Nasional Bhd., would provide timely and sufficient extraordinary support to Axiata in the event of financial distress. This is based on our view that Axiata has a "strong" link with the government, although it has a "limited" role in Malaysia's economy compared with that of other Malaysian GREs.

We consider TM to have a "strong" link with, and an "important" role to, the government. We, therefore, believe there is a "moderately high" likelihood of extraordinary government support to TM, whose stand-alone credit profile we assess to be 'bbb+'. We will resolve the CreditWatch placement on TM, in which Khazanah owns 28.7%, based on our assessment of the company's stand-alone profile and the sustainability of the recent improvement in its financial metrics. A CreditWatch with negative implications indicates that we could lower or affirm the ratings in the next 90 days. Given TM's strong business risk profile, we will consider the company's financial policies in light of its investment and funding plans for the next couple of years.

The sovereign rating action does not affect the ratings on any other corporate entities that Standard & Poor's rates in Malaysia, either privately owned or GREs. These entities include Tenaga Nasional Bhd. (BBB+/Stable/--; axA+/axA-1) and AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust (BBB-/Negative/--; axBBB+/--).

RELATED CRITERIA AND RESEARCH

-- Rating Government-Related Entities: Methodology And Assumptions, Dec. 9, 2010

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/28/markets-ratings-malaysiangre-idUSWNA497420110728

My 18 points guide to Successfully compounding your money in Stocks

Be a good stock picker.
Think as a business owner.
Always look at value rather than the price. Do the homework.
Buy and hold is alright for selected stocks.
Compounding is your friend, get this to work its magic.
Mr. Market is there to be taken advantage of. Do not be the sucker instead. BFS;STS.
Always buy a lot when the price is low.
Never buy when the stock is overpriced.
It is alright to buy when the selected stock is at a fair price.
Phasing in or dollar cost averaging is safe for such stocks during a downtrend, unless the price is still obviously too high.
Do not time the market for such or any stocks.
By keeping to the above strategy, the returns will be delivered through the growth of the company's business.
So, when do you sell the stock? Almost never, as long as the fundamentals remain sound and the future prospects intact.
The downside risk is protected through only buying when the price is low or fairly priced.
Tactical dynamic asset allocation or rebalancing based on valuation can be employed but this sounds easier than is practical, except in extreme market situations.
Sell urgently when the company business fundamental has deteriorated irreversibly.
You may also wish to sell should the growth of the company has obviously slowed and you can reinvest into another company with greater growth potential of similar quality. However, unlike point 16, you can do so leisurely.
In conclusion, a critical key to successful investing is in your stock picking ability.

http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-18-points-guide-to-successfully.html

11 Lessons From Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch taught me:

1. Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.
2. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
3. Over the short term, there may be no correlation between the success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock. Over the long term, there’s a 100% correlation.
4. Buying stocks without studying the companies is the same as playing poker – and never looking at your cards.
5. Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies.
6. Owning stock is like having children. Don’t get involved with more than you can handle.
7. When the insiders are buying, it’s a good sign.
8. Unless you’re a short seller, it never pays to be pessimistic.
9. A stock market decline is as predictable as a January blizzard in Colorado. If you’re prepared, it can’t hurt you.
10. Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach.
11. Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy, or the stock market. Dismiss all such forecasts and concentrate on what’s actually happening to the companies in which you’ve invested.

Lynch’s advice had a profound effect on my stock market approach. He taught me that investment success isn’t the result of developing the right macro-economic view or deciding when to jump in or out of the market. Success is about researching companies to identify those that are likely to report positive surprises.

Capital Expenditure

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 25%. Less is better.

Capital Expenditures are expenses on:
- fixed assets such as equipment, property, or industrial buildings
- fixing problems with an asset
- preparing an asset to be used in business
- restoring property
- starting new businesses

A good company will have a ratio of Capital Expenditures to Net Income of less than 50%.

A great company with a Durable Competitive Advantage will have a ratio of less than 25%.

Less is better.

Benjamin Graham's 113 Wise Words

The true investor scarcely ever is forced to sell his shares, and at all times he is free to disregard the current price quotation. He need pay attention to it and act upon it only to the extent that it suits his book, and no more. Thus the investor who permits himself to be stampeded or unduly worried by unjustified market declines in his holdings is perversely transforming his basic advantage into a basic disadvantage. That man would be better off if his stocks had no market quotation at all, for he would then be spared the mental anguish caused him by other persons' mistakes of judgement."

Philip Fisher's Wise Words

"The refusal to sell at a loss, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could 'at least come out even' than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous."

(Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits)

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Here is the overriding primary test, followed by observations on why it is so critically important:

Knowing all that you now know and expect about the company and its stock (not what you originally believed or hoped at time of purchase), and assuming that you had available capital, and assuming that it would not cause a portfolio imbalance to do so, would you buy this stock today, at today's price?

No equivocation. Yes or no?

Answers such as maybe or probably are not acceptable since they are ways of dodging the issue. No investor probably buys a stock; they either place an order or do not.

Here is the implication of your answer to that critical test: if you did not answer with a clear affirmative, you should sell; only if you said a strong yes, are you justified to hold.

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Ideally a stock you plan to purchase should have all of the following charateristics:

• A rising trend of earnings dividends and book value per share.
• A balance sheet with less debt than other companies in its particular industry.
• A P/E ratio no higher than average.
• A dividend yield that suits your particular needs.
• A below-average dividend pay-out ratio.
• A history of earnings and dividends not pockmarked by erratic ups and downs.
• Companies whose ROE is 15 or better.
• A ratio of price to cash flow (P/CF) that is not too high when compared to other stocks in the same industry.

Margin of Safety Concept: Stocks should be bought like groceries, not like perfume

The high CAGR in the early years of the investing period, due to buying at a discount, tended to decline and approach that of the intrinsic EPS GR of the companies over a longer investment time-frame.

Chapter 20 - “Margin of Safety” as the Central Concept of Investment

A single quote by Graham on page 516 struck me:

Observation over many years has taught us that the chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.

Basically, Graham is saying that most stock investors lose money because they invest in companies that seem good at a particular point in time, but are lacking the fundamentals of a long-lasting stable company.

This seems obvious on the surface, but it’s actually a great argument for thinking more carefully about your individual stock investments. If most of your losses come from buying companies that seem healthy but really aren’t, isn’t that a profound argument for carefully studying any company you might invest in?

myinvestingnotes.blogspot.my (Bullbear Buffett Stock Investing Notes)

Sunday, 2 September 2012

Industries - Telecommunication (1)

Friday, 22 June 2012

Investor's Checklist: Telecom

Friday, 23 December 2011

S&P: takes action on three Malaysian GREs

All equity security investments present a risk of loss of capital

The Ultimate Hold-versus-Sell Test

Some thoughts on Analysing Stocks (KISS)

Benjamin Graham

Sell the losers, let the winners run.

Investment Style

Warren Buffett

Political and Economic News

Interesting Blogs