Date announced 3-Nov-10
Quarter 31/09/2010 Qtr 2
FYE 31/03/2011
STOCK KFIMA
C0DE 6491
Price $ 1.3 Curr. PE (ttm-Eps) 5.46 Curr. DY 0.00%
LFY Div 0.00 DPO ratio 0%
ROE 14.6% PBT Margin 28.4% PAT Margin 13.9%
Rec. qRev 106645 q-q % chg -4% y-y% chq 12%
Rec qPbt 30336 q-q % chg -22% y-y% chq 45%
Rec. qEps 5.63 q-q % chg -15% y-y% chq 50%
ttm-Eps 23.79 q-q % chg 9% y-y% chq 14%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 5.00 Avg. L PE 4.00
Forecast High Pr 1.52 Forecast Low Pr 0.85 Recent Severe Low Pr 0.85
Current price is at Middle 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 33% Downside 67%
One Year Appreciation Potential 3% Avg. yield 0%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 3%
CPE/SPE 1.21 P/NTA 0.80 NTA 1.63 SPE 4.50 Rational Pr 1.07
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy Hold Sell Filed Review (future acq): Filed Discard: Filed
Guide: Valuation zones Lower 1/3 Buy Mid. 1/3 Maybe Upper 1/3 Sell
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
Comment: Probably worth having an in-depth look to understand more of this company's underlying business.
