Showing posts with label reserves. Show all posts
Showing posts with label reserves. Show all posts

Tuesday, 22 December 2020

The Multiplier Effecct

The reason central bank monetary policy works so well is because of the multiplier effect.

Basically, money we deposit in our banks doesn't just sit there collecting dust.  

The bank can and does lend that money to someone else.  

A hundred dollars deposited in a bank in in A, for example, may end up being loaned to an individual or a business in B.

After setting aside a small portion of each deposit as a reserve, banks are free to lend out the remainder.

The effect is to increase the money supply without any extra currency being printed.

What gets loaned out ends up in another bank to be subsequently loaned again.

Tuesday, 11 April 2017

Prudent Reserves

When something happens that causes an asset to lose value, it is written off.

  • For example, if some stock (asset) is stolen, the value of the stock in the Balance Sheet is reduced.

The same thing must happen if a prudent view is that an asset has lost some of its value.

  • For example, if some of the stock is obsolete and unlikely to sell for full value.
  • Normally, the Balance Sheet will just show the reduced value, which will be explained with notes.


Stock reserve

The creation of a stock reserve reduces the profit.

  • If it is subsequently found that the reserve was not necessary, the asset is restored to its full value and the profit is correspondingly increased in a later period.


Bad debt reserve

It is often necessary to create a bad debt reserve to cover money that may not be collectable from customers.

  • This bad debt reserve reduces the profit.
  • For example, loan loss reserve or provision by the banks.




Sunday, 8 August 2010

How China's Dollar Peg Works





http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article8320.html

Bullbear Stock Investing Notes

Saturday, 3 October 2009

Futile to chase up price of shares based on Rumours of bonus issues

It can be very difficult for a layman to know how the reserves of a company come into being.  Very often such reserves are created at a stroke of a pen. 

Unless you can separate the "good" reserves from the "bad" reserves, you should not be excited by the prospect of a bonus issue as a result of an increase in Reserves.

It is futile to chase up the price of shares based on rumours that a particular company is about to make a bonus issue.  The really wise investors or the truly cunning insiders would have got in when the price was a lot lower.  Rumours of bonus issues are usually spread to provide opportunity for people other than the small timers to make money. 

Warren Buffett said:  "The stock market is like God in that it helps those who help themselves, but unlike God, it does not forgive those who know not what they are doing."  You can best "help yourselves" by learning more about the stock market as a whole and finding out more about the companies you are interested in.  If you go in blindly, "not knowing what you are doing", basing your actions on rumours, you will have nobody to blame but yourselves if you lose money.

The Reserves of a company is purely a paper entry.

In order to provide a bonus issue, the company must have this thing called "RESERVES" which can be turned into new paid-up capital to be used for the creation of new shares for paying out as bonus. 

Surely this "Reserves" thing must be something of value?

This term "Reserves" is very confusing to people who are not familiar with accounting concepts.

The "Reserves: of a company is purely a paper entry, purely an accounting convention.  There is absolutely nothing solid behind the term "Reserves".  The "Reserves" you see in the balance sheet of a company belongs in the realm of an accountant's imagination; this is something which exists purely as a written line on the company's accounts books. 

The real strength of a company is not shown by how much it has under the item "Reserves" but under the "Cash" and/or "Short term Investments" items as well as its undisclosed borrowing capacity.  Many a company have gone bankrupt with lots of "Reserves" still on its balance sheet.

What then does this term "Reserves" mean?  The reason why there is an item of "Resreves" in the balance sheet of most companies is due to the nature of our accounting system. 

Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity*

(*defined as Paid up Capital + Reserves)

Under this system of accounting, whenever, there is an increase in the total assets of the firm which is caused by either the purchase of a new asset or an increase in the book value of an asset (the "book value" of an asset is the value which is recorded in the accounting books of the company, it is not necessarily the same as its real value or its purchase price), a similar entry has to be placed on the opposite side of the balance sheet to keep it in balance.

Let us assume that the left hand side of the Balance Sheet goes up beause the company has purchased an asset.  We know that whenever there is an increase in the left hand side of the Balance Sheet, there must be a corresponding increase on the right hand side.  The right hand side would go up in accordance with how the company has financed this particular purchase.  There are three ways by which it can finance the purchase:

(1)  It can borrow the money;
(2)  It can obtain the money from its shareholders; and
(3)  It can earn the money.

If the firm borrows the money, its Liabilities would go up by an equal amount as the cost of the asset.  Hence both sides are still in balance.  If it obtains money from its shareholders, its Paid-up Capital would increase.  Using these two ways of financing an increase in asset results in no nett change in the value of the company in the hands of the shareholders.

If however, the company has earned enough profit to pay for the purchase, the balancing entry will be put under "Reserves".  Such an increase in the asset of the company will result in an increase in the nett worth of the company.  As the asset purchased will earn more profit for the company which can pay more dividend to the shareholders, the increased dividend payment will increase the price of the share.  Under normal circumstances, the value of a company would increase if it earns money to buy new assets.  But this is a "difficult" way of increasing one's assets for the company must make some money in the first place; there are other easier methods.

The easiest way by which the assets of a company can be increased in its book value is by revaluation.  When the assets of a company are revalued, an imbalance is created in the balance sheet because there is no corresponding increase on the other side.  In order to keep the balance sheet in balance, a similar amount is therefore added to the Reserves item. 

Whenever this happens, Malaysian speculators usually become very excited because they feel sure that a bonus issue is forthcoming since the company now has reserves which can be converted to bonus shares for distribution.  The price of such shares therfore tends to go up.  But why should the price of a company's share go up just because it has undergone a revaluation of its assets?  Is it not true to say that even after the revaluation, the true value of the assets of the company remains unchanged?  What is changed is the value shown in the accounting books of the company.  Surefly, we should price the shares of a company according to its true value rather than the value after a revaluation. 

Furthermore, how can we be sure that the revaluation has been properly carried out?  The experience of many local companies in this respect does not give one cause to have confidence in their ability to value their assets correctly.  In past years, many companies had to reduce the book value of their assets by a huge amount after having previously written them up to an unrealistic level.  Many of them suffer diminution in their assets of $50 million or more.  Valuation is an extremely subjective exercise and no two persons can agree exactly on the value of a piece of asset.

Another method of increasing the reserves of a company which was commonly practised in the past but which is more difficult (because of changes to regulations) to practise nowadays is by the overvaluation of assets to be swapped into the company by an exchange of shares.  We may define a share swap as when a company issues new shares to an outsider in exchange for a piece of asset.  In many of the share swaps carried otu, the assets to be swapped were valued very highly.  As a result, a lot of new shares had to be created to "pay" for the assets.  In some cases, instead of issuing the new shares at its par value or at the nett asset value of the shares, the shares were issued at a highly inflated value, say, $10 per share.  This means that for every share issued, $9.00 can be added to the Reserves of the company.  The company therefore had a lot of reserves for the issue of bonus shares. 

Thus, it can be seen that the reserves of a company can be created out of almost thin air.   Such reserves can then be used for the creation of bonus shares which in turn must be regarded as being virtually wothless as well.  Thus we can see that it is very difficult for a layman to known how the reserves of a company come into being.  Very often such reserves are created at the stroke of a pen.  Unless you can separate the "good" reserves from the "bad", you should not be excited by the prospect of a bonus issue as a result of an increase in Reserves.

Ref:  Stock Market Investment by Neoh Soon Kean