Keep INVESTING Simple and Safe (KISS) ****Investment Philosophy, Strategy and various Valuation Methods**** The same forces that bring risk into investing in the stock market also make possible the large gains many investors enjoy. It’s true that the fluctuations in the market make for losses as well as gains but if you have a proven strategy and stick with it over the long term you will be a winner!****Warren Buffett: Rule No. 1 - Never lose money. Rule No. 2 - Never forget Rule No. 1.
Wednesday 24 November 2010
IJM Corporation Berhad
Date announced 23/11/2010
Quarter 30/09/2010 Qtr 2 FYE 31/03/2011
STOCK IJM C0DE 3336
Price $ 5.69 Curr. ttm-PE 18.77 Curr. DY 1.93%
LFY Div 11.00 DPO ratio 44%
ROE 8.0% PBT Margin 25.3% PAT Margin 15.2%
Rec. qRev 785504 q-q % chg -20% y-y% chq -25%
Rec qPbt 198363 q-q % chg 11% y-y% chq 52%
Rec. qEps 8.86 q-q % chg 31% y-y% chq 74%
ttm-Eps 30.32 q-q % chg 14% y-y% chq 58%
Using VERY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES:
EPS GR 5% Avg.H PE 18.00 Avg. L PE 14.00
Forecast High Pr 6.97 Forecast Low Pr 4.43 Recent Severe Low Pr 4.43
Current price is at Middle 1/3 of valuation zone.
RISK: Upside 50% Downside 50%
One Year Appreciation Potential 4% Avg. yield 3%
Avg. Total Annual Potential Return (over next 5 years) 7%
CPE/SPE 1.17 P/NTA 1.51 NTA 3.78 SPE 16.00 Rational Pr 4.85
Decision:
Already Owned: Buy, Hold, Sell, Filed; Review (future acq): Filed; Discard: Filed.
Guide: Valuation zones - Lower 1/3 Buy; Mid. 1/3 Maybe; Upper 1/3 Sell.
Aim:
To Buy a bargain: Buy at Lower 1/3 of Valuation Zone
To Minimise risk of Loss: Buy when risk is low i.e UPSIDE GAIN > 75% OR DOWNSIDE RISK <25%
To Double every 5 years: Seek for POTENTIAL RETURN of > 15%/yr.
To Prevent Loss: Sell immediately when fundamentals deteriorate
To Maximise Gain & Reduce Loss: Sell when CPE/SPE > 1.5, when in Upper 1/3 of Valuation Zone & Returns < 15%/yr
Stock Data: Recent Stock Performance:
Current Price (11/19/2010): 5.69
(Figures in Malaysian Ringgits)
1 Week 3.5% 13 Weeks 3.8%
4 Weeks 13.6% 52 Weeks 22.6%
IJM Corporation Berhad Key Data:
Ticker: IJMS Country: MALAYSIA
Exchanges: KUL SIN Major Industry: Construction
Sub Industry: Miscellaneous Construction
2010 Sales 4,013,530,000
(Year Ending Jan 2011).
Employees: 4,320
Currency: Malaysian Ringgits Market Cap: 7,687,203,753
Fiscal Yr Ends: March Shares Outstanding: 1,351,002,417
Share Type: Ordinary Closely Held Shares: 413,013,832
Day's Range: 5.64 - 5.64
52wk Range: 4.28 - 5.72
Volume: 0
Avg Vol (3m): 4,512,800
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